Ayr 1–0 Hamilton
Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023
Home ✓
1.55
fair 1.58
Draw
4.00
fair 5.10
Away
5.25
fair 5.86
Under 2.5 ✓
2.10
fair 2.69
Over 2.5
1.70
fair 1.59
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Ayr
Hamilton
10
Shots
4
5
Shots on target
1
3
Corners
5
15
Fouls
12
0
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✗ Goals missed
✗ BTTS missed
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (97 league matches this season so far).
Result
Ayr to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.73
Expected goals
2.19 – 1.05
Home / Draw / Away
63%
20%
17%
AyrDrawHamilton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
37%
63%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
42%
58%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
4%
0
13%
1
21%
2
22%
3
18%
4
23%
5+
Most likely scores
2–1 9.9%
2–0 9.4%
1–1 9%
Statistics 2022/2023, before this match
Ayr
before this match, all matches
1.68points / match
2.00scored / match
1.42conceded / match
9
5
5
WonDrawnLost
19 played · 38:27
Hamilton
before this match, all matches
0.58points / match
0.84scored / match
2.00conceded / match
2
5
12
WonDrawnLost
19 played · 16:38
Ayr all matches
all matches Hamilton
Per match
2.00
Goals scored
0.84
1.42
Goals conceded
2.00
3.42
Total goals
2.84
12.26
Shots
9.11
5.63
Shots on target
3.79
9.26
Shots faced
11.11
5.63
Corners
5.95
5.53
Corners against
5.21
10.68
Fouls
12.26
1.74
Yellow cards
1.95
0.68
1st-half goals scored
0.37
0.68
1st-half goals conceded
1.00
How often Full Time
47%
Wins
11%
26%
Draws
26%
26%
Losses
63%
95%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
89%
Over 1.5 goals
74%
68%
Over 2.5 goals
42%
53%
Over 3.5 goals
37%
32%
Over 4.5 goals
16%
5%
Over 5.5 goals
5%
68%
Both teams scored
42%
21%
Clean sheets
11%
16%
Failed to score
47%
How often Half Time
32%
Wins
16%
42%
Draws
32%
26%
Losses
53%
74%
Over 0.5 goals
84%
47%
Over 1.5 goals
32%
16%
Over 2.5 goals
16%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Ayr all matches
1
2
L
2
2
D
4
2
W
2
W
1
1
D
3
2
W
2
2
D
2
W
2
3
L
2
L
Hamilton all matches
1
2
L
1
W
1
L
4
4
D
1
3
L
2
3
L
1
L
4
L
2
L
1
L
Ayr
before this match, at home
1.60points / match
1.90scored / match
1.10conceded / match
4
4
2
WonDrawnLost
10 played · 19:11
Hamilton
before this match, away
0.60points / match
0.70scored / match
2.10conceded / match
1
3
6
WonDrawnLost
10 played · 7:21
Ayr at home
away Hamilton
Per match
1.90
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
2.10
3.00
Total goals
2.80
13.10
Shots
8.60
5.60
Shots on target
3.40
9.00
Shots faced
10.80
6.40
Corners
4.80
5.90
Corners against
6.20
11.50
Fouls
12.30
1.60
Yellow cards
2.00
1.00
1st-half goals scored
0.50
0.50
1st-half goals conceded
1.00
How often Full Time
40%
Wins
10%
40%
Draws
30%
20%
Losses
60%
90%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
80%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
50%
Over 3.5 goals
50%
20%
Over 4.5 goals
10%
10%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
50%
Both teams scored
40%
30%
Clean sheets
10%
30%
Failed to score
50%
How often Half Time
40%
Wins
30%
60%
Draws
40%
0%
Losses
30%
70%
Over 0.5 goals
80%
60%
Over 1.5 goals
40%
20%
Over 2.5 goals
20%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Ayr at home
D
2
2
D
3
1
W
1
L
5
W
2
2
D
4
2
W
1
1
D
2
W
2
L
Hamilton away
1
1
D
2
2
D
2
2
D
5
L
1
W
1
L
1
3
L
1
L
4
L
2
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Ayr all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.12.22 | Ayr – Dundee | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 17.12.22 | Partick – Ayr | 3–2 (2–1) | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.80 | 1.80 | 2.05 |
| 03.12.22 | Ayr – Raith Rvs | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.50 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 19.11.22 | Inverness C – Ayr | 2–2 (1–0) | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.20 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 11.11.22 | Hamilton – Ayr | 2–3 (0–1) | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 05.11.22 | Ayr – Morton | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.90 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 29.10.22 | Arbroath – Ayr | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.87 | 3.20 | 2.25 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 25.10.22 | Ayr – Partick | 4–2 (2–1) | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.10 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 22.10.22 | Ayr – Cove Rangers | 2–2 (2–1) | 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.33 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 15.10.22 | Dundee – Ayr | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
Hamilton all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.01.23 | Hamilton – Raith Rvs | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 23.12.22 | Cove Rangers – Hamilton | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 2.90 | 1.80 | 2.05 |
| 03.12.22 | Queens Park – Hamilton | 4–0 (4–0) | 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.80 | 2.05 |
| 19.11.22 | Dundee – Hamilton | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.44 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 1.72 | 2.07 |
| 11.11.22 | Hamilton – Ayr | 2–3 (0–1) | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 05.11.22 | Raith Rvs – Hamilton | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.95 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 29.10.22 | Hamilton – Cove Rangers | 4–4 (1–2) | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 22.10.22 | Arbroath – Hamilton | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.90 | 3.30 | 3.75 | 2.07 | 1.72 |
| 18.10.22 | Inverness C – Hamilton | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.66 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 15.10.22 | Hamilton – Partick | 1–2 (0–1) | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.05 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
Ayr at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.12.22 | Ayr – Dundee | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 03.12.22 | Ayr – Raith Rvs | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.50 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 05.11.22 | Ayr – Morton | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.90 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 25.10.22 | Ayr – Partick | 4–2 (2–1) | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.10 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 22.10.22 | Ayr – Cove Rangers | 2–2 (2–1) | 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.33 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 08.10.22 | Ayr – Queens Park | 5–0 (2–0) | 1.85 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 01.10.22 | Ayr – Inverness C | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 26.08.22 | Ayr – Dundee | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 13.08.22 | Ayr – Hamilton | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 30.07.22 | Ayr – Arbroath | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.55 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
Hamilton away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.12.22 | Cove Rangers – Hamilton | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 2.90 | 1.80 | 2.05 |
| 03.12.22 | Queens Park – Hamilton | 4–0 (4–0) | 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.80 | 2.05 |
| 19.11.22 | Dundee – Hamilton | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.44 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 1.72 | 2.07 |
| 05.11.22 | Raith Rvs – Hamilton | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.95 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 22.10.22 | Arbroath – Hamilton | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.90 | 3.30 | 3.75 | 2.07 | 1.72 |
| 18.10.22 | Inverness C – Hamilton | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.66 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 08.10.22 | Morton – Hamilton | 5–0 (3–0) | 2.25 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 03.09.22 | Cove Rangers – Hamilton | 2–2 (0–1) | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.70 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 13.08.22 | Ayr – Hamilton | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 06.08.22 | Partick – Hamilton | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.90 | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.07 | 1.72 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
2 4
Ayr winsDrawsHamilton wins
6matches
2.83goals / match
33%over 2.5
83%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.11.22SC1 | Hamilton – Ayr | 2–3 (0–1) | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 13.08.22SC1 | Ayr – Hamilton | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 01.04.22SC1 | Ayr – Hamilton | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.80 | 2.87 | 2.90 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| 29.01.22SC1 | Hamilton – Ayr | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 10.12.21SC1 | Ayr – Hamilton | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.45 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 18.09.21SC1 | Hamilton – Ayr | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.20 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
Scotland Championship table 2022/2023, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queens Park | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 27 | +11 | 36 |
| 2 | Dundee | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 25 | +8 | 35 |
| 3 | Ayr | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 27 | +11 | 32 |
| 4 | Morton | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 19 | +8 | 30 |
| 5 | Partick | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 40 | 35 | +5 | 30 |
| 6 | Raith Rvs | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 28 |
| 7 | Inverness C | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 26 |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 21 |
| 9 | Arbroath | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 |
| 10 | Hamilton | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 38 | -22 | 11 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 16 | +11 | 20 |
| 2 | Queens Park | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 12 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 | Raith Rvs | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | +4 | 18 |
| 4 | Cove Rangers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 | Morton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 16 |
| 6 | Ayr | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | +8 | 16 |
| 7 | Dundee | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | +5 | 16 |
| 8 | Inverness C | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 13 |
| 9 | Arbroath | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 7 |
| 10 | Hamilton | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 5 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dundee | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 19 |
| 2 | Ayr | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 16 |
| 3 | Queens Park | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 16 |
| 4 | Morton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
| 5 | Inverness C | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 13 |
| 6 | Arbroath | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
| 7 | Raith Rvs | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 8 | Partick | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
| 9 | Hamilton | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 6 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 4 |
Ayr Hamilton
Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Partick | 20 | 5 | 15 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 40 | 35 | 30 |
| 2 | 1 | Queens Park | 19 | 6 | 13 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 27 | 36 |
| 3 | 3 | Ayr | 19 | 6 | 13 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 27 | 32 |
| 4 | 8 | Cove Rangers | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 34 | 21 |
| 5 | 2 | Dundee | 20 | 10 | 10 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 35 |
| 6 | 4 | Morton | 18 | 8 | 10 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 30 |
| 7 | 6 | Raith Rvs | 21 | 13 | 8 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
| 8 | 7 | Inverness C | 19 | 11 | 8 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 27 | 26 |
| 9 | 10 | Hamilton | 19 | 11 | 8 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | Arbroath | 20 | 14 | 6 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 30 | 17 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Partick | 10 | 1 | 9 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 20 |
| 2 | 1 | Queens Park | 10 | 3 | 7 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | 6 | Raith Rvs | 11 | 4 | 7 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 18 |
| 4 | 2 | Dundee | 9 | 3 | 6 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 16 |
| 5 | 3 | Ayr | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 16 |
| 6 | 4 | Morton | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
| 7 | 8 | Cove Rangers | 10 | 6 | 4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 17 |
| 8 | 7 | Inverness C | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 13 |
| 9 | 10 | Hamilton | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | Arbroath | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 7 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Ayr | 9 | 1 | 8 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 16 |
| 2 | 8 | Cove Rangers | 9 | 2 | 7 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | Queens Park | 9 | 3 | 6 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 16 |
| 4 | 5 | Partick | 10 | 4 | 6 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 10 |
| 5 | 4 | Morton | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 14 |
| 6 | 7 | Inverness C | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 13 |
| 7 | 10 | Hamilton | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | Dundee | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 19 |
| 9 | 9 | Arbroath | 10 | 6 | 4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | Raith Rvs | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 10 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
