Ayr 1–0 Dunfermline – Scotland Championship, 23 Nov 2024

Match facts

Ayr Dunfermline

10 Shots 3

6 Shots on target 2

6 Corners 5

12 Fouls 10

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (71 league matches this season so far).

Result Ayr to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.93

Expected goals 1.61 – 0.92

Home / Draw / Away

54% 25% 22%

AyrDrawDunfermline

Under / Over 2.5 goals

54% 46%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

52% 48%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

20% 1

26% 2

22% 3

14% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 12.8% 1–1 11.8% 2–0 10.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Ayr before this match, all matches

1.79points / match

1.57scored / match

1.00conceded / match

7 4 3

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 22:14

Dunfermline before this match, all matches

0.86points / match

0.79scored / match

1.07conceded / match

3 3 8

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 11:15

Ayr all matches all matches Dunfermline

Per match

1.57 Goals scored 0.79

1.00 Goals conceded 1.07

2.57 Total goals 1.86

11.36 Shots 10.21

5.21 Shots on target 3.64

7.21 Shots faced 8.21

4.71 Corners 5.14

4.71 Corners against 4.14

11.79 Fouls 11.71

2.07 Yellow cards 2.14

0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.21

0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

50% Wins 21%

29% Draws 21%

21% Losses 57%

100% Over 0.5 goals 93%

86% Over 1.5 goals 64%

29% Over 2.5 goals 29%

21% Over 3.5 goals 0%

21% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

50% Both teams scored 36%

36% Clean sheets 29%

14% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 14%

21% Draws 50%

43% Losses 36%

86% Over 0.5 goals 57%

43% Over 1.5 goals 7%

14% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ayr all matches

1

D

1

D

1

D

1

W

2

L

1

2

L

1

W

2

L

1

D

3

2

W

Dunfermline all matches

2

W

1

L

1

2

L

1

D

1

2

L

3

W

1

L

1

2

L

1

W

Ayr before this match, at home

2.29points / match

2.29scored / match

1.00conceded / match

5 1 1

WonDrawnLost 7 played · 16:7

Dunfermline before this match, away

0.17points / match

0.50scored / match

1.50conceded / match

1 5

WonDrawnLost 6 played · 3:9

Ayr at home away Dunfermline

Per match

2.29 Goals scored 0.50

1.00 Goals conceded 1.50

3.29 Total goals 2.00

14.43 Shots 9.67

6.14 Shots on target 3.50

5.86 Shots faced 10.50

4.14 Corners 4.33

5.00 Corners against 4.83

11.71 Fouls 12.00

2.14 Yellow cards 2.33

1.14 1st-half goals scored 0.17

0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

71% Wins 0%

14% Draws 17%

14% Losses 83%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

86% Over 1.5 goals 67%

57% Over 2.5 goals 33%

43% Over 3.5 goals 0%

43% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

57% Both teams scored 50%

43% Clean sheets 0%

0% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 17%

14% Draws 33%

29% Losses 50%

86% Over 0.5 goals 67%

57% Over 1.5 goals 0%

29% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ayr at home

1

D

5

W

3

D

5

W

3

2

W

2

W

1

D

1

W

1

2

L

3

2

W

Dunfermline away

1

W

3

2

W

1

2

L

3

D

2

L

1

L

1

L

1

D

1

2

L

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Ayr all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.11.24	Ayr – Queens Park	3–2 (2–0)	1.95	3.40	3.80	2.05	1.75
08.11.24	Morton – Ayr	1–1 (1–0)	3.60	3.20	1.91	2.25	1.62
01.11.24	Raith Rvs – Ayr	2–0 (2–0)	2.88	3.20	2.35	2.25	1.62
26.10.24	Airdrie Utd – Ayr	0–1 (0–0)	4.10	3.40	1.75	1.98	1.88
19.10.24	Ayr – Livingston	1–2 (1–2)	2.30	3.20	2.90	1.98	1.88
05.10.24	Falkirk – Ayr	2–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	3.50	1.90	1.95
28.09.24	Ayr – Morton	1–0 (0–0)	1.60	3.70	4.75	1.90	1.95
21.09.24	Queens Park – Ayr	1–1 (1–0)	2.90	3.40	2.20	1.75	2.05
14.09.24	Ayr – Partick	1–1 (1–0)	1.80	3.60	3.90	1.73	2.08
31.08.24	Dunfermline – Ayr	1–1 (1–1)	4.20	3.50	1.85	1.85	2.00

Dunfermline all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.11.24	Dunfermline – Airdrie Utd	1–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.50	4.50	1.98	1.88
09.11.24	Queens Park – Dunfermline	2–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.20	3.00	1.95	1.90
02.11.24	Dunfermline – Partick	0–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.50	2.25	1.90	1.95
29.10.24	Dunfermline – Livingston	3–0 (1–0)	2.80	3.00	2.50	2.38	1.53
26.10.24	Falkirk – Dunfermline	2–1 (1–0)	1.42	4.10	6.50	1.93	1.93
19.10.24	Dunfermline – Morton	0–0 (0–0)	2.35	3.10	3.00	2.20	1.65
05.10.24	Airdrie Utd – Dunfermline	1–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.30	2.60	2.00	1.85
28.09.24	Dunfermline – Queens Park	1–2 (0–1)	2.38	3.20	2.60	1.98	1.88
21.09.24	Partick – Dunfermline	1–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.40	3.90	1.88	1.98
13.09.24	Dunfermline – Raith Rvs	2–0 (0–0)	2.60	3.30	2.40	2.20	1.65

Ayr at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.11.24	Ayr – Queens Park	3–2 (2–0)	1.95	3.40	3.80	2.05	1.75
19.10.24	Ayr – Livingston	1–2 (1–2)	2.30	3.20	2.90	1.98	1.88
28.09.24	Ayr – Morton	1–0 (0–0)	1.60	3.70	4.75	1.90	1.95
14.09.24	Ayr – Partick	1–1 (1–0)	1.80	3.60	3.90	1.73	2.08
24.08.24	Ayr – Raith Rvs	2–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.40	4.10	1.98	1.88
17.08.24	Ayr – Hamilton	3–2 (1–2)	1.60	3.80	5.00	1.67	2.15
09.08.24	Ayr – Airdrie Utd	5–0 (2–0)	2.15	3.30	3.25	1.98	1.88
03.05.24	Ayr – Dunfermline	3–3 (1–3)	2.20	3.50	2.90	1.73	2.08
13.04.24	Ayr – Arbroath	5–0 (3–0)	1.40	4.00	6.50	1.67	2.15
09.04.24	Ayr – Morton	1–1 (1–1)	2.75	3.25	2.38	2.15	1.67

Dunfermline away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.11.24	Queens Park – Dunfermline	2–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.20	3.00	1.95	1.90
26.10.24	Falkirk – Dunfermline	2–1 (1–0)	1.42	4.10	6.50	1.93	1.93
05.10.24	Airdrie Utd – Dunfermline	1–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.30	2.60	2.00	1.85
21.09.24	Partick – Dunfermline	1–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.40	3.90	1.88	1.98
24.08.24	Hamilton – Dunfermline	1–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.50	3.10	1.85	2.00
03.08.24	Livingston – Dunfermline	2–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.20	3.25	2.10	1.70
03.05.24	Ayr – Dunfermline	3–3 (1–3)	2.20	3.50	2.90	1.73	2.08
13.04.24	Airdrie Utd – Dunfermline	2–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.40	2.90	2.08	1.73
30.03.24	Arbroath – Dunfermline	2–3 (0–3)	4.00	3.60	1.80	1.93	1.93
23.03.24	Morton – Dunfermline	0–1 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	3.10	2.08	1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 4 3

Ayr winsDrawsDunfermline wins

9matches

3.00goals / match

56%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
31.08.24SC1	Dunfermline – Ayr	1–1 (1–1)	4.20	3.50	1.85	1.85	2.00
03.05.24SC1	Ayr – Dunfermline	3–3 (1–3)	2.20	3.50	2.90	1.73	2.08
02.03.24SC1	Dunfermline – Ayr	2–0 (2–0)	2.25	3.50	2.70	1.93	1.93
30.12.23SC1	Ayr – Dunfermline	2–2 (1–2)	2.38	3.30	2.60	1.98	1.88
21.10.23SC1	Dunfermline – Ayr	0–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.50	3.75	1.90	1.95
16.04.22SC1	Dunfermline – Ayr	2–1 (0–1)	1.95	3.00	3.80	2.15	1.66
05.02.22SC1	Ayr – Dunfermline	1–1 (1–1)	2.55	2.90	2.80	2.15	1.66
20.11.21SC1	Dunfermline – Ayr	3–0 (2–0)	1.83	3.50	4.00	2.07	1.72
11.09.21SC1	Ayr – Dunfermline	3–1 (2–1)	3.00	3.30	2.15	2.00	1.80

Scotland Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Falkirk	15	11	2	2	28	9	+19	35
2	Livingston	14	8	5	1	19	10	+9	29
3	Ayr	14	7	4	3	22	14	+8	25
4	Partick	14	6	5	3	17	9	+8	23
5	Queens Park	15	6	4	5	16	16	0	22
6	Raith Rvs	14	4	3	7	13	18	-5	15
7	Hamilton	14	4	3	7	19	25	-6	15
8	Morton	14	3	5	6	11	19	-8	14
9	Dunfermline	14	3	3	8	11	15	-4	12
10	Airdrie Utd	14	1	2	11	6	27	-21	5

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Falkirk	7	6	1	0	16	3	+13	19
2	Livingston	7	5	2	0	12	4	+8	17
3	Ayr	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
4	Partick	8	4	4	0	13	4	+9	16
5	Raith Rvs	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Dunfermline	8	3	2	3	8	6	+2	11
7	Queens Park	7	3	2	2	6	5	+1	11
8	Hamilton	7	3	1	3	9	10	-1	10
9	Morton	6	2	2	2	7	5	+2	8
10	Airdrie Utd	6	1	1	4	2	10	-8	4

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Falkirk	8	5	1	2	12	6	+6	16
2	Livingston	7	3	3	1	7	6	+1	12
3	Queens Park	8	3	2	3	10	11	-1	11
4	Ayr	7	2	3	2	6	7	-1	9
5	Partick	6	2	1	3	4	5	-1	7
6	Morton	8	1	3	4	4	14	-10	6
7	Hamilton	7	1	2	4	10	15	-5	5
8	Dunfermline	6	0	1	5	3	9	-6	1
9	Raith Rvs	6	0	1	5	2	10	-8	1
10	Airdrie Utd	8	0	1	7	4	17	-13	1

Ayr Dunfermline

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Hamilton	14	5	9	1.4	1.8	4	3	7	19	25	15
2	1	Falkirk	15	9	6	1.9	0.6	11	2	2	28	9	35
3	2	Livingston	14	8	6	1.4	0.7	8	5	1	19	10	29
4	5	Queens Park	15	10	5	1.1	1.1	6	4	5	16	16	22
5	10	Airdrie Utd	14	9	5	0.4	1.9	1	2	11	6	27	5
6	3	Ayr	14	10	4	1.6	1.0	7	4	3	22	14	25
7	4	Partick	14	10	4	1.2	0.6	6	5	3	17	9	23
8	8	Morton	14	10	4	0.8	1.4	3	5	6	11	19	14
9	9	Dunfermline	14	10	4	0.8	1.1	3	3	8	11	15	12
10	6	Raith Rvs	14	11	3	0.9	1.3	4	3	7	13	18	15

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Falkirk	7	3	4	2.3	0.4	6	1	0	16	3	19
2	3	Ayr	7	3	4	2.3	1.0	5	1	1	16	7	16
3	7	Hamilton	7	3	4	1.3	1.4	3	1	3	9	10	10
4	2	Livingston	7	4	3	1.7	0.6	5	2	0	12	4	17
5	4	Partick	8	5	3	1.6	0.5	4	4	0	13	4	16
6	6	Raith Rvs	8	6	2	1.4	1.0	4	2	2	11	8	14
7	9	Dunfermline	8	6	2	1.0	0.8	3	2	3	8	6	11
8	5	Queens Park	7	6	1	0.9	0.7	3	2	2	6	5	11
9	8	Morton	6	5	1	1.2	0.8	2	2	2	7	5	8
10	10	Airdrie Utd	6	5	1	0.3	1.7	1	1	4	2	10	4

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Hamilton	7	2	5	1.4	2.1	1	2	4	10	15	5
2	5	Queens Park	8	4	4	1.2	1.4	3	2	3	10	11	11
3	10	Airdrie Utd	8	4	4	0.5	2.1	0	1	7	4	17	1
4	2	Livingston	7	4	3	1.0	0.9	3	3	1	7	6	12
5	8	Morton	8	5	3	0.5	1.8	1	3	4	4	14	6
6	1	Falkirk	8	6	2	1.5	0.8	5	1	2	12	6	16
7	9	Dunfermline	6	4	2	0.5	1.5	0	1	5	3	9	1
8	4	Partick	6	5	1	0.7	0.8	2	1	3	4	5	7
9	6	Raith Rvs	6	5	1	0.3	1.7	0	1	5	2	10	1
10	3	Ayr	7	7	0	0.9	1.0	2	3	2	6	7	9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.