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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Alverca 2–1 Arouca

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.10 fair 2.21
Draw 3.30 fair 4.15
Away 3.30 fair 3.27
Under 2.5 1.93 fair 2.32
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 1.76

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Alverca Arouca
7 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 3
8 Fouls 12
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (269 league matches this season so far).
Result Alverca to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.69
Expected goals 1.65 – 1.32
Home / Draw / Away
AlvercaDrawArouca
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 8.5%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Alverca before this match, all matches
1.17points / match
1.07scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 32:48
Arouca before this match, all matches
1.17points / match
1.27scored / match
1.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 38:58
Alverca all matches all matches Arouca

Per match

1.07 Goals scored 1.27
1.60 Goals conceded 1.93
2.67 Total goals 3.20
9.90 Shots 10.37
3.67 Shots on target 3.43
13.87 Shots faced 13.50
4.33 Corners 3.70
4.53 Corners against 5.17
12.37 Fouls 13.80
2.17 Yellow cards 2.83
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.77 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

30% Wins 33%
27% Draws 17%
43% Losses 50%
97% Over 0.5 goals 97%
80% Over 1.5 goals 77%
53% Over 2.5 goals 63%
27% Over 3.5 goals 47%
10% Over 4.5 goals 23%
0% Over 5.5 goals 10%
57% Both teams scored 50%
20% Clean sheets 23%
27% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 20%
47% Draws 40%
33% Losses 40%
67% Over 0.5 goals 70%
37% Over 1.5 goals 40%
10% Over 2.5 goals 30%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Alverca all matches
Arouca all matches
Alverca before this match, at home
1.47points / match
1.00scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 15:21
Arouca before this match, away
0.93points / match
1.07scored / match
2.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 16:31
Alverca at home away Arouca

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.07
1.40 Goals conceded 2.07
2.40 Total goals 3.13
11.00 Shots 10.20
3.80 Shots on target 2.73
12.80 Shots faced 13.13
4.60 Corners 3.47
3.20 Corners against 4.47
12.87 Fouls 13.13
1.80 Yellow cards 2.20
0.20 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 1.13

How often Full Time

40% Wins 27%
27% Draws 13%
33% Losses 60%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
73% Over 1.5 goals 67%
47% Over 2.5 goals 60%
20% Over 3.5 goals 47%
7% Over 4.5 goals 27%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
47% Both teams scored 47%
33% Clean sheets 27%
27% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 13%
33% Draws 47%
47% Losses 40%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
20% Over 1.5 goals 47%
7% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Alverca at home
Arouca away

Last 10 matches before this match

Alverca all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.26 Nacional – Alverca 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.20 1.85 1.95
12.04.26 Alverca – Casa Pia 3–1 (0–1) 1.963.303.90 2.15 1.67
04.04.26 Rio Ave – Alverca 1–2 (0–2) 2.453.302.75 2.00 1.80
22.03.26 Alverca – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (0–1) 10.005.001.27 1.62 2.25
14.03.26 Gil Vicente – Alverca 2–2 (1–0) 1.663.705.25 2.10 1.70
07.03.26 Alverca – AVS 0–0 (0–0) 1.663.605.00 2.00 1.85
28.02.26 Guimaraes – Alverca 1–1 (0–0) 1.713.604.75 2.05 1.75
21.02.26 Alverca – Santa Clara 1–1 (1–0) 2.822.752.70 2.70 1.44
13.02.26 Tondela – Alverca 1–1 (0–1) 2.353.103.10 2.35 1.57
08.02.26 Benfica – Alverca 2–1 (1–1) 1.156.2517.00 1.65 2.20

Arouca all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.04.26 Arouca – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 2.013.403.50 1.93 1.93
12.04.26 Sp Braga – Arouca 1–0 (0–0) 1.374.508.00 1.67 2.15
06.04.26 Arouca – Estoril 3–2 (2–2) 2.453.402.65 1.75 2.05
21.03.26 Moreirense – Arouca 0–1 (0–0) 2.353.203.00 2.10 1.70
14.03.26 Arouca – Benfica 1–2 (1–0) 10.005.751.24 1.60 2.30
06.03.26 Famalicao – Arouca 1–0 (0–0) 1.713.504.75 1.95 1.90
27.02.26 Porto – Arouca 3–1 (1–0) 1.196.2511.00 1.75 2.05
21.02.26 Arouca – Nacional 3–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.00 1.95 1.90
14.02.26 Casa Pia – Arouca 3–2 (3–2) 2.653.202.55 2.20 1.65
07.02.26 Arouca – Guimaraes 3–2 (1–2) 2.753.302.40 2.10 1.70

Alverca at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.26 Alverca – Casa Pia 3–1 (0–1) 1.963.303.90 2.15 1.67
22.03.26 Alverca – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (0–1) 10.005.001.27 1.62 2.25
07.03.26 Alverca – AVS 0–0 (0–0) 1.663.605.00 2.00 1.85
21.02.26 Alverca – Santa Clara 1–1 (1–0) 2.822.752.70 2.70 1.44
31.01.26 Alverca – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.103.70 2.40 1.53
17.01.26 Alverca – Moreirense 2–1 (0–0) 2.702.822.75 2.60 1.48
04.01.26 Alverca – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 3.603.302.01 2.10 1.70
22.12.25 Alverca – Porto 0–3 (0–1) 9.004.751.33 1.93 1.93
07.12.25 Alverca – Nacional 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.203.60 2.20 1.65
08.11.25 Alverca – Rio Ave 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.20 2.15 1.67

Arouca away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.26 Sp Braga – Arouca 1–0 (0–0) 1.374.508.00 1.67 2.15
21.03.26 Moreirense – Arouca 0–1 (0–0) 2.353.203.00 2.10 1.70
06.03.26 Famalicao – Arouca 1–0 (0–0) 1.713.504.75 1.95 1.90
27.02.26 Porto – Arouca 3–1 (1–0) 1.196.2511.00 1.75 2.05
14.02.26 Casa Pia – Arouca 3–2 (3–2) 2.653.202.55 2.20 1.65
31.01.26 Rio Ave – Arouca 0–3 (0–1) 2.503.252.70 2.05 1.80
17.01.26 AVS – Arouca 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.102.45 2.25 1.62
03.01.26 Tondela – Arouca 3–1 (2–1) 2.053.303.50 2.05 1.75
21.12.25 Santa Clara – Arouca 0–0 (0–0) 1.793.254.75 2.40 1.53
07.12.25 Estrela – Arouca 3–1 (2–0) 2.103.203.50 2.10 1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Alverca winsDrawsArouca wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.25P1 Arouca – Alverca 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.55 2.20 1.65

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 30 25 4 1 61 14 +47 79 DWWDWW
2 Benfica 30 21 9 0 63 19 +44 72 DWWDWW
3 Sp Lisbon 29 22 5 2 74 19 +55 71 WDWWWL
4 Sp Braga 30 16 8 6 58 29 +29 56 DLWWDW
5 Famalicao 30 13 9 8 38 27 +11 48 WWWDDD
6 Gil Vicente 30 12 10 8 44 31 +13 46 DDLWDL
7 Guimaraes 30 11 6 13 36 43 -7 39 LLLWDW
8 Moreirense 30 11 6 13 33 41 -8 39 DLLLDW
9 Estoril 30 10 7 13 51 51 0 37 DWLLLL
10 Alverca 30 9 8 13 32 48 -16 35 DDLWWL
11 Arouca 30 10 5 15 38 58 -20 35 LLWWLW
12 Rio Ave 30 8 10 12 33 50 -17 34 WWWLWD
13 Santa Clara 30 7 8 15 26 37 -11 29 WWWLLD
14 Nacional 30 7 7 16 32 41 -9 28 DLLWLW
15 Estrela 30 6 10 14 33 49 -16 28 DLWLLL
16 Casa Pia 30 5 11 14 28 53 -25 26 DLDLDL
17 Tondela 29 4 9 16 21 48 -27 21 DLDLDL
18 AVS 30 1 10 19 21 64 -43 13 DLDLDD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 15 12 3 0 31 6 +25 39 DWWWDW
2 Benfica 15 10 5 0 35 10 +25 35 WWWDWW
3 Sp Lisbon 14 11 1 2 41 8 +33 34 WWWWWL
4 Sp Braga 15 8 4 3 31 15 +16 28 WWDLWD
5 Famalicao 15 8 3 4 24 10 +14 27 WWWWWD
6 Gil Vicente 15 8 3 4 25 13 +12 27 WWLDWL
7 Guimaraes 15 7 4 4 24 18 +6 25 LWWDLW
8 Estoril 15 6 5 4 28 22 +6 23 WDWDLL
9 Moreirense 15 7 2 6 17 19 -2 23 LLDLLW
10 Alverca 15 6 4 5 15 21 -6 22 WDDDLW
11 Arouca 15 6 3 6 22 27 -5 21 LWWLWW
12 Nacional 15 5 2 8 20 21 -1 17 DLLLWW
13 Estrela 15 4 5 6 20 22 -2 17 LWLDWL
14 Santa Clara 15 5 2 8 13 16 -3 17 LLLWWL
15 Casa Pia 15 2 8 5 17 24 -7 14 WWDDDL
16 Rio Ave 15 3 5 7 16 25 -9 14 LLDWLD
17 Tondela 15 1 7 7 11 19 -8 10 DDDLDD
18 AVS 15 1 5 9 11 25 -14 8 LLWDLD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 15 13 1 1 30 8 +22 40 WLWDWW
2 Sp Lisbon 15 11 4 0 33 11 +22 37 WDWDWW
3 Benfica 15 11 4 0 28 9 +19 37 DWWWDW
4 Sp Braga 15 8 4 3 27 14 +13 28 WWLWWW
5 Famalicao 15 5 6 4 14 17 -3 21 LLDWDD
6 Rio Ave 15 5 5 5 17 25 -8 20 LLLWWW
7 Gil Vicente 15 4 7 4 19 18 +1 19 LWLDLD
8 Moreirense 15 4 4 7 16 22 -6 16 LLWDLD
9 Estoril 15 4 2 9 23 29 -6 14 WLLWLL
10 Guimaraes 15 4 2 9 12 25 -13 14 LLLLDW
11 Arouca 15 4 2 9 16 31 -15 14 WLLLWL
12 Alverca 15 3 4 8 17 27 -10 13 LDDDWL
13 Santa Clara 15 2 6 7 13 21 -8 12 LDDWLD
14 Casa Pia 15 3 3 9 11 29 -18 12 LDLDLL
15 Nacional 15 2 5 8 12 20 -8 11 LLLDLL
16 Estrela 15 2 5 8 13 27 -14 11 DLDLLL
17 Tondela 14 3 2 9 10 29 -19 11 LLDWLL
18 AVS 15 0 5 10 10 39 -29 5 LLDDLD

Alverca   Arouca

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 30 10 20 2.1 0.6 21 9 0 63 19 72 OOOUUO
2 3 Sp Lisbon 29 9 20 2.6 0.7 22 5 2 74 19 71 OOOOUO
3 4 Sp Braga 30 10 20 1.9 1.0 16 8 6 58 29 56 OOUUOU
4 9 Estoril 30 10 20 1.7 1.7 10 7 13 51 51 37 UUOOOU
5 11 Arouca 30 11 19 1.3 1.9 10 5 15 38 58 35 UOUOUU
6 12 Rio Ave 30 11 19 1.1 1.7 8 10 12 33 50 34 UOOOUO
7 18 AVS 30 12 18 0.7 2.1 1 10 19 21 64 13 UUUOUO
8 1 Porto 30 13 17 2.0 0.5 25 4 1 61 14 79 OOOOOU
9 10 Alverca 30 14 16 1.1 1.6 9 8 13 32 48 35 UOOOOU
10 6 Gil Vicente 30 15 15 1.5 1.0 12 10 8 44 31 46 OOUOOU
11 8 Moreirense 30 15 15 1.1 1.4 11 6 13 33 41 39 UOUUUU
12 15 Estrela 30 15 15 1.1 1.6 6 10 14 33 49 28 OOOUUU
13 17 Tondela 29 14 15 0.7 1.7 4 9 16 21 48 21 OUUOOU
14 7 Guimaraes 30 16 14 1.2 1.4 11 6 13 36 43 39 UOOOUU
15 16 Casa Pia 30 16 14 0.9 1.8 5 11 14 28 53 26 UOUOUU
16 14 Nacional 30 17 13 1.1 1.4 7 7 16 32 41 28 UUUUUU
17 5 Famalicao 30 18 12 1.3 0.9 13 9 8 38 27 48 UOUOUO
18 13 Santa Clara 30 20 10 0.9 1.2 7 8 15 26 37 29 UUUOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Sp Lisbon 14 3 11 2.9 0.6 11 1 2 41 8 34 OOUOOO
2 4 Sp Braga 15 4 11 2.1 1.0 8 4 3 31 15 28 OOOOUO
3 2 Benfica 15 5 10 2.3 0.7 10 5 0 35 10 35 OOOOOU
4 11 Arouca 15 5 10 1.5 1.8 6 3 6 22 27 21 OOOOOU
5 12 Rio Ave 15 5 10 1.1 1.7 3 5 7 16 25 14 OOUOOO
6 7 Guimaraes 15 6 9 1.6 1.2 7 4 4 24 18 25 UUOUOO
7 9 Estoril 15 6 9 1.9 1.5 6 5 4 28 22 23 OOOUOO
8 1 Porto 15 7 8 2.1 0.4 12 3 0 31 6 39 UUOOOU
9 8 Moreirense 15 7 8 1.1 1.3 7 2 6 17 19 23 OOUUUU
10 14 Nacional 15 7 8 1.3 1.4 5 2 8 20 21 17 UUOUUU
11 15 Estrela 15 7 8 1.3 1.5 4 5 6 20 22 17 OUUOOU
12 5 Famalicao 15 8 7 1.6 0.7 8 3 4 24 10 27 OOUUUU
13 6 Gil Vicente 15 8 7 1.7 0.9 8 3 4 25 13 27 OOOOOU
14 10 Alverca 15 8 7 1.0 1.4 6 4 5 15 21 22 OUUUOO
15 18 AVS 15 8 7 0.7 1.7 1 5 9 11 25 8 UOOUUU
16 17 Tondela 15 9 6 0.7 1.3 1 7 7 11 19 10 UUOUUO
17 13 Santa Clara 15 10 5 0.9 1.1 5 2 8 13 16 17 UOOUUU
18 16 Casa Pia 15 10 5 1.1 1.6 2 8 5 17 24 14 OOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 9 Estoril 15 4 11 1.5 1.9 4 2 9 23 29 14 OOOUOU
2 18 AVS 15 4 11 0.7 2.6 0 5 10 10 39 5 OOUUOO
3 2 Benfica 15 5 10 1.9 0.6 11 4 0 28 9 37 UOOOUO
4 1 Porto 15 6 9 2.0 0.5 13 1 1 30 8 40 UOUOOO
5 3 Sp Lisbon 15 6 9 2.2 0.7 11 4 0 33 11 37 OUOOOU
6 4 Sp Braga 15 6 9 1.8 0.9 8 4 3 27 14 28 UOOOUU
7 10 Alverca 15 6 9 1.1 1.8 3 4 8 17 27 13 OUUOOU
8 11 Arouca 15 6 9 1.1 2.1 4 2 9 16 31 14 OOOUUU
9 12 Rio Ave 15 6 9 1.1 1.7 5 5 5 17 25 20 OOUUOU
10 16 Casa Pia 15 6 9 0.7 1.9 3 3 9 11 29 12 OUUUOO
11 17 Tondela 14 5 9 0.7 2.1 3 2 9 10 29 11 UOOUOU
12 6 Gil Vicente 15 7 8 1.3 1.2 4 7 4 19 18 19 OOOOUO
13 8 Moreirense 15 8 7 1.1 1.5 4 4 7 16 22 16 OUOUOU
14 15 Estrela 15 8 7 0.9 1.8 2 5 8 13 27 11 UOUOUU
15 5 Famalicao 15 10 5 0.9 1.1 5 6 4 14 17 21 OUUOOO
16 7 Guimaraes 15 10 5 0.8 1.7 4 2 9 12 25 14 OOUOUU
17 13 Santa Clara 15 10 5 0.9 1.4 2 6 7 13 21 12 UUOUOU
18 14 Nacional 15 10 5 0.8 1.3 2 5 8 12 20 11 OOOUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10