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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Excelsior 1–0 NAC Breda

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.35 fair 2.26
Draw 3.50 fair 4.20
Away 2.88 fair 3.13
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.44
Over 2.5 1.70 fair 1.70

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Excelsior NAC Breda
6 Shots 22
2 Shots on target 3
1 Corners 6
22 Fouls 12
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (118 league matches this season so far).
Result Excelsior to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 1.67 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
ExcelsiorDrawNAC Breda
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 2–1 9.1% 1–0 7.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Excelsior before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.85conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 13:24
NAC Breda before this match, all matches
0.92points / match
1.15scored / match
1.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 15:22
Excelsior all matches all matches NAC Breda

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.15
1.85 Goals conceded 1.69
2.85 Total goals 2.85
12.23 Shots 12.38
4.31 Shots on target 3.92
16.38 Shots faced 13.62
4.31 Corners 4.54
5.46 Corners against 4.23
13.69 Fouls 11.85
1.38 Yellow cards 1.85
0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.46
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

31% Wins 23%
8% Draws 23%
62% Losses 54%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
77% Over 1.5 goals 77%
69% Over 2.5 goals 69%
23% Over 3.5 goals 23%
15% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
62% Both teams scored 62%
15% Clean sheets 8%
23% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 31%
38% Draws 23%
31% Losses 46%
77% Over 0.5 goals 85%
38% Over 1.5 goals 15%
15% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Excelsior all matches
NAC Breda all matches
Excelsior before this match, at home
1.00points / match
0.83scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 5:7
NAC Breda before this match, away
0.33points / match
1.17scored / match
2.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 7:14
Excelsior at home away NAC Breda

Per match

0.83 Goals scored 1.17
1.17 Goals conceded 2.33
2.00 Total goals 3.50
12.33 Shots 10.83
4.00 Shots on target 3.33
17.50 Shots faced 14.50
4.33 Corners 4.33
4.83 Corners against 4.00
12.17 Fouls 13.50
1.17 Yellow cards 2.00
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

33% Wins 0%
0% Draws 33%
67% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 83%
0% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
50% Both teams scored 67%
33% Clean sheets 0%
17% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
50% Draws 17%
17% Losses 50%
67% Over 0.5 goals 100%
33% Over 1.5 goals 17%
17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Excelsior at home
NAC Breda away

Last 10 matches before this match

Excelsior all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.11.25 Ajax – Excelsior 1–2 (0–1) 1.385.507.00 1.44 2.70
08.11.25 Excelsior – Heracles 1–2 (1–0) 1.914.103.50 1.65 2.20
01.11.25 Telstar – Excelsior 2–2 (2–1) 2.253.602.90 1.67 2.15
26.10.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Excelsior 2–0 (0–0) 1.804.203.90 1.50 2.50
19.10.25 Excelsior – For Sittard 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.73 2.08
04.10.25 Heerenveen – Excelsior 2–1 (0–1) 1.604.335.00 1.53 2.40
27.09.25 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–1) 9.007.001.25 1.29 3.60
20.09.25 Volendam – Excelsior 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.802.80 1.53 2.40
14.09.25 Excelsior – Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.67 2.15
30.08.25 Excelsior – Twente 1–0 (0–0) 3.804.001.83 1.57 2.35

NAC Breda all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.11.25 NAC Breda – PSV Eindhoven 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.751.33 1.36 3.10
08.11.25 Volendam – NAC Breda 2–1 (0–1) 2.633.802.45 1.65 2.20
01.11.25 NAC Breda – Go Ahead Eagles 1–0 (0–0) 2.353.602.80 1.65 2.20
24.10.25 Heerenveen – NAC Breda 3–3 (1–0) 1.734.104.50 1.60 2.30
18.10.25 NAC Breda – Zwolle 2–2 (2–1) 2.103.603.30 1.73 2.08
03.10.25 NAC Breda – Groningen 1–2 (0–1) 2.603.302.63 1.93 1.88
27.09.25 Ajax – NAC Breda 2–1 (1–1) 1.276.009.50 1.36 3.10
20.09.25 NAC Breda – Heracles 2–1 (0–1) 2.003.603.60 1.75 2.05
13.09.25 Twente – NAC Breda 2–2 (0–1) 1.454.506.50 1.70 2.10
31.08.25 NAC Breda – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 (0–0) 5.004.501.57 1.57 2.35

Excelsior at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.25 Excelsior – Heracles 1–2 (1–0) 1.914.103.50 1.65 2.20
19.10.25 Excelsior – For Sittard 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.73 2.08
27.09.25 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–1) 9.007.001.25 1.29 3.60
14.09.25 Excelsior – Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.67 2.15
30.08.25 Excelsior – Twente 1–0 (0–0) 3.804.001.83 1.57 2.35
16.08.25 Excelsior – Feyenoord 1–2 (1–2) 5.004.501.45 1.44 2.70
12.05.24 Excelsior – Heracles 4–0 (1–0) 1.853.753.80 1.48 2.60
06.05.24 Excelsior – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–0) 3.003.602.30 1.53 2.40
12.04.24 Excelsior – Volendam 4–0 (2–0) 1.754.334.00 1.50 2.50
02.04.24 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–0) 12.008.501.18 1.25 4.00

NAC Breda away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.25 Volendam – NAC Breda 2–1 (0–1) 2.633.802.45 1.65 2.20
24.10.25 Heerenveen – NAC Breda 3–3 (1–0) 1.734.104.50 1.60 2.30
27.09.25 Ajax – NAC Breda 2–1 (1–1) 1.276.009.50 1.36 3.10
13.09.25 Twente – NAC Breda 2–2 (0–1) 1.454.506.50 1.70 2.10
24.08.25 Nijmegen – NAC Breda 3–0 (1–0) 1.554.205.75 1.67 2.15
09.08.25 Feyenoord – NAC Breda 2–0 (1–0) 1.188.5011.00 1.40 2.88
14.05.25 Nijmegen – NAC Breda 3–0 (1–0) 1.803.704.33 1.70 2.10
10.05.25 For Sittard – NAC Breda 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 1.93 1.93
24.04.25 AZ Alkmaar – NAC Breda 1–1 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 1.73 2.08
06.04.25 Ajax – NAC Breda 3–1 (2–1) 1.256.2510.00 1.44 2.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 13 11 1 1 41 17 +24 34
2 Feyenoord 13 9 1 3 33 16 +17 28
3 AZ Alkmaar 13 7 3 3 26 21 +5 24
4 Nijmegen 13 6 3 4 33 22 +11 21
5 Utrecht 13 6 2 5 23 17 +6 20
6 Ajax 13 5 5 3 23 19 +4 20
7 Groningen 13 6 2 5 19 19 0 20
8 Twente 13 4 5 4 21 19 +2 17
9 Heerenveen 14 4 5 5 23 24 -1 17
10 For Sittard 13 5 2 6 19 21 -2 17
11 Sparta Rotterdam 13 5 2 6 15 25 -10 17
12 Go Ahead Eagles 13 4 4 5 21 22 -1 16
13 Zwolle 14 4 4 6 18 30 -12 16
14 Volendam 13 3 5 5 17 21 -4 14
15 Excelsior 13 4 1 8 13 24 -11 13
16 NAC Breda 13 3 3 7 15 22 -7 12
17 Heracles 13 4 0 9 21 35 -14 12
18 Telstar 13 2 4 7 15 22 -7 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Utrecht 7 5 1 1 16 6 +10 16
2 Feyenoord 7 5 0 2 15 10 +5 15
3 PSV Eindhoven 6 4 1 1 19 10 +9 13
4 Nijmegen 6 4 1 1 18 9 +9 13
5 Ajax 7 4 1 2 11 7 +4 13
6 For Sittard 6 4 1 1 10 6 +4 13
7 Volendam 7 3 3 1 12 8 +4 12
8 Heerenveen 7 3 3 1 15 12 +3 12
9 Groningen 7 3 2 2 11 7 +4 11
10 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 2 1 16 13 +3 11
11 Go Ahead Eagles 6 3 2 1 10 7 +3 11
12 NAC Breda 7 3 1 3 8 8 0 10
13 Zwolle 7 3 1 3 6 11 -5 10
14 Heracles 6 3 0 3 17 17 0 9
15 Twente 6 2 2 2 9 10 -1 8
16 Sparta Rotterdam 7 2 2 3 8 15 -7 8
17 Excelsior 6 2 0 4 5 7 -2 6
18 Telstar 7 1 3 3 12 15 -3 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 7 7 0 0 22 7 +15 21
2 Feyenoord 6 4 1 1 18 6 +12 13
3 AZ Alkmaar 7 4 1 2 10 8 +2 13
4 Twente 7 2 3 2 12 9 +3 9
5 Sparta Rotterdam 6 3 0 3 7 10 -3 9
6 Groningen 6 3 0 3 8 12 -4 9
7 Nijmegen 7 2 2 3 15 13 +2 8
8 Ajax 6 1 4 1 12 12 0 7
9 Excelsior 7 2 1 4 8 17 -9 7
10 Zwolle 7 1 3 3 12 19 -7 6
11 Go Ahead Eagles 7 1 2 4 11 15 -4 5
12 Heerenveen 7 1 2 4 8 12 -4 5
13 Utrecht 6 1 1 4 7 11 -4 4
14 Telstar 6 1 1 4 3 7 -4 4
15 For Sittard 7 1 1 5 9 15 -6 4
16 Heracles 7 1 0 6 4 18 -14 3
17 NAC Breda 6 0 2 4 7 14 -7 2
18 Volendam 6 0 2 4 5 13 -8 2

Excelsior   NAC Breda

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Heracles 13 1 12 1.6 2.7 4 0 9 21 35 12
2 1 PSV Eindhoven 13 3 10 3.2 1.3 11 1 1 41 17 34
3 3 AZ Alkmaar 13 3 10 2.0 1.6 7 3 3 26 21 24
4 4 Nijmegen 13 3 10 2.5 1.7 6 3 4 33 22 21
5 9 Heerenveen 14 4 10 1.6 1.7 4 5 5 23 24 17
6 2 Feyenoord 13 4 9 2.5 1.2 9 1 3 33 16 28
7 12 Go Ahead Eagles 13 4 9 1.6 1.7 4 4 5 21 22 16
8 13 Zwolle 14 5 9 1.3 2.1 4 4 6 18 30 16
9 14 Volendam 13 4 9 1.3 1.6 3 5 5 17 21 14
10 15 Excelsior 13 4 9 1.0 1.8 4 1 8 13 24 13
11 16 NAC Breda 13 4 9 1.2 1.7 3 3 7 15 22 12
12 5 Utrecht 13 5 8 1.8 1.3 6 2 5 23 17 20
13 6 Ajax 13 5 8 1.8 1.5 5 5 3 23 19 20
14 7 Groningen 13 6 7 1.5 1.5 6 2 5 19 19 20
15 8 Twente 13 6 7 1.6 1.5 4 5 4 21 19 17
16 10 For Sittard 13 6 7 1.5 1.6 5 2 6 19 21 17
17 11 Sparta Rotterdam 13 6 7 1.2 1.9 5 2 6 15 25 17
18 18 Telstar 13 7 6 1.2 1.7 2 4 7 15 22 10
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 AZ Alkmaar 6 0 6 2.7 2.2 3 2 1 16 13 11
2 9 Heerenveen 7 1 6 2.1 1.7 3 3 1 15 12 12
3 17 Heracles 6 0 6 2.8 2.8 3 0 3 17 17 9
4 1 PSV Eindhoven 6 1 5 3.2 1.7 4 1 1 19 10 13
5 4 Nijmegen 6 1 5 3.0 1.5 4 1 1 18 9 13
6 5 Utrecht 7 2 5 2.3 0.9 5 1 1 16 6 16
7 14 Volendam 7 2 5 1.7 1.1 3 3 1 12 8 12
8 18 Telstar 7 2 5 1.7 2.1 1 3 3 12 15 6
9 2 Feyenoord 7 3 4 2.1 1.4 5 0 2 15 10 15
10 8 Twente 6 2 4 1.5 1.7 2 2 2 9 10 8
11 11 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 4 1.1 2.1 2 2 3 8 15 8
12 12 Go Ahead Eagles 6 2 4 1.7 1.2 3 2 1 10 7 11
13 16 NAC Breda 7 3 4 1.1 1.1 3 1 3 8 8 10
14 6 Ajax 7 4 3 1.6 1.0 4 1 2 11 7 13
15 7 Groningen 7 4 3 1.6 1.0 3 2 2 11 7 11
16 10 For Sittard 6 3 3 1.7 1.0 4 1 1 10 6 13
17 13 Zwolle 7 4 3 0.9 1.6 3 1 3 6 11 10
18 15 Excelsior 6 3 3 0.8 1.2 2 0 4 5 7 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Zwolle 7 1 6 1.7 2.7 1 3 3 12 19 6
2 15 Excelsior 7 1 6 1.1 2.4 2 1 4 8 17 7
3 17 Heracles 7 1 6 0.6 2.6 1 0 6 4 18 3
4 1 PSV Eindhoven 7 2 5 3.1 1.0 7 0 0 22 7 21
5 2 Feyenoord 6 1 5 3.0 1.0 4 1 1 18 6 13
6 4 Nijmegen 7 2 5 2.1 1.9 2 2 3 15 13 8
7 6 Ajax 6 1 5 2.0 2.0 1 4 1 12 12 7
8 12 Go Ahead Eagles 7 2 5 1.6 2.1 1 2 4 11 15 5
9 16 NAC Breda 6 1 5 1.2 2.3 0 2 4 7 14 2
10 3 AZ Alkmaar 7 3 4 1.4 1.1 4 1 2 10 8 13
11 7 Groningen 6 2 4 1.3 2.0 3 0 3 8 12 9
12 9 Heerenveen 7 3 4 1.1 1.7 1 2 4 8 12 5
13 10 For Sittard 7 3 4 1.3 2.1 1 1 5 9 15 4
14 14 Volendam 6 2 4 0.8 2.2 0 2 4 5 13 2
15 5 Utrecht 6 3 3 1.2 1.8 1 1 4 7 11 4
16 8 Twente 7 4 3 1.7 1.3 2 3 2 12 9 9
17 11 Sparta Rotterdam 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 3 0 3 7 10 9
18 18 Telstar 6 5 1 0.5 1.2 1 1 4 3 7 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40