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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Atalanta 1–0 Lecce

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.40 fair 1.90
Draw 4.60 fair 4.18
Away 8.00 fair 4.28
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 2.10
Over 2.5 1.92 fair 1.91

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Atalanta Lecce
17 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 2
5 Corners 6
10 Fouls 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (174 league matches this season so far).
Result Atalanta to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.87
Expected goals 1.71 – 1.06
Home / Draw / Away
AtalantaDrawLecce
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 1–0 10.7% 2–1 9.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Atalanta before this match, all matches
1.53points / match
1.65scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 28:20
Lecce before this match, all matches
1.18points / match
1.12scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 19:23
Atalanta all matches all matches Lecce

Per match

1.65 Goals scored 1.12
1.18 Goals conceded 1.35
2.82 Total goals 2.47
14.00 Shots 12.82
5.12 Shots on target 4.12
10.94 Shots faced 13.65
5.76 Corners 3.59
4.06 Corners against 4.76
13.00 Fouls 13.12
1.82 Yellow cards 2.88
0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.24
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

47% Wins 24%
12% Draws 47%
41% Losses 29%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
82% Over 1.5 goals 82%
59% Over 2.5 goals 41%
24% Over 3.5 goals 24%
24% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
47% Both teams scored 65%
41% Clean sheets 12%
18% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 6%
29% Draws 53%
47% Losses 41%
76% Over 0.5 goals 65%
35% Over 1.5 goals 29%
12% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta all matches
Lecce all matches
Atalanta before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 16:7
Lecce before this match, away
0.63points / match
1.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 8:12
Atalanta at home away Lecce

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.00
0.88 Goals conceded 1.50
2.88 Total goals 2.50
15.63 Shots 9.75
6.38 Shots on target 3.13
10.50 Shots faced 16.50
6.75 Corners 2.63
4.00 Corners against 6.63
11.88 Fouls 14.13
1.75 Yellow cards 3.25
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

63% Wins 0%
13% Draws 63%
25% Losses 38%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 88%
63% Over 2.5 goals 38%
25% Over 3.5 goals 25%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 75%
50% Clean sheets 0%
13% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 0%
38% Draws 75%
38% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 50%
25% Over 1.5 goals 38%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta at home
Lecce away

Last 10 matches before this match

Atalanta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.23 Bologna – Atalanta 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.75 2.10 1.70
18.12.23 Atalanta – Salernitana 4–1 (0–1) 1.305.5010.00 1.57 2.35
09.12.23 Atalanta – Milan 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.203.00 2.05 1.75
04.12.23 Torino – Atalanta 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.202.45 2.20 1.65
25.11.23 Atalanta – Napoli 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.402.63 1.88 2.02
12.11.23 Udinese – Atalanta 1–1 (1–0) 3.753.502.00 1.99 1.91
04.11.23 Atalanta – Inter 1–2 (0–1) 3.303.502.15 1.83 2.07
30.10.23 Empoli – Atalanta 0–3 (0–2) 5.253.751.67 1.75 2.05
22.10.23 Atalanta – Genoa 2–0 (0–0) 1.553.806.50 2.03 1.87
08.10.23 Lazio – Atalanta 3–2 (2–1) 2.703.302.63 2.03 1.87

Lecce all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.23 Inter – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.65 2.20
16.12.23 Lecce – Frosinone 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.303.50 2.08 1.82
11.12.23 Empoli – Lecce 1–1 (0–0) 2.553.203.00 2.08 1.73
03.12.23 Lecce – Bologna 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.202.45 2.20 1.65
27.11.23 Verona – Lecce 2–2 (1–1) 2.753.002.88 2.50 1.50
11.11.23 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (0–2) 5.003.601.75 2.08 1.73
05.11.23 Roma – Lecce 2–1 (0–0) 1.573.806.50 2.10 1.70
28.10.23 Lecce – Torino 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.002.80 2.50 1.50
23.10.23 Udinese – Lecce 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.303.40 2.20 1.65
06.10.23 Lecce – Sassuolo 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.402.70 1.80 2.00

Atalanta at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.12.23 Atalanta – Salernitana 4–1 (0–1) 1.305.5010.00 1.57 2.35
09.12.23 Atalanta – Milan 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.203.00 2.05 1.75
25.11.23 Atalanta – Napoli 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.402.63 1.88 2.02
04.11.23 Atalanta – Inter 1–2 (0–1) 3.303.502.15 1.83 2.07
22.10.23 Atalanta – Genoa 2–0 (0–0) 1.553.806.50 2.03 1.87
01.10.23 Atalanta – Juventus 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 1.93 1.97
24.09.23 Atalanta – Cagliari 2–0 (1–0) 1.405.008.00 1.67 2.20
02.09.23 Atalanta – Monza 3–0 (2–0) 1.624.005.25 1.73 2.10
04.06.23 Atalanta – Monza 5–2 (2–0) 1.574.505.00 1.53 2.50
20.05.23 Atalanta – Verona 3–1 (1–1) 1.534.206.00 1.86 2.04

Lecce away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.23 Inter – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.65 2.20
11.12.23 Empoli – Lecce 1–1 (0–0) 2.553.203.00 2.08 1.73
27.11.23 Verona – Lecce 2–2 (1–1) 2.753.002.88 2.50 1.50
05.11.23 Roma – Lecce 2–1 (0–0) 1.573.806.50 2.10 1.70
23.10.23 Udinese – Lecce 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.303.40 2.20 1.65
26.09.23 Juventus – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.96 1.94
17.09.23 Monza – Lecce 1–1 (1–1) 2.103.403.50 2.10 1.73
27.08.23 Fiorentina – Lecce 2–2 (2–0) 1.574.205.75 2.10 1.73
28.05.23 Monza – Lecce 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.302.90 2.30 1.62
12.05.23 Lazio – Lecce 2–2 (1–1) 1.703.505.50 2.30 1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Atalanta winsDrawsLecce wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.02.23I1 Atalanta – Lecce 1–2 (0–1) 1.504.007.00 1.88 2.02
09.11.22I1 Lecce – Atalanta 2–1 (2–1) 4.753.501.80 2.06 1.84

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 18 14 3 1 42 8 +34 45
2 Juventus 17 12 4 1 26 11 +15 40
3 Milan 17 10 3 4 31 20 +11 33
4 Fiorentina 18 10 3 5 27 18 +9 33
5 Bologna 17 8 7 2 21 12 +9 31
6 Roma 17 8 4 5 30 19 +11 28
7 Napoli 18 8 4 6 28 21 +7 28
8 Lazio 18 8 3 7 21 19 +2 27
9 Atalanta 17 8 2 7 28 20 +8 26
10 Torino 18 6 6 6 15 18 -3 24
11 Monza 18 5 7 6 16 18 -2 22
12 Genoa 18 5 5 8 19 23 -4 20
13 Lecce 17 4 8 5 19 23 -4 20
14 Frosinone 18 5 4 9 23 31 -8 19
15 Sassuolo 17 4 4 9 25 32 -7 16
16 Verona 17 3 5 9 15 23 -8 14
17 Udinese 17 1 11 5 15 28 -13 14
18 Cagliari 17 3 4 10 16 31 -15 13
19 Empoli 17 3 3 11 10 30 -20 12
20 Salernitana 17 1 6 10 14 36 -22 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 9 7 1 1 23 5 +18 22
2 Bologna 9 7 1 1 13 4 +9 22
3 Roma 9 6 2 1 21 7 +14 20
4 Juventus 8 6 2 0 12 4 +8 20
5 Fiorentina 9 6 1 2 15 8 +7 19
6 Milan 8 6 0 2 14 4 +10 18
7 Lazio 9 5 2 2 11 7 +4 17
8 Frosinone 9 5 2 2 15 12 +3 17
9 Atalanta 8 5 1 2 16 7 +9 16
10 Torino 9 4 4 1 9 6 +3 16
11 Lecce 9 4 3 2 11 11 0 15
12 Monza 9 3 4 2 10 6 +4 13
13 Genoa 9 3 4 2 12 11 +1 13
14 Napoli 9 3 2 4 12 13 -1 11
15 Cagliari 8 3 2 3 11 15 -4 11
16 Verona 8 2 3 3 9 11 -2 9
17 Sassuolo 9 2 2 5 12 15 -3 8
18 Salernitana 9 1 4 4 9 18 -9 7
19 Udinese 8 0 6 2 9 14 -5 6
20 Empoli 9 1 2 6 5 14 -9 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 9 7 2 0 19 3 +16 23
2 Juventus 9 6 2 1 14 7 +7 20
3 Napoli 9 5 2 2 16 8 +8 17
4 Milan 9 4 3 2 17 16 +1 15
5 Fiorentina 9 4 2 3 12 10 +2 14
6 Atalanta 9 3 1 5 12 13 -1 10
7 Lazio 9 3 1 5 10 12 -2 10
8 Bologna 8 1 6 1 8 8 0 9
9 Monza 9 2 3 4 6 12 -6 9
10 Roma 8 2 2 4 9 12 -3 8
11 Sassuolo 8 2 2 4 13 17 -4 8
12 Torino 9 2 2 5 6 12 -6 8
13 Udinese 9 1 5 3 6 14 -8 8
14 Genoa 9 2 1 6 7 12 -5 7
15 Empoli 8 2 1 5 5 16 -11 7
16 Lecce 8 0 5 3 8 12 -4 5
17 Verona 9 1 2 6 6 12 -6 5
18 Frosinone 9 0 2 7 8 19 -11 2
19 Cagliari 9 0 2 7 5 16 -11 2
20 Salernitana 8 0 2 6 5 18 -13 2

Atalanta   Lecce

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Frosinone 18 6 12 1.3 1.7 5 4 9 23 31 19
2 7 Napoli 18 7 11 1.6 1.2 8 4 6 28 21 28
3 15 Sassuolo 17 6 11 1.5 1.9 4 4 9 25 32 16
4 20 Salernitana 17 6 11 0.8 2.1 1 6 10 14 36 9
5 3 Milan 17 7 10 1.8 1.2 10 3 4 31 20 33
6 9 Atalanta 17 7 10 1.6 1.2 8 2 7 28 20 26
7 18 Cagliari 17 7 10 0.9 1.8 3 4 10 16 31 13
8 1 Inter 18 9 9 2.3 0.4 14 3 1 42 8 45
9 6 Roma 17 8 9 1.8 1.1 8 4 5 30 19 28
10 4 Fiorentina 18 10 8 1.5 1.0 10 3 5 27 18 33
11 12 Genoa 18 11 7 1.1 1.3 5 5 8 19 23 20
12 13 Lecce 17 10 7 1.1 1.4 4 8 5 19 23 20
13 16 Verona 17 10 7 0.9 1.4 3 5 9 15 23 14
14 17 Udinese 17 10 7 0.9 1.6 1 11 5 15 28 14
15 2 Juventus 17 11 6 1.5 0.6 12 4 1 26 11 40
16 5 Bologna 17 11 6 1.2 0.7 8 7 2 21 12 31
17 8 Lazio 18 12 6 1.2 1.1 8 3 7 21 19 27
18 10 Torino 18 13 5 0.8 1.0 6 6 6 15 18 24
19 11 Monza 18 13 5 0.9 1.0 5 7 6 16 18 22
20 19 Empoli 17 12 5 0.6 1.8 3 3 11 10 30 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Frosinone 9 2 7 1.7 1.3 5 2 2 15 12 17
2 7 Napoli 9 3 6 1.3 1.4 3 2 4 12 13 11
3 20 Salernitana 9 3 6 1.0 2.0 1 4 4 9 18 7
4 1 Inter 9 4 5 2.6 0.6 7 1 1 23 5 22
5 4 Fiorentina 9 4 5 1.7 0.9 6 1 2 15 8 19
6 6 Roma 9 4 5 2.3 0.8 6 2 1 21 7 20
7 9 Atalanta 8 3 5 2.0 0.9 5 1 2 16 7 16
8 15 Sassuolo 9 4 5 1.3 1.7 2 2 5 12 15 8
9 18 Cagliari 8 3 5 1.4 1.9 3 2 3 11 15 11
10 13 Lecce 9 5 4 1.2 1.2 4 3 2 11 11 15
11 16 Verona 8 4 4 1.1 1.4 2 3 3 9 11 9
12 17 Udinese 8 4 4 1.1 1.8 0 6 2 9 14 6
13 3 Milan 8 5 3 1.8 0.5 6 0 2 14 4 18
14 5 Bologna 9 6 3 1.4 0.4 7 1 1 13 4 22
15 10 Torino 9 6 3 1.0 0.7 4 4 1 9 6 16
16 12 Genoa 9 6 3 1.3 1.2 3 4 2 12 11 13
17 2 Juventus 8 6 2 1.5 0.5 6 2 0 12 4 20
18 8 Lazio 9 7 2 1.2 0.8 5 2 2 11 7 17
19 11 Monza 9 7 2 1.1 0.7 3 4 2 10 6 13
20 19 Empoli 9 7 2 0.6 1.6 1 2 6 5 14 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Milan 9 2 7 1.9 1.8 4 3 2 17 16 15
2 15 Sassuolo 8 2 6 1.6 2.1 2 2 4 13 17 8
3 7 Napoli 9 4 5 1.8 0.9 5 2 2 16 8 17
4 9 Atalanta 9 4 5 1.3 1.4 3 1 5 12 13 10
5 14 Frosinone 9 4 5 0.9 2.1 0 2 7 8 19 2
6 18 Cagliari 9 4 5 0.6 1.8 0 2 7 5 16 2
7 20 Salernitana 8 3 5 0.6 2.2 0 2 6 5 18 2
8 1 Inter 9 5 4 2.1 0.3 7 2 0 19 3 23
9 2 Juventus 9 5 4 1.6 0.8 6 2 1 14 7 20
10 6 Roma 8 4 4 1.1 1.5 2 2 4 9 12 8
11 8 Lazio 9 5 4 1.1 1.3 3 1 5 10 12 10
12 12 Genoa 9 5 4 0.8 1.3 2 1 6 7 12 7
13 4 Fiorentina 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 4 2 3 12 10 14
14 5 Bologna 8 5 3 1.0 1.0 1 6 1 8 8 9
15 11 Monza 9 6 3 0.7 1.3 2 3 4 6 12 9
16 13 Lecce 8 5 3 1.0 1.5 0 5 3 8 12 5
17 16 Verona 9 6 3 0.7 1.3 1 2 6 6 12 5
18 17 Udinese 9 6 3 0.7 1.6 1 5 3 6 14 8
19 19 Empoli 8 5 3 0.6 2.0 2 1 5 5 16 7
20 10 Torino 9 7 2 0.7 1.3 2 2 5 6 12 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51