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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Mainz 1–1 Hoffenheim

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.60 fair 3.09
Draw ✓ 3.60 fair 4.42
Away 2.70 fair 2.22
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.84
Over 2.5 1.67 fair 1.54

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Mainz Hoffenheim
17 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 5
7 Corners 4
13 Fouls 13
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (90 league matches this season so far).
Result Hoffenheim to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.53
Expected goals 1.52 – 1.82
Home / Draw / Away
MainzDrawHoffenheim
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.8% 1–2 8.9% 2–1 7.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Mainz before this match, all matches
0.50points / match
1.00scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 10:18
Hoffenheim before this match, all matches
1.90points / match
2.10scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 21:16
Mainz all matches all matches Hoffenheim

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.10
1.80 Goals conceded 1.60
2.80 Total goals 3.70
11.80 Shots 12.80
2.80 Shots on target 5.00
14.30 Shots faced 12.10
5.00 Corners 5.50
3.70 Corners against 5.80
13.30 Fouls 15.10
2.60 Yellow cards 2.10
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.90
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

10% Wins 60%
20% Draws 10%
70% Losses 30%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
70% Over 1.5 goals 90%
40% Over 2.5 goals 80%
30% Over 3.5 goals 60%
20% Over 4.5 goals 30%
10% Over 5.5 goals 10%
50% Both teams scored 80%
0% Clean sheets 10%
50% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 30%
30% Draws 40%
50% Losses 30%
80% Over 0.5 goals 90%
50% Over 1.5 goals 70%
10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz all matches
Hoffenheim all matches
Mainz before this match, at home
0.20points / match
0.80scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 4:9
Hoffenheim before this match, away
2.60points / match
2.60scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 13:6
Mainz at home away Hoffenheim

Per match

0.80 Goals scored 2.60
1.80 Goals conceded 1.20
2.60 Total goals 3.80
12.40 Shots 11.60
3.00 Shots on target 5.20
13.20 Shots faced 11.00
4.40 Corners 4.60
3.20 Corners against 6.40
14.00 Fouls 15.60
1.60 Yellow cards 2.20
0.40 1st-half goals scored 1.00
1.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

0% Wins 80%
20% Draws 20%
80% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 100%
20% Over 2.5 goals 80%
20% Over 3.5 goals 40%
20% Over 4.5 goals 40%
20% Over 5.5 goals 20%
40% Both teams scored 80%
0% Clean sheets 20%
60% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 20%
20% Draws 80%
60% Losses 0%
80% Over 0.5 goals 80%
40% Over 1.5 goals 80%
20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz at home
Hoffenheim away

Last 10 matches before this match

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.25 Ein Frankfurt – Mainz 1–0 (0–0) 1.834.003.90 1.57 2.38
01.11.25 Mainz – Werder Bremen 1–1 (1–0) 1.953.903.50 1.57 2.38
26.10.25 Stuttgart – Mainz 2–1 (1–1) 1.754.004.33 1.57 2.38
18.10.25 Mainz – Leverkusen 3–4 (1–3) 2.803.402.45 1.80 2.00
05.10.25 Hamburg – Mainz 4–0 (2–0) 2.803.502.40 1.73 2.10
27.09.25 Mainz – Dortmund 0–2 (0–2) 3.203.702.10 1.62 2.30
20.09.25 Augsburg – Mainz 1–4 (0–2) 2.703.402.60 1.93 1.93
13.09.25 Mainz – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.602.63 1.67 2.20
31.08.25 Wolfsburg – Mainz 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.50 1.73 2.10
24.08.25 Mainz – FC Koln 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.704.00 1.83 2.03

Hoffenheim all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.25 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 3–1 (2–1) 2.603.902.40 1.40 3.00
02.11.25 Wolfsburg – Hoffenheim 2–3 (1–1) 2.753.902.30 1.57 2.38
25.10.25 Hoffenheim – Heidenheim 3–1 (2–0) 1.574.505.25 1.50 2.63
19.10.25 St Pauli – Hoffenheim 0–3 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 1.80 2.00
03.10.25 Hoffenheim – FC Koln 0–1 (0–1) 1.913.703.75 1.57 2.38
28.09.25 Freiburg – Hoffenheim 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.403.10 1.62 2.30
20.09.25 Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich 1–4 (0–1) 7.006.001.33 1.29 3.75
13.09.25 Union Berlin – Hoffenheim 2–4 (0–2) 2.603.402.70 1.88 1.98
30.08.25 Hoffenheim – Ein Frankfurt 1–3 (0–2) 2.883.752.25 1.50 2.63
23.08.25 Leverkusen – Hoffenheim 1–2 (1–1) 1.534.755.25 1.50 2.63

Mainz at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Mainz – Werder Bremen 1–1 (1–0) 1.953.903.50 1.57 2.38
18.10.25 Mainz – Leverkusen 3–4 (1–3) 2.803.402.45 1.80 2.00
27.09.25 Mainz – Dortmund 0–2 (0–2) 3.203.702.10 1.62 2.30
13.09.25 Mainz – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.602.63 1.67 2.20
24.08.25 Mainz – FC Koln 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.704.00 1.83 2.03
17.05.25 Mainz – Leverkusen 2–2 (1–0) 2.153.903.00 1.44 2.75
04.05.25 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 1–1 (0–1) 2.353.502.90 1.62 2.30
19.04.25 Mainz – Wolfsburg 2–2 (2–1) 2.003.603.60 1.80 2.00
05.04.25 Mainz – Holstein Kiel 1–1 (0–1) 1.454.507.00 1.67 2.20
15.03.25 Mainz – Freiburg 2–2 (1–0) 1.953.304.10 2.10 1.73

Hoffenheim away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.25 Wolfsburg – Hoffenheim 2–3 (1–1) 2.753.902.30 1.57 2.38
19.10.25 St Pauli – Hoffenheim 0–3 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 1.80 2.00
28.09.25 Freiburg – Hoffenheim 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.403.10 1.62 2.30
13.09.25 Union Berlin – Hoffenheim 2–4 (0–2) 2.603.402.70 1.88 1.98
23.08.25 Leverkusen – Hoffenheim 1–2 (1–1) 1.534.755.25 1.50 2.63
09.05.25 Wolfsburg – Hoffenheim 2–2 (1–1) 2.203.602.90 1.50 2.63
03.05.25 M'gladbach – Hoffenheim 4–4 (2–1) 2.104.003.00 1.41 2.70
19.04.25 Freiburg – Hoffenheim 3–2 (2–2) 1.913.703.75 1.73 2.10
05.04.25 RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim 3–1 (2–1) 1.554.205.50 1.53 2.50
14.03.25 St Pauli – Hoffenheim 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.30 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Mainz winsDrawsHoffenheim wins
8matches
2.62goals / match
25%over 2.5
38%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.25D1 Hoffenheim – Mainz 2–0 (2–0) 2.703.502.55 1.73 2.10
01.12.24D1 Mainz – Hoffenheim 2–0 (2–0) 2.103.403.50 1.67 2.20
13.04.24D1 Mainz – Hoffenheim 4–1 (0–1) 1.954.003.40 1.57 2.38
26.11.23D1 Hoffenheim – Mainz 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.803.80 1.57 2.38
04.03.23D1 Mainz – Hoffenheim 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10
10.09.22D1 Hoffenheim – Mainz 4–1 (0–0) 2.253.752.90 1.66 2.20
05.02.22D1 Mainz – Hoffenheim 2–0 (0–0) 2.603.402.70 1.72 2.10
11.09.21D1 Hoffenheim – Mainz 0–2 (0–1) 2.003.753.50 1.57 2.37

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 10 9 1 0 35 6 +29 28
2 RB Leipzig 10 7 1 2 20 13 +7 22
3 Dortmund 10 6 3 1 16 7 +9 21
4 Stuttgart 10 7 0 3 17 12 +5 21
5 Leverkusen 10 6 2 2 24 14 +10 20
6 Hoffenheim 10 6 1 3 21 16 +5 19
7 Ein Frankfurt 10 5 2 3 23 19 +4 17
8 Werder Bremen 10 4 3 3 15 18 -3 15
9 FC Koln 10 4 2 4 17 15 +2 14
10 Freiburg 10 3 4 3 13 14 -1 13
11 Union Berlin 10 3 3 4 13 17 -4 12
12 M'gladbach 10 2 3 5 13 19 -6 9
13 Hamburg 10 2 3 5 9 16 -7 9
14 Wolfsburg 10 2 2 6 12 18 -6 8
15 Augsburg 10 2 1 7 14 24 -10 7
16 St Pauli 10 2 1 7 9 20 -11 7
17 Mainz 10 1 2 7 10 18 -8 5
18 Heidenheim 10 1 2 7 8 23 -15 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 5 5 0 0 20 1 +19 15
2 Stuttgart 5 5 0 0 9 3 +6 15
3 Leverkusen 6 4 1 1 15 4 +11 13
4 RB Leipzig 4 4 0 0 10 3 +7 12
5 Dortmund 4 3 1 0 6 1 +5 10
6 Werder Bremen 5 3 1 1 7 7 0 10
7 Ein Frankfurt 5 3 0 2 10 8 +2 9
8 Union Berlin 6 2 3 1 9 8 +1 9
9 Freiburg 5 2 2 1 9 8 +1 8
10 FC Koln 4 2 1 1 10 5 +5 7
11 Hamburg 5 2 1 2 7 5 +2 7
12 Hoffenheim 5 2 0 3 8 10 -2 6
13 Heidenheim 5 1 2 2 6 9 -3 5
14 M'gladbach 6 1 2 3 7 14 -7 5
15 St Pauli 5 1 1 3 6 13 -7 4
16 Augsburg 5 1 0 4 6 15 -9 3
17 Wolfsburg 5 0 2 3 6 11 -5 2
18 Mainz 5 0 1 4 4 9 -5 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 5 4 1 0 15 5 +10 13
2 Hoffenheim 5 4 1 0 13 6 +7 13
3 Dortmund 6 3 2 1 10 6 +4 11
4 RB Leipzig 6 3 1 2 10 10 0 10
5 Ein Frankfurt 5 2 2 1 13 11 +2 8
6 Leverkusen 4 2 1 1 9 10 -1 7
7 FC Koln 6 2 1 3 7 10 -3 7
8 Stuttgart 5 2 0 3 8 9 -1 6
9 Wolfsburg 5 2 0 3 6 7 -1 6
10 Freiburg 5 1 2 2 4 6 -2 5
11 Werder Bremen 5 1 2 2 8 11 -3 5
12 M'gladbach 4 1 1 2 6 5 +1 4
13 Augsburg 5 1 1 3 8 9 -1 4
14 Mainz 5 1 1 3 6 9 -3 4
15 St Pauli 5 1 0 4 3 7 -4 3
16 Union Berlin 4 1 0 3 4 9 -5 3
17 Hamburg 5 0 2 3 2 11 -9 2
18 Heidenheim 5 0 0 5 2 14 -12 0

Mainz   Hoffenheim

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 10 0 10 3.5 0.6 9 1 0 35 6 28
2 6 Hoffenheim 10 2 8 2.1 1.6 6 1 3 21 16 19
3 15 Augsburg 10 2 8 1.4 2.4 2 1 7 14 24 7
4 4 Stuttgart 10 3 7 1.7 1.2 7 0 3 17 12 21
5 5 Leverkusen 10 3 7 2.4 1.4 6 2 2 24 14 20
6 7 Ein Frankfurt 10 3 7 2.3 1.9 5 2 3 23 19 17
7 8 Werder Bremen 10 3 7 1.5 1.8 4 3 3 15 18 15
8 2 RB Leipzig 10 4 6 2.0 1.3 7 1 2 20 13 22
9 9 FC Koln 10 4 6 1.7 1.5 4 2 4 17 15 14
10 10 Freiburg 10 4 6 1.3 1.4 3 4 3 13 14 13
11 11 Union Berlin 10 4 6 1.3 1.7 3 3 4 13 17 12
12 12 M'gladbach 10 4 6 1.3 1.9 2 3 5 13 19 9
13 14 Wolfsburg 10 4 6 1.2 1.8 2 2 6 12 18 8
14 16 St Pauli 10 4 6 0.9 2.0 2 1 7 9 20 7
15 18 Heidenheim 10 4 6 0.8 2.3 1 2 7 8 23 5
16 13 Hamburg 10 5 5 0.9 1.6 2 3 5 9 16 9
17 17 Mainz 10 6 4 1.0 1.8 1 2 7 10 18 5
18 3 Dortmund 10 7 3 1.6 0.7 6 3 1 16 7 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 5 0 5 4.0 0.2 5 0 0 20 1 15
2 16 St Pauli 5 0 5 1.2 2.6 1 1 3 6 13 4
3 6 Hoffenheim 5 1 4 1.6 2.0 2 0 3 8 10 6
4 10 Freiburg 5 1 4 1.8 1.6 2 2 1 9 8 8
5 11 Union Berlin 6 2 4 1.5 1.3 2 3 1 9 8 9
6 12 M'gladbach 6 2 4 1.2 2.3 1 2 3 7 14 5
7 15 Augsburg 5 1 4 1.2 3.0 1 0 4 6 15 3
8 2 RB Leipzig 4 1 3 2.5 0.8 4 0 0 10 3 12
9 5 Leverkusen 6 3 3 2.5 0.7 4 1 1 15 4 13
10 7 Ein Frankfurt 5 2 3 2.0 1.6 3 0 2 10 8 9
11 8 Werder Bremen 5 2 3 1.4 1.4 3 1 1 7 7 10
12 9 FC Koln 4 1 3 2.5 1.2 2 1 1 10 5 7
13 14 Wolfsburg 5 2 3 1.2 2.2 0 2 3 6 11 2
14 18 Heidenheim 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 1 2 2 6 9 5
15 4 Stuttgart 5 3 2 1.8 0.6 5 0 0 9 3 15
16 13 Hamburg 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 2 1 2 7 5 7
17 3 Dortmund 4 3 1 1.5 0.2 3 1 0 6 1 10
18 17 Mainz 5 4 1 0.8 1.8 0 1 4 4 9 1
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 5 0 5 3.0 1.0 4 1 0 15 5 13
2 4 Stuttgart 5 0 5 1.6 1.8 2 0 3 8 9 6
3 5 Leverkusen 4 0 4 2.2 2.5 2 1 1 9 10 7
4 6 Hoffenheim 5 1 4 2.6 1.2 4 1 0 13 6 13
5 7 Ein Frankfurt 5 1 4 2.6 2.2 2 2 1 13 11 8
6 8 Werder Bremen 5 1 4 1.6 2.2 1 2 2 8 11 5
7 15 Augsburg 5 1 4 1.6 1.8 1 1 3 8 9 4
8 2 RB Leipzig 6 3 3 1.7 1.7 3 1 2 10 10 10
9 9 FC Koln 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 2 1 3 7 10 7
10 13 Hamburg 5 2 3 0.4 2.2 0 2 3 2 11 2
11 14 Wolfsburg 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 2 0 3 6 7 6
12 17 Mainz 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 1 1 3 6 9 4
13 18 Heidenheim 5 2 3 0.4 2.8 0 0 5 2 14 0
14 3 Dortmund 6 4 2 1.7 1.0 3 2 1 10 6 11
15 10 Freiburg 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 1 2 2 4 6 5
16 11 Union Berlin 4 2 2 1.0 2.2 1 0 3 4 9 3
17 12 M'gladbach 4 2 2 1.5 1.2 1 1 2 6 5 4
18 16 St Pauli 5 4 1 0.6 1.4 1 0 4 3 7 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51