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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Hamburg 4–0 Mainz

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.80 fair 2.78
Draw 3.50 fair 4.16
Away 2.40 fair 2.50
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.42
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.70

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Hamburg Mainz
15 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 4
1 Corners 4
14 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (52 league matches this season so far).
Result Mainz to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 1.48 – 1.57
Home / Draw / Away
HamburgDrawMainz
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11% 1–2 8.6% 2–1 8.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Hamburg before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.40scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 2:8
Mainz before this match, all matches
0.80points / match
1.00scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 5:6
Hamburg all matches all matches Mainz

Per match

0.40 Goals scored 1.00
1.60 Goals conceded 1.20
2.00 Total goals 2.20
11.80 Shots 13.80
4.20 Shots on target 2.60
17.40 Shots faced 14.00
3.00 Corners 6.80
6.80 Corners against 4.40
13.80 Fouls 11.00
2.60 Yellow cards 2.00
0.20 1st-half goals scored 0.40
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

20% Wins 20%
40% Draws 20%
40% Losses 60%
60% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 60%
40% Over 2.5 goals 20%
20% Over 3.5 goals 20%
20% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
20% Both teams scored 40%
40% Clean sheets 0%
80% Failed to score 60%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 20%
40% Draws 20%
40% Losses 60%
60% Over 0.5 goals 80%
20% Over 1.5 goals 40%
20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hamburg all matches
Mainz all matches
Hamburg before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:3
Mainz before this match, away
2.00points / match
2.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 5:2
Hamburg at home away Mainz

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.50
1.50 Goals conceded 1.00
2.50 Total goals 3.50
13.50 Shots 14.50
5.50 Shots on target 3.50
18.50 Shots faced 14.50
1.50 Corners 8.00
8.50 Corners against 4.50
14.00 Fouls 12.00
4.00 Yellow cards 3.50
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
0% Draws 50%
50% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
0% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
50% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 50%
0% Draws 0%
50% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hamburg at home
Mainz away

Last 10 matches before this match

Hamburg all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.25 Union Berlin – Hamburg 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 1.80 2.00
20.09.25 Hamburg – Heidenheim 2–1 (1–0) 2.053.603.50 1.80 2.00
13.09.25 Bayern Munich – Hamburg 5–0 (4–0) 1.0612.0026.00 1.22 4.33
29.08.25 Hamburg – St Pauli 0–2 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.80
24.08.25 M'gladbach – Hamburg 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.903.90 1.53 2.50
18.05.25D2 Greuther Furth – Hamburg 3–2 (1–0) 2.803.802.20 1.40 2.88
10.05.25D2 Hamburg – Ulm 6–1 (3–1) 1.405.006.50 1.48 2.60
03.05.25D2 Darmstadt – Hamburg 0–4 (0–1) 2.873.602.25 1.44 2.70
27.04.25D2 Hamburg – Karlsruhe 1–2 (1–2) 1.504.755.25 1.40 2.88
19.04.25D2 Schalke 04 – Hamburg 2–2 (1–2) 3.403.702.00 1.53 2.40

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.09.25 Mainz – Dortmund 0–2 (0–2) 3.203.702.10 1.62 2.30
20.09.25 Augsburg – Mainz 1–4 (0–2) 2.703.402.60 1.93 1.93
13.09.25 Mainz – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.602.63 1.67 2.20
31.08.25 Wolfsburg – Mainz 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.50 1.73 2.10
24.08.25 Mainz – FC Koln 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.704.00 1.83 2.03
17.05.25 Mainz – Leverkusen 2–2 (1–0) 2.153.903.00 1.44 2.75
10.05.25 Bochum – Mainz 1–4 (0–1) 2.903.602.30 1.67 2.20
04.05.25 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 1–1 (0–1) 2.353.502.90 1.62 2.30
26.04.25 Bayern Munich – Mainz 3–0 (2–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.33 3.40
19.04.25 Mainz – Wolfsburg 2–2 (2–1) 2.003.603.60 1.80 2.00

Hamburg at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.25 Hamburg – Heidenheim 2–1 (1–0) 2.053.603.50 1.80 2.00
29.08.25 Hamburg – St Pauli 0–2 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.80
10.05.25D2 Hamburg – Ulm 6–1 (3–1) 1.405.006.50 1.48 2.60
27.04.25D2 Hamburg – Karlsruhe 1–2 (1–2) 1.504.755.25 1.40 2.88
11.04.25D2 Hamburg – Braunschweig 2–4 (0–2) 1.404.757.00 1.40 2.88
28.03.25D2 Hamburg – Elversberg 0–0 (0–0) 1.734.004.20 1.57 2.35
08.03.25D2 Hamburg – Fortuna Dusseldorf 4–1 (2–1) 1.734.004.20 1.53 2.40
21.02.25D2 Hamburg – Kaiserslautern 3–0 (1–0) 1.583.905.25 1.50 2.50
02.02.25D2 Hamburg – Hannover 2–2 (1–0) 1.913.703.75 1.67 2.15
18.01.25D2 Hamburg – FC Koln 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.752.45 1.57 2.35

Mainz away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.25 Augsburg – Mainz 1–4 (0–2) 2.703.402.60 1.93 1.93
31.08.25 Wolfsburg – Mainz 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.50 1.73 2.10
10.05.25 Bochum – Mainz 1–4 (0–1) 2.903.602.30 1.67 2.20
26.04.25 Bayern Munich – Mainz 3–0 (2–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.33 3.40
12.04.25 Hoffenheim – Mainz 2–0 (2–0) 2.703.502.55 1.73 2.10
30.03.25 Dortmund – Mainz 3–1 (2–0) 1.623.905.00 1.67 2.20
07.03.25 M'gladbach – Mainz 1–3 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 1.76 1.96
01.03.25 RB Leipzig – Mainz 1–2 (1–0) 1.953.703.75 1.76 1.96
16.02.25 Heidenheim – Mainz 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 1.92 1.98
31.01.25 Werder Bremen – Mainz 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.20 1.89 2.01

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Bayern Munich 6 6 0 0 25 3 +22 18 WWWWWW
2 Dortmund 6 4 2 0 12 4 +8 14 DWWWWD
3 RB Leipzig 6 4 1 1 8 8 0 13 LWWWWD
4 Stuttgart 6 4 0 2 8 6 +2 12 LWLWWW
5 Leverkusen 6 3 2 1 12 8 +4 11 LDWDWW
6 FC Koln 6 3 1 2 11 9 +2 10 WWDLLW
7 Ein Frankfurt 6 3 0 3 17 16 +1 9 WWLLWL
8 Freiburg 5 2 1 2 9 9 0 7 LLWWD
9 St Pauli 6 2 1 3 8 9 -1 7 DWWLLL
10 Hoffenheim 6 2 1 3 9 12 -3 7 WLWLDL
11 Werder Bremen 6 2 1 3 9 14 -5 7 LDWLLW
12 Union Berlin 6 2 1 3 8 13 -5 7 WLLWDL
13 Augsburg 6 2 0 4 11 13 -2 6 WLLLLW
14 Wolfsburg 6 1 2 3 8 10 -2 5 WDDLLL
15 Hamburg 5 1 2 2 2 8 -6 5 DLLWD
16 Mainz 5 1 1 3 5 6 -1 4 LDLWL
17 Heidenheim 6 1 0 5 4 11 -7 3 LLLLWL
18 M'gladbach 5 0 2 3 5 12 -7 2 DLLDL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Bayern Munich 3 3 0 0 15 0 +15 9 WWW
2 Stuttgart 3 3 0 0 4 0 +4 9 WWW
3 Dortmund 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7 WWD
4 Leverkusen 4 2 1 1 7 4 +3 7 LWDW
5 RB Leipzig 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6 WW
6 St Pauli 3 1 1 1 6 6 0 4 DWL
7 Freiburg 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4 LWD
8 Union Berlin 3 1 1 1 4 5 -1 4 WLD
9 Werder Bremen 3 1 1 1 4 6 -2 4 DLW
10 FC Koln 2 1 0 1 5 3 +2 3 WL
11 Ein Frankfurt 3 1 0 2 7 8 -1 3 WLL
12 Hamburg 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3 LW
13 Augsburg 3 1 0 2 6 8 -2 3 LLW
14 Heidenheim 3 1 0 2 3 6 -3 3 LLW
15 Wolfsburg 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2 DDL
16 M'gladbach 3 0 1 2 4 10 -6 1 DLL
17 Mainz 3 0 0 3 0 4 -4 0 LLL
18 Hoffenheim 3 0 0 3 2 8 -6 0 LLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Bayern Munich 3 3 0 0 10 3 +7 9 WWW
2 Dortmund 3 2 1 0 7 3 +4 7 DWW
3 Hoffenheim 3 2 1 0 7 4 +3 7 WWD
4 FC Koln 4 2 1 1 6 6 0 7 WDLW
5 RB Leipzig 4 2 1 1 3 7 -4 7 LWWD
6 Ein Frankfurt 3 2 0 1 10 8 +2 6 WLW
7 Mainz 2 1 1 0 5 2 +3 4 DW
8 Leverkusen 2 1 1 0 5 4 +1 4 DW
9 Augsburg 3 1 0 2 5 5 0 3 WLL
10 Freiburg 2 1 0 1 4 4 0 3 LW
11 Wolfsburg 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3 WLL
12 St Pauli 3 1 0 2 2 3 -1 3 WLL
13 Stuttgart 3 1 0 2 4 6 -2 3 LLW
14 Werder Bremen 3 1 0 2 5 8 -3 3 LWL
15 Union Berlin 3 1 0 2 4 8 -4 3 LWL
16 Hamburg 3 0 2 1 0 5 -5 2 DLD
17 M'gladbach 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1 LD
18 Heidenheim 3 0 0 3 1 5 -4 0 LLL

Hamburg   Mainz

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Bayern Munich 6 0 6 4.2 0.5 6 0 0 25 3 18 OOOOOO
2 7 Ein Frankfurt 6 0 6 2.8 2.7 3 0 3 17 16 9 OOOOOO
3 13 Augsburg 6 0 6 1.8 2.2 2 0 4 11 13 6 OOOOOO
4 11 Werder Bremen 6 1 5 1.5 2.3 2 1 3 9 14 7 OOOOOU
5 5 Leverkusen 6 2 4 2.0 1.3 3 2 1 12 8 11 OOOUOU
6 6 FC Koln 6 2 4 1.8 1.5 3 1 2 11 9 10 UOOOOU
7 8 Freiburg 5 1 4 1.8 1.8 2 1 2 9 9 7 OOOOU
8 10 Hoffenheim 6 2 4 1.5 2.0 2 1 3 9 12 7 OOOOUU
9 12 Union Berlin 6 2 4 1.3 2.2 2 1 3 8 13 7 OOOOUU
10 4 Stuttgart 6 3 3 1.3 1.0 4 0 2 8 6 12 OUOUOU
11 9 St Pauli 6 3 3 1.3 1.5 2 1 3 8 9 7 OUOUOU
12 14 Wolfsburg 6 3 3 1.3 1.7 1 2 3 8 10 5 OUOUUO
13 17 Heidenheim 6 3 3 0.7 1.8 1 0 5 4 11 3 OUUOOU
14 2 Dortmund 6 4 2 2.0 0.7 4 2 0 12 4 14 OOUUUU
15 3 RB Leipzig 6 4 2 1.3 1.3 4 1 1 8 8 13 OUUOUU
16 15 Hamburg 5 3 2 0.4 1.6 1 2 2 2 8 5 UUOOU
17 18 M'gladbach 5 3 2 1.0 2.4 0 2 3 5 12 2 UUOUO
18 16 Mainz 5 4 1 1.0 1.2 1 1 3 5 6 4 UUUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Bayern Munich 3 0 3 5.0 0.0 3 0 0 15 0 9 OOO
2 7 Ein Frankfurt 3 0 3 2.3 2.7 1 0 2 7 8 3 OOO
3 9 St Pauli 3 0 3 2.0 2.0 1 1 1 6 6 4 OOO
4 13 Augsburg 3 0 3 2.0 2.7 1 0 2 6 8 3 OOO
5 5 Leverkusen 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 2 1 1 7 4 7 OOUU
6 6 FC Koln 2 0 2 2.5 1.5 1 0 1 5 3 3 OO
7 8 Freiburg 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4 OOU
8 10 Hoffenheim 3 1 2 0.7 2.7 0 0 3 2 8 0 OOU
9 11 Werder Bremen 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 1 1 1 4 6 4 OOU
10 12 Union Berlin 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 1 1 4 5 4 OOU
11 17 Heidenheim 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 1 0 2 3 6 3 OUO
12 18 M'gladbach 3 1 2 1.3 3.3 0 1 2 4 10 1 UOO
13 2 Dortmund 3 2 1 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7 OUU
14 3 RB Leipzig 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6 UO
15 14 Wolfsburg 3 2 1 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2 UOU
16 15 Hamburg 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3 UO
17 4 Stuttgart 3 3 0 1.3 0.0 3 0 0 4 0 9 UUU
18 16 Mainz 3 3 0 0.0 1.3 0 0 3 0 4 0 UUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Bayern Munich 3 0 3 3.3 1.0 3 0 0 10 3 9 OOO
2 4 Stuttgart 3 0 3 1.3 2.0 1 0 2 4 6 3 OOO
3 7 Ein Frankfurt 3 0 3 3.3 2.7 2 0 1 10 8 6 OOO
4 11 Werder Bremen 3 0 3 1.7 2.7 1 0 2 5 8 3 OOO
5 13 Augsburg 3 0 3 1.7 1.7 1 0 2 5 5 3 OOO
6 5 Leverkusen 2 0 2 2.5 2.0 1 1 0 5 4 4 OO
7 6 FC Koln 4 2 2 1.5 1.5 2 1 1 6 6 7 UOOU
8 8 Freiburg 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 1 0 1 4 4 3 OO
9 10 Hoffenheim 3 1 2 2.3 1.3 2 1 0 7 4 7 OOU
10 12 Union Berlin 3 1 2 1.3 2.7 1 0 2 4 8 3 OOU
11 14 Wolfsburg 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3 OUO
12 2 Dortmund 3 2 1 2.3 1.0 2 1 0 7 3 7 OUU
13 3 RB Leipzig 4 3 1 0.8 1.8 2 1 1 3 7 7 OUUU
14 15 Hamburg 3 2 1 0.0 1.7 0 2 1 0 5 2 UOU
15 16 Mainz 2 1 1 2.5 1.0 1 1 0 5 2 4 UO
16 17 Heidenheim 3 2 1 0.3 1.7 0 0 3 1 5 0 UOU
17 9 St Pauli 3 3 0 0.7 1.0 1 0 2 2 3 3 UUU
18 18 M'gladbach 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1 UU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47