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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Mainz 2–2 Freiburg

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.95 fair 1.92
Draw ✓ 3.30 fair 4.18
Away 4.10 fair 4.14
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 2.13
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 1.88

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Mainz Freiburg
9 Shots 24
4 Shots on target 8
1 Corners 4
7 Fouls 7
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (226 league matches this season so far).
Result Mainz to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.71 – 1.09
Home / Draw / Away
MainzDrawFreiburg
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 1–0 10.4% 2–1 9.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Mainz before this match, all matches
1.76points / match
1.68scored / match
1.04conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 42:26
Freiburg before this match, all matches
1.64points / match
1.36scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 34:36
Mainz all matches all matches Freiburg

Per match

1.68 Goals scored 1.36
1.04 Goals conceded 1.44
2.72 Total goals 2.80
11.48 Shots 11.52
4.48 Shots on target 4.24
13.76 Shots faced 13.04
4.64 Corners 3.96
5.44 Corners against 4.64
12.28 Fouls 8.92
2.40 Yellow cards 1.64
0.88 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

52% Wins 48%
20% Draws 20%
28% Losses 32%
92% Over 0.5 goals 84%
84% Over 1.5 goals 68%
48% Over 2.5 goals 60%
24% Over 3.5 goals 44%
12% Over 4.5 goals 20%
8% Over 5.5 goals 4%
48% Both teams scored 44%
36% Clean sheets 40%
24% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

48% Wins 32%
28% Draws 40%
24% Losses 28%
76% Over 0.5 goals 68%
44% Over 1.5 goals 32%
20% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz all matches
Freiburg all matches
Mainz before this match, at home
1.75points / match
1.33scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 16:10
Freiburg before this match, away
1.15points / match
0.77scored / match
1.77conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 10:23
Mainz at home away Freiburg

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 0.77
0.83 Goals conceded 1.77
2.17 Total goals 2.54
12.58 Shots 9.77
4.83 Shots on target 3.62
10.58 Shots faced 14.00
6.00 Corners 3.23
3.92 Corners against 4.92
12.42 Fouls 8.69
2.42 Yellow cards 1.31
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.23
0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

50% Wins 31%
25% Draws 23%
25% Losses 46%
92% Over 0.5 goals 85%
92% Over 1.5 goals 62%
25% Over 2.5 goals 46%
8% Over 3.5 goals 38%
0% Over 4.5 goals 15%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
42% Both teams scored 31%
42% Clean sheets 46%
25% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 15%
42% Draws 54%
17% Losses 31%
67% Over 0.5 goals 54%
33% Over 1.5 goals 23%
8% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz at home
Freiburg away

Last 10 matches before this match

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.03.25 M'gladbach – Mainz 1–3 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 1.76 1.96
01.03.25 RB Leipzig – Mainz 1–2 (1–0) 1.953.703.75 1.76 1.96
22.02.25 Mainz – St Pauli 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
16.02.25 Heidenheim – Mainz 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 1.92 1.98
08.02.25 Mainz – Augsburg 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.505.00 2.05 1.85
31.01.25 Werder Bremen – Mainz 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.20 1.89 2.01
25.01.25 Mainz – Stuttgart 2–0 (1–0) 2.803.502.45 1.73 2.10
19.01.25 Union Berlin – Mainz 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.202.88 2.10 1.73
14.01.25 Leverkusen – Mainz 1–0 (0–0) 1.365.257.50 1.62 2.30
11.01.25 Mainz – Bochum 2–0 (1–0) 1.534.335.75 1.73 2.10

Freiburg all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.25 Freiburg – RB Leipzig 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.302.70 1.80 2.00
02.03.25 Augsburg – Freiburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.252.70 2.20 1.67
21.02.25 Freiburg – Werder Bremen 5–0 (2–0) 2.003.503.75 1.98 1.92
15.02.25 St Pauli – Freiburg 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.88 2.20 1.67
08.02.25 Freiburg – Heidenheim 1–0 (1–0) 1.703.754.75 1.73 2.10
01.02.25 Bochum – Freiburg 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.402.50 1.80 2.00
25.01.25 Freiburg – Bayern Munich 1–2 (0–1) 7.505.751.33 1.44 2.75
18.01.25 Stuttgart – Freiburg 4–0 (3–0) 1.654.504.50 1.53 2.50
14.01.25 Ein Frankfurt – Freiburg 4–1 (1–1) 1.704.204.33 1.57 2.38
11.01.25 Freiburg – Holstein Kiel 3–2 (2–0) 1.404.757.50 1.57 2.38

Mainz at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.02.25 Mainz – St Pauli 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
08.02.25 Mainz – Augsburg 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.505.00 2.05 1.85
25.01.25 Mainz – Stuttgart 2–0 (1–0) 2.803.502.45 1.73 2.10
11.01.25 Mainz – Bochum 2–0 (1–0) 1.534.335.75 1.73 2.10
14.12.24 Mainz – Bayern Munich 2–1 (1–0) 6.504.501.48 1.53 2.50
01.12.24 Mainz – Hoffenheim 2–0 (2–0) 2.103.403.50 1.67 2.20
09.11.24 Mainz – Dortmund 3–1 (2–1) 3.503.602.00 1.62 2.30
25.10.24 Mainz – M'gladbach 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.752.80 1.57 2.38
19.10.24 Mainz – RB Leipzig 0–2 (0–2) 3.903.801.85 1.67 2.20
28.09.24 Mainz – Heidenheim 0–2 (0–1) 1.833.754.20 1.73 2.10

Freiburg away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.25 Augsburg – Freiburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.252.70 2.20 1.67
15.02.25 St Pauli – Freiburg 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.88 2.20 1.67
01.02.25 Bochum – Freiburg 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.402.50 1.80 2.00
18.01.25 Stuttgart – Freiburg 4–0 (3–0) 1.654.504.50 1.53 2.50
14.01.25 Ein Frankfurt – Freiburg 4–1 (1–1) 1.704.204.33 1.57 2.38
21.12.24 Leverkusen – Freiburg 5–1 (1–0) 1.385.007.50 1.62 2.30
08.12.24 Hoffenheim – Freiburg 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.402.55 1.73 2.10
23.11.24 Dortmund – Freiburg 4–0 (2–0) 1.674.204.50 1.57 2.38
08.11.24 Union Berlin – Freiburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.252.90 2.38 1.57
26.10.24 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 3–1 (0–1) 1.734.104.50 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Mainz winsDrawsFreiburg wins
7matches
1.43goals / match
14%over 2.5
57%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.11.24D1 Freiburg – Mainz 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.73 2.10
21.04.24D1 Freiburg – Mainz 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.502.60 1.73 2.10
03.12.23D1 Mainz – Freiburg 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.96 1.94
19.03.23D1 Mainz – Freiburg 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.30 2.00 1.90
01.10.22D1 Freiburg – Mainz 2–1 (2–0) 2.103.603.40 1.92 1.98
12.02.22D1 Freiburg – Mainz 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.50 2.03 1.87
18.09.21D1 Mainz – Freiburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.80 2.00

Germany Bundesliga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 25 19 4 2 74 23 +51 61
2 Leverkusen 25 15 8 2 55 30 +25 53
3 Mainz 25 13 5 7 42 26 +16 44
4 Ein Frankfurt 25 12 6 7 51 39 +12 42
5 Freiburg 25 12 5 8 34 36 -2 41
6 RB Leipzig 25 10 9 6 39 33 +6 39
7 Wolfsburg 25 10 8 7 49 39 +10 38
8 Stuttgart 25 10 7 8 44 39 +5 37
9 M'gladbach 25 11 4 10 39 38 +1 37
10 Dortmund 25 10 5 10 45 39 +6 35
11 Augsburg 25 9 8 8 28 35 -7 35
12 Werder Bremen 25 9 6 10 38 49 -11 33
13 Hoffenheim 26 6 8 12 32 48 -16 26
14 Union Berlin 25 7 5 13 22 38 -16 26
15 St Pauli 26 7 4 15 20 30 -10 25
16 Bochum 25 5 5 15 26 49 -23 20
17 Holstein Kiel 25 4 5 16 37 61 -24 17
18 Heidenheim 25 4 4 17 28 51 -23 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 13 11 1 1 43 12 +31 34
2 Leverkusen 13 8 3 2 29 17 +12 27
3 Freiburg 12 8 2 2 24 13 +11 26
4 Dortmund 13 7 3 3 31 16 +15 24
5 Ein Frankfurt 13 7 3 3 31 20 +11 24
6 RB Leipzig 12 6 4 2 22 15 +7 22
7 Mainz 12 6 3 3 16 10 +6 21
8 Stuttgart 13 6 2 5 27 20 +7 20
9 M'gladbach 13 6 2 5 23 19 +4 20
10 Augsburg 12 5 4 3 14 12 +2 19
11 Wolfsburg 13 3 6 4 23 23 0 15
12 Union Berlin 12 4 3 5 10 13 -3 15
13 Werder Bremen 12 3 4 5 16 22 -6 13
14 Hoffenheim 13 3 4 6 20 28 -8 13
15 St Pauli 13 3 3 7 8 14 -6 12
16 Bochum 12 3 3 6 12 19 -7 12
17 Holstein Kiel 13 3 2 8 18 31 -13 11
18 Heidenheim 12 2 1 9 9 23 -14 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 12 8 3 1 31 11 +20 27
2 Leverkusen 12 7 5 0 26 13 +13 26
3 Mainz 13 7 2 4 26 16 +10 23
4 Wolfsburg 12 7 2 3 26 16 +10 23
5 Werder Bremen 13 6 2 5 22 27 -5 20
6 Ein Frankfurt 12 5 3 4 20 19 +1 18
7 RB Leipzig 13 4 5 4 17 18 -1 17
8 Stuttgart 12 4 5 3 17 19 -2 17
9 M'gladbach 12 5 2 5 16 19 -3 17
10 Augsburg 13 4 4 5 14 23 -9 16
11 Freiburg 13 4 3 6 10 23 -13 15
12 St Pauli 13 4 1 8 12 16 -4 13
13 Hoffenheim 13 3 4 6 12 20 -8 13
14 Dortmund 12 3 2 7 14 23 -9 11
15 Union Berlin 13 3 2 8 12 25 -13 11
16 Heidenheim 13 2 3 8 19 28 -9 9
17 Bochum 13 2 2 9 14 30 -16 8
18 Holstein Kiel 12 1 3 8 19 30 -11 6

Mainz   Freiburg

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 25 6 19 3.0 0.9 19 4 2 74 23 61
2 17 Holstein Kiel 25 6 19 1.5 2.4 4 5 16 37 61 17
3 8 Stuttgart 25 7 18 1.8 1.6 10 7 8 44 39 37
4 4 Ein Frankfurt 25 8 17 2.0 1.6 12 6 7 51 39 42
5 12 Werder Bremen 25 8 17 1.5 2.0 9 6 10 38 49 33
6 2 Leverkusen 25 9 16 2.2 1.2 15 8 2 55 30 53
7 7 Wolfsburg 25 9 16 2.0 1.6 10 8 7 49 39 38
8 9 M'gladbach 25 9 16 1.6 1.5 11 4 10 39 38 37
9 10 Dortmund 25 9 16 1.8 1.6 10 5 10 45 39 35
10 5 Freiburg 25 10 15 1.4 1.4 12 5 8 34 36 41
11 6 RB Leipzig 25 11 14 1.6 1.3 10 9 6 39 33 39
12 13 Hoffenheim 26 12 14 1.2 1.8 6 8 12 32 48 26
13 18 Heidenheim 25 11 14 1.1 2.0 4 4 17 28 51 16
14 11 Augsburg 25 12 13 1.1 1.4 9 8 8 28 35 35
15 3 Mainz 25 13 12 1.7 1.0 13 5 7 42 26 44
16 14 Union Berlin 25 13 12 0.9 1.5 7 5 13 22 38 26
17 16 Bochum 25 14 11 1.0 2.0 5 5 15 26 49 20
18 15 St Pauli 26 19 7 0.8 1.2 7 4 15 20 30 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 13 2 11 3.3 0.9 11 1 1 43 12 34
2 8 Stuttgart 13 3 10 2.1 1.5 6 2 5 27 20 20
3 2 Leverkusen 13 4 9 2.2 1.3 8 3 2 29 17 27
4 4 Ein Frankfurt 13 4 9 2.4 1.5 7 3 3 31 20 24
5 5 Freiburg 12 3 9 2.0 1.1 8 2 2 24 13 26
6 10 Dortmund 13 4 9 2.4 1.2 7 3 3 31 16 24
7 6 RB Leipzig 12 4 8 1.8 1.2 6 4 2 22 15 22
8 7 Wolfsburg 13 5 8 1.8 1.8 3 6 4 23 23 15
9 9 M'gladbach 13 5 8 1.8 1.5 6 2 5 23 19 20
10 12 Werder Bremen 12 4 8 1.3 1.8 3 4 5 16 22 13
11 13 Hoffenheim 13 5 8 1.5 2.2 3 4 6 20 28 13
12 17 Holstein Kiel 13 5 8 1.4 2.4 3 2 8 18 31 11
13 18 Heidenheim 12 5 7 0.8 1.9 2 1 9 9 23 7
14 11 Augsburg 12 6 6 1.2 1.0 5 4 3 14 12 19
15 14 Union Berlin 12 7 5 0.8 1.1 4 3 5 10 13 15
16 16 Bochum 12 8 4 1.0 1.6 3 3 6 12 19 12
17 3 Mainz 12 9 3 1.3 0.8 6 3 3 16 10 21
18 15 St Pauli 13 10 3 0.6 1.1 3 3 7 8 14 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Holstein Kiel 12 1 11 1.6 2.5 1 3 8 19 30 6
2 3 Mainz 13 4 9 2.0 1.2 7 2 4 26 16 23
3 12 Werder Bremen 13 4 9 1.7 2.1 6 2 5 22 27 20
4 1 Bayern Munich 12 4 8 2.6 0.9 8 3 1 31 11 27
5 4 Ein Frankfurt 12 4 8 1.7 1.6 5 3 4 20 19 18
6 7 Wolfsburg 12 4 8 2.2 1.3 7 2 3 26 16 23
7 8 Stuttgart 12 4 8 1.4 1.6 4 5 3 17 19 17
8 9 M'gladbach 12 4 8 1.3 1.6 5 2 5 16 19 17
9 2 Leverkusen 12 5 7 2.2 1.1 7 5 0 26 13 26
10 10 Dortmund 12 5 7 1.2 1.9 3 2 7 14 23 11
11 11 Augsburg 13 6 7 1.1 1.8 4 4 5 14 23 16
12 14 Union Berlin 13 6 7 0.9 1.9 3 2 8 12 25 11
13 16 Bochum 13 6 7 1.1 2.3 2 2 9 14 30 8
14 18 Heidenheim 13 6 7 1.5 2.2 2 3 8 19 28 9
15 5 Freiburg 13 7 6 0.8 1.8 4 3 6 10 23 15
16 6 RB Leipzig 13 7 6 1.3 1.4 4 5 4 17 18 17
17 13 Hoffenheim 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 3 4 6 12 20 13
18 15 St Pauli 13 9 4 0.9 1.2 4 1 8 12 16 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40