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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Hoffenheim 3–1 RB Leipzig

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.60 fair 2.79
Draw 3.90 fair 4.44
Away 2.40 fair 2.40
Under 2.5 3.00 fair 2.97
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.40 fair 1.51

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Hoffenheim RB Leipzig
12 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 5
5 Corners 5
13 Fouls 5
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (82 league matches this season so far).
Result RB Leipzig to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.49
Expected goals 1.64 – 1.78
Home / Draw / Away
HoffenheimDrawRB Leipzig
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.6% 1–2 8.5% 2–1 7.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Hoffenheim before this match, all matches
1.78points / match
2.00scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 18:15
RB Leipzig before this match, all matches
2.44points / match
2.11scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 19:10
Hoffenheim all matches all matches RB Leipzig

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 2.11
1.67 Goals conceded 1.11
3.67 Total goals 3.22
12.89 Shots 15.78
5.11 Shots on target 5.22
11.56 Shots faced 14.56
5.56 Corners 5.78
5.89 Corners against 4.56
15.33 Fouls 10.56
2.00 Yellow cards 1.56
0.78 1st-half goals scored 1.33
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

56% Wins 78%
11% Draws 11%
33% Losses 11%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
89% Over 1.5 goals 78%
78% Over 2.5 goals 56%
56% Over 3.5 goals 44%
33% Over 4.5 goals 22%
11% Over 5.5 goals 22%
78% Both teams scored 44%
11% Clean sheets 44%
11% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 67%
44% Draws 22%
33% Losses 11%
89% Over 0.5 goals 89%
67% Over 1.5 goals 44%
0% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hoffenheim all matches
RB Leipzig all matches
Hoffenheim before this match, at home
0.75points / match
1.25scored / match
2.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:9
RB Leipzig before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.80scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:7
Hoffenheim at home away RB Leipzig

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.80
2.25 Goals conceded 1.40
3.50 Total goals 3.20
14.50 Shots 15.80
5.00 Shots on target 4.20
12.25 Shots faced 16.80
6.75 Corners 6.20
5.25 Corners against 4.60
15.00 Fouls 11.40
1.75 Yellow cards 1.40
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.40
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

25% Wins 60%
0% Draws 20%
75% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 60%
75% Over 2.5 goals 40%
75% Over 3.5 goals 40%
25% Over 4.5 goals 40%
0% Over 5.5 goals 40%
75% Both teams scored 20%
0% Clean sheets 60%
25% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 60%
0% Draws 20%
75% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 60%
0% Over 2.5 goals 40%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hoffenheim at home
RB Leipzig away

Last 10 matches before this match

Hoffenheim all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.25 Wolfsburg – Hoffenheim 2–3 (1–1) 2.753.902.30 1.57 2.38
25.10.25 Hoffenheim – Heidenheim 3–1 (2–0) 1.574.505.25 1.50 2.63
19.10.25 St Pauli – Hoffenheim 0–3 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 1.80 2.00
03.10.25 Hoffenheim – FC Koln 0–1 (0–1) 1.913.703.75 1.57 2.38
28.09.25 Freiburg – Hoffenheim 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.403.10 1.62 2.30
20.09.25 Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich 1–4 (0–1) 7.006.001.33 1.29 3.75
13.09.25 Union Berlin – Hoffenheim 2–4 (0–2) 2.603.402.70 1.88 1.98
30.08.25 Hoffenheim – Ein Frankfurt 1–3 (0–2) 2.883.752.25 1.50 2.63
23.08.25 Leverkusen – Hoffenheim 1–2 (1–1) 1.534.755.25 1.50 2.63
17.05.25 Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich 0–4 (0–1) 5.005.251.50 1.29 3.75

RB Leipzig all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 RB Leipzig – Stuttgart 3–1 (1–0) 1.953.903.50 1.44 2.75
25.10.25 Augsburg – RB Leipzig 0–6 (0–4) 3.203.902.05 1.44 2.75
18.10.25 RB Leipzig – Hamburg 2–1 (1–0) 1.444.756.50 1.36 3.20
04.10.25 Dortmund – RB Leipzig 1–1 (1–1) 1.704.504.20 1.36 3.20
27.09.25 Wolfsburg – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.602.60 1.53 2.50
20.09.25 RB Leipzig – FC Koln 3–1 (3–1) 1.654.334.50 1.53 2.50
13.09.25 Mainz – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.602.63 1.67 2.20
30.08.25 RB Leipzig – Heidenheim 2–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.25 1.50 2.63
22.08.25 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig 6–0 (3–0) 1.227.009.00 1.25 4.00
17.05.25 RB Leipzig – Stuttgart 2–3 (2–1) 2.004.203.20 1.33 3.40

Hoffenheim at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.25 Hoffenheim – Heidenheim 3–1 (2–0) 1.574.505.25 1.50 2.63
03.10.25 Hoffenheim – FC Koln 0–1 (0–1) 1.913.703.75 1.57 2.38
20.09.25 Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich 1–4 (0–1) 7.006.001.33 1.29 3.75
30.08.25 Hoffenheim – Ein Frankfurt 1–3 (0–2) 2.883.752.25 1.50 2.63
17.05.25 Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich 0–4 (0–1) 5.005.251.50 1.29 3.75
26.04.25 Hoffenheim – Dortmund 2–3 (0–1) 4.104.331.73 1.44 2.75
12.04.25 Hoffenheim – Mainz 2–0 (2–0) 2.703.502.55 1.73 2.10
29.03.25 Hoffenheim – Augsburg 1–1 (0–0) 2.353.303.10 2.10 1.73
09.03.25 Hoffenheim – Heidenheim 1–1 (1–0) 1.754.004.33 1.62 2.15
23.02.25 Hoffenheim – Stuttgart 1–1 (0–1) 3.503.901.95 1.50 2.63

RB Leipzig away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.25 Augsburg – RB Leipzig 0–6 (0–4) 3.203.902.05 1.44 2.75
04.10.25 Dortmund – RB Leipzig 1–1 (1–1) 1.704.504.20 1.36 3.20
27.09.25 Wolfsburg – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.602.60 1.53 2.50
13.09.25 Mainz – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.602.63 1.67 2.20
22.08.25 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig 6–0 (3–0) 1.227.009.00 1.25 4.00
10.05.25 Werder Bremen – RB Leipzig 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.702.80 1.53 2.50
26.04.25 Ein Frankfurt – RB Leipzig 4–0 (1–0) 2.153.803.00 1.50 2.63
11.04.25 Wolfsburg – RB Leipzig 2–3 (0–2) 2.883.752.30 1.57 2.38
29.03.25 M'gladbach – RB Leipzig 1–0 (0–0) 2.883.702.30 1.53 2.50
08.03.25 Freiburg – RB Leipzig 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.302.70 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Hoffenheim winsDrawsRB Leipzig wins
8matches
3.38goals / match
63%over 2.5
63%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.04.25D1 RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim 3–1 (2–1) 1.554.205.50 1.53 2.50
23.11.24D1 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 4–3 (1–2) 3.403.502.10 1.57 2.38
03.05.24D1 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 1–1 (0–1) 5.255.001.50 1.25 4.00
16.12.23D1 RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim 3–1 (1–1) 1.455.006.00 1.36 3.20
29.04.23D1 RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim 1–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.50 1.57 2.38
05.11.22D1 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 1–3 (0–1) 2.903.752.25 1.66 2.20
10.04.22D1 RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim 3–0 (3–0) 1.504.756.00 1.44 2.75
20.11.21D1 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 2–0 (1–0) 4.004.331.75 1.57 2.37

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 9 9 0 0 33 4 +29 27
2 RB Leipzig 9 7 1 1 19 10 +9 22
3 Dortmund 9 6 2 1 15 6 +9 20
4 Stuttgart 9 6 0 3 14 10 +4 18
5 Leverkusen 9 5 2 2 18 14 +4 17
6 Hoffenheim 9 5 1 3 18 15 +3 16
7 Werder Bremen 10 4 3 3 15 18 -3 15
8 FC Koln 9 4 2 3 16 12 +4 14
9 Ein Frankfurt 9 4 2 3 22 19 +3 14
10 Union Berlin 9 3 2 4 11 15 -4 11
11 Freiburg 9 2 4 3 11 13 -2 10
12 Wolfsburg 10 2 2 6 12 18 -6 8
13 Hamburg 9 2 2 5 8 15 -7 8
14 Augsburg 9 2 1 6 12 21 -9 7
15 St Pauli 9 2 1 6 8 18 -10 7
16 M'gladbach 9 1 3 5 10 18 -8 6
17 Mainz 9 1 2 6 10 17 -7 5
18 Heidenheim 9 1 2 6 8 17 -9 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 5 5 0 0 20 1 +19 15
2 RB Leipzig 4 4 0 0 10 3 +7 12
3 Stuttgart 4 4 0 0 6 1 +5 12
4 Leverkusen 5 3 1 1 9 4 +5 10
5 Dortmund 4 3 1 0 6 1 +5 10
6 Werder Bremen 5 3 1 1 7 7 0 10
7 Union Berlin 5 2 2 1 7 6 +1 8
8 FC Koln 4 2 1 1 10 5 +5 7
9 Hamburg 4 2 0 2 6 4 +2 6
10 Ein Frankfurt 4 2 0 2 9 8 +1 6
11 Freiburg 4 1 2 1 7 7 0 5
12 Heidenheim 5 1 2 2 6 9 -3 5
13 St Pauli 5 1 1 3 6 13 -7 4
14 Hoffenheim 4 1 0 3 5 9 -4 3
15 Augsburg 5 1 0 4 6 15 -9 3
16 Wolfsburg 5 0 2 3 6 11 -5 2
17 M'gladbach 5 0 2 3 4 13 -9 2
18 Mainz 5 0 1 4 4 9 -5 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Hoffenheim 5 4 1 0 13 6 +7 13
2 Bayern Munich 4 4 0 0 13 3 +10 12
3 Dortmund 5 3 1 1 9 5 +4 10
4 RB Leipzig 5 3 1 1 9 7 +2 10
5 Ein Frankfurt 5 2 2 1 13 11 +2 8
6 Leverkusen 4 2 1 1 9 10 -1 7
7 FC Koln 5 2 1 2 6 7 -1 7
8 Stuttgart 5 2 0 3 8 9 -1 6
9 Wolfsburg 5 2 0 3 6 7 -1 6
10 Freiburg 5 1 2 2 4 6 -2 5
11 Werder Bremen 5 1 2 2 8 11 -3 5
12 M'gladbach 4 1 1 2 6 5 +1 4
13 Augsburg 4 1 1 2 6 6 0 4
14 Mainz 4 1 1 2 6 8 -2 4
15 St Pauli 4 1 0 3 2 5 -3 3
16 Union Berlin 4 1 0 3 4 9 -5 3
17 Hamburg 5 0 2 3 2 11 -9 2
18 Heidenheim 4 0 0 4 2 8 -6 0

Hoffenheim   RB Leipzig

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 9 0 9 3.7 0.4 9 0 0 33 4 27
2 6 Hoffenheim 9 2 7 2.0 1.7 5 1 3 18 15 16
3 7 Werder Bremen 10 3 7 1.5 1.8 4 3 3 15 18 15
4 9 Ein Frankfurt 9 2 7 2.4 2.1 4 2 3 22 19 14
5 14 Augsburg 9 2 7 1.3 2.3 2 1 6 12 21 7
6 4 Stuttgart 9 3 6 1.6 1.1 6 0 3 14 10 18
7 5 Leverkusen 9 3 6 2.0 1.6 5 2 2 18 14 17
8 12 Wolfsburg 10 4 6 1.2 1.8 2 2 6 12 18 8
9 2 RB Leipzig 9 4 5 2.1 1.1 7 1 1 19 10 22
10 8 FC Koln 9 4 5 1.8 1.3 4 2 3 16 12 14
11 10 Union Berlin 9 4 5 1.2 1.7 3 2 4 11 15 11
12 11 Freiburg 9 4 5 1.2 1.4 2 4 3 11 13 10
13 13 Hamburg 9 4 5 0.9 1.7 2 2 5 8 15 8
14 15 St Pauli 9 4 5 0.9 2.0 2 1 6 8 18 7
15 16 M'gladbach 9 4 5 1.1 2.0 1 3 5 10 18 6
16 18 Heidenheim 9 4 5 0.9 1.9 1 2 6 8 17 5
17 17 Mainz 9 5 4 1.1 1.9 1 2 6 10 17 5
18 3 Dortmund 9 6 3 1.7 0.7 6 2 1 15 6 20
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 5 0 5 4.0 0.2 5 0 0 20 1 15
2 15 St Pauli 5 0 5 1.2 2.6 1 1 3 6 13 4
3 14 Augsburg 5 1 4 1.2 3.0 1 0 4 6 15 3
4 2 RB Leipzig 4 1 3 2.5 0.8 4 0 0 10 3 12
5 6 Hoffenheim 4 1 3 1.2 2.2 1 0 3 5 9 3
6 7 Werder Bremen 5 2 3 1.4 1.4 3 1 1 7 7 10
7 8 FC Koln 4 1 3 2.5 1.2 2 1 1 10 5 7
8 9 Ein Frankfurt 4 1 3 2.2 2.0 2 0 2 9 8 6
9 10 Union Berlin 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 2 2 1 7 6 8
10 11 Freiburg 4 1 3 1.8 1.8 1 2 1 7 7 5
11 12 Wolfsburg 5 2 3 1.2 2.2 0 2 3 6 11 2
12 16 M'gladbach 5 2 3 0.8 2.6 0 2 3 4 13 2
13 18 Heidenheim 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 1 2 2 6 9 5
14 5 Leverkusen 5 3 2 1.8 0.8 3 1 1 9 4 10
15 13 Hamburg 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 2 0 2 6 4 6
16 3 Dortmund 4 3 1 1.5 0.2 3 1 0 6 1 10
17 4 Stuttgart 4 3 1 1.5 0.2 4 0 0 6 1 12
18 17 Mainz 5 4 1 0.8 1.8 0 1 4 4 9 1
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Stuttgart 5 0 5 1.6 1.8 2 0 3 8 9 6
2 1 Bayern Munich 4 0 4 3.2 0.8 4 0 0 13 3 12
3 5 Leverkusen 4 0 4 2.2 2.5 2 1 1 9 10 7
4 6 Hoffenheim 5 1 4 2.6 1.2 4 1 0 13 6 13
5 7 Werder Bremen 5 1 4 1.6 2.2 1 2 2 8 11 5
6 9 Ein Frankfurt 5 1 4 2.6 2.2 2 2 1 13 11 8
7 12 Wolfsburg 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 2 0 3 6 7 6
8 13 Hamburg 5 2 3 0.4 2.2 0 2 3 2 11 2
9 14 Augsburg 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 1 1 2 6 6 4
10 17 Mainz 4 1 3 1.5 2.0 1 1 2 6 8 4
11 2 RB Leipzig 5 3 2 1.8 1.4 3 1 1 9 7 10
12 3 Dortmund 5 3 2 1.8 1.0 3 1 1 9 5 10
13 8 FC Koln 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 2 1 2 6 7 7
14 10 Union Berlin 4 2 2 1.0 2.2 1 0 3 4 9 3
15 11 Freiburg 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 1 2 2 4 6 5
16 16 M'gladbach 4 2 2 1.5 1.2 1 1 2 6 5 4
17 18 Heidenheim 4 2 2 0.5 2.0 0 0 4 2 8 0
18 15 St Pauli 4 4 0 0.5 1.2 1 0 3 2 5 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51