Mainz 1–0 Hoffenheim – Germany Bundesliga, 4 Mar 2023

Match facts

Mainz Hoffenheim

16 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 4

11 Corners 3

12 Fouls 15

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (199 league matches this season so far).

Result Mainz to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.57

Expected goals 2.07 – 1.30

Home / Draw / Away

55% 21% 24%

MainzDrawHoffenheim

Under / Over 2.5 goals

34% 66%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

36% 64%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

3% 0

12% 1

20% 2

22% 3

19% 4

25% 5+

Most likely scores

2–1 9.6% 1–1 9.2% 2–0 7.3%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Mainz before this match, all matches

1.45points / match

1.68scored / match

1.55conceded / match

9 5 8

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 37:34

Hoffenheim before this match, all matches

0.86points / match

1.32scored / match

1.86conceded / match

5 4 13

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 29:41

Mainz all matches all matches Hoffenheim

Per match

1.68 Goals scored 1.32

1.55 Goals conceded 1.86

3.23 Total goals 3.18

12.95 Shots 13.14

4.73 Shots on target 4.91

12.14 Shots faced 14.14

4.59 Corners 5.27

4.05 Corners against 4.64

13.95 Fouls 13.73

1.95 Yellow cards 2.36

0.86 1st-half goals scored 0.68

0.82 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

41% Wins 23%

23% Draws 18%

36% Losses 59%

95% Over 0.5 goals 95%

86% Over 1.5 goals 77%

64% Over 2.5 goals 64%

32% Over 3.5 goals 45%

23% Over 4.5 goals 23%

9% Over 5.5 goals 9%

64% Both teams scored 64%

23% Clean sheets 18%

18% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 18%

32% Draws 45%

32% Losses 36%

86% Over 0.5 goals 86%

50% Over 1.5 goals 59%

27% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz all matches

3

L

1

L

1

D

1

D

1

2

L

5

2

W

1

2

L

3

1

W

3

2

W

4

W

Hoffenheim all matches

1

3

L

2

4

L

1

2

L

1

3

L

2

D

1

4

L

2

5

L

1

3

L

1

L

1

L

Mainz before this match, at home

1.45points / match

1.91scored / match

1.27conceded / match

4 4 3

WonDrawnLost 11 played · 21:14

Hoffenheim before this match, away

0.80points / match

1.40scored / match

1.90conceded / match

2 2 6

WonDrawnLost 10 played · 14:19

Mainz at home away Hoffenheim

Per match

1.91 Goals scored 1.40

1.27 Goals conceded 1.90

3.18 Total goals 3.30

13.73 Shots 10.20

5.00 Shots on target 3.70

9.45 Shots faced 15.70

4.18 Corners 4.20

3.91 Corners against 4.80

13.09 Fouls 14.20

1.36 Yellow cards 2.70

1.09 1st-half goals scored 0.90

0.64 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

36% Wins 20%

36% Draws 20%

27% Losses 60%

91% Over 0.5 goals 100%

91% Over 1.5 goals 80%

64% Over 2.5 goals 60%

36% Over 3.5 goals 40%

18% Over 4.5 goals 20%

9% Over 5.5 goals 20%

55% Both teams scored 60%

27% Clean sheets 20%

27% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

55% Wins 30%

18% Draws 40%

27% Losses 30%

91% Over 0.5 goals 90%

45% Over 1.5 goals 70%

36% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz at home

3

L

1

D

1

D

5

W

3

L

1

D

1

2

L

5

2

W

3

1

W

4

W

Hoffenheim away

1

3

L

3

W

1

L

1

D

3

W

1

D

2

4

L

1

3

L

2

5

L

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Mainz all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.02.23	Mainz – M'gladbach	4–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.60	3.20	1.73	2.10
19.02.23	Leverkusen – Mainz	2–3 (1–2)	1.80	3.80	4.20	1.73	2.10
11.02.23	Mainz – Augsburg	3–1 (2–1)	1.80	4.00	4.20	1.80	2.00
04.02.23	Union Berlin – Mainz	2–1 (1–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	2.20	1.67
28.01.23	Mainz – Bochum	5–2 (3–0)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.80	2.00
25.01.23	Mainz – Dortmund	1–2 (1–1)	2.90	3.60	2.30	1.67	2.20
21.01.23	Stuttgart – Mainz	1–1 (1–1)	2.40	3.50	2.88	1.86	2.04
13.11.22	Mainz – Ein Frankfurt	1–1 (1–0)	2.75	3.50	2.45	1.72	2.10
09.11.22	Schalke 04 – Mainz	1–0 (1–0)	3.40	3.75	2.05	1.72	2.10
05.11.22	Mainz – Wolfsburg	0–3 (0–1)	2.00	3.75	3.50	1.87	2.03

Hoffenheim all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.02.23	Hoffenheim – Dortmund	0–1 (0–1)	4.00	4.20	1.75	1.53	2.50
17.02.23	Augsburg – Hoffenheim	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.50	2.60	1.73	2.10
11.02.23	Hoffenheim – Leverkusen	1–3 (0–1)	2.88	3.60	2.38	1.67	2.20
04.02.23	Bochum – Hoffenheim	5–2 (3–0)	2.75	3.50	2.50	1.67	2.20
28.01.23	Hoffenheim – M'gladbach	1–4 (0–2)	2.00	3.90	3.40	1.50	2.63
24.01.23	Hoffenheim – Stuttgart	2–2 (1–1)	2.10	3.50	3.40	1.73	2.10
21.01.23	Union Berlin – Hoffenheim	3–1 (0–1)	2.25	3.40	3.20	1.97	1.93
12.11.22	Hoffenheim – Wolfsburg	1–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.75	3.10	1.66	2.20
09.11.22	Ein Frankfurt – Hoffenheim	4–2 (3–1)	1.90	3.80	3.75	1.57	2.37
05.11.22	Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig	1–3 (0–1)	2.90	3.75	2.25	1.66	2.20

Mainz at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.02.23	Mainz – M'gladbach	4–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.60	3.20	1.73	2.10
11.02.23	Mainz – Augsburg	3–1 (2–1)	1.80	4.00	4.20	1.80	2.00
28.01.23	Mainz – Bochum	5–2 (3–0)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.80	2.00
25.01.23	Mainz – Dortmund	1–2 (1–1)	2.90	3.60	2.30	1.67	2.20
13.11.22	Mainz – Ein Frankfurt	1–1 (1–0)	2.75	3.50	2.45	1.72	2.10
05.11.22	Mainz – Wolfsburg	0–3 (0–1)	2.00	3.75	3.50	1.87	2.03
21.10.22	Mainz – FC Koln	5–0 (3–0)	2.15	3.50	3.25	1.72	2.10
08.10.22	Mainz – RB Leipzig	1–1 (1–0)	3.00	3.60	2.30	1.72	2.10
16.09.22	Mainz – Hertha	1–1 (0–1)	1.72	4.00	4.33	1.72	2.10
27.08.22	Mainz – Leverkusen	0–3 (0–3)	2.75	3.75	2.37	1.61	2.30

Hoffenheim away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.02.23	Augsburg – Hoffenheim	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.50	2.60	1.73	2.10
04.02.23	Bochum – Hoffenheim	5–2 (3–0)	2.75	3.50	2.50	1.67	2.20
21.01.23	Union Berlin – Hoffenheim	3–1 (0–1)	2.25	3.40	3.20	1.97	1.93
09.11.22	Ein Frankfurt – Hoffenheim	4–2 (3–1)	1.90	3.80	3.75	1.57	2.37
30.10.22	FC Koln – Hoffenheim	1–1 (1–1)	2.90	3.50	2.37	1.57	2.37
14.10.22	Schalke 04 – Hoffenheim	0–3 (0–2)	3.60	3.80	1.95	1.66	2.20
02.10.22	Hertha – Hoffenheim	1–1 (1–1)	2.75	3.75	2.37	1.57	2.37
02.09.22	Dortmund – Hoffenheim	1–0 (1–0)	1.61	4.50	4.75	1.40	3.00
20.08.22	Leverkusen – Hoffenheim	0–3 (0–2)	1.66	4.33	4.50	1.44	2.75
06.08.22	M'gladbach – Hoffenheim	3–1 (1–1)	2.05	4.20	3.00	1.36	3.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Mainz winsDrawsHoffenheim wins

3matches

3.00goals / match

33%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.09.22D1	Hoffenheim – Mainz	4–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.75	2.90	1.66	2.20
05.02.22D1	Mainz – Hoffenheim	2–0 (0–0)	2.60	3.40	2.70	1.72	2.10
11.09.21D1	Hoffenheim – Mainz	0–2 (0–1)	2.00	3.75	3.50	1.57	2.37

Germany Bundesliga table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Dortmund	23	16	1	6	47	28	+19	49
2	Bayern Munich	22	13	7	2	64	21	+43	46
3	Union Berlin	22	13	4	5	35	27	+8	43
4	RB Leipzig	23	12	6	5	46	29	+17	42
5	Freiburg	22	12	5	5	35	32	+3	41
6	Ein Frankfurt	22	11	5	6	43	31	+12	38
7	Wolfsburg	22	9	6	7	40	29	+11	33
8	Mainz	22	9	5	8	37	34	+3	32
9	Werder Bremen	22	9	3	10	34	41	-7	30
10	M'gladbach	22	8	5	9	38	39	-1	29
11	Leverkusen	22	8	4	10	36	36	0	28
12	FC Koln	22	6	8	8	32	36	-4	26
13	Augsburg	22	7	3	12	26	38	-12	24
14	Hertha	22	5	5	12	27	40	-13	20
15	Stuttgart	22	4	7	11	27	38	-11	19
16	Hoffenheim	22	5	4	13	29	41	-12	19
17	Bochum	22	6	1	15	24	54	-30	19
18	Schalke 04	22	3	7	12	16	42	-26	16

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Dortmund	11	9	1	1	30	11	+19	28
2	RB Leipzig	11	8	2	1	25	10	+15	26
3	Bayern Munich	11	7	4	0	34	8	+26	25
4	Union Berlin	10	7	3	0	19	8	+11	24
5	Freiburg	11	7	3	1	19	9	+10	24
6	Ein Frankfurt	11	7	1	3	26	13	+13	22
7	M'gladbach	11	7	1	3	25	15	+10	22
8	FC Koln	11	5	3	3	21	12	+9	18
9	Mainz	11	4	4	3	21	14	+7	16
10	Werder Bremen	12	5	1	6	20	18	+2	16
11	Hertha	12	4	4	4	18	19	-1	16
12	Bochum	10	5	1	4	17	19	-2	16
13	Wolfsburg	10	4	3	3	23	17	+6	15
14	Stuttgart	11	4	3	4	15	13	+2	15
15	Leverkusen	11	4	2	5	21	16	+5	14
16	Augsburg	11	4	2	5	10	15	-5	14
17	Schalke 04	12	3	3	6	12	26	-14	12
18	Hoffenheim	12	3	2	7	15	22	-7	11

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	11	6	3	2	30	13	+17	21
2	Dortmund	12	7	0	5	17	17	0	21
3	Union Berlin	12	6	1	5	16	19	-3	19
4	Wolfsburg	12	5	3	4	17	12	+5	18
5	Freiburg	11	5	2	4	16	23	-7	17
6	RB Leipzig	12	4	4	4	21	19	+2	16
7	Ein Frankfurt	11	4	4	3	17	18	-1	16
8	Mainz	11	5	1	5	16	20	-4	16
9	Leverkusen	11	4	2	5	15	20	-5	14
10	Werder Bremen	10	4	2	4	14	23	-9	14
11	Augsburg	11	3	1	7	16	23	-7	10
12	Hoffenheim	10	2	2	6	14	19	-5	8
13	FC Koln	11	1	5	5	11	24	-13	8
14	M'gladbach	11	1	4	6	13	24	-11	7
15	Hertha	10	1	1	8	9	21	-12	4
16	Schalke 04	10	0	4	6	4	16	-12	4
17	Stuttgart	11	0	4	7	12	25	-13	4
18	Bochum	12	1	0	11	7	35	-28	3

Mainz Hoffenheim

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	RB Leipzig	23	6	17	2.0	1.3	12	6	5	46	29	42
2	10	M'gladbach	22	6	16	1.7	1.8	8	5	9	38	39	29
3	17	Bochum	22	6	16	1.1	2.5	6	1	15	24	54	19
4	1	Dortmund	23	9	14	2.0	1.2	16	1	6	47	28	49
5	6	Ein Frankfurt	22	8	14	2.0	1.4	11	5	6	43	31	38
6	8	Mainz	22	8	14	1.7	1.5	9	5	8	37	34	32
7	11	Leverkusen	22	8	14	1.6	1.6	8	4	10	36	36	28
8	15	Stuttgart	22	8	14	1.2	1.7	4	7	11	27	38	19
9	16	Hoffenheim	22	8	14	1.3	1.9	5	4	13	29	41	19
10	2	Bayern Munich	22	9	13	2.9	1.0	13	7	2	64	21	46
11	3	Union Berlin	22	9	13	1.6	1.2	13	4	5	35	27	43
12	7	Wolfsburg	22	9	13	1.8	1.3	9	6	7	40	29	33
13	9	Werder Bremen	22	9	13	1.5	1.9	9	3	10	34	41	30
14	5	Freiburg	22	10	12	1.6	1.5	12	5	5	35	32	41
15	13	Augsburg	22	10	12	1.2	1.7	7	3	12	26	38	24
16	14	Hertha	22	10	12	1.2	1.8	5	5	12	27	40	20
17	18	Schalke 04	22	10	12	0.7	1.9	3	7	12	16	42	16
18	12	FC Koln	22	11	11	1.5	1.6	6	8	8	32	36	26

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Dortmund	11	3	8	2.7	1.0	9	1	1	30	11	28
2	4	RB Leipzig	11	3	8	2.3	0.9	8	2	1	25	10	26
3	7	Wolfsburg	10	2	8	2.3	1.7	4	3	3	23	17	15
4	9	Werder Bremen	12	4	8	1.7	1.5	5	1	6	20	18	16
5	10	M'gladbach	11	3	8	2.3	1.4	7	1	3	25	15	22
6	16	Hoffenheim	12	4	8	1.2	1.8	3	2	7	15	22	11
7	2	Bayern Munich	11	4	7	3.1	0.7	7	4	0	34	8	25
8	6	Ein Frankfurt	11	4	7	2.4	1.2	7	1	3	26	13	22
9	8	Mainz	11	4	7	1.9	1.3	4	4	3	21	14	16
10	11	Leverkusen	11	4	7	1.9	1.5	4	2	5	21	16	14
11	17	Bochum	10	3	7	1.7	1.9	5	1	4	17	19	16
12	18	Schalke 04	12	5	7	1.0	2.2	3	3	6	12	26	12
13	3	Union Berlin	10	4	6	1.9	0.8	7	3	0	19	8	24
14	12	FC Koln	11	5	6	1.9	1.1	5	3	3	21	12	18
15	14	Hertha	12	6	6	1.5	1.6	4	4	4	18	19	16
16	5	Freiburg	11	6	5	1.7	0.8	7	3	1	19	9	24
17	15	Stuttgart	11	6	5	1.4	1.2	4	3	4	15	13	15
18	13	Augsburg	11	7	4	0.9	1.4	4	2	5	10	15	14

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	RB Leipzig	12	3	9	1.8	1.6	4	4	4	21	19	16
2	15	Stuttgart	11	2	9	1.1	2.3	0	4	7	12	25	4
3	17	Bochum	12	3	9	0.6	2.9	1	0	11	7	35	3
4	10	M'gladbach	11	3	8	1.2	2.2	1	4	6	13	24	7
5	13	Augsburg	11	3	8	1.5	2.1	3	1	7	16	23	10
6	3	Union Berlin	12	5	7	1.3	1.6	6	1	5	16	19	19
7	5	Freiburg	11	4	7	1.5	2.1	5	2	4	16	23	17
8	6	Ein Frankfurt	11	4	7	1.5	1.6	4	4	3	17	18	16
9	8	Mainz	11	4	7	1.5	1.8	5	1	5	16	20	16
10	11	Leverkusen	11	4	7	1.4	1.8	4	2	5	15	20	14
11	1	Dortmund	12	6	6	1.4	1.4	7	0	5	17	17	21
12	2	Bayern Munich	11	5	6	2.7	1.2	6	3	2	30	13	21
13	14	Hertha	10	4	6	0.9	2.1	1	1	8	9	21	4
14	16	Hoffenheim	10	4	6	1.4	1.9	2	2	6	14	19	8
15	7	Wolfsburg	12	7	5	1.4	1.0	5	3	4	17	12	18
16	9	Werder Bremen	10	5	5	1.4	2.3	4	2	4	14	23	14
17	12	FC Koln	11	6	5	1.0	2.2	1	5	5	11	24	8
18	18	Schalke 04	10	5	5	0.4	1.6	0	4	6	4	16	4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.