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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Mainz 4–1 Hoffenheim

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.95 fair 2.53
Draw 4.00 fair 4.22
Away 3.40 fair 2.71
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.53
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.65

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Mainz Hoffenheim
23 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 1
9 Corners 3
12 Fouls 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (253 league matches this season so far).
Result Mainz to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.60
Expected goals 1.60 – 1.54
Home / Draw / Away
MainzDrawHoffenheim
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 2–1 8.5% 1–2 8.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Mainz before this match, all matches
0.82points / match
0.93scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 26:46
Hoffenheim before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
1.71scored / match
1.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 48:53
Mainz all matches all matches Hoffenheim

Per match

0.93 Goals scored 1.71
1.64 Goals conceded 1.89
2.57 Total goals 3.61
13.50 Shots 13.29
4.25 Shots on target 4.89
12.50 Shots faced 16.57
5.39 Corners 4.39
4.36 Corners against 5.64
14.00 Fouls 10.39
2.96 Yellow cards 2.79
0.46 1st-half goals scored 0.93
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.82

How often Full Time

14% Wins 36%
39% Draws 21%
46% Losses 43%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 96%
43% Over 2.5 goals 79%
32% Over 3.5 goals 57%
7% Over 4.5 goals 25%
4% Over 5.5 goals 4%
54% Both teams scored 86%
25% Clean sheets 4%
32% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 39%
39% Draws 25%
39% Losses 36%
75% Over 0.5 goals 89%
32% Over 1.5 goals 64%
11% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz all matches
Hoffenheim all matches
Mainz before this match, at home
1.14points / match
1.07scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 15:16
Hoffenheim before this match, away
1.43points / match
1.86scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 26:28
Mainz at home away Hoffenheim

Per match

1.07 Goals scored 1.86
1.14 Goals conceded 2.00
2.21 Total goals 3.86
15.43 Shots 11.79
4.79 Shots on target 4.50
10.64 Shots faced 19.00
6.93 Corners 3.00
3.86 Corners against 7.57
14.71 Fouls 10.50
2.93 Yellow cards 2.79
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

29% Wins 43%
29% Draws 14%
43% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 100%
29% Over 2.5 goals 86%
21% Over 3.5 goals 64%
0% Over 4.5 goals 36%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 86%
29% Clean sheets 7%
29% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 50%
29% Draws 21%
36% Losses 29%
79% Over 0.5 goals 93%
14% Over 1.5 goals 50%
7% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz at home
Hoffenheim away

Last 10 matches before this match

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Mainz – Darmstadt 4–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.67 2.20
30.03.24 RB Leipzig – Mainz 0–0 (0–0) 1.405.257.50 1.53 2.50
16.03.24 Mainz – Bochum 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.804.33 1.80 2.00
09.03.24 Bayern Munich – Mainz 8–1 (3–1) 1.257.0010.00 1.40 3.00
02.03.24 Mainz – M'gladbach 1–1 (1–0) 1.913.753.75 1.80 2.00
23.02.24 Leverkusen – Mainz 2–1 (1–1) 1.226.5013.00 1.57 2.38
17.02.24 Mainz – Augsburg 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.503.80 1.98 1.92
11.02.24 Stuttgart – Mainz 3–1 (2–0) 1.444.507.50 1.73 2.10
07.02.24 Mainz – Union Berlin 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.303.50 2.20 1.67
03.02.24 Mainz – Werder Bremen 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.50 2.00 1.90

Hoffenheim all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.04.24 Hoffenheim – Augsburg 3–1 (2–0) 2.204.002.90 1.44 2.75
30.03.24 Leverkusen – Hoffenheim 2–1 (0–1) 1.207.5012.00 1.30 3.50
16.03.24 Hoffenheim – Stuttgart 0–3 (0–2) 3.804.001.83 1.44 2.75
10.03.24 Ein Frankfurt – Hoffenheim 3–1 (1–1) 2.004.003.30 1.57 2.38
03.03.24 Hoffenheim – Werder Bremen 2–1 (2–0) 1.914.003.60 1.57 2.38
25.02.24 Dortmund – Hoffenheim 2–3 (2–1) 1.505.005.50 1.33 3.40
17.02.24 Hoffenheim – Union Berlin 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.73 2.10
11.02.24 Hoffenheim – FC Koln 1–1 (0–0) 1.803.804.33 1.62 2.30
04.02.24 Wolfsburg – Hoffenheim 2–2 (0–1) 2.103.753.20 1.62 2.30
27.01.24 Hoffenheim – Heidenheim 1–1 (1–1) 1.674.504.33 1.50 2.50

Mainz at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Mainz – Darmstadt 4–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.67 2.20
16.03.24 Mainz – Bochum 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.804.33 1.80 2.00
02.03.24 Mainz – M'gladbach 1–1 (1–0) 1.913.753.75 1.80 2.00
17.02.24 Mainz – Augsburg 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.503.80 1.98 1.92
07.02.24 Mainz – Union Berlin 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.303.50 2.20 1.67
03.02.24 Mainz – Werder Bremen 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.50 2.00 1.90
13.01.24 Mainz – Wolfsburg 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.25 1.98 1.92
16.12.23 Mainz – Heidenheim 0–1 (0–1) 1.674.204.75 1.67 2.20
03.12.23 Mainz – Freiburg 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.96 1.94
04.11.23 Mainz – RB Leipzig 2–0 (0–0) 5.754.201.60 1.62 2.30

Hoffenheim away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.03.24 Leverkusen – Hoffenheim 2–1 (0–1) 1.207.5012.00 1.30 3.50
10.03.24 Ein Frankfurt – Hoffenheim 3–1 (1–1) 2.004.003.30 1.57 2.38
25.02.24 Dortmund – Hoffenheim 2–3 (2–1) 1.505.005.50 1.33 3.40
04.02.24 Wolfsburg – Hoffenheim 2–2 (0–1) 2.103.753.20 1.62 2.30
20.01.24 Freiburg – Hoffenheim 3–2 (1–0) 2.003.803.40 1.62 2.30
12.01.24 Bayern Munich – Hoffenheim 3–0 (1–0) 1.149.0012.00 1.22 4.33
16.12.23 RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim 3–1 (1–1) 1.455.006.00 1.36 3.20
02.12.23 M'gladbach – Hoffenheim 2–1 (0–0) 2.204.002.88 1.36 3.20
11.11.23 Augsburg – Hoffenheim 1–1 (0–1) 2.633.602.55 1.50 2.63
28.10.23 Stuttgart – Hoffenheim 2–3 (0–2) 1.854.003.80 1.50 2.63

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Mainz winsDrawsHoffenheim wins
5matches
2.40goals / match
20%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.11.23D1 Hoffenheim – Mainz 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.803.80 1.57 2.38
04.03.23D1 Mainz – Hoffenheim 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10
10.09.22D1 Hoffenheim – Mainz 4–1 (0–0) 2.253.752.90 1.66 2.20
05.02.22D1 Mainz – Hoffenheim 2–0 (0–0) 2.603.402.70 1.72 2.10
11.09.21D1 Hoffenheim – Mainz 0–2 (0–1) 2.003.753.50 1.57 2.37

Germany Bundesliga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 28 24 4 0 69 19 +50 76
2 Bayern Munich 28 19 3 6 80 36 +44 60
3 Stuttgart 28 19 3 6 64 34 +30 60
4 RB Leipzig 28 16 5 7 64 33 +31 53
5 Dortmund 28 15 8 5 55 33 +22 53
6 Ein Frankfurt 28 10 12 6 43 36 +7 42
7 Augsburg 29 10 9 10 47 46 +1 39
8 Hoffenheim 28 10 6 12 48 53 -5 36
9 Freiburg 28 10 6 12 40 52 -12 36
10 Heidenheim 28 8 9 11 41 49 -8 33
11 M'gladbach 28 7 10 11 49 54 -5 31
12 Werder Bremen 28 8 7 13 36 44 -8 31
13 Union Berlin 29 8 5 16 25 45 -20 29
14 Wolfsburg 28 7 7 14 34 47 -13 28
15 Bochum 28 5 11 12 33 58 -25 26
16 Mainz 28 4 11 13 26 46 -20 23
17 FC Koln 28 4 10 14 23 49 -26 22
18 Darmstadt 28 2 8 18 28 71 -43 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 14 12 2 0 38 8 +30 38
2 Bayern Munich 14 11 1 2 47 11 +36 34
3 Stuttgart 14 10 3 1 40 14 +26 33
4 RB Leipzig 14 9 3 2 32 10 +22 30
5 Dortmund 14 8 2 4 27 20 +7 26
6 Ein Frankfurt 14 6 7 1 23 13 +10 25
7 Augsburg 15 6 6 3 26 22 +4 24
8 Heidenheim 14 6 4 4 24 22 +2 22
9 Freiburg 14 5 5 4 25 26 -1 20
10 Union Berlin 14 6 2 6 16 20 -4 20
11 M'gladbach 14 5 4 5 25 23 +2 19
12 Bochum 14 4 7 3 22 21 +1 19
13 Werder Bremen 14 5 3 6 21 22 -1 18
14 Mainz 14 4 4 6 15 16 -1 16
15 Wolfsburg 14 4 4 6 20 22 -2 16
16 Hoffenheim 14 4 4 6 22 25 -3 16
17 FC Koln 14 3 3 8 12 24 -12 12
18 Darmstadt 14 1 3 10 15 36 -21 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 14 12 2 0 31 11 +20 38
2 Dortmund 14 7 6 1 28 13 +15 27
3 Stuttgart 14 9 0 5 24 20 +4 27
4 Bayern Munich 14 8 2 4 33 25 +8 26
5 RB Leipzig 14 7 2 5 32 23 +9 23
6 Hoffenheim 14 6 2 6 26 28 -2 20
7 Ein Frankfurt 14 4 5 5 20 23 -3 17
8 Freiburg 14 5 1 8 15 26 -11 16
9 Augsburg 14 4 3 7 21 24 -3 15
10 Werder Bremen 14 3 4 7 15 22 -7 13
11 M'gladbach 14 2 6 6 24 31 -7 12
12 Wolfsburg 14 3 3 8 14 25 -11 12
13 Heidenheim 14 2 5 7 17 27 -10 11
14 FC Koln 14 1 7 6 11 25 -14 10
15 Union Berlin 15 2 3 10 9 25 -16 9
16 Darmstadt 14 1 5 8 13 35 -22 8
17 Mainz 14 0 7 7 11 30 -19 7
18 Bochum 14 1 4 9 11 37 -26 7

Mainz   Hoffenheim

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bayern Munich 28 4 24 2.9 1.3 19 3 6 80 36 60
2 8 Hoffenheim 28 6 22 1.7 1.9 10 6 12 48 53 36
3 11 M'gladbach 28 6 22 1.8 1.9 7 10 11 49 54 31
4 1 Leverkusen 28 8 20 2.5 0.7 24 4 0 69 19 76
5 3 Stuttgart 28 8 20 2.3 1.2 19 3 6 64 34 60
6 9 Freiburg 28 8 20 1.4 1.9 10 6 12 40 52 36
7 4 RB Leipzig 28 9 19 2.3 1.2 16 5 7 64 33 53
8 15 Bochum 28 10 18 1.2 2.1 5 11 12 33 58 26
9 18 Darmstadt 28 10 18 1.0 2.5 2 8 18 28 71 14
10 7 Augsburg 29 12 17 1.6 1.6 10 9 10 47 46 39
11 5 Dortmund 28 12 16 2.0 1.2 15 8 5 55 33 53
12 10 Heidenheim 28 12 16 1.5 1.8 8 9 11 41 49 33
13 14 Wolfsburg 28 12 16 1.2 1.7 7 7 14 34 47 28
14 6 Ein Frankfurt 28 13 15 1.5 1.3 10 12 6 43 36 42
15 12 Werder Bremen 28 13 15 1.3 1.6 8 7 13 36 44 31
16 13 Union Berlin 29 17 12 0.9 1.6 8 5 16 25 45 29
17 16 Mainz 28 16 12 0.9 1.6 4 11 13 26 46 23
18 17 FC Koln 28 18 10 0.8 1.8 4 10 14 23 49 22
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 M'gladbach 14 2 12 1.8 1.6 5 4 5 25 23 19
2 1 Leverkusen 14 3 11 2.7 0.6 12 2 0 38 8 38
3 2 Bayern Munich 14 3 11 3.4 0.8 11 1 2 47 11 34
4 3 Stuttgart 14 4 10 2.9 1.0 10 3 1 40 14 33
5 8 Hoffenheim 14 4 10 1.6 1.8 4 4 6 22 25 16
6 18 Darmstadt 14 4 10 1.1 2.6 1 3 10 15 36 6
7 5 Dortmund 14 5 9 1.9 1.4 8 2 4 27 20 26
8 7 Augsburg 15 6 9 1.7 1.5 6 6 3 26 22 24
9 9 Freiburg 14 5 9 1.8 1.9 5 5 4 25 26 20
10 12 Werder Bremen 14 5 9 1.5 1.6 5 3 6 21 22 18
11 14 Wolfsburg 14 5 9 1.4 1.6 4 4 6 20 22 16
12 4 RB Leipzig 14 6 8 2.3 0.7 9 3 2 32 10 30
13 10 Heidenheim 14 6 8 1.7 1.6 6 4 4 24 22 22
14 15 Bochum 14 6 8 1.6 1.5 4 7 3 22 21 19
15 13 Union Berlin 14 7 7 1.1 1.4 6 2 6 16 20 20
16 6 Ein Frankfurt 14 8 6 1.6 0.9 6 7 1 23 13 25
17 17 FC Koln 14 8 6 0.9 1.7 3 3 8 12 24 12
18 16 Mainz 14 10 4 1.1 1.1 4 4 6 15 16 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bayern Munich 14 1 13 2.4 1.8 8 2 4 33 25 26
2 8 Hoffenheim 14 2 12 1.9 2.0 6 2 6 26 28 20
3 4 RB Leipzig 14 3 11 2.3 1.6 7 2 5 32 23 23
4 9 Freiburg 14 3 11 1.1 1.9 5 1 8 15 26 16
5 3 Stuttgart 14 4 10 1.7 1.4 9 0 5 24 20 27
6 11 M'gladbach 14 4 10 1.7 2.2 2 6 6 24 31 12
7 15 Bochum 14 4 10 0.8 2.6 1 4 9 11 37 7
8 1 Leverkusen 14 5 9 2.2 0.8 12 2 0 31 11 38
9 6 Ein Frankfurt 14 5 9 1.4 1.6 4 5 5 20 23 17
10 7 Augsburg 14 6 8 1.5 1.7 4 3 7 21 24 15
11 10 Heidenheim 14 6 8 1.2 1.9 2 5 7 17 27 11
12 16 Mainz 14 6 8 0.8 2.1 0 7 7 11 30 7
13 18 Darmstadt 14 6 8 0.9 2.5 1 5 8 13 35 8
14 5 Dortmund 14 7 7 2.0 0.9 7 6 1 28 13 27
15 14 Wolfsburg 14 7 7 1.0 1.8 3 3 8 14 25 12
16 12 Werder Bremen 14 8 6 1.1 1.6 3 4 7 15 22 13
17 13 Union Berlin 15 10 5 0.6 1.7 2 3 10 9 25 9
18 17 FC Koln 14 10 4 0.8 1.8 1 7 6 11 25 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51