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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Marseille 4–0 Lorient

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.38 fair 1.98
Draw 5.00 fair 4.50
Away 7.50 fair 3.66
Under 2.5 2.63 fair 2.75
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.57

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Marseille Lorient
15 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 1
10 Corners 0
18 Fouls 5
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (27 league matches this season so far).
Result Marseille to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.57
Expected goals 1.92 – 1.36
Home / Draw / Away
MarseilleDrawLorient
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.8% 2–1 9.4% 1–0 7.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Marseille before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.67scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 5:4
Lorient before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.67scored / match
2.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 5:8
Marseille all matches all matches Lorient

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.67
1.33 Goals conceded 2.67
3.00 Total goals 4.33
13.67 Shots 14.00
3.67 Shots on target 4.00
12.33 Shots faced 10.67
7.00 Corners 3.67
4.00 Corners against 4.67
10.33 Fouls 15.33
2.00 Yellow cards 3.67
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

33% Wins 33%
0% Draws 0%
67% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
33% Over 1.5 goals 67%
33% Over 2.5 goals 67%
33% Over 3.5 goals 67%
33% Over 4.5 goals 33%
33% Over 5.5 goals 33%
33% Both teams scored 33%
0% Clean sheets 33%
67% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
67% Draws 67%
0% Losses 0%
33% Over 0.5 goals 33%
33% Over 1.5 goals 0%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille all matches
Lorient all matches
Marseille before this match, at home
3.00points / match
5.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 5:2
Lorient before this match, away
0.00points / match
0.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 0:1
Marseille at home away Lorient

Per match

5.00 Goals scored 0.00
2.00 Goals conceded 1.00
7.00 Total goals 1.00
12.00 Shots 14.00
7.00 Shots on target 3.00
8.00 Shots faced 7.00
5.00 Corners 5.00
2.00 Corners against 4.00
9.00 Fouls 14.00
1.00 Yellow cards 2.00
2.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 0%
100% Over 2.5 goals 0%
100% Over 3.5 goals 0%
100% Over 4.5 goals 0%
100% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 0%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 100%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 100%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 0%
100% Over 1.5 goals 0%
100% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille at home
Lorient away

Last 10 matches before this match

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.25 Lyon – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 2.633.602.50 1.53 2.40
23.08.25 Marseille – Paris FC 5–2 (2–1) 1.385.007.50 1.65 2.20
15.08.25 Rennes – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.602.05 1.88 1.98
17.05.25 Marseille – Rennes 4–2 (3–1) 1.753.904.20 1.50 2.63
10.05.25 Le Havre – Marseille 1–3 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.57 2.38
04.05.25 Lille – Marseille 1–1 (0–0) 2.353.253.10 1.90 2.00
27.04.25 Marseille – Brest 4–1 (3–1) 1.504.506.00 1.53 2.50
19.04.25 Marseille – Montpellier 5–1 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00
12.04.25 Monaco – Marseille 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.803.40 1.53 2.50
06.04.25 Marseille – Toulouse 3–2 (1–1) 1.753.804.50 1.85 2.05

Lorient all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.25 Lorient – Lille 1–7 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 1.88 1.98
24.08.25 Lorient – Rennes 4–0 (1–0) 2.803.302.55 1.98 1.88
17.08.25 Auxerre – Lorient 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.303.00 1.90 1.95
10.05.25F2 Lorient – Martigues 5–1 (1–0) 1.574.105.50 1.53 2.40
02.05.25F2 Ajaccio – Lorient 2–1 (1–0) 6.003.901.55 1.95 1.90
26.04.25F2 Lorient – Caen 4–0 (2–0) 1.256.0013.00 1.57 2.35
21.04.25F2 Annecy – Lorient 0–0 (0–0) 5.254.001.60 1.98 1.88
12.04.25F2 Guingamp – Lorient 1–2 (0–0) 3.253.502.00 1.93 1.93
05.04.25F2 Lorient – Pau FC 5–0 (1–0) 1.424.507.00 1.62 2.25
29.03.25F2 Grenoble – Lorient 1–2 (1–2) 4.333.301.75 2.00 1.85

Marseille at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.08.25 Marseille – Paris FC 5–2 (2–1) 1.385.007.50 1.65 2.20
17.05.25 Marseille – Rennes 4–2 (3–1) 1.753.904.20 1.50 2.63
27.04.25 Marseille – Brest 4–1 (3–1) 1.504.506.00 1.53 2.50
19.04.25 Marseille – Montpellier 5–1 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00
06.04.25 Marseille – Toulouse 3–2 (1–1) 1.753.804.50 1.85 2.05
08.03.25 Marseille – Lens 0–1 (0–0) 1.534.336.00 1.62 2.30
02.03.25 Marseille – Nantes 2–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.62 2.30
15.02.25 Marseille – St Etienne 5–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.44 2.75
02.02.25 Marseille – Lyon 3–2 (0–0) 2.003.903.30 1.57 2.38
19.01.25 Marseille – Strasbourg 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.335.25 1.62 2.30

Lorient away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.08.25 Auxerre – Lorient 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.303.00 1.90 1.95
02.05.25F2 Ajaccio – Lorient 2–1 (1–0) 6.003.901.55 1.95 1.90
21.04.25F2 Annecy – Lorient 0–0 (0–0) 5.254.001.60 1.98 1.88
12.04.25F2 Guingamp – Lorient 1–2 (0–0) 3.253.502.00 1.93 1.93
29.03.25F2 Grenoble – Lorient 1–2 (1–2) 4.333.301.75 2.00 1.85
08.03.25F2 Paris FC – Lorient 3–2 (3–1) 2.603.102.75 2.25 1.62
14.02.25F2 Troyes – Lorient 0–1 (0–0) 3.902.902.10 2.25 1.62
01.02.25F2 Red Star – Lorient 1–2 (0–1) 4.203.751.70 1.75 2.05
18.01.25F2 Dunkerque – Lorient 0–1 (0–1) 2.902.902.55 2.05 1.75
04.01.25F2 Laval – Lorient 2–0 (0–0) 4.333.401.80 2.08 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Marseille winsDrawsLorient wins
6matches
3.67goals / match
83%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.05.24F1 Marseille – Lorient 3–1 (2–1) 1.445.006.50 1.53 2.50
10.12.23F1 Lorient – Marseille 2–4 (1–4) 4.753.601.80 1.97 1.93
09.04.23F1 Lorient – Marseille 0–0 (0–0) 5.004.201.65 1.67 2.20
14.01.23F1 Marseille – Lorient 3–1 (1–1) 1.405.007.50 1.62 2.30
08.05.22F1 Lorient – Marseille 0–3 (0–1) 3.803.801.85 1.85 2.05
17.10.21F1 Marseille – Lorient 4–1 (1–1) 1.504.336.50 1.72 2.10

France Ligue 1 table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 3 3 0 0 8 3 +5 9
2 Lyon 3 3 0 0 5 0 +5 9
3 Lille 3 2 1 0 11 4 +7 7
4 Monaco 3 2 0 1 6 4 +2 6
5 Lens 3 2 0 1 5 3 +2 6
6 Strasbourg 3 2 0 1 4 3 +1 6
7 Toulouse 3 2 0 1 6 6 0 6
8 Angers 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
9 Rennes 3 1 1 1 2 5 -3 4
10 Marseille 3 1 0 2 5 4 +1 3
11 Le Havre 3 1 0 2 5 6 -1 3
12 Nice 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
13 Nantes 3 1 0 2 1 2 -1 3
14 Auxerre 3 1 0 2 2 4 -2 3
15 Lorient 3 1 0 2 5 8 -3 3
16 Paris FC 3 1 0 2 5 8 -3 3
17 Brest 3 0 1 2 4 8 -4 1
18 Metz 3 0 0 3 2 7 -5 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lyon 2 2 0 0 4 0 +4 6
2 Monaco 2 2 0 0 6 3 +3 6
3 Angers 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
4 Marseille 1 1 0 0 5 2 +3 3
5 Le Havre 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3
6 Lens 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
7 Nice 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
8 Paris FC 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
9 Auxerre 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
10 Lille 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
11 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
12 Rennes 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
13 Strasbourg 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
14 Nantes 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
15 Toulouse 2 1 0 1 5 6 -1 3
16 Lorient 2 1 0 1 5 7 -2 3
17 Brest 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 1
18 Metz 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 7 3 +4 6
2 Lille 2 1 1 0 10 4 +6 4
3 Lens 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
4 Lyon 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
5 Toulouse 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
6 Strasbourg 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
7 Rennes 2 0 1 1 1 5 -4 1
8 Angers 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
9 Lorient 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
10 Monaco 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
11 Nantes 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
12 Le Havre 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0
13 Nice 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0
14 Marseille 2 0 0 2 0 2 -2 0
15 Auxerre 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
16 Metz 2 0 0 2 2 6 -4 0
17 Paris FC 2 0 0 2 2 6 -4 0
18 Brest 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0

Marseille   Lorient

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Le Havre 3 0 3 1.7 2.0 1 0 2 5 6 3
2 3 Lille 3 1 2 3.7 1.3 2 1 0 11 4 7
3 4 Monaco 3 1 2 2.0 1.3 2 0 1 6 4 6
4 5 Lens 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 2 0 1 5 3 6
5 12 Nice 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
6 15 Lorient 3 1 2 1.7 2.7 1 0 2 5 8 3
7 16 Paris FC 3 1 2 1.7 2.7 1 0 2 5 8 3
8 17 Brest 3 1 2 1.3 2.7 0 1 2 4 8 1
9 18 Metz 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 0 3 2 7 0
10 1 Paris SG 3 2 1 2.7 1.0 3 0 0 8 3 9
11 2 Lyon 3 2 1 1.7 0.0 3 0 0 5 0 9
12 6 Strasbourg 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 2 0 1 4 3 6
13 7 Toulouse 3 2 1 2.0 2.0 2 0 1 6 6 6
14 9 Rennes 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 1 1 1 2 5 4
15 10 Marseille 3 2 1 1.7 1.3 1 0 2 5 4 3
16 14 Auxerre 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 1 0 2 2 4 3
17 8 Angers 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4
18 13 Nantes 3 3 0 0.3 0.7 1 0 2 1 2 3
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Monaco 2 0 2 3.0 1.5 2 0 0 6 3 6
2 11 Le Havre 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3
3 15 Lorient 2 0 2 2.5 3.5 1 0 1 5 7 3
4 2 Lyon 2 1 1 2.0 0.0 2 0 0 4 0 6
5 5 Lens 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
6 7 Toulouse 2 1 1 2.5 3.0 1 0 1 5 6 3
7 10 Marseille 1 0 1 5.0 2.0 1 0 0 5 2 3
8 12 Nice 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
9 16 Paris FC 1 0 1 3.0 2.0 1 0 0 3 2 3
10 17 Brest 1 0 1 3.0 3.0 0 1 0 3 3 1
11 1 Paris SG 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
12 3 Lille 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
13 6 Strasbourg 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
14 8 Angers 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
15 9 Rennes 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
16 13 Nantes 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
17 14 Auxerre 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
18 18 Metz 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Lille 2 0 2 5.0 2.0 1 1 0 10 4 4
2 18 Metz 2 0 2 1.0 3.0 0 0 2 2 6 0
3 1 Paris SG 2 1 1 3.5 1.5 2 0 0 7 3 6
4 5 Lens 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
5 6 Strasbourg 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
6 9 Rennes 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 1 1 1 5 1
7 11 Le Havre 1 0 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 1 1 3 0
8 12 Nice 1 0 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 1 1 3 0
9 14 Auxerre 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
10 16 Paris FC 2 1 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 2 2 6 0
11 17 Brest 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0
12 2 Lyon 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
13 4 Monaco 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
14 7 Toulouse 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
15 8 Angers 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
16 10 Marseille 2 2 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 2 0 2 0
17 13 Nantes 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
18 15 Lorient 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40