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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Marseille 3–1 Lorient

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.40 fair 2.01
Draw 5.00 fair 4.34
Away 7.50 fair 3.68
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.48
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.67

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Marseille Lorient
16 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 3
14 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (181 league matches this season so far).
Result Marseille to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.65
Expected goals 1.81 – 1.28
Home / Draw / Away
MarseilleDrawLorient
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.5% 2–1 9.5% 1–0 8.2%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Marseille before this match, all matches
2.17points / match
2.00scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 36:15
Lorient before this match, all matches
1.78points / match
1.67scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 30:26
Marseille all matches all matches Lorient

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.67
0.83 Goals conceded 1.44
2.83 Total goals 3.11
13.61 Shots 11.56
5.06 Shots on target 4.72
11.39 Shots faced 14.72
5.44 Corners 4.06
4.72 Corners against 5.28
14.44 Fouls 9.78
1.94 Yellow cards 1.22
0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.78
0.28 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

67% Wins 50%
17% Draws 28%
17% Losses 22%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
78% Over 1.5 goals 83%
56% Over 2.5 goals 72%
22% Over 3.5 goals 39%
17% Over 4.5 goals 11%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
56% Both teams scored 78%
33% Clean sheets 17%
11% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 33%
39% Draws 39%
11% Losses 28%
78% Over 0.5 goals 78%
39% Over 1.5 goals 44%
6% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille all matches
Lorient all matches
Marseille before this match, at home
2.11points / match
2.00scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 18:8
Lorient before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.78scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 16:13
Marseille at home away Lorient

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.78
0.89 Goals conceded 1.44
2.89 Total goals 3.22
13.78 Shots 11.33
4.78 Shots on target 4.22
9.89 Shots faced 16.00
6.67 Corners 4.89
4.11 Corners against 5.22
15.44 Fouls 9.33
2.33 Yellow cards 1.00
0.78 1st-half goals scored 0.78
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

67% Wins 56%
11% Draws 33%
22% Losses 11%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 78%
56% Over 2.5 goals 67%
22% Over 3.5 goals 44%
22% Over 4.5 goals 11%
11% Over 5.5 goals 11%
67% Both teams scored 78%
22% Clean sheets 22%
11% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 22%
56% Draws 44%
11% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 78%
44% Over 1.5 goals 44%
0% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille at home
Lorient away

Last 10 matches before this match

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.01.23 Troyes – Marseille 0–2 (0–1) 5.004.001.67 1.73 2.10
02.01.23 Montpellier – Marseille 1–2 (0–0) 4.504.001.73 1.67 2.20
29.12.22 Marseille – Toulouse 6–1 (2–0) 1.504.506.00 1.62 2.30
13.11.22 Monaco – Marseille 2–3 (1–1) 2.303.602.90 1.66 2.20
06.11.22 Marseille – Lyon 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.503.20 1.72 2.10
29.10.22 Strasbourg – Marseille 2–2 (0–2) 2.903.502.37 1.89 2.01
22.10.22 Marseille – Lens 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.94 1.96
16.10.22 Paris SG – Marseille 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.50 1.44 2.75
08.10.22 Marseille – Ajaccio 1–2 (1–1) 1.334.7510.00 1.90 2.00
30.09.22 Angers – Marseille 0–3 (0–1) 4.503.801.72 1.80 2.00

Lorient all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.01.23 Lorient – Monaco 2–2 (0–0) 3.803.751.91 1.73 2.10
01.01.23 Angers – Lorient 1–2 (1–0) 2.753.402.50 1.92 1.98
29.12.22 Lorient – Montpellier 0–2 (0–2) 1.953.753.75 1.80 2.00
13.11.22 Strasbourg – Lorient 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.503.30 1.80 2.00
06.11.22 Lorient – Paris SG 1–2 (0–1) 9.506.501.28 1.40 3.00
30.10.22 Lorient – Nice 1–2 (1–0) 2.453.402.87 2.10 1.72
23.10.22 Troyes – Lorient 2–2 (1–0) 2.303.503.00 1.86 2.04
15.10.22 Lorient – Reims 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.25 1.89 2.01
09.10.22 Brest – Lorient 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.503.00 1.90 2.00
02.10.22 Lorient – Lille 2–1 (1–0) 2.873.602.37 1.72 2.10

Marseille at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.22 Marseille – Toulouse 6–1 (2–0) 1.504.506.00 1.62 2.30
06.11.22 Marseille – Lyon 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.503.20 1.72 2.10
22.10.22 Marseille – Lens 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.94 1.96
08.10.22 Marseille – Ajaccio 1–2 (1–1) 1.334.7510.00 1.90 2.00
18.09.22 Marseille – Rennes 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.603.60 1.80 2.00
10.09.22 Marseille – Lille 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.753.75 1.72 2.10
31.08.22 Marseille – Clermont 1–0 (0–0) 1.365.008.50 1.66 2.20
20.08.22 Marseille – Nantes 2–1 (0–0) 1.604.205.50 1.83 2.07
07.08.22 Marseille – Reims 4–1 (2–0) 1.574.205.50 1.96 1.94
21.05.22 Marseille – Strasbourg 4–0 (1–0) 2.053.603.60 1.72 2.10

Lorient away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.23 Angers – Lorient 1–2 (1–0) 2.753.402.50 1.92 1.98
13.11.22 Strasbourg – Lorient 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.503.30 1.80 2.00
23.10.22 Troyes – Lorient 2–2 (1–0) 2.303.503.00 1.86 2.04
09.10.22 Brest – Lorient 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.503.00 1.90 2.00
16.09.22 Auxerre – Lorient 1–3 (0–3) 2.703.302.60 1.96 1.94
04.09.22 Ajaccio – Lorient 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.202.90 2.20 1.66
31.08.22 Lens – Lorient 5–2 (2–1) 1.534.006.50 1.72 2.10
21.08.22 Toulouse – Lorient 2–2 (1–1) 2.053.503.60 2.03 1.87
07.08.22 Rennes – Lorient 0–1 (0–0) 1.365.258.50 1.61 2.30
14.05.22 Bordeaux – Lorient 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.602.80 1.66 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Marseille winsDrawsLorient wins
2matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.05.22F1 Lorient – Marseille 0–3 (0–1) 3.803.801.85 1.85 2.05
17.10.21F1 Marseille – Lorient 4–1 (1–1) 1.504.336.50 1.72 2.10

France Ligue 1 table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 18 15 2 1 48 13 +35 47
2 Lens 19 13 5 1 32 13 +19 44
3 Marseille 18 12 3 3 36 15 +21 39
4 Rennes 18 10 4 4 35 20 +15 34
5 Monaco 18 10 4 4 35 25 +10 34
6 Lorient 18 9 5 4 30 26 +4 32
7 Lille 18 9 4 5 30 24 +6 31
8 Lyon 18 7 4 7 27 21 +6 25
9 Clermont 18 7 4 7 22 26 -4 25
10 Nice 18 6 6 6 22 20 +2 24
11 Reims 18 5 9 4 21 23 -2 24
12 Toulouse 18 6 4 8 28 33 -5 22
13 Troyes 18 4 6 8 29 35 -6 18
14 Nantes 18 3 9 6 18 24 -6 18
15 Montpellier 18 5 2 11 28 37 -9 17
16 Ajaccio 18 4 3 11 15 27 -12 15
17 Brest 18 3 5 10 18 33 -15 14
18 Auxerre 19 3 4 12 16 41 -25 13
19 Strasbourg 18 1 9 8 22 33 -11 12
20 Angers 18 2 2 14 16 39 -23 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lens 10 10 0 0 22 7 +15 30
2 Paris SG 9 8 1 0 23 8 +15 25
3 Rennes 9 8 0 1 23 7 +16 24
4 Marseille 9 6 1 2 18 8 +10 19
5 Lyon 9 5 2 2 16 7 +9 17
6 Lille 9 5 2 2 16 16 0 17
7 Toulouse 9 4 3 2 15 14 +1 15
8 Nantes 9 3 5 1 12 9 +3 14
9 Monaco 9 4 2 3 16 15 +1 14
10 Lorient 9 4 2 3 14 13 +1 14
11 Clermont 9 4 1 4 10 16 -6 13
12 Nice 9 3 3 3 12 10 +2 12
13 Reims 8 3 3 2 10 11 -1 12
14 Montpellier 9 3 1 5 12 15 -3 10
15 Troyes 9 1 6 2 10 13 -3 9
16 Auxerre 9 2 3 4 9 17 -8 9
17 Ajaccio 9 2 1 6 7 14 -7 7
18 Brest 9 1 4 4 7 17 -10 7
19 Strasbourg 10 0 6 4 11 18 -7 6
20 Angers 9 1 1 7 10 20 -10 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 9 7 1 1 25 5 +20 22
2 Marseille 9 6 2 1 18 7 +11 20
3 Monaco 9 6 2 1 19 10 +9 20
4 Lorient 9 5 3 1 16 13 +3 18
5 Lille 9 4 2 3 14 8 +6 14
6 Lens 9 3 5 1 10 6 +4 14
7 Clermont 9 3 3 3 12 10 +2 12
8 Nice 9 3 3 3 10 10 0 12
9 Reims 10 2 6 2 11 12 -1 12
10 Rennes 9 2 4 3 12 13 -1 10
11 Troyes 9 3 0 6 19 22 -3 9
12 Lyon 9 2 2 5 11 14 -3 8
13 Ajaccio 9 2 2 5 8 13 -5 8
14 Brest 9 2 1 6 11 16 -5 7
15 Montpellier 9 2 1 6 16 22 -6 7
16 Toulouse 9 2 1 6 13 19 -6 7
17 Strasbourg 8 1 3 4 11 15 -4 6
18 Nantes 9 0 4 5 6 15 -9 4
19 Angers 9 1 1 7 6 19 -13 4
20 Auxerre 10 1 1 8 7 24 -17 4

Marseille   Lorient

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Rennes 18 5 13 1.9 1.1 10 4 4 35 20 34
2 6 Lorient 18 5 13 1.7 1.4 9 5 4 30 26 32
3 1 Paris SG 18 6 12 2.7 0.7 15 2 1 48 13 47
4 12 Toulouse 18 6 12 1.6 1.8 6 4 8 28 33 22
5 13 Troyes 18 6 12 1.6 1.9 4 6 8 29 35 18
6 15 Montpellier 18 6 12 1.6 2.1 5 2 11 28 37 17
7 20 Angers 18 6 12 0.9 2.2 2 2 14 16 39 8
8 18 Auxerre 19 8 11 0.8 2.2 3 4 12 16 41 13
9 19 Strasbourg 18 7 11 1.2 1.8 1 9 8 22 33 12
10 3 Marseille 18 8 10 2.0 0.8 12 3 3 36 15 39
11 5 Monaco 18 8 10 1.9 1.4 10 4 4 35 25 34
12 7 Lille 18 8 10 1.7 1.3 9 4 5 30 24 31
13 2 Lens 19 10 9 1.7 0.7 13 5 1 32 13 44
14 8 Lyon 18 9 9 1.5 1.2 7 4 7 27 21 25
15 9 Clermont 18 9 9 1.2 1.4 7 4 7 22 26 25
16 17 Brest 18 9 9 1.0 1.8 3 5 10 18 33 14
17 14 Nantes 18 10 8 1.0 1.3 3 9 6 18 24 18
18 16 Ajaccio 18 10 8 0.8 1.5 4 3 11 15 27 15
19 10 Nice 18 11 7 1.2 1.1 6 6 6 22 20 24
20 11 Reims 18 11 7 1.2 1.3 5 9 4 21 23 24
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Rennes 9 1 8 2.6 0.8 8 0 1 23 7 24
2 20 Angers 9 1 8 1.1 2.2 1 1 7 10 20 4
3 6 Lorient 9 2 7 1.6 1.4 4 2 3 14 13 14
4 2 Lens 10 4 6 2.2 0.7 10 0 0 22 7 30
5 15 Montpellier 9 3 6 1.3 1.7 3 1 5 12 15 10
6 19 Strasbourg 10 4 6 1.1 1.8 0 6 4 11 18 6
7 1 Paris SG 9 4 5 2.6 0.9 8 1 0 23 8 25
8 3 Marseille 9 4 5 2.0 0.9 6 1 2 18 8 19
9 5 Monaco 9 4 5 1.8 1.7 4 2 3 16 15 14
10 7 Lille 9 4 5 1.8 1.8 5 2 2 16 16 17
11 9 Clermont 9 4 5 1.1 1.8 4 1 4 10 16 13
12 12 Toulouse 9 4 5 1.7 1.6 4 3 2 15 14 15
13 8 Lyon 9 5 4 1.8 0.8 5 2 2 16 7 17
14 11 Reims 8 4 4 1.2 1.4 3 3 2 10 11 12
15 13 Troyes 9 5 4 1.1 1.4 1 6 2 10 13 9
16 14 Nantes 9 5 4 1.3 1.0 3 5 1 12 9 14
17 16 Ajaccio 9 5 4 0.8 1.6 2 1 6 7 14 7
18 17 Brest 9 5 4 0.8 1.9 1 4 4 7 17 7
19 18 Auxerre 9 5 4 1.0 1.9 2 3 4 9 17 9
20 10 Nice 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 3 3 3 12 10 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Troyes 9 1 8 2.1 2.4 3 0 6 19 22 9
2 1 Paris SG 9 2 7 2.8 0.6 7 1 1 25 5 22
3 12 Toulouse 9 2 7 1.4 2.1 2 1 6 13 19 7
4 18 Auxerre 10 3 7 0.7 2.4 1 1 8 7 24 4
5 6 Lorient 9 3 6 1.8 1.4 5 3 1 16 13 18
6 15 Montpellier 9 3 6 1.8 2.4 2 1 6 16 22 7
7 3 Marseille 9 4 5 2.0 0.8 6 2 1 18 7 20
8 4 Rennes 9 4 5 1.3 1.4 2 4 3 12 13 10
9 5 Monaco 9 4 5 2.1 1.1 6 2 1 19 10 20
10 7 Lille 9 4 5 1.6 0.9 4 2 3 14 8 14
11 8 Lyon 9 4 5 1.2 1.6 2 2 5 11 14 8
12 17 Brest 9 4 5 1.2 1.8 2 1 6 11 16 7
13 19 Strasbourg 8 3 5 1.4 1.9 1 3 4 11 15 6
14 9 Clermont 9 5 4 1.3 1.1 3 3 3 12 10 12
15 10 Nice 9 5 4 1.1 1.1 3 3 3 10 10 12
16 14 Nantes 9 5 4 0.7 1.7 0 4 5 6 15 4
17 16 Ajaccio 9 5 4 0.9 1.4 2 2 5 8 13 8
18 20 Angers 9 5 4 0.7 2.1 1 1 7 6 19 4
19 2 Lens 9 6 3 1.1 0.7 3 5 1 10 6 14
20 11 Reims 10 7 3 1.1 1.2 2 6 2 11 12 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51