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France Ligue 1 ·

Marseille 3–1 Lorient

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.44 fair 1.68
Draw 5.00 fair 4.74
Away 6.50 fair 5.20
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 2.48
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.68

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Marseille Lorient
13 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 3
9 Corners 5
9 Fouls 6
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (288 league matches this season so far).
Result Marseille to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.76
Expected goals 2.03 – 1.06
Home / Draw / Away
MarseilleDrawLorient
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.9% 1–1 9.8% 2–0 9.4%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Marseille before this match, all matches
1.42points / match
1.52scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 47:38
Lorient before this match, all matches
0.81points / match
1.16scored / match
1.97conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 37:63
Marseille all matches all matches Lorient

Per match

1.52 Goals scored 1.16
1.23 Goals conceded 1.97
2.74 Total goals 3.13
13.71 Shots 10.09
4.61 Shots on target 3.91
10.94 Shots faced 15.97
5.23 Corners 3.78
4.81 Corners against 5.63
11.13 Fouls 11.75
1.84 Yellow cards 1.84
0.87 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

35% Wins 19%
35% Draws 25%
29% Losses 56%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
81% Over 1.5 goals 81%
48% Over 2.5 goals 63%
32% Over 3.5 goals 34%
13% Over 4.5 goals 22%
6% Over 5.5 goals 13%
55% Both teams scored 53%
23% Clean sheets 9%
29% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 16%
45% Draws 59%
16% Losses 25%
74% Over 0.5 goals 56%
42% Over 1.5 goals 41%
13% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille all matches
Lorient all matches
Marseille before this match, at home
2.06points / match
1.75scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 28:12
Lorient before this match, away
0.81points / match
1.00scored / match
2.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 16:33
Marseille at home away Lorient

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 1.00
0.75 Goals conceded 2.06
2.50 Total goals 3.06
14.31 Shots 9.63
5.31 Shots on target 3.88
10.19 Shots faced 16.50
5.13 Corners 3.44
4.88 Corners against 5.19
9.50 Fouls 11.69
1.31 Yellow cards 2.06
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.31 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

56% Wins 19%
38% Draws 25%
6% Losses 56%
88% Over 0.5 goals 94%
88% Over 1.5 goals 81%
50% Over 2.5 goals 63%
19% Over 3.5 goals 31%
6% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
50% Both teams scored 44%
44% Clean sheets 6%
19% Failed to score 56%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 6%
38% Draws 69%
6% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 50%
44% Over 1.5 goals 38%
13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille at home
Lorient away

Last 10 matches before this match

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.04.24 Marseille – Lens 2–1 (1–0) 2.403.402.90 1.98 1.92
24.04.24 Marseille – Nice 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.403.25 2.06 1.84
21.04.24 Toulouse – Marseille 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.302.55 1.99 1.91
05.04.24 Lille – Marseille 3–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.75 2.08 1.82
31.03.24 Marseille – Paris SG 0–2 (0–0) 3.253.802.05 1.60 2.30
17.03.24 Rennes – Marseille 2–0 (1–0) 2.503.302.88 1.93 1.97
10.03.24 Marseille – Nantes 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 1.87 2.03
02.03.24 Clermont – Marseille 1–5 (0–1) 4.203.601.85 1.91 1.99
25.02.24 Marseille – Montpellier 4–1 (2–1) 1.704.004.75 1.84 2.06
18.02.24 Brest – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.003.10 2.15 1.67

Lorient all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.24 Lens – Lorient 2–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.50 1.57 2.38
28.04.24 Lorient – Toulouse 1–2 (1–0) 2.603.402.63 2.04 1.86
24.04.24 Lorient – Paris SG 1–4 (0–2) 7.505.001.40 1.50 2.63
19.04.24 Nice – Lorient 3–0 (1–0) 1.534.335.75 1.91 1.99
07.04.24 Montpellier – Lorient 2–0 (0–0) 1.753.804.50 1.70 2.10
31.03.24 Lorient – Brest 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.301.95 2.20 1.65
17.03.24 Monaco – Lorient 2–2 (1–1) 1.365.009.00 1.53 2.40
09.03.24 Lorient – Lyon 0–2 (0–0) 3.303.402.20 2.00 1.90
03.03.24 Rennes – Lorient 1–2 (0–0) 1.404.758.00 1.75 2.05
24.02.24 Lorient – Nantes 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.202.80 2.15 1.67

Marseille at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.04.24 Marseille – Lens 2–1 (1–0) 2.403.402.90 1.98 1.92
24.04.24 Marseille – Nice 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.403.25 2.06 1.84
31.03.24 Marseille – Paris SG 0–2 (0–0) 3.253.802.05 1.60 2.30
10.03.24 Marseille – Nantes 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 1.87 2.03
25.02.24 Marseille – Montpellier 4–1 (2–1) 1.704.004.75 1.84 2.06
09.02.24 Marseille – Metz 1–1 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 2.00 1.90
27.01.24 Marseille – Monaco 2–2 (1–2) 2.403.602.75 1.70 2.10
12.01.24 Marseille – Strasbourg 1–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.50 2.08 1.73
17.12.23 Marseille – Clermont 2–1 (2–0) 1.405.007.00 1.73 2.08
06.12.23 Marseille – Lyon 3–0 (2–0) 1.673.804.75 1.75 2.05

Lorient away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.24 Lens – Lorient 2–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.50 1.57 2.38
19.04.24 Nice – Lorient 3–0 (1–0) 1.534.335.75 1.91 1.99
07.04.24 Montpellier – Lorient 2–0 (0–0) 1.753.804.50 1.70 2.10
17.03.24 Monaco – Lorient 2–2 (1–1) 1.365.009.00 1.53 2.40
03.03.24 Rennes – Lorient 1–2 (0–0) 1.404.758.00 1.75 2.05
18.02.24 Strasbourg – Lorient 1–3 (0–2) 1.703.805.00 1.99 1.91
04.02.24 Metz – Lorient 1–2 (1–1) 2.253.103.50 2.50 1.50
14.01.24 Lille – Lorient 3–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.00 1.73 2.08
20.12.23 Brest – Lorient 4–0 (4–0) 1.603.805.75 1.99 1.91
03.12.23 Toulouse – Lorient 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.254.00 1.99 1.91

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Marseille winsDrawsLorient wins
5matches
3.60goals / match
80%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.23F1 Lorient – Marseille 2–4 (1–4) 4.753.601.80 1.97 1.93
09.04.23F1 Lorient – Marseille 0–0 (0–0) 5.004.201.65 1.67 2.20
14.01.23F1 Marseille – Lorient 3–1 (1–1) 1.405.007.50 1.62 2.30
08.05.22F1 Lorient – Marseille 0–3 (0–1) 3.803.801.85 1.85 2.05
17.10.21F1 Marseille – Lorient 4–1 (1–1) 1.504.336.50 1.72 2.10

France Ligue 1 table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 31 20 10 1 76 29 +47 70
2 Monaco 32 18 7 7 62 42 +20 61
3 Brest 33 16 10 7 50 34 +16 58
4 Lille 32 15 10 7 48 31 +17 55
5 Nice 32 15 9 8 37 25 +12 54
6 Lens 32 14 7 11 42 34 +8 49
7 Lyon 32 14 5 13 46 54 -8 47
8 Rennes 32 12 9 11 51 43 +8 45
9 Marseille 31 11 11 9 47 38 +9 44
10 Montpellier 32 10 11 11 41 44 -3 41
11 Reims 32 11 8 13 39 46 -7 41
12 Toulouse 32 10 10 12 39 42 -3 40
13 Strasbourg 32 9 9 14 35 47 -12 36
14 Nantes 32 9 6 17 29 49 -20 33
15 Le Havre 33 7 11 15 33 43 -10 32
16 Metz 32 8 5 19 34 54 -20 29
17 Lorient 32 6 8 18 37 63 -26 26
18 Clermont 32 5 10 17 26 54 -28 25
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lille 16 11 3 2 32 12 +20 36
2 Paris SG 16 9 6 1 41 19 +22 33
3 Marseille 16 9 6 1 28 12 +16 33
4 Brest 17 8 7 2 25 14 +11 31
5 Nice 16 9 4 3 20 9 +11 31
6 Monaco 16 9 3 4 26 14 +12 30
7 Lens 16 9 3 4 25 16 +9 30
8 Rennes 16 7 3 6 33 25 +8 24
9 Lyon 16 6 4 6 23 28 -5 22
10 Reims 15 6 3 6 16 17 -1 21
11 Strasbourg 16 6 3 7 20 22 -2 21
12 Le Havre 16 6 2 8 17 17 0 20
13 Montpellier 16 3 9 4 20 21 -1 18
14 Toulouse 16 3 7 6 21 22 -1 16
15 Clermont 16 3 5 8 14 26 -12 14
16 Lorient 16 3 4 9 21 30 -9 13
17 Metz 16 3 3 10 17 25 -8 12
18 Nantes 16 3 3 10 16 28 -12 12
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 15 11 4 0 35 10 +25 37
2 Monaco 16 9 4 3 36 28 +8 31
3 Brest 16 8 3 5 25 20 +5 27
4 Lyon 16 8 1 7 23 26 -3 25
5 Toulouse 16 7 3 6 18 20 -2 24
6 Nice 16 6 5 5 17 16 +1 23
7 Montpellier 16 7 2 7 21 23 -2 23
8 Rennes 16 5 6 5 18 18 0 21
9 Nantes 16 6 3 7 13 21 -8 21
10 Reims 17 5 5 7 23 29 -6 20
11 Lens 16 5 4 7 17 18 -1 19
12 Lille 16 4 7 5 16 19 -3 19
13 Metz 16 5 2 9 17 29 -12 17
14 Strasbourg 16 3 6 7 15 25 -10 15
15 Lorient 16 3 4 9 16 33 -17 13
16 Le Havre 17 1 9 7 16 26 -10 12
17 Marseille 15 2 5 8 19 26 -7 11
18 Clermont 16 2 5 9 12 28 -16 11

Marseille   Lorient

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 31 11 20 2.5 0.9 20 10 1 76 29 70
2 2 Monaco 32 12 20 1.9 1.3 18 7 7 62 42 61
3 17 Lorient 32 12 20 1.2 2.0 6 8 18 37 63 26
4 7 Lyon 32 13 19 1.4 1.7 14 5 13 46 54 47
5 12 Toulouse 32 13 19 1.2 1.3 10 10 12 39 42 40
6 8 Rennes 32 14 18 1.6 1.3 12 9 11 51 43 45
7 11 Reims 32 14 18 1.2 1.4 11 8 13 39 46 41
8 13 Strasbourg 32 14 18 1.1 1.5 9 9 14 35 47 36
9 10 Montpellier 32 15 17 1.3 1.4 10 11 11 41 44 41
10 16 Metz 32 15 17 1.1 1.7 8 5 19 34 54 29
11 15 Le Havre 33 17 16 1.0 1.3 7 11 15 33 43 32
12 18 Clermont 32 16 16 0.8 1.7 5 10 17 26 54 25
13 9 Marseille 31 16 15 1.5 1.2 11 11 9 47 38 44
14 4 Lille 32 18 14 1.5 1.0 15 10 7 48 31 55
15 6 Lens 32 18 14 1.3 1.1 14 7 11 42 34 49
16 14 Nantes 32 18 14 0.9 1.5 9 6 17 29 49 33
17 3 Brest 33 21 12 1.5 1.0 16 10 7 50 34 58
18 5 Nice 32 21 11 1.2 0.8 15 9 8 37 25 54
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 16 3 13 2.6 1.2 9 6 1 41 19 33
2 8 Rennes 16 4 12 2.1 1.6 7 3 6 33 25 24
3 12 Toulouse 16 6 10 1.3 1.4 3 7 6 21 22 16
4 13 Strasbourg 16 6 10 1.2 1.4 6 3 7 20 22 21
5 17 Lorient 16 6 10 1.3 1.9 3 4 9 21 30 13
6 7 Lyon 16 7 9 1.4 1.8 6 4 6 23 28 22
7 16 Metz 16 7 9 1.1 1.6 3 3 10 17 25 12
8 2 Monaco 16 8 8 1.6 0.9 9 3 4 26 14 30
9 4 Lille 16 8 8 2.0 0.8 11 3 2 32 12 36
10 9 Marseille 16 8 8 1.8 0.8 9 6 1 28 12 33
11 10 Montpellier 16 8 8 1.2 1.3 3 9 4 20 21 18
12 11 Reims 15 8 7 1.1 1.1 6 3 6 16 17 21
13 14 Nantes 16 9 7 1.0 1.8 3 3 10 16 28 12
14 15 Le Havre 16 9 7 1.1 1.1 6 2 8 17 17 20
15 18 Clermont 16 9 7 0.9 1.6 3 5 8 14 26 14
16 6 Lens 16 10 6 1.6 1.0 9 3 4 25 16 30
17 3 Brest 17 12 5 1.5 0.8 8 7 2 25 14 31
18 5 Nice 16 11 5 1.2 0.6 9 4 3 20 9 31
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Monaco 16 4 12 2.2 1.8 9 4 3 36 28 31
2 11 Reims 17 6 11 1.4 1.7 5 5 7 23 29 20
3 7 Lyon 16 6 10 1.4 1.6 8 1 7 23 26 25
4 17 Lorient 16 6 10 1.0 2.1 3 4 9 16 33 13
5 10 Montpellier 16 7 9 1.3 1.4 7 2 7 21 23 23
6 12 Toulouse 16 7 9 1.1 1.2 7 3 6 18 20 24
7 15 Le Havre 17 8 9 0.9 1.5 1 9 7 16 26 12
8 18 Clermont 16 7 9 0.8 1.8 2 5 9 12 28 11
9 6 Lens 16 8 8 1.1 1.1 5 4 7 17 18 19
10 13 Strasbourg 16 8 8 0.9 1.6 3 6 7 15 25 15
11 16 Metz 16 8 8 1.1 1.8 5 2 9 17 29 17
12 1 Paris SG 15 8 7 2.3 0.7 11 4 0 35 10 37
13 3 Brest 16 9 7 1.6 1.2 8 3 5 25 20 27
14 9 Marseille 15 8 7 1.3 1.7 2 5 8 19 26 11
15 14 Nantes 16 9 7 0.8 1.3 6 3 7 13 21 21
16 4 Lille 16 10 6 1.0 1.2 4 7 5 16 19 19
17 5 Nice 16 10 6 1.1 1.0 6 5 5 17 16 23
18 8 Rennes 16 10 6 1.1 1.1 5 6 5 18 18 21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51