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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Marseille 3–2 Toulouse

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.75 fair 2.15
Draw 3.80 fair 4.22
Away 4.50 fair 3.34
Under 2.5 2.05 fair 2.40
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.85 fair 1.71

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Marseille Toulouse
9 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 1
11 Fouls 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (251 league matches this season so far).
Result Marseille to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.66
Expected goals 1.71 – 1.33
Home / Draw / Away
MarseilleDrawToulouse
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 2–1 9.3% 1–0 8.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Marseille before this match, all matches
1.81points / match
2.00scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 54:36
Toulouse before this match, all matches
1.26points / match
1.30scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 35:33
Marseille all matches all matches Toulouse

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.30
1.33 Goals conceded 1.22
3.33 Total goals 2.52
14.00 Shots 11.93
5.96 Shots on target 4.48
9.44 Shots faced 9.81
5.11 Corners 4.81
3.22 Corners against 3.89
11.30 Fouls 13.07
1.89 Yellow cards 1.52
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

56% Wins 33%
15% Draws 26%
30% Losses 41%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
93% Over 1.5 goals 81%
63% Over 2.5 goals 48%
44% Over 3.5 goals 19%
22% Over 4.5 goals 7%
11% Over 5.5 goals 4%
63% Both teams scored 52%
19% Clean sheets 33%
19% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 22%
33% Draws 48%
33% Losses 30%
74% Over 0.5 goals 56%
33% Over 1.5 goals 26%
19% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille all matches
Toulouse all matches
Marseille before this match, at home
1.69points / match
1.92scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 25:17
Toulouse before this match, away
1.38points / match
1.46scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 19:15
Marseille at home away Toulouse

Per match

1.92 Goals scored 1.46
1.31 Goals conceded 1.15
3.23 Total goals 2.62
15.23 Shots 11.08
6.15 Shots on target 4.31
9.00 Shots faced 10.85
5.31 Corners 4.08
2.69 Corners against 4.46
12.85 Fouls 13.69
2.15 Yellow cards 1.62
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.62
0.62 1st-half goals conceded 0.15

How often Full Time

46% Wins 38%
31% Draws 23%
23% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
92% Over 1.5 goals 85%
54% Over 2.5 goals 54%
38% Over 3.5 goals 23%
23% Over 4.5 goals 8%
15% Over 5.5 goals 0%
69% Both teams scored 38%
15% Clean sheets 38%
15% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 38%
31% Draws 46%
31% Losses 15%
69% Over 0.5 goals 54%
23% Over 1.5 goals 15%
23% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille at home
Toulouse away

Last 10 matches before this match

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.25 Reims – Marseille 3–1 (1–0) 5.504.201.57 1.73 2.10
16.03.25 Paris SG – Marseille 3–1 (2–0) 1.455.006.00 1.37 3.00
08.03.25 Marseille – Lens 0–1 (0–0) 1.534.336.00 1.62 2.30
02.03.25 Marseille – Nantes 2–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.62 2.30
22.02.25 Auxerre – Marseille 3–0 (1–0) 5.504.331.55 1.62 2.30
15.02.25 Marseille – St Etienne 5–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.44 2.75
09.02.25 Angers – Marseille 0–2 (0–0) 5.504.001.62 1.85 2.05
02.02.25 Marseille – Lyon 3–2 (0–0) 2.003.903.30 1.57 2.38
26.01.25 Nice – Marseille 2–0 (1–0) 2.803.502.45 1.73 2.10
19.01.25 Marseille – Strasbourg 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.335.25 1.62 2.30

Toulouse all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.03.25 Toulouse – Brest 2–4 (0–2) 2.003.254.10 2.10 1.73
16.03.25 Strasbourg – Toulouse 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.253.25 2.05 1.68
07.03.25 Toulouse – Monaco 1–1 (0–1) 3.253.502.15 1.73 2.10
02.03.25 Angers – Toulouse 0–4 (0–0) 3.303.102.35 2.30 1.62
23.02.25 Le Havre – Toulouse 1–4 (0–1) 4.003.401.95 2.10 1.73
15.02.25 Toulouse – Paris SG 0–1 (0–0) 5.754.751.50 1.53 2.50
09.02.25 Auxerre – Toulouse 2–2 (0–0) 3.003.402.35 2.01 1.89
02.02.25 Toulouse – Nice 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.402.75 1.95 1.95
26.01.25 Toulouse – Montpellier 1–2 (0–0) 1.624.005.25 1.73 2.10
18.01.25 Lyon – Toulouse 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.904.00 1.73 2.10

Marseille at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.25 Marseille – Lens 0–1 (0–0) 1.534.336.00 1.62 2.30
02.03.25 Marseille – Nantes 2–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.62 2.30
15.02.25 Marseille – St Etienne 5–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.44 2.75
02.02.25 Marseille – Lyon 3–2 (0–0) 2.003.903.30 1.57 2.38
19.01.25 Marseille – Strasbourg 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.335.25 1.62 2.30
05.01.25 Marseille – Le Havre 5–1 (3–0) 1.306.008.00 1.62 2.30
14.12.24 Marseille – Lille 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.30 1.89 2.01
01.12.24 Marseille – Monaco 2–1 (0–1) 2.633.402.63 1.57 2.38
08.11.24 Marseille – Auxerre 1–3 (0–3) 1.405.007.50 1.50 2.63
27.10.24 Marseille – Paris SG 0–3 (0–3) 3.903.701.90 1.53 2.50

Toulouse away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.25 Strasbourg – Toulouse 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.253.25 2.05 1.68
02.03.25 Angers – Toulouse 0–4 (0–0) 3.303.102.35 2.30 1.62
23.02.25 Le Havre – Toulouse 1–4 (0–1) 4.003.401.95 2.10 1.73
09.02.25 Auxerre – Toulouse 2–2 (0–0) 3.003.402.35 2.01 1.89
18.01.25 Lyon – Toulouse 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.904.00 1.73 2.10
05.01.25 Lens – Toulouse 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.404.33 2.06 1.84
07.12.24 Monaco – Toulouse 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 1.73 2.10
22.11.24 Paris SG – Toulouse 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.00 1.50 2.63
10.11.24 Rennes – Toulouse 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.403.40 2.00 1.80
27.10.24 Montpellier – Toulouse 0–3 (0–3) 3.103.602.20 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Marseille winsDrawsToulouse wins
5matches
4.00goals / match
80%over 2.5
80%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.24F1 Toulouse – Marseille 1–3 (0–2) 3.803.801.90 1.80 2.00
21.04.24F1 Toulouse – Marseille 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.302.55 1.99 1.91
17.09.23F1 Marseille – Toulouse 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.756.00 1.57 2.38
19.02.23F1 Toulouse – Marseille 2–3 (1–0) 3.803.751.91 1.67 2.20
29.12.22F1 Marseille – Toulouse 6–1 (2–0) 1.504.506.00 1.62 2.30

France Ligue 1 table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Paris SG 28 23 5 0 80 26 +54 74 WWWWWW
2 Monaco 28 15 5 8 54 35 +19 50 LWDWWL
3 Marseille 27 15 4 8 54 36 +18 49 WLWLLL
4 Strasbourg 28 14 7 7 46 35 +11 49 DWWWWW
5 Lyon 28 14 6 8 54 38 +16 48 LWWWLW
6 Nice 28 13 8 7 52 35 +17 47 WWLDLL
7 Lille 28 13 8 7 42 30 +12 47 WLWLWL
8 Brest 28 13 4 11 44 43 +1 43 DLWDWW
9 Lens 28 12 6 10 32 30 +2 42 LLWWLW
10 Auxerre 28 10 8 10 39 39 0 38 WLWDWW
11 Toulouse 27 9 7 11 35 33 +2 34 LWWDLL
12 Rennes 28 10 2 16 38 38 0 32 WWLLWL
13 Nantes 28 7 9 12 33 47 -14 30 WLLWLW
14 Angers 28 7 6 15 26 46 -20 27 DLLLLL
15 Le Havre 28 8 3 17 31 57 -26 27 LWDLWW
16 Reims 28 6 8 14 29 42 -13 26 LLLDWL
17 St Etienne 28 6 5 17 28 64 -36 23 DLDWLL
18 Montpellier 28 4 3 21 21 64 -43 15 LLLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Paris SG 14 12 2 0 39 11 +28 38 WDWWWW
2 Monaco 14 10 2 2 33 16 +17 32 LWWWWW
3 Lille 14 9 3 2 25 15 +10 30 WWLWWW
4 Lyon 14 9 2 3 30 18 +12 29 DWLWWW
5 Nice 14 8 4 2 29 14 +15 28 WWWLDL
6 Strasbourg 13 8 4 1 24 13 +11 28 WWWDWW
7 Brest 14 8 3 3 27 18 +9 27 WLDWDW
8 Auxerre 14 7 5 2 21 11 +10 26 DDDWLW
9 Marseille 13 6 4 3 25 17 +8 22 WDWWWL
10 Rennes 15 7 1 7 21 16 +5 22 LWLWLL
11 Lens 14 6 2 6 15 16 -1 20 LWLLWW
12 St Etienne 13 5 2 6 16 23 -7 17 WDLDLL
13 Nantes 13 4 4 5 15 16 -1 16 DDLWLW
14 Toulouse 14 4 4 6 16 18 -2 16 LLDLDL
15 Reims 15 3 4 8 16 23 -7 13 DLLLWL
16 Montpellier 15 3 3 9 16 37 -21 12 WLLLLL
17 Angers 14 3 2 9 14 30 -16 11 WDLLLL
18 Le Havre 14 3 1 10 12 32 -20 10 LLLLDW
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Paris SG 14 11 3 0 41 15 +26 36 WWWWWW
2 Marseille 14 9 0 5 29 19 +10 27 WLWLLL
3 Lens 14 6 4 4 17 14 +3 22 WWLLWL
4 Strasbourg 15 6 3 6 22 22 0 21 DLWWWW
5 Lyon 14 5 4 5 24 20 +4 19 LDLWWL
6 Nice 14 5 4 5 23 21 +2 19 WLDWWL
7 Toulouse 13 5 3 5 19 15 +4 18 WDDWWL
8 Monaco 14 5 3 6 21 19 +2 18 LLLDWL
9 Lille 14 4 5 5 17 15 +2 17 DLWLLL
10 Le Havre 14 5 2 7 19 25 -6 17 DDWWLW
11 Angers 14 4 4 6 12 16 -4 16 WLWDLL
12 Brest 14 5 1 8 17 25 -8 16 WWWDLW
13 Nantes 15 3 5 7 18 31 -13 14 DWLLLW
14 Reims 13 3 4 6 13 19 -6 13 LDLLLD
15 Auxerre 14 3 3 8 18 28 -10 12 LLDWDW
16 Rennes 13 3 1 9 17 22 -5 10 LLWWLW
17 St Etienne 15 1 3 11 12 41 -29 6 DLLDWL
18 Montpellier 13 1 0 12 5 27 -22 3 LWLLLL

Marseille   Toulouse

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Paris SG 28 8 20 2.9 0.9 23 5 0 80 26 74 OOOOOU
2 2 Monaco 28 9 19 1.9 1.2 15 5 8 54 35 50 OOUUOO
3 5 Lyon 28 10 18 1.9 1.4 14 6 8 54 38 48 OOUOOO
4 3 Marseille 27 10 17 2.0 1.3 15 4 8 54 36 49 OOUUOO
5 8 Brest 28 11 17 1.6 1.5 13 4 11 44 43 43 UOUUOO
6 6 Nice 28 12 16 1.9 1.2 13 8 7 52 35 47 UOUUOO
7 10 Auxerre 28 12 16 1.4 1.4 10 8 10 39 39 38 OUUUUU
8 15 Le Havre 28 12 16 1.1 2.0 8 3 17 31 57 27 OOUOOU
9 18 Montpellier 28 12 16 0.8 2.3 4 3 21 21 64 15 UOUUUU
10 4 Strasbourg 28 13 15 1.6 1.2 14 7 7 46 35 49 UUUOOU
11 12 Rennes 28 13 15 1.4 1.4 10 2 16 38 38 32 UOOUOU
12 7 Lille 28 14 14 1.5 1.1 13 8 7 42 30 47 OOUUUO
13 16 Reims 28 14 14 1.0 1.5 6 8 14 29 42 26 UOUUOU
14 17 St Etienne 28 14 14 1.0 2.3 6 5 17 28 64 23 OOUUOU
15 11 Toulouse 27 14 13 1.3 1.2 9 7 11 35 33 34 UOOUOO
16 13 Nantes 28 15 13 1.2 1.7 7 9 12 33 47 30 OUUUOO
17 14 Angers 28 19 9 0.9 1.6 7 6 15 26 46 27 OOUUOU
18 9 Lens 28 20 8 1.1 1.1 12 6 10 32 30 42 OOUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 18 Montpellier 15 4 11 1.1 2.5 3 3 9 16 37 12 OUOOUU
2 1 Paris SG 14 4 10 2.8 0.8 12 2 0 39 11 38 OUOOOU
3 15 Le Havre 14 4 10 0.9 2.3 3 1 10 12 32 10 OUOOUO
4 2 Monaco 14 5 9 2.4 1.1 10 2 2 33 16 32 OOOOOO
5 5 Lyon 14 5 9 2.1 1.3 9 2 3 30 18 29 UOOOOO
6 4 Strasbourg 13 5 8 1.8 1.0 8 4 1 24 13 28 OOUUOO
7 7 Lille 14 6 8 1.8 1.1 9 3 2 25 15 30 OOOOUU
8 8 Brest 14 6 8 1.9 1.3 8 3 3 27 18 27 OOOUUO
9 10 Auxerre 14 6 8 1.5 0.8 7 5 2 21 11 26 UUOOUU
10 3 Marseille 13 6 7 1.9 1.3 6 4 3 25 17 22 OUOOUU
11 6 Nice 14 7 7 2.1 1.0 8 4 2 29 14 28 UUUUUO
12 12 Rennes 15 8 7 1.4 1.1 7 1 7 21 16 22 OUUUOU
13 14 Angers 14 7 7 1.0 2.1 3 2 9 14 30 11 UUUOUO
14 11 Toulouse 14 8 6 1.1 1.3 4 4 6 16 18 16 OOUUUO
15 16 Reims 15 9 6 1.1 1.5 3 4 8 16 23 13 UOUUOU
16 13 Nantes 13 8 5 1.2 1.2 4 4 5 15 16 16 OUUOUU
17 17 St Etienne 13 8 5 1.2 1.8 5 2 6 16 23 17 OUUOOO
18 9 Lens 14 10 4 1.1 1.1 6 2 6 15 16 20 OUUOUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Paris SG 14 4 10 2.9 1.1 11 3 0 41 15 36 OOUOOO
2 2 Monaco 14 4 10 1.5 1.4 5 3 6 21 19 18 OOOUUO
3 3 Marseille 14 4 10 2.1 1.4 9 0 5 29 19 27 OUUOOO
4 5 Lyon 14 5 9 1.7 1.4 5 4 5 24 20 19 OUOOUO
5 6 Nice 14 5 9 1.6 1.5 5 4 5 23 21 19 OOUOOO
6 8 Brest 14 5 9 1.2 1.8 5 1 8 17 25 16 OUUUOO
7 17 St Etienne 15 6 9 0.8 2.7 1 3 11 12 41 6 UOOUUU
8 10 Auxerre 14 6 8 1.3 2.0 3 3 8 18 28 12 UOOUUU
9 12 Rennes 13 5 8 1.3 1.7 3 1 9 17 22 10 OOUOUO
10 13 Nantes 15 7 8 1.2 2.1 3 5 7 18 31 14 UOOUOO
11 16 Reims 13 5 8 1.0 1.5 3 4 6 13 19 13 OUOUOU
12 4 Strasbourg 15 8 7 1.5 1.5 6 3 6 22 22 21 UUUUUU
13 11 Toulouse 13 6 7 1.5 1.2 5 3 5 19 15 18 UUOOOO
14 7 Lille 14 8 6 1.2 1.1 4 5 5 17 15 17 UOUOUO
15 15 Le Havre 14 8 6 1.4 1.8 5 2 7 19 25 17 UUOOOU
16 18 Montpellier 13 8 5 0.4 2.1 1 0 12 5 27 3 UOUUUU
17 9 Lens 14 10 4 1.2 1.0 6 4 4 17 14 22 OUUOUU
18 14 Angers 14 12 2 0.9 1.1 4 4 6 12 16 16 OUUOUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47