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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Marseille 4–1 Brest

Full time · half time 3–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.50 fair 1.87
Draw 4.50 fair 4.80
Away 6.00 fair 3.89
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 3.23
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.45

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Marseille Brest
11 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 3
14 Fouls 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (278 league matches this season so far).
Result Marseille to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.49
Expected goals 2.13 – 1.44
Home / Draw / Away
MarseilleDrawBrest
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.2% 1–1 8.7% 2–2 6.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Marseille before this match, all matches
1.83points / match
2.07scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 62:42
Brest before this match, all matches
1.47points / match
1.60scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 48:49
Marseille all matches all matches Brest

Per match

2.07 Goals scored 1.60
1.40 Goals conceded 1.63
3.47 Total goals 3.23
13.77 Shots 12.13
5.90 Shots on target 4.83
9.47 Shots faced 11.97
5.13 Corners 4.33
3.13 Corners against 4.83
11.50 Fouls 12.63
1.87 Yellow cards 1.83
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.87
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

57% Wins 43%
13% Draws 17%
30% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
93% Over 1.5 goals 87%
67% Over 2.5 goals 63%
47% Over 3.5 goals 43%
27% Over 4.5 goals 20%
13% Over 5.5 goals 13%
63% Both teams scored 60%
17% Clean sheets 27%
20% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 47%
33% Draws 17%
33% Losses 37%
77% Over 0.5 goals 90%
33% Over 1.5 goals 53%
17% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille all matches
Brest all matches
Marseille before this match, at home
1.87points / match
2.20scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 33:20
Brest before this match, away
1.13points / match
1.33scored / match
1.87conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 20:28
Marseille at home away Brest

Per match

2.20 Goals scored 1.33
1.33 Goals conceded 1.87
3.53 Total goals 3.20
15.00 Shots 11.60
6.13 Shots on target 4.40
8.73 Shots faced 13.20
5.40 Corners 4.53
2.53 Corners against 4.93
12.60 Fouls 13.07
2.13 Yellow cards 1.93
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 1.07

How often Full Time

53% Wins 33%
27% Draws 13%
20% Losses 53%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
93% Over 1.5 goals 87%
60% Over 2.5 goals 67%
47% Over 3.5 goals 40%
33% Over 4.5 goals 20%
20% Over 5.5 goals 13%
73% Both teams scored 60%
13% Clean sheets 20%
13% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 40%
33% Draws 20%
27% Losses 40%
73% Over 0.5 goals 93%
27% Over 1.5 goals 67%
20% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille at home
Brest away

Last 10 matches before this match

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.04.25 Marseille – Montpellier 5–1 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00
12.04.25 Monaco – Marseille 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.803.40 1.53 2.50
06.04.25 Marseille – Toulouse 3–2 (1–1) 1.753.804.50 1.85 2.05
29.03.25 Reims – Marseille 3–1 (1–0) 5.504.201.57 1.73 2.10
16.03.25 Paris SG – Marseille 3–1 (2–0) 1.455.006.00 1.37 3.00
08.03.25 Marseille – Lens 0–1 (0–0) 1.534.336.00 1.62 2.30
02.03.25 Marseille – Nantes 2–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.62 2.30
22.02.25 Auxerre – Marseille 3–0 (1–0) 5.504.331.55 1.62 2.30
15.02.25 Marseille – St Etienne 5–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.44 2.75
09.02.25 Angers – Marseille 0–2 (0–0) 5.504.001.62 1.85 2.05

Brest all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.25 Brest – Lens 1–3 (1–2) 2.353.303.10 1.92 1.98
13.04.25 St Etienne – Brest 3–3 (2–3) 3.503.602.05 1.73 2.10
05.04.25 Brest – Monaco 2–1 (1–0) 4.003.601.90 1.67 2.20
30.03.25 Toulouse – Brest 2–4 (0–2) 2.003.254.10 2.10 1.73
16.03.25 Brest – Reims 0–0 (0–0) 1.673.905.00 1.90 2.00
09.03.25 Brest – Angers 2–0 (1–0) 1.733.605.00 1.97 1.81
02.03.25 Lyon – Brest 2–1 (1–1) 1.653.905.25 1.73 2.10
23.02.25 Strasbourg – Brest 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.80 2.00
14.02.25 Brest – Auxerre 2–2 (0–1) 2.253.303.30 2.00 1.80
07.02.25 Nantes – Brest 0–2 (0–1) 2.453.103.10 2.20 1.67

Marseille at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.04.25 Marseille – Montpellier 5–1 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00
06.04.25 Marseille – Toulouse 3–2 (1–1) 1.753.804.50 1.85 2.05
08.03.25 Marseille – Lens 0–1 (0–0) 1.534.336.00 1.62 2.30
02.03.25 Marseille – Nantes 2–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.62 2.30
15.02.25 Marseille – St Etienne 5–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.44 2.75
02.02.25 Marseille – Lyon 3–2 (0–0) 2.003.903.30 1.57 2.38
19.01.25 Marseille – Strasbourg 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.335.25 1.62 2.30
05.01.25 Marseille – Le Havre 5–1 (3–0) 1.306.008.00 1.62 2.30
14.12.24 Marseille – Lille 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.30 1.89 2.01
01.12.24 Marseille – Monaco 2–1 (0–1) 2.633.402.63 1.57 2.38

Brest away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.25 St Etienne – Brest 3–3 (2–3) 3.503.602.05 1.73 2.10
30.03.25 Toulouse – Brest 2–4 (0–2) 2.003.254.10 2.10 1.73
02.03.25 Lyon – Brest 2–1 (1–1) 1.653.905.25 1.73 2.10
23.02.25 Strasbourg – Brest 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.80 2.00
07.02.25 Nantes – Brest 0–2 (0–1) 2.453.103.10 2.20 1.67
26.01.25 Le Havre – Brest 0–1 (0–1) 3.303.102.35 2.30 1.62
18.01.25 Rennes – Brest 1–2 (0–1) 2.003.403.90 2.20 1.67
05.01.25 Angers – Brest 2–0 (1–0) 3.203.302.30 2.20 1.67
06.12.24 Lille – Brest 3–1 (2–0) 1.653.606.00 2.10 1.73
22.11.24 Monaco – Brest 3–2 (2–0) 1.504.336.50 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Marseille winsDrawsBrest wins
7matches
3.14goals / match
57%over 2.5
71%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.08.24F1 Brest – Marseille 1–5 (1–3) 3.003.302.40 1.89 2.01
18.02.24F1 Brest – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.003.10 2.15 1.67
26.08.23F1 Marseille – Brest 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.006.00 1.73 2.10
27.05.23F1 Marseille – Brest 1–2 (0–0) 1.365.257.00 1.57 2.38
14.08.22F1 Brest – Marseille 1–1 (0–1) 4.203.801.83 1.72 2.10
13.03.22F1 Brest – Marseille 1–4 (0–1) 3.403.302.20 1.91 1.99
04.12.21F1 Marseille – Brest 1–2 (1–0) 1.574.335.25 1.72 2.10

France Ligue 1 table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 31 24 6 1 84 31 +53 78
2 Lille 31 16 8 7 49 32 +17 56
3 Monaco 31 16 7 8 58 36 +22 55
4 Marseille 30 17 4 9 62 42 +20 55
5 Lyon 31 16 6 9 62 42 +20 54
6 Nice 31 15 9 7 59 39 +20 54
7 Strasbourg 31 15 9 7 51 38 +13 54
8 Lens 31 13 6 12 35 37 -2 45
9 Brest 30 13 5 12 48 49 -1 44
10 Auxerre 31 11 8 12 45 45 0 41
11 Rennes 31 12 2 17 46 44 +2 38
12 Toulouse 31 9 8 14 38 39 -1 35
13 Reims 31 8 9 14 32 42 -10 33
14 Nantes 31 7 11 13 35 50 -15 32
15 Angers 31 8 6 17 29 50 -21 30
16 Le Havre 31 8 4 19 34 65 -31 28
17 St Etienne 31 7 6 18 34 71 -37 27
18 Montpellier 31 4 4 23 22 71 -49 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 16 13 2 1 42 15 +27 41
2 Monaco 16 11 3 2 36 16 +20 36
3 Lille 15 10 3 2 28 16 +12 33
4 Lyon 15 10 2 3 34 19 +15 32
5 Strasbourg 15 9 5 1 29 16 +13 32
6 Nice 15 9 4 2 31 15 +16 31
7 Marseille 15 8 4 3 33 20 +13 28
8 Brest 15 8 3 4 28 21 +7 27
9 Auxerre 15 7 5 3 22 14 +8 26
10 Rennes 16 8 1 7 23 17 +6 25
11 St Etienne 15 6 3 6 21 27 -6 21
12 Lens 16 6 2 8 15 22 -7 20
13 Nantes 15 4 6 5 16 17 -1 18
14 Toulouse 15 4 4 7 17 20 -3 16
15 Reims 16 4 4 8 17 23 -6 16
16 Angers 16 4 2 10 16 32 -16 14
17 Montpellier 16 3 4 9 16 37 -21 13
18 Le Havre 16 3 2 11 14 38 -24 11
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 15 11 4 0 42 16 +26 37
2 Marseille 15 9 0 6 29 22 +7 27
3 Lens 15 7 4 4 20 15 +5 25
4 Lille 16 6 5 5 21 16 +5 23
5 Nice 16 6 5 5 28 24 +4 23
6 Lyon 16 6 4 6 28 23 +5 22
7 Strasbourg 16 6 4 6 22 22 0 22
8 Monaco 15 5 4 6 22 20 +2 19
9 Toulouse 16 5 4 7 21 19 +2 19
10 Reims 15 4 5 6 15 19 -4 17
11 Le Havre 15 5 2 8 20 27 -7 17
12 Brest 15 5 2 8 20 28 -8 17
13 Angers 15 4 4 7 13 18 -5 16
14 Auxerre 16 4 3 9 23 31 -8 15
15 Nantes 16 3 5 8 19 33 -14 14
16 Rennes 15 4 1 10 23 27 -4 13
17 St Etienne 16 1 3 12 13 44 -31 6
18 Montpellier 15 1 0 14 6 34 -28 3

Marseille   Brest

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 31 9 22 2.7 1.0 24 6 1 84 31 78
2 5 Lyon 31 10 21 2.0 1.4 16 6 9 62 42 54
3 3 Monaco 31 11 20 1.9 1.2 16 7 8 58 36 55
4 4 Marseille 30 10 20 2.1 1.4 17 4 9 62 42 55
5 6 Nice 31 12 19 1.9 1.3 15 9 7 59 39 54
6 9 Brest 30 11 19 1.6 1.6 13 5 12 48 49 44
7 10 Auxerre 31 12 19 1.5 1.5 11 8 12 45 45 41
8 11 Rennes 31 13 18 1.5 1.4 12 2 17 46 44 38
9 16 Le Havre 31 13 18 1.1 2.1 8 4 19 34 65 28
10 7 Strasbourg 31 14 17 1.6 1.2 15 9 7 51 38 54
11 17 St Etienne 31 14 17 1.1 2.3 7 6 18 34 71 27
12 18 Montpellier 31 14 17 0.7 2.3 4 4 23 22 71 16
13 2 Lille 31 15 16 1.6 1.0 16 8 7 49 32 56
14 12 Toulouse 31 16 15 1.2 1.3 9 8 14 38 39 35
15 13 Reims 31 17 14 1.0 1.4 8 9 14 32 42 33
16 14 Nantes 31 17 14 1.1 1.6 7 11 13 35 50 32
17 8 Lens 31 21 10 1.1 1.2 13 6 12 35 37 45
18 15 Angers 31 21 10 0.9 1.6 8 6 17 29 50 30
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 16 4 12 2.6 0.9 13 2 1 42 15 41
2 16 Le Havre 16 5 11 0.9 2.4 3 2 11 14 38 11
3 18 Montpellier 16 5 11 1.0 2.3 3 4 9 16 37 13
4 3 Monaco 16 6 10 2.2 1.0 11 3 2 36 16 36
5 5 Lyon 15 5 10 2.3 1.3 10 2 3 34 19 32
6 7 Strasbourg 15 5 10 1.9 1.1 9 5 1 29 16 32
7 2 Lille 15 6 9 1.9 1.1 10 3 2 28 16 33
8 4 Marseille 15 6 9 2.2 1.3 8 4 3 33 20 28
9 9 Brest 15 6 9 1.9 1.4 8 3 4 28 21 27
10 10 Auxerre 15 6 9 1.5 0.9 7 5 3 22 14 26
11 6 Nice 15 7 8 2.1 1.0 9 4 2 31 15 31
12 11 Rennes 16 8 8 1.4 1.1 8 1 7 23 17 25
13 12 Toulouse 15 8 7 1.1 1.3 4 4 7 17 20 16
14 15 Angers 16 9 7 1.0 2.0 4 2 10 16 32 14
15 17 St Etienne 15 8 7 1.4 1.8 6 3 6 21 27 21
16 13 Reims 16 10 6 1.1 1.4 4 4 8 17 23 16
17 8 Lens 16 11 5 0.9 1.4 6 2 8 15 22 20
18 14 Nantes 15 10 5 1.1 1.1 4 6 5 16 17 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Marseille 15 4 11 1.9 1.5 9 0 6 29 22 27
2 5 Lyon 16 5 11 1.8 1.4 6 4 6 28 23 22
3 6 Nice 16 5 11 1.8 1.5 6 5 5 28 24 23
4 1 Paris SG 15 5 10 2.8 1.1 11 4 0 42 16 37
5 3 Monaco 15 5 10 1.5 1.3 5 4 6 22 20 19
6 9 Brest 15 5 10 1.3 1.9 5 2 8 20 28 17
7 10 Auxerre 16 6 10 1.4 1.9 4 3 9 23 31 15
8 11 Rennes 15 5 10 1.5 1.8 4 1 10 23 27 13
9 17 St Etienne 16 6 10 0.8 2.8 1 3 12 13 44 6
10 14 Nantes 16 7 9 1.2 2.1 3 5 8 19 33 14
11 12 Toulouse 16 8 8 1.3 1.2 5 4 7 21 19 19
12 13 Reims 15 7 8 1.0 1.3 4 5 6 15 19 17
13 2 Lille 16 9 7 1.3 1.0 6 5 5 21 16 23
14 7 Strasbourg 16 9 7 1.4 1.4 6 4 6 22 22 22
15 16 Le Havre 15 8 7 1.3 1.8 5 2 8 20 27 17
16 18 Montpellier 15 9 6 0.4 2.3 1 0 14 6 34 3
17 8 Lens 15 10 5 1.3 1.0 7 4 4 20 15 25
18 15 Angers 15 12 3 0.9 1.2 4 4 7 13 18 16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40