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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: P Tierney

Arsenal 2–1 Leeds

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.40 fair 2.28
Draw 5.00 fair 3.92
Away 7.50 fair 3.27
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.03
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.85 fair 1.97

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Arsenal Leeds
13 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
2.33 Expected goals (xG) 0.62
2 Corners 4
12 Fouls 20
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (50 league matches this season so far).
Result Arsenal to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.50 – 1.21
Home / Draw / Away
ArsenalDrawLeeds
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 1–0 10% 2–1 9.1%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Arsenal before this match, all matches
2.40points / match
1.60scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 8:4
Leeds before this match, all matches
1.80points / match
1.40scored / match
0.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 7:3
Arsenal all matches all matches Leeds

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 1.40
0.80 Goals conceded 0.60
2.40 Total goals 2.00
1.70 xG created 1.52
0.80 xG allowed 1.27
13.00 Shots 12.20
4.80 Shots on target 3.60
10.60 Shots faced 14.60
5.00 Corners 4.40
3.20 Corners against 4.80
10.20 Fouls 10.60
1.40 Yellow cards 1.40
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

80% Wins 40%
0% Draws 60%
20% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
80% Over 1.5 goals 60%
60% Over 2.5 goals 20%
0% Over 3.5 goals 20%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
20% Both teams scored 60%
60% Clean sheets 40%
20% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 40%
60% Draws 40%
20% Losses 20%
60% Over 0.5 goals 60%
60% Over 1.5 goals 20%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal all matches
Leeds all matches
Arsenal before this match, at home
3.00points / match
2.50scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 5:1
Leeds before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.00scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:1
Arsenal at home away Leeds

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 1.00
0.50 Goals conceded 0.50
3.00 Total goals 1.50
1.96 xG created 1.48
0.30 xG allowed 1.43
18.00 Shots 10.50
7.50 Shots on target 4.00
8.50 Shots faced 16.00
6.50 Corners 4.00
2.50 Corners against 5.00
11.50 Fouls 15.00
1.50 Yellow cards 2.00
1.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 50%
0% Draws 50%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
100% Over 2.5 goals 0%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 50%
50% Draws 50%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
100% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal at home
Leeds away

Last 10 matches before this match

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.26 Brighton – Arsenal 3–0 (2–0) 5.003.901.67 1.73 2.10
12.09.26 Sunderland – Arsenal 0–2 (0–0) 7.504.101.48 2.10 1.73
06.09.26 Arsenal – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 1.673.755.25 1.73 2.10
31.08.26 Aston Villa – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.101.53 1.83 2.03
21.08.26 Arsenal – Coventry 3–0 (2–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.57 2.38
24.05.26 Crystal Palace – Arsenal 1–2 (0–1) 4.204.001.75 1.67 2.20
18.05.26 Arsenal – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 1.0911.0023.00 1.33 3.40
10.05.26 West Ham – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 5.504.201.57 1.67 2.20
02.05.26 Arsenal – Fulham 3–0 (3–0) 1.444.337.00 1.80 2.00
25.04.26 Arsenal – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.756.25 1.57 2.38

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.26 Leeds – Crystal Palace 0–0 (0–0) 1.733.904.75 1.73 2.10
14.09.26 Leeds – Newcastle 4–1 (3–0) 2.383.502.88 1.80 2.00
05.09.26 Brighton – Leeds 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.503.90 1.91 1.91
30.08.26 Leeds – Brentford 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 1.90 1.95
22.08.26 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.98 1.88
24.05.26 West Ham – Leeds 3–0 (0–0) 1.854.003.75 1.67 2.20
17.05.26 Leeds – Brighton 1–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.67 2.20
11.05.26 Tottenham – Leeds 1–1 (0–0) 1.834.103.75 1.73 2.10
01.05.26 Leeds – Burnley 3–1 (1–0) 1.335.009.50 1.67 2.20
22.04.26 Bournemouth – Leeds 2–2 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.73 2.10

Arsenal at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.09.26 Arsenal – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 1.673.755.25 1.73 2.10
21.08.26 Arsenal – Coventry 3–0 (2–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.57 2.38
18.05.26 Arsenal – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 1.0911.0023.00 1.33 3.40
02.05.26 Arsenal – Fulham 3–0 (3–0) 1.444.337.00 1.80 2.00
25.04.26 Arsenal – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.756.25 1.57 2.38
11.04.26 Arsenal – Bournemouth 1–2 (1–1) 1.444.507.50 1.62 2.30
14.03.26 Arsenal – Everton 2–0 (0–0) 1.384.758.50 1.98 1.88
01.03.26 Arsenal – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 1.603.805.50 1.73 2.10
07.02.26 Arsenal – Sunderland 3–0 (1–0) 1.226.2512.00 1.73 2.10
25.01.26 Arsenal – Man United 2–3 (1–1) 1.554.206.00 1.73 2.10

Leeds away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 Brighton – Leeds 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.503.90 1.91 1.91
22.08.26 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.98 1.88
24.05.26 West Ham – Leeds 3–0 (0–0) 1.854.003.75 1.67 2.20
11.05.26 Tottenham – Leeds 1–1 (0–0) 1.834.103.75 1.73 2.10
22.04.26 Bournemouth – Leeds 2–2 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.73 2.10
13.04.26 Man United – Leeds 1–2 (0–2) 1.624.105.00 1.73 2.10
15.03.26 Crystal Palace – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.302.88 2.10 1.73
21.02.26 Aston Villa – Leeds 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.33 1.83 2.03
10.02.26 Chelsea – Leeds 2–2 (1–0) 1.554.335.50 1.62 2.30
26.01.26 Everton – Leeds 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.252.90 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Arsenal winsDrawsLeeds wins
6matches
3.83goals / match
83%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.26E0 Leeds – Arsenal 0–4 (0–2) 5.754.201.55 1.98 1.88
23.08.25E0 Arsenal – Leeds 5–0 (2–0) 1.276.259.50 1.53 2.50
01.04.23E0 Arsenal – Leeds 4–1 (1–0) 1.296.009.00 1.53 2.50
16.10.22E0 Leeds – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 6.004.201.55 1.61 2.30
08.05.22E0 Arsenal – Leeds 2–1 (2–0) 1.454.507.00 1.61 2.30
18.12.21E0 Leeds – Arsenal 1–4 (0–3) 3.903.801.83 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 5 5 0 0 13 5 +8 15
2 Arsenal 5 4 0 1 8 4 +4 12
3 Brighton 5 3 1 1 16 5 +11 10
4 Brentford 5 2 3 0 10 4 +6 9
5 Leeds 5 2 3 0 7 3 +4 9
6 Liverpool 5 2 3 0 7 4 +3 9
7 Everton 5 2 3 0 6 3 +3 9
8 Hull 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8
9 Newcastle 5 2 2 1 9 9 0 8
10 Chelsea 5 2 1 2 10 12 -2 7
11 Ipswich 5 2 0 3 7 11 -4 6
12 Man United 5 1 2 2 8 8 0 5
13 Nott'm Forest 5 1 2 2 4 5 -1 5
14 Sunderland 5 1 1 3 6 10 -4 4
15 Crystal Palace 5 1 1 3 6 11 -5 4
16 Aston Villa 5 1 1 3 4 9 -5 4
17 Bournemouth 5 0 3 2 6 8 -2 3
18 Coventry 5 1 0 4 1 10 -9 3
19 Fulham 5 0 2 3 5 8 -3 2
20 Tottenham 5 0 2 3 2 8 -6 2
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Europa League – league phase
  • Relegation to Championship

FA Cup and EFL Cup winners also qualify for Europe, so places can move down the table (6th or 7th can qualify).

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 3 3 0 0 8 4 +4 9
2 Brighton 3 2 1 0 8 1 +7 7
3 Brentford 3 2 1 0 7 1 +6 7
4 Everton 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
5 Arsenal 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
6 Leeds 3 1 2 0 5 2 +3 5
7 Newcastle 3 1 2 0 6 5 +1 5
8 Hull 2 1 1 0 2 0 +2 4
9 Chelsea 2 1 1 0 6 5 +1 4
10 Man United 2 1 0 1 5 3 +2 3
11 Ipswich 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3
12 Sunderland 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3
13 Liverpool 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
14 Bournemouth 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
15 Fulham 3 0 1 2 5 7 -2 1
16 Nott'm Forest 3 0 1 2 0 2 -2 1
17 Tottenham 3 0 1 2 2 5 -3 1
18 Aston Villa 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0
19 Crystal Palace 2 0 0 2 3 7 -4 0
20 Coventry 2 0 0 2 0 6 -6 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
2 Man City 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
3 Arsenal 3 2 0 1 3 3 0 6
4 Nott'm Forest 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
5 Leeds 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
6 Hull 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
7 Crystal Palace 3 1 1 1 3 4 -1 4
8 Aston Villa 3 1 1 1 3 6 -3 4
9 Brighton 2 1 0 1 8 4 +4 3
10 Newcastle 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
11 Ipswich 3 1 0 2 5 8 -3 3
12 Chelsea 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3
13 Coventry 3 1 0 2 1 4 -3 3
14 Brentford 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
15 Everton 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
16 Man United 3 0 2 1 3 5 -2 2
17 Bournemouth 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
18 Fulham 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
19 Sunderland 3 0 1 2 5 8 -3 1
20 Tottenham 2 0 1 1 0 3 -3 1

Arsenal   Leeds

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Chelsea 5 0 5 2.0 2.4 2 1 2 10 12 7
2 3 Brighton 5 1 4 3.2 1.0 3 1 1 16 5 10
3 9 Newcastle 5 1 4 1.8 1.8 2 2 1 9 9 8
4 1 Man City 5 2 3 2.6 1.0 5 0 0 13 5 15
5 2 Arsenal 5 2 3 1.6 0.8 4 0 1 8 4 12
6 4 Brentford 5 2 3 2.0 0.8 2 3 0 10 4 9
7 11 Ipswich 5 2 3 1.4 2.2 2 0 3 7 11 6
8 15 Crystal Palace 5 2 3 1.2 2.2 1 1 3 6 11 4
9 16 Aston Villa 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 1 1 3 4 9 4
10 17 Bournemouth 5 2 3 1.2 1.6 0 3 2 6 8 3
11 6 Liverpool 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 2 3 0 7 4 9
12 8 Hull 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8
13 12 Man United 5 3 2 1.6 1.6 1 2 2 8 8 5
14 13 Nott'm Forest 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 1 2 2 4 5 5
15 14 Sunderland 5 3 2 1.2 2.0 1 1 3 6 10 4
16 18 Coventry 5 3 2 0.2 2.0 1 0 4 1 10 3
17 19 Fulham 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 0 2 3 5 8 2
18 20 Tottenham 5 3 2 0.4 1.6 0 2 3 2 8 2
19 5 Leeds 5 4 1 1.4 0.6 2 3 0 7 3 9
20 7 Everton 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 2 3 0 6 3 9
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Newcastle 3 0 3 2.0 1.7 1 2 0 6 5 5
2 1 Man City 3 1 2 2.7 1.3 3 0 0 8 4 9
3 2 Arsenal 2 0 2 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
4 3 Brighton 3 1 2 2.7 0.3 2 1 0 8 1 7
5 4 Brentford 3 1 2 2.3 0.3 2 1 0 7 1 7
6 10 Chelsea 2 0 2 3.0 2.5 1 1 0 6 5 4
7 15 Crystal Palace 2 0 2 1.5 3.5 0 0 2 3 7 0
8 19 Fulham 3 1 2 1.7 2.3 0 1 2 5 7 1
9 5 Leeds 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 1 2 0 5 2 5
10 6 Liverpool 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2
11 7 Everton 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
12 11 Ipswich 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3
13 12 Man United 2 1 1 2.5 1.5 1 0 1 5 3 3
14 16 Aston Villa 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 2 1 3 0
15 17 Bournemouth 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
16 18 Coventry 2 1 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 2 0 6 0
17 20 Tottenham 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 1 2 2 5 1
18 8 Hull 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 2 0 4
19 13 Nott'm Forest 3 3 0 0.0 0.7 0 1 2 0 2 1
20 14 Sunderland 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Chelsea 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 1 0 2 4 7 3
2 3 Brighton 2 0 2 4.0 2.0 1 0 1 8 4 3
3 8 Hull 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
4 11 Ipswich 3 1 2 1.7 2.7 1 0 2 5 8 3
5 13 Nott'm Forest 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
6 14 Sunderland 3 1 2 1.7 2.7 0 1 2 5 8 1
7 16 Aston Villa 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 1 1 1 3 6 4
8 17 Bournemouth 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
9 1 Man City 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
10 2 Arsenal 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 2 0 1 3 3 6
11 4 Brentford 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
12 6 Liverpool 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
13 9 Newcastle 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
14 12 Man United 3 2 1 1.0 1.7 0 2 1 3 5 2
15 15 Crystal Palace 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 1 1 1 3 4 4
16 18 Coventry 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 1 0 2 1 4 3
17 20 Tottenham 2 1 1 0.0 1.5 0 1 1 0 3 1
18 5 Leeds 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
19 7 Everton 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
20 19 Fulham 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40