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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Barrott

Arsenal 1–0 Newcastle

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.45 fair 1.67
Draw 4.75 fair 4.60
Away 6.25 fair 5.45
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.38 fair 2.24
Over 2.5 1.57 fair 1.81

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Arsenal Newcastle
11 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 2
13 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (337 league matches this season so far).
Result Arsenal to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.93 – 0.96
Home / Draw / Away
ArsenalDrawNewcastle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 10.7% 2–0 10.3% 1–1 10.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Arsenal before this match, all matches
2.12points / match
1.91scored / match
0.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 63:26
Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.27points / match
1.39scored / match
1.48conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 46:49
Arsenal all matches all matches Newcastle

Per match

1.91 Goals scored 1.39
0.79 Goals conceded 1.48
2.70 Total goals 2.88
14.48 Shots 12.97
4.82 Shots on target 4.61
8.03 Shots faced 11.91
5.94 Corners 6.39
3.39 Corners against 4.88
10.30 Fouls 10.33
1.30 Yellow cards 1.67
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

64% Wins 36%
21% Draws 18%
15% Losses 45%
94% Over 0.5 goals 88%
76% Over 1.5 goals 76%
55% Over 2.5 goals 67%
27% Over 3.5 goals 33%
18% Over 4.5 goals 18%
0% Over 5.5 goals 3%
52% Both teams scored 67%
45% Clean sheets 24%
9% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 36%
45% Draws 30%
12% Losses 33%
73% Over 0.5 goals 73%
30% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 24%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal all matches
Newcastle all matches
Arsenal before this match, at home
2.38points / match
2.25scored / match
0.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 36:11
Newcastle before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 16:21
Arsenal at home away Newcastle

Per match

2.25 Goals scored 1.00
0.69 Goals conceded 1.31
2.94 Total goals 2.31
16.44 Shots 11.50
4.94 Shots on target 3.75
6.50 Shots faced 12.13
6.19 Corners 5.81
2.88 Corners against 4.88
10.19 Fouls 9.56
0.88 Yellow cards 1.88
0.81 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

75% Wins 25%
13% Draws 25%
13% Losses 50%
94% Over 0.5 goals 75%
88% Over 1.5 goals 56%
63% Over 2.5 goals 56%
25% Over 3.5 goals 31%
25% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 56%
50% Clean sheets 31%
6% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 38%
44% Draws 31%
6% Losses 31%
75% Over 0.5 goals 69%
31% Over 1.5 goals 31%
0% Over 2.5 goals 31%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal at home
Newcastle away

Last 10 matches before this match

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.04.26 Man City – Arsenal 2–1 (1–1) 1.833.704.20 2.00 1.80
11.04.26 Arsenal – Bournemouth 1–2 (1–1) 1.444.507.50 1.62 2.30
14.03.26 Arsenal – Everton 2–0 (0–0) 1.384.758.50 1.98 1.88
04.03.26 Brighton – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.101.65 1.91 1.91
01.03.26 Arsenal – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 1.603.805.50 1.73 2.10
22.02.26 Tottenham – Arsenal 1–4 (1–1) 6.004.001.57 1.80 2.00
18.02.26 Wolves – Arsenal 2–2 (0–1) 11.005.251.29 1.73 2.10
12.02.26 Brentford – Arsenal 1–1 (0–0) 4.753.901.70 1.88 1.98
07.02.26 Arsenal – Sunderland 3–0 (1–0) 1.226.2512.00 1.73 2.10
31.01.26 Leeds – Arsenal 0–4 (0–2) 5.754.201.55 1.98 1.88

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.26 Newcastle – Bournemouth 1–2 (0–1) 2.003.753.50 1.50 2.63
12.04.26 Crystal Palace – Newcastle 2–1 (0–1) 3.003.602.20 1.73 2.10
22.03.26 Newcastle – Sunderland 1–2 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.88 1.98
14.03.26 Chelsea – Newcastle 0–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.50 2.63
04.03.26 Newcastle – Man United 2–1 (1–1) 2.633.502.60 1.57 2.38
28.02.26 Newcastle – Everton 2–3 (1–2) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.10
21.02.26 Man City – Newcastle 2–1 (2–1) 1.455.005.50 1.44 2.75
10.02.26 Tottenham – Newcastle 1–2 (0–1) 3.203.602.20 1.73 2.10
07.02.26 Newcastle – Brentford 2–3 (1–2) 2.103.503.50 1.73 2.10
31.01.26 Liverpool – Newcastle 4–1 (2–1) 1.803.904.10 1.62 2.30

Arsenal at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.26 Arsenal – Bournemouth 1–2 (1–1) 1.444.507.50 1.62 2.30
14.03.26 Arsenal – Everton 2–0 (0–0) 1.384.758.50 1.98 1.88
01.03.26 Arsenal – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 1.603.805.50 1.73 2.10
07.02.26 Arsenal – Sunderland 3–0 (1–0) 1.226.2512.00 1.73 2.10
25.01.26 Arsenal – Man United 2–3 (1–1) 1.554.206.00 1.73 2.10
08.01.26 Arsenal – Liverpool 0–0 (0–0) 1.604.105.00 1.73 2.10
30.12.25 Arsenal – Aston Villa 4–1 (0–0) 1.424.757.00 1.67 2.20
27.12.25 Arsenal – Brighton 2–1 (1–0) 1.424.757.00 1.67 2.20
13.12.25 Arsenal – Wolves 2–1 (0–0) 1.138.5021.00 1.53 2.50
03.12.25 Arsenal – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.50 1.73 2.10

Newcastle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.26 Crystal Palace – Newcastle 2–1 (0–1) 3.003.602.20 1.73 2.10
14.03.26 Chelsea – Newcastle 0–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.50 2.63
21.02.26 Man City – Newcastle 2–1 (2–1) 1.455.005.50 1.44 2.75
10.02.26 Tottenham – Newcastle 1–2 (0–1) 3.203.602.20 1.73 2.10
31.01.26 Liverpool – Newcastle 4–1 (2–1) 1.803.904.10 1.62 2.30
18.01.26 Wolves – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
30.12.25 Burnley – Newcastle 1–3 (1–2) 5.254.201.60 1.80 2.00
26.12.25 Man United – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.602.60 1.67 2.20
14.12.25 Sunderland – Newcastle 1–0 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 1.91 1.91
29.11.25 Everton – Newcastle 1–4 (0–3) 2.803.252.63 2.00 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Arsenal winsDrawsNewcastle wins
9matches
1.89goals / match
22%over 2.5
22%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.25E0 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–2 (1–0) 3.603.402.10 2.10 1.73
18.05.25E0 Arsenal – Newcastle 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.703.70 1.73 2.10
02.11.24E0 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.753.751.95 1.84 2.06
24.02.24E0 Arsenal – Newcastle 4–1 (2–0) 1.365.258.00 1.48 2.60
04.11.23E0 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.202.60 1.95 1.95
07.05.23E0 Newcastle – Arsenal 0–2 (0–1) 2.453.752.63 1.62 2.30
03.01.23E0 Arsenal – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.33 1.80 2.00
16.05.22E0 Newcastle – Arsenal 2–0 (0–0) 4.333.601.83 1.90 2.00
27.11.21E0 Arsenal – Newcastle 2–0 (0–0) 1.444.757.00 1.61 2.30

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 33 21 7 5 66 29 +37 70
2 Arsenal 33 21 7 5 63 26 +37 70
3 Man United 33 16 10 7 58 45 +13 58
4 Liverpool 34 17 7 10 57 44 +13 58
5 Aston Villa 34 17 7 10 47 42 +5 58
6 Brighton 34 13 11 10 48 39 +9 50
7 Bournemouth 34 11 16 7 52 52 0 49
8 Chelsea 34 13 9 12 53 45 +8 48
9 Brentford 33 13 9 11 48 44 +4 48
10 Fulham 34 14 6 14 44 46 -2 48
11 Everton 34 13 8 13 41 41 0 47
12 Sunderland 34 12 10 12 36 45 -9 46
13 Crystal Palace 33 11 10 12 36 39 -3 43
14 Newcastle 33 12 6 15 46 49 -3 42
15 Leeds 34 9 13 12 44 51 -7 40
16 Nott'm Forest 34 10 9 15 41 45 -4 39
17 West Ham 34 9 9 16 42 58 -16 36
18 Tottenham 34 8 10 16 43 53 -10 34
19 Burnley 34 4 8 22 34 68 -34 20
20 Wolves 34 3 8 23 24 62 -38 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 16 12 3 1 38 12 +26 39
2 Arsenal 16 12 2 2 36 11 +25 38
3 Aston Villa 17 11 2 4 27 18 +9 35
4 Liverpool 17 10 4 3 32 18 +14 34
5 Man United 16 10 3 3 31 19 +12 33
6 Fulham 17 10 2 5 28 19 +9 32
7 Brighton 17 8 6 3 27 17 +10 30
8 Sunderland 17 8 5 4 23 19 +4 29
9 Brentford 17 7 7 3 28 19 +9 28
10 Bournemouth 17 6 9 2 25 19 +6 27
11 Leeds 17 7 5 5 25 20 +5 26
12 Newcastle 17 8 2 7 30 28 +2 26
13 Chelsea 17 6 5 6 23 21 +2 23
14 Everton 17 6 4 7 22 21 +1 22
15 Crystal Palace 17 4 8 5 16 19 -3 20
16 West Ham 17 5 4 8 24 29 -5 19
17 Nott'm Forest 17 4 6 7 18 21 -3 18
18 Wolves 17 3 3 11 17 32 -15 12
19 Tottenham 17 2 5 10 20 30 -10 11
20 Burnley 17 2 5 10 15 26 -11 11
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 17 9 5 3 27 15 +12 32
2 Man City 17 9 4 4 28 17 +11 31
3 Chelsea 17 7 4 6 30 24 +6 25
4 Man United 17 6 7 4 27 26 +1 25
5 Everton 17 7 4 6 19 20 -1 25
6 Liverpool 17 7 3 7 25 26 -1 24
7 Tottenham 17 6 5 6 23 23 0 23
8 Crystal Palace 16 7 2 7 20 20 0 23
9 Aston Villa 17 6 5 6 20 24 -4 23
10 Bournemouth 17 5 7 5 27 33 -6 22
11 Nott'm Forest 17 6 3 8 23 24 -1 21
12 Brighton 17 5 5 7 21 22 -1 20
13 Brentford 16 6 2 8 20 25 -5 20
14 West Ham 17 4 5 8 18 29 -11 17
15 Sunderland 17 4 5 8 13 26 -13 17
16 Newcastle 16 4 4 8 16 21 -5 16
17 Fulham 17 4 4 9 16 27 -11 16
18 Leeds 17 2 8 7 19 31 -12 14
19 Burnley 17 2 3 12 19 42 -23 9
20 Wolves 17 0 5 12 7 30 -23 5

Arsenal   Newcastle

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Chelsea 34 12 22 1.6 1.3 13 9 12 53 45 48
2 14 Newcastle 33 11 22 1.4 1.5 12 6 15 46 49 42
3 18 Tottenham 34 12 22 1.3 1.6 8 10 16 43 53 34
4 4 Liverpool 34 13 21 1.7 1.3 17 7 10 57 44 58
5 1 Man City 33 13 20 2.0 0.9 21 7 5 66 29 70
6 3 Man United 33 13 20 1.8 1.4 16 10 7 58 45 58
7 7 Bournemouth 34 14 20 1.5 1.5 11 16 7 52 52 49
8 17 West Ham 34 14 20 1.2 1.7 9 9 16 42 58 36
9 15 Leeds 34 15 19 1.3 1.5 9 13 12 44 51 40
10 2 Arsenal 33 15 18 1.9 0.8 21 7 5 63 26 70
11 10 Fulham 34 16 18 1.3 1.4 14 6 14 44 46 48
12 16 Nott'm Forest 34 16 18 1.2 1.3 10 9 15 41 45 39
13 19 Burnley 34 17 17 1.0 2.0 4 8 22 34 68 20
14 5 Aston Villa 34 18 16 1.4 1.2 17 7 10 47 42 58
15 6 Brighton 34 18 16 1.4 1.1 13 11 10 48 39 50
16 9 Brentford 33 17 16 1.5 1.3 13 9 11 48 44 48
17 13 Crystal Palace 33 17 16 1.1 1.2 11 10 12 36 39 43
18 20 Wolves 34 18 16 0.7 1.8 3 8 23 24 62 17
19 12 Sunderland 34 19 15 1.1 1.3 12 10 12 36 45 46
20 11 Everton 34 20 14 1.2 1.2 13 8 13 41 41 47
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Newcastle 17 4 13 1.8 1.6 8 2 7 30 28 26
2 18 Tottenham 17 5 12 1.2 1.8 2 5 10 20 30 11
3 1 Man City 16 5 11 2.4 0.8 12 3 1 38 12 39
4 17 West Ham 17 6 11 1.4 1.7 5 4 8 24 29 19
5 2 Arsenal 16 6 10 2.2 0.7 12 2 2 36 11 38
6 10 Fulham 17 7 10 1.6 1.1 10 2 5 28 19 32
7 15 Leeds 17 7 10 1.5 1.2 7 5 5 25 20 26
8 4 Liverpool 17 8 9 1.9 1.1 10 4 3 32 18 34
9 5 Aston Villa 17 8 9 1.6 1.1 11 2 4 27 18 35
10 6 Brighton 17 8 9 1.6 1.0 8 6 3 27 17 30
11 8 Chelsea 17 8 9 1.4 1.2 6 5 6 23 21 23
12 9 Brentford 17 8 9 1.6 1.1 7 7 3 28 19 28
13 20 Wolves 17 8 9 1.0 1.9 3 3 11 17 32 12
14 3 Man United 16 8 8 1.9 1.2 10 3 3 31 19 33
15 7 Bournemouth 17 9 8 1.5 1.1 6 9 2 25 19 27
16 11 Everton 17 9 8 1.3 1.2 6 4 7 22 21 22
17 12 Sunderland 17 9 8 1.4 1.1 8 5 4 23 19 29
18 16 Nott'm Forest 17 9 8 1.1 1.2 4 6 7 18 21 18
19 13 Crystal Palace 17 10 7 0.9 1.1 4 8 5 16 19 20
20 19 Burnley 17 12 5 0.9 1.5 2 5 10 15 26 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Chelsea 17 4 13 1.8 1.4 7 4 6 30 24 25
2 3 Man United 17 5 12 1.6 1.5 6 7 4 27 26 25
3 4 Liverpool 17 5 12 1.5 1.5 7 3 7 25 26 24
4 7 Bournemouth 17 5 12 1.6 1.9 5 7 5 27 33 22
5 19 Burnley 17 5 12 1.1 2.5 2 3 12 19 42 9
6 16 Nott'm Forest 17 7 10 1.4 1.4 6 3 8 23 24 21
7 18 Tottenham 17 7 10 1.4 1.4 6 5 6 23 23 23
8 1 Man City 17 8 9 1.6 1.0 9 4 4 28 17 31
9 13 Crystal Palace 16 7 9 1.2 1.2 7 2 7 20 20 23
10 14 Newcastle 16 7 9 1.0 1.3 4 4 8 16 21 16
11 15 Leeds 17 8 9 1.1 1.8 2 8 7 19 31 14
12 17 West Ham 17 8 9 1.1 1.7 4 5 8 18 29 17
13 2 Arsenal 17 9 8 1.6 0.9 9 5 3 27 15 32
14 10 Fulham 17 9 8 0.9 1.6 4 4 9 16 27 16
15 5 Aston Villa 17 10 7 1.2 1.4 6 5 6 20 24 23
16 6 Brighton 17 10 7 1.2 1.3 5 5 7 21 22 20
17 9 Brentford 16 9 7 1.2 1.6 6 2 8 20 25 20
18 12 Sunderland 17 10 7 0.8 1.5 4 5 8 13 26 17
19 20 Wolves 17 10 7 0.4 1.8 0 5 12 7 30 5
20 11 Everton 17 11 6 1.1 1.2 7 4 6 19 20 25

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44