Leeds 1–0 Brighton – England Premier League, 17 May 2026

Match facts

Leeds Brighton

7 Shots 19

1 Shots on target 8

7 Corners 8

9 Fouls 7

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (362 league matches this season so far).

Result Leeds to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.78

Expected goals 1.44 – 1.33

Home / Draw / Away

40% 25% 35%

LeedsDrawBrighton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

48% 52%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

44% 56%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

15% 4

15% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12% 1–0 9% 2–1 8.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches

1.22points / match

1.33scored / match

1.47conceded / match

10 14 12

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 48:53

Brighton before this match, all matches

1.47points / match

1.44scored / match

1.17conceded / match

14 11 11

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 52:42

Leeds all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.44

1.47 Goals conceded 1.17

2.81 Total goals 2.61

12.72 Shots 12.86

4.08 Shots on target 4.61

12.25 Shots faced 11.81

4.36 Corners 4.92

4.97 Corners against 4.81

10.42 Fouls 12.08

1.61 Yellow cards 2.39

0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.56

0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

28% Wins 39%

39% Draws 31%

33% Losses 31%

89% Over 0.5 goals 94%

75% Over 1.5 goals 83%

56% Over 2.5 goals 50%

39% Over 3.5 goals 19%

14% Over 4.5 goals 6%

6% Over 5.5 goals 6%

61% Both teams scored 58%

19% Clean sheets 28%

31% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 31%

44% Draws 31%

22% Losses 39%

64% Over 0.5 goals 78%

39% Over 1.5 goals 28%

6% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches

1

D

1

L

1

L

D

2

1

W

3

W

2

D

3

1

W

1

D

Brighton all matches

2

W

2

1

W

1

L

1

W

2

1

W

2

W

2

D

3

W

1

3

L

3

W

Leeds before this match, at home

1.61points / match

1.56scored / match

1.17conceded / match

8 5 5

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 28:21

Brighton before this match, away

1.11points / match

1.22scored / match

1.39conceded / match

5 5 8

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 22:25

Leeds at home away Brighton

Per match

1.56 Goals scored 1.22

1.17 Goals conceded 1.39

2.72 Total goals 2.61

14.72 Shots 11.89

4.56 Shots on target 4.11

10.56 Shots faced 13.83

5.50 Corners 4.61

4.00 Corners against 5.00

10.17 Fouls 12.83

1.67 Yellow cards 2.89

0.78 1st-half goals scored 0.39

0.28 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

44% Wins 28%

28% Draws 28%

28% Losses 44%

89% Over 0.5 goals 94%

67% Over 1.5 goals 83%

61% Over 2.5 goals 44%

39% Over 3.5 goals 28%

11% Over 4.5 goals 6%

6% Over 5.5 goals 6%

56% Both teams scored 56%

28% Clean sheets 28%

28% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 22%

50% Draws 22%

11% Losses 56%

61% Over 0.5 goals 83%

44% Over 1.5 goals 28%

0% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home

4

1

W

1

D

1

W

4

L

3

1

W

1

L

1

L

D

3

W

3

1

W

Brighton away

1

2

L

2

D

1

D

1

2

L

1

L

2

W

1

W

2

W

2

D

1

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.05.26	Tottenham – Leeds	1–1 (0–0)	1.83	4.10	3.75	1.73	2.10
01.05.26	Leeds – Burnley	3–1 (1–0)	1.33	5.00	9.50	1.67	2.20
22.04.26	Bournemouth – Leeds	2–2 (0–0)	2.00	3.50	3.60	1.73	2.10
18.04.26	Leeds – Wolves	3–0 (2–0)	1.62	3.90	5.75	1.90	1.95
13.04.26	Man United – Leeds	1–2 (0–2)	1.62	4.10	5.00	1.73	2.10
21.03.26	Leeds – Brentford	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.50	2.88	1.88	1.98
15.03.26	Crystal Palace – Leeds	0–0 (0–0)	2.55	3.30	2.88	2.10	1.73
03.03.26	Leeds – Sunderland	0–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.40	4.33	2.10	1.73
28.02.26	Leeds – Man City	0–1 (0–1)	4.75	4.33	1.62	1.62	2.30
21.02.26	Aston Villa – Leeds	1–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.60	4.33	1.83	2.03

Brighton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.05.26	Brighton – Wolves	3–0 (2–0)	1.27	6.25	9.50	1.53	2.50
02.05.26	Newcastle – Brighton	3–1 (2–0)	2.50	3.75	2.60	1.73	2.10
21.04.26	Brighton – Chelsea	3–0 (1–0)	2.50	3.50	2.70	1.67	2.20
18.04.26	Tottenham – Brighton	2–2 (1–1)	2.70	3.75	2.40	1.67	2.20
11.04.26	Burnley – Brighton	0–2 (0–1)	4.50	4.00	1.73	1.73	2.10
21.03.26	Brighton – Liverpool	2–1 (1–1)	3.10	3.50	2.20	1.73	2.10
14.03.26	Sunderland – Brighton	0–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.30	2.25	2.10	1.73
04.03.26	Brighton – Arsenal	0–1 (0–1)	4.75	4.10	1.65	1.91	1.91
01.03.26	Brighton – Nott'm Forest	2–1 (2–1)	2.00	3.60	3.50	1.83	2.03
21.02.26	Brentford – Brighton	0–2 (0–2)	2.00	3.70	3.50	1.80	2.00

Leeds at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.05.26	Leeds – Burnley	3–1 (1–0)	1.33	5.00	9.50	1.67	2.20
18.04.26	Leeds – Wolves	3–0 (2–0)	1.62	3.90	5.75	1.90	1.95
21.03.26	Leeds – Brentford	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.50	2.88	1.88	1.98
03.03.26	Leeds – Sunderland	0–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.40	4.33	2.10	1.73
28.02.26	Leeds – Man City	0–1 (0–1)	4.75	4.33	1.62	1.62	2.30
06.02.26	Leeds – Nott'm Forest	3–1 (2–0)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.10	1.73
31.01.26	Leeds – Arsenal	0–4 (0–2)	5.75	4.20	1.55	1.98	1.88
17.01.26	Leeds – Fulham	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.10	1.73
04.01.26	Leeds – Man United	1–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.30	2.63	1.83	2.03
20.12.25	Leeds – Crystal Palace	4–1 (2–0)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.10	1.73

Brighton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.05.26	Newcastle – Brighton	3–1 (2–0)	2.50	3.75	2.60	1.73	2.10
18.04.26	Tottenham – Brighton	2–2 (1–1)	2.70	3.75	2.40	1.67	2.20
11.04.26	Burnley – Brighton	0–2 (0–1)	4.50	4.00	1.73	1.73	2.10
14.03.26	Sunderland – Brighton	0–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.30	2.25	2.10	1.73
21.02.26	Brentford – Brighton	0–2 (0–2)	2.00	3.70	3.50	1.80	2.00
11.02.26	Aston Villa – Brighton	1–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.70	3.80	1.80	2.00
24.01.26	Fulham – Brighton	2–1 (0–1)	2.60	3.40	2.70	1.73	2.10
07.01.26	Man City – Brighton	1–1 (1–0)	1.40	5.25	6.50	1.44	2.75
30.12.25	West Ham – Brighton	2–2 (2–1)	3.40	3.75	2.00	1.67	2.20
27.12.25	Arsenal – Brighton	2–1 (1–0)	1.42	4.75	7.00	1.67	2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3 2

Leeds winsDrawsBrighton wins

5matches

2.00goals / match

40%over 2.5

40%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.11.25E0	Brighton – Leeds	3–0 (1–0)	1.85	3.75	4.00	1.85	2.00
11.03.23E0	Leeds – Brighton	2–2 (1–1)	3.75	3.60	1.95	1.89	2.04
27.08.22E0	Brighton – Leeds	1–0 (0–0)	1.90	3.80	3.80	1.88	2.02
15.05.22E0	Leeds – Brighton	1–1 (0–1)	2.62	3.50	2.62	1.84	2.06
27.11.21E0	Brighton – Leeds	0–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.75	1.98	1.95

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	36	24	7	5	68	26	+42	79
2	Man City	36	23	8	5	75	32	+43	77
3	Man United	37	19	11	7	66	50	+16	68
4	Aston Villa	37	18	8	11	54	48	+6	62
5	Liverpool	37	17	8	12	62	52	+10	59
6	Bournemouth	36	13	16	7	56	52	+4	55
7	Brighton	36	14	11	11	52	42	+10	53
8	Brentford	36	14	9	13	52	49	+3	51
9	Chelsea	36	13	10	13	55	49	+6	49
10	Everton	36	13	10	13	46	46	0	49
11	Fulham	36	14	6	16	44	50	-6	48
12	Sunderland	36	12	12	12	37	46	-9	48
13	Newcastle	36	13	7	16	50	52	-2	46
14	Leeds	36	10	14	12	48	53	-5	44
15	Crystal Palace	36	11	11	14	38	47	-9	44
16	Nott'm Forest	37	11	10	16	47	50	-3	43
17	Tottenham	36	9	11	16	46	55	-9	38
18	West Ham	36	9	9	18	42	62	-20	36
19	Burnley	36	4	9	23	37	73	-36	21
20	Wolves	36	3	9	24	25	66	-41	18

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Man City	18	14	3	1	44	12	+32	45
2	Arsenal	18	14	2	2	40	11	+29	44
3	Man United	19	13	3	3	39	24	+15	42
4	Aston Villa	19	12	2	5	32	22	+10	38
5	Liverpool	18	10	5	3	33	19	+14	35
6	Brighton	18	9	6	3	30	17	+13	33
7	Fulham	18	10	2	6	28	20	+8	32
8	Brentford	18	8	7	3	31	19	+12	31
9	Bournemouth	18	7	9	2	28	19	+9	30
10	Sunderland	18	8	6	4	23	19	+4	30
11	Leeds	18	8	5	5	28	21	+7	29
12	Newcastle	18	9	2	7	33	29	+4	29
13	Everton	18	6	5	7	25	24	+1	23
14	Chelsea	18	6	5	7	24	24	0	23
15	Crystal Palace	18	4	9	5	18	21	-3	21
16	Nott'm Forest	18	4	7	7	19	22	-3	19
17	West Ham	18	5	4	9	24	30	-6	19
18	Wolves	18	3	4	11	18	33	-15	13
19	Tottenham	18	2	6	10	21	31	-10	12
20	Burnley	18	2	6	10	17	28	-11	12

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	18	10	5	3	28	15	+13	35
2	Man City	18	9	5	4	31	20	+11	32
3	Chelsea	18	7	5	6	31	25	+6	26
4	Man United	18	6	8	4	27	26	+1	26
5	Tottenham	18	7	5	6	25	24	+1	26
6	Everton	18	7	5	6	21	22	-1	26
7	Bournemouth	18	6	7	5	28	33	-5	25
8	Nott'm Forest	19	7	3	9	28	28	0	24
9	Liverpool	19	7	3	9	29	33	-4	24
10	Aston Villa	18	6	6	6	22	26	-4	24
11	Crystal Palace	18	7	2	9	20	26	-6	23
12	Brighton	18	5	5	8	22	25	-3	20
13	Brentford	18	6	2	10	21	30	-9	20
14	Sunderland	18	4	6	8	14	27	-13	18
15	Newcastle	18	4	5	9	17	23	-6	17
16	West Ham	18	4	5	9	18	32	-14	17
17	Fulham	18	4	4	10	16	30	-14	16
18	Leeds	18	2	9	7	20	32	-12	15
19	Burnley	18	2	3	13	20	45	-25	9
20	Wolves	18	0	5	13	7	33	-26	5

Leeds Brighton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Man City	36	13	23	2.1	0.9	23	8	5	75	32	77
2	3	Man United	37	14	23	1.8	1.4	19	11	7	66	50	68
3	5	Liverpool	37	14	23	1.7	1.4	17	8	12	62	52	59
4	9	Chelsea	36	13	23	1.5	1.4	13	10	13	55	49	49
5	13	Newcastle	36	13	23	1.4	1.4	13	7	16	50	52	46
6	17	Tottenham	36	13	23	1.3	1.5	9	11	16	46	55	38
7	6	Bournemouth	36	15	21	1.6	1.4	13	16	7	56	52	55
8	18	West Ham	36	15	21	1.2	1.7	9	9	18	42	62	36
9	14	Leeds	36	16	20	1.3	1.5	10	14	12	48	53	44
10	16	Nott'm Forest	37	17	20	1.3	1.4	11	10	16	47	50	43
11	1	Arsenal	36	17	19	1.9	0.7	24	7	5	68	26	79
12	4	Aston Villa	37	18	19	1.5	1.3	18	8	11	54	48	62
13	8	Brentford	36	17	19	1.4	1.4	14	9	13	52	49	51
14	11	Fulham	36	17	19	1.2	1.4	14	6	16	44	50	48
15	15	Crystal Palace	36	17	19	1.1	1.3	11	11	14	38	47	44
16	19	Burnley	36	17	19	1.0	2.0	4	9	23	37	73	21
17	7	Brighton	36	18	18	1.4	1.2	14	11	11	52	42	53
18	20	Wolves	36	19	17	0.7	1.8	3	9	24	25	66	18
19	10	Everton	36	20	16	1.3	1.3	13	10	13	46	46	49
20	12	Sunderland	36	21	15	1.0	1.3	12	12	12	37	46	48

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Newcastle	18	4	14	1.8	1.6	9	2	7	33	29	29
2	2	Man City	18	5	13	2.4	0.7	14	3	1	44	12	45
3	17	Tottenham	18	6	12	1.2	1.7	2	6	10	21	31	12
4	1	Arsenal	18	7	11	2.2	0.6	14	2	2	40	11	44
5	3	Man United	19	8	11	2.1	1.3	13	3	3	39	24	42
6	4	Aston Villa	19	8	11	1.7	1.2	12	2	5	32	22	38
7	14	Leeds	18	7	11	1.6	1.2	8	5	5	28	21	29
8	18	West Ham	18	7	11	1.3	1.7	5	4	9	24	30	19
9	7	Brighton	18	8	10	1.7	0.9	9	6	3	30	17	33
10	8	Brentford	18	8	10	1.7	1.1	8	7	3	31	19	31
11	9	Chelsea	18	8	10	1.3	1.3	6	5	7	24	24	23
12	11	Fulham	18	8	10	1.6	1.1	10	2	6	28	20	32
13	5	Liverpool	18	9	9	1.8	1.1	10	5	3	33	19	35
14	6	Bournemouth	18	9	9	1.6	1.1	7	9	2	28	19	30
15	10	Everton	18	9	9	1.4	1.3	6	5	7	25	24	23
16	20	Wolves	18	9	9	1.0	1.8	3	4	11	18	33	13
17	12	Sunderland	18	10	8	1.3	1.1	8	6	4	23	19	30
18	15	Crystal Palace	18	10	8	1.0	1.2	4	9	5	18	21	21
19	16	Nott'm Forest	18	10	8	1.1	1.2	4	7	7	19	22	19
20	19	Burnley	18	12	6	0.9	1.6	2	6	10	17	28	12

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Liverpool	19	5	14	1.5	1.7	7	3	9	29	33	24
2	9	Chelsea	18	5	13	1.7	1.4	7	5	6	31	25	26
3	19	Burnley	18	5	13	1.1	2.5	2	3	13	20	45	9
4	3	Man United	18	6	12	1.5	1.4	6	8	4	27	26	26
5	6	Bournemouth	18	6	12	1.6	1.8	6	7	5	28	33	25
6	16	Nott'm Forest	19	7	12	1.5	1.5	7	3	9	28	28	24
7	15	Crystal Palace	18	7	11	1.1	1.4	7	2	9	20	26	23
8	17	Tottenham	18	7	11	1.4	1.3	7	5	6	25	24	26
9	2	Man City	18	8	10	1.7	1.1	9	5	4	31	20	32
10	18	West Ham	18	8	10	1.0	1.8	4	5	9	18	32	17
11	8	Brentford	18	9	9	1.2	1.7	6	2	10	21	30	20
12	11	Fulham	18	9	9	0.9	1.7	4	4	10	16	30	16
13	13	Newcastle	18	9	9	0.9	1.3	4	5	9	17	23	17
14	14	Leeds	18	9	9	1.1	1.8	2	9	7	20	32	15
15	1	Arsenal	18	10	8	1.6	0.8	10	5	3	28	15	35
16	4	Aston Villa	18	10	8	1.2	1.4	6	6	6	22	26	24
17	7	Brighton	18	10	8	1.2	1.4	5	5	8	22	25	20
18	20	Wolves	18	10	8	0.4	1.8	0	5	13	7	33	5
19	10	Everton	18	11	7	1.2	1.2	7	5	6	21	22	26
20	12	Sunderland	18	11	7	0.8	1.5	4	6	8	14	27	18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.