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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Attwell

Brighton 1–1 Leeds

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2026/2027

Home 1.95 fair 2.07
Draw ✓ 3.50 fair 4.24
Away 3.90 fair 3.54
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.91 fair 2.38
Over 2.5 1.91 fair 1.72

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brighton Leeds
20 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
2.20 Expected goals (xG) 2.50
7 Corners 6
13 Fouls 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (22 league matches this season so far).
Result Brighton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.68
Expected goals 1.74 – 1.28
Home / Draw / Away
BrightonDrawLeeds
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 2–1 9.5% 1–0 8.5%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
3.50scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 7:4
Leeds before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.00scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:1
Brighton all matches all matches Leeds

Per match

3.50 Goals scored 1.00
2.00 Goals conceded 0.50
5.50 Total goals 1.50
2.59 xG created 0.95
1.61 xG allowed 1.11
18.00 Shots 11.50
6.00 Shots on target 2.50
11.50 Shots faced 17.00
6.00 Corners 3.50
3.00 Corners against 4.50
12.00 Fouls 9.50
2.50 Yellow cards 0.50
2.50 1st-half goals scored 0.00
1.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
0% Draws 50%
50% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
100% Over 2.5 goals 0%
100% Over 3.5 goals 0%
50% Over 4.5 goals 0%
50% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
0% Draws 50%
50% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
100% Over 1.5 goals 0%
100% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches
Leeds all matches
Brighton before this match, at home
3.00points / match
4.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 4:0
Leeds before this match, away
3.00points / match
1.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 1:0
Brighton at home away Leeds

Per match

4.00 Goals scored 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded 0.00
4.00 Total goals 1.00
3.77 xG created 0.47
0.28 xG allowed 0.66
21.00 Shots 11.00
6.00 Shots on target 3.00
6.00 Shots faced 12.00
5.00 Corners 2.00
2.00 Corners against 3.00
12.00 Fouls 14.00
2.00 Yellow cards 1.00
4.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 0%
100% Over 2.5 goals 0%
100% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Both teams scored 0%
100% Clean sheets 100%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 100%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 0%
100% Over 1.5 goals 0%
100% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home
Leeds away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.26 Chelsea – Brighton 4–3 (3–1) 1.834.004.00 1.62 2.30
23.08.26 Brighton – Aston Villa 4–0 (4–0) 2.153.603.00 1.73 2.10
24.05.26 Brighton – Man United 0–3 (0–2) 1.854.203.60 1.50 2.63
17.05.26 Leeds – Brighton 1–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.67 2.20
09.05.26 Brighton – Wolves 3–0 (2–0) 1.276.259.50 1.53 2.50
02.05.26 Newcastle – Brighton 3–1 (2–0) 2.503.752.60 1.73 2.10
21.04.26 Brighton – Chelsea 3–0 (1–0) 2.503.502.70 1.67 2.20
18.04.26 Tottenham – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.752.40 1.67 2.20
11.04.26 Burnley – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 4.504.001.73 1.73 2.10
21.03.26 Brighton – Liverpool 2–1 (1–1) 3.103.502.20 1.73 2.10

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.26 Leeds – Brentford 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 1.90 1.95
22.08.26 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.98 1.88
24.05.26 West Ham – Leeds 3–0 (0–0) 1.854.003.75 1.67 2.20
17.05.26 Leeds – Brighton 1–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.67 2.20
11.05.26 Tottenham – Leeds 1–1 (0–0) 1.834.103.75 1.73 2.10
01.05.26 Leeds – Burnley 3–1 (1–0) 1.335.009.50 1.67 2.20
22.04.26 Bournemouth – Leeds 2–2 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.73 2.10
18.04.26 Leeds – Wolves 3–0 (2–0) 1.623.905.75 1.90 1.95
13.04.26 Man United – Leeds 1–2 (0–2) 1.624.105.00 1.73 2.10
21.03.26 Leeds – Brentford 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.502.88 1.88 1.98

Brighton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.08.26 Brighton – Aston Villa 4–0 (4–0) 2.153.603.00 1.73 2.10
24.05.26 Brighton – Man United 0–3 (0–2) 1.854.203.60 1.50 2.63
09.05.26 Brighton – Wolves 3–0 (2–0) 1.276.259.50 1.53 2.50
21.04.26 Brighton – Chelsea 3–0 (1–0) 2.503.502.70 1.67 2.20
21.03.26 Brighton – Liverpool 2–1 (1–1) 3.103.502.20 1.73 2.10
04.03.26 Brighton – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.101.65 1.91 1.91
01.03.26 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (2–1) 2.003.603.50 1.83 2.03
08.02.26 Brighton – Crystal Palace 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.90 1.80 2.00
31.01.26 Brighton – Everton 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.604.10 1.90 1.95
19.01.26 Brighton – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.903.80 1.50 2.63

Leeds away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.08.26 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.98 1.88
24.05.26 West Ham – Leeds 3–0 (0–0) 1.854.003.75 1.67 2.20
11.05.26 Tottenham – Leeds 1–1 (0–0) 1.834.103.75 1.73 2.10
22.04.26 Bournemouth – Leeds 2–2 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.73 2.10
13.04.26 Man United – Leeds 1–2 (0–2) 1.624.105.00 1.73 2.10
15.03.26 Crystal Palace – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.302.88 2.10 1.73
21.02.26 Aston Villa – Leeds 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.33 1.83 2.03
10.02.26 Chelsea – Leeds 2–2 (1–0) 1.554.335.50 1.62 2.30
26.01.26 Everton – Leeds 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.252.90 2.20 1.67
07.01.26 Newcastle – Leeds 4–3 (1–2) 1.673.805.00 1.83 2.03

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Brighton winsDrawsLeeds wins
6matches
1.83goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.05.26E0 Leeds – Brighton 1–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.67 2.20
01.11.25E0 Brighton – Leeds 3–0 (1–0) 1.853.754.00 1.85 2.00
11.03.23E0 Leeds – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 3.753.601.95 1.89 2.04
27.08.22E0 Brighton – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.803.80 1.88 2.02
15.05.22E0 Leeds – Brighton 1–1 (0–1) 2.623.502.62 1.84 2.06
27.11.21E0 Brighton – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.403.75 1.98 1.95

England Premier League table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 2 2 0 0 6 2 +4 6
2 Arsenal 2 2 0 0 4 0 +4 6
3 Hull 2 2 0 0 3 0 +3 6
4 Chelsea 2 2 0 0 7 5 +2 6
5 Liverpool 3 1 2 0 6 4 +2 5
6 Newcastle 3 1 2 0 6 4 +2 5
7 Brentford 2 1 1 0 4 1 +3 4
8 Everton 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4
9 Leeds 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
10 Brighton 2 1 0 1 7 4 +3 3
11 Man United 2 1 0 1 5 4 +1 3
12 Sunderland 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
13 Ipswich 3 1 0 2 4 8 -4 3
14 Bournemouth 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
15 Nott'm Forest 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
16 Fulham 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0
17 Coventry 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0
18 Crystal Palace 2 0 0 2 1 6 -5 0
19 Aston Villa 2 0 0 2 0 5 -5 0
20 Tottenham 2 0 0 2 0 5 -5 0
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Europa League – league phase
  • Relegation to Championship

FA Cup and EFL Cup winners also qualify for Europe, so places can move down the table (6th or 7th can qualify).

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Brighton 1 1 0 0 4 0 +4 3
2 Man United 1 1 0 0 5 2 +3 3
3 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
4 Brentford 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
5 Everton 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
6 Hull 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
7 Chelsea 1 1 0 0 4 3 +1 3
8 Man City 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
9 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
10 Ipswich 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3
11 Newcastle 2 0 2 0 4 4 0 2
12 Liverpool 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
13 Bournemouth 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
14 Leeds 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
15 Fulham 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
16 Aston Villa 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
17 Coventry 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
18 Nott'm Forest 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
19 Tottenham 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
20 Crystal Palace 1 0 0 1 1 4 -3 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
2 Man City 1 1 0 0 4 1 +3 3
3 Newcastle 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
4 Chelsea 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
5 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
6 Hull 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
7 Leeds 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
8 Nott'm Forest 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
9 Brentford 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
10 Everton 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
11 Bournemouth 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
12 Brighton 1 0 0 1 3 4 -1 0
13 Sunderland 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
14 Fulham 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
15 Crystal Palace 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
16 Man United 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
17 Ipswich 1 0 0 1 2 5 -3 0
18 Coventry 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
19 Tottenham 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
20 Aston Villa 1 0 0 1 0 4 -4 0

Brighton   Leeds

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 2 0 2 3.0 1.0 2 0 0 6 2 6
2 4 Chelsea 2 0 2 3.5 2.5 2 0 0 7 5 6
3 5 Liverpool 3 1 2 2.0 1.3 1 2 0 6 4 5
4 6 Newcastle 3 1 2 2.0 1.3 1 2 0 6 4 5
5 10 Brighton 2 0 2 3.5 2.0 1 0 1 7 4 3
6 13 Ipswich 3 1 2 1.3 2.7 1 0 2 4 8 3
7 14 Bournemouth 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
8 2 Arsenal 2 1 1 2.0 0.0 2 0 0 4 0 6
9 7 Brentford 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 1 1 0 4 1 4
10 11 Man United 2 1 1 2.5 2.0 1 0 1 5 4 3
11 12 Sunderland 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
12 15 Nott'm Forest 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
13 16 Fulham 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
14 17 Coventry 2 1 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0
15 18 Crystal Palace 2 1 1 0.5 3.0 0 0 2 1 6 0
16 19 Aston Villa 2 1 1 0.0 2.5 0 0 2 0 5 0
17 20 Tottenham 2 1 1 0.0 2.5 0 0 2 0 5 0
18 3 Hull 2 2 0 1.5 0.0 2 0 0 3 0 6
19 8 Everton 2 2 0 1.5 0.5 1 1 0 3 1 4
20 9 Leeds 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Newcastle 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 0 2 0 4 4 2
2 1 Man City 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
3 2 Arsenal 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
4 4 Chelsea 1 0 1 4.0 3.0 1 0 0 4 3 3
5 5 Liverpool 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
6 7 Brentford 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
7 10 Brighton 1 0 1 4.0 0.0 1 0 0 4 0 3
8 11 Man United 1 0 1 5.0 2.0 1 0 0 5 2 3
9 13 Ipswich 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3
10 16 Fulham 1 0 1 2.0 3.0 0 0 1 2 3 0
11 18 Crystal Palace 1 0 1 1.0 4.0 0 0 1 1 4 0
12 3 Hull 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
13 8 Everton 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
14 9 Leeds 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
15 12 Sunderland 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
16 14 Bournemouth 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
17 15 Nott'm Forest 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
18 17 Coventry 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
19 19 Aston Villa 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
20 20 Tottenham 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Bournemouth 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
2 1 Man City 1 0 1 4.0 1.0 1 0 0 4 1 3
3 4 Chelsea 1 0 1 3.0 2.0 1 0 0 3 2 3
4 5 Liverpool 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
5 10 Brighton 1 0 1 3.0 4.0 0 0 1 3 4 0
6 12 Sunderland 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
7 13 Ipswich 1 0 1 2.0 5.0 0 0 1 2 5 0
8 15 Nott'm Forest 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
9 17 Coventry 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
10 19 Aston Villa 1 0 1 0.0 4.0 0 0 1 0 4 0
11 20 Tottenham 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
12 2 Arsenal 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
13 3 Hull 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
14 6 Newcastle 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
15 7 Brentford 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
16 8 Everton 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
17 9 Leeds 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
18 11 Man United 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
19 16 Fulham 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
20 18 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51