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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Madley

Chelsea 0–2 Aston Villa

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 1.67 fair 2.05
Draw 3.80 fair 3.83
Away ✓ 5.25 fair 4.00
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 1.82
Over 2.5 1.97 fair 2.22

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Chelsea Aston Villa
27 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 2
13 Corners 2
14 Fouls 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (276 league matches this season so far).
Result Chelsea to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.94
Expected goals 1.49 – 0.99
Home / Draw / Away
ChelseaDrawAston Villa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 12.5% 1–1 12.4% 2–0 9.3%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Chelsea before this match, all matches
1.41points / match
1.07scored / match
1.04conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 29:28
Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.41points / match
1.30scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 35:39
Chelsea all matches all matches Aston Villa

Per match

1.07 Goals scored 1.30
1.04 Goals conceded 1.44
2.11 Total goals 2.74
12.15 Shots 11.48
4.04 Shots on target 4.22
11.15 Shots faced 11.96
5.59 Corners 4.04
4.70 Corners against 5.70
10.85 Fouls 11.11
2.00 Yellow cards 1.96
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.74

How often Full Time

37% Wins 41%
30% Draws 19%
33% Losses 41%
89% Over 0.5 goals 96%
63% Over 1.5 goals 81%
41% Over 2.5 goals 52%
15% Over 3.5 goals 30%
4% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
44% Both teams scored 52%
33% Clean sheets 30%
33% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 30%
56% Draws 37%
19% Losses 33%
52% Over 0.5 goals 78%
26% Over 1.5 goals 37%
11% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea all matches
Aston Villa all matches
Chelsea before this match, at home
1.69points / match
1.23scored / match
0.77conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 16:10
Aston Villa before this match, away
1.15points / match
0.92scored / match
1.54conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 12:20
Chelsea at home away Aston Villa

Per match

1.23 Goals scored 0.92
0.77 Goals conceded 1.54
2.00 Total goals 2.46
12.46 Shots 10.92
3.77 Shots on target 3.62
10.77 Shots faced 13.00
6.31 Corners 3.54
4.69 Corners against 6.00
10.62 Fouls 12.23
2.15 Yellow cards 2.31
0.31 1st-half goals scored 0.31
0.08 1st-half goals conceded 0.85

How often Full Time

46% Wins 31%
31% Draws 23%
23% Losses 46%
92% Over 0.5 goals 92%
54% Over 1.5 goals 85%
38% Over 2.5 goals 46%
15% Over 3.5 goals 23%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 46%
38% Clean sheets 31%
31% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 0%
69% Draws 62%
8% Losses 38%
31% Over 0.5 goals 69%
8% Over 1.5 goals 38%
0% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea at home
Aston Villa away

Last 10 matches before this match

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.03.23 Chelsea – Everton 2–2 (0–0) 1.504.207.50 2.10 1.73
11.03.23 Leicester – Chelsea 1–3 (1–2) 3.753.501.95 2.02 1.91
04.03.23 Chelsea – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 1.95 1.95
26.02.23 Tottenham – Chelsea 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.252.90 2.08 1.82
18.02.23 Chelsea – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 1.404.758.50 1.98 1.92
11.02.23 West Ham – Chelsea 1–1 (1–1) 3.303.302.25 2.20 1.67
03.02.23 Chelsea – Fulham 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.25 1.91 1.99
21.01.23 Liverpool – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.754.00 1.73 2.10
15.01.23 Chelsea – Crystal Palace 1–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.25 2.02 1.88
12.01.23 Fulham – Chelsea 2–1 (1–0) 3.303.502.15 1.87 2.03

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.03.23 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 3–0 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.97 1.93
12.03.23 West Ham – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.303.40 2.08 1.85
04.03.23 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.80 2.30 1.62
25.02.23 Everton – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–0) 2.503.203.00 2.30 1.62
18.02.23 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–4 (2–1) 4.503.601.50 2.02 1.88
12.02.23 Man City – Aston Villa 3–1 (3–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.50 2.63
04.02.23 Aston Villa – Leicester 2–4 (2–3) 1.953.603.80 1.94 1.96
21.01.23 Southampton – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.55 2.10 1.73
13.01.23 Aston Villa – Leeds 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.80 2.00
04.01.23 Aston Villa – Wolves 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.604.00 2.08 1.82

Chelsea at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.03.23 Chelsea – Everton 2–2 (0–0) 1.504.207.50 2.10 1.73
04.03.23 Chelsea – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 1.95 1.95
18.02.23 Chelsea – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 1.404.758.50 1.98 1.92
03.02.23 Chelsea – Fulham 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.25 1.91 1.99
15.01.23 Chelsea – Crystal Palace 1–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.25 2.02 1.88
05.01.23 Chelsea – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 5.004.001.67 1.80 2.00
27.12.22 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–0 (2–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.67 2.20
06.11.22 Chelsea – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.402.70 1.93 1.97
22.10.22 Chelsea – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.50 1.91 1.99
08.10.22 Chelsea – Wolves 3–0 (1–0) 1.404.508.00 1.87 2.03

Aston Villa away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.03.23 West Ham – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.303.40 2.08 1.85
25.02.23 Everton – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–0) 2.503.203.00 2.30 1.62
12.02.23 Man City – Aston Villa 3–1 (3–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.50 2.63
21.01.23 Southampton – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.55 2.10 1.73
01.01.23 Tottenham – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.80 2.00
13.11.22 Brighton – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 1.833.754.20 1.96 1.94
29.10.22 Newcastle – Aston Villa 4–0 (1–0) 1.803.754.50 1.94 1.96
20.10.22 Fulham – Aston Villa 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.302.50 2.00 1.90
10.10.22 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–1) 3.303.402.20 2.03 1.87
02.10.22 Leeds – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.403.00 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Chelsea winsDrawsAston Villa wins
3matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.10.22E0 Aston Villa – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 4.333.751.80 2.03 1.87
26.12.21E0 Aston Villa – Chelsea 1–3 (1–1) 5.253.801.65 2.05 1.85
11.09.21E0 Chelsea – Aston Villa 3–0 (1–0) 1.285.5011.00 1.80 2.00

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 29 23 3 3 70 27 +43 72 WWWWWW
2 Man City 28 20 4 4 71 26 +45 64 WDWWWW
3 Man United 26 15 5 6 41 35 +6 50 WDWWLD
4 Tottenham 28 15 4 9 52 40 +12 49 LWWLWD
5 Newcastle 26 12 11 3 39 19 +20 47 DDLLWW
6 Brighton 26 12 7 7 49 34 +15 43 DLWDWD
7 Brentford 28 10 13 5 46 37 +9 43 DWLWDD
8 Liverpool 27 12 6 9 48 33 +15 42 WDWWLL
9 Fulham 28 11 6 11 39 39 0 39 WWDLLL
10 Chelsea 27 10 8 9 29 28 +1 38 DLLWWD
11 Aston Villa 27 11 5 11 35 39 -4 38 LLWWDW
12 Crystal Palace 29 7 9 13 24 39 -15 30 DLLLLW
13 Wolves 29 7 7 15 23 42 -19 28 DLWLLD
14 Nott'm Forest 28 6 9 13 23 50 -27 27 DLDLLD
15 Bournemouth 28 7 6 15 27 55 -28 27 WLLWLW
16 Leeds 28 6 8 14 36 48 -12 26 LWLDWL
17 Everton 28 6 8 14 22 40 -18 26 WLLDWD
18 Leicester 28 7 4 17 39 49 -10 25 LLLLDL
19 West Ham 26 6 6 14 24 34 -10 24 DDLWLD
20 Southampton 28 6 5 17 23 46 -23 23 WLWDLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 15 12 2 1 42 18 +24 38 DLWWWW
2 Man City 14 12 1 1 47 14 +33 37 DWWWWW
3 Liverpool 13 9 3 1 34 9 +25 30 WWDWWW
4 Man United 13 9 3 1 24 8 +16 30 WWWDWD
5 Tottenham 14 10 0 4 29 16 +13 30 LLWWWW
6 Brentford 14 7 6 1 28 14 +14 27 WWWDWD
7 Newcastle 13 7 5 1 21 9 +12 26 WDWDLW
8 Brighton 14 7 3 4 25 14 +11 24 WWLWWD
9 Aston Villa 14 7 2 5 23 19 +4 23 DWLLWW
10 Chelsea 13 6 4 3 16 10 +6 22 LWDLWD
11 Fulham 14 6 4 4 21 20 +1 22 WWLWDL
12 Nott'm Forest 15 5 6 4 19 18 +1 21 WWDDLD
13 Crystal Palace 15 5 5 5 14 19 -5 20 DDDDLW
14 Bournemouth 14 5 4 5 15 17 -2 19 LDDLWW
15 West Ham 13 5 3 5 17 14 +3 18 LLWDWD
16 Leeds 13 4 5 4 18 18 0 17 LDDLWD
17 Everton 14 5 2 7 12 16 -4 17 LLWWLW
18 Wolves 14 5 2 7 12 19 -7 17 LWWLWL
19 Leicester 13 3 3 7 16 17 -1 12 LLDWLL
20 Southampton 14 2 4 8 14 24 -10 10 LLLWLD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 14 11 1 2 28 9 +19 34 WWLWWW
2 Man City 14 8 3 3 24 12 +12 27 LLWDWW
3 Newcastle 13 5 6 2 18 10 +8 21 WDDDLW
4 Man United 13 6 2 5 17 27 -10 20 WWDLWL
5 Brighton 12 5 4 3 24 20 +4 19 WWWDDD
6 Tottenham 14 5 4 5 23 24 -1 19 WLWLLD
7 Fulham 14 5 2 7 18 19 -1 17 WLDWLL
8 Brentford 14 3 7 4 18 23 -5 16 WDDLWD
9 Chelsea 14 4 4 6 13 18 -5 16 DLDDLW
10 Aston Villa 13 4 3 6 12 20 -8 15 WWWLWD
11 Leicester 15 4 1 10 23 32 -9 13 LWLLDL
12 Southampton 14 4 1 9 9 22 -13 13 LWLWLD
13 Liverpool 14 3 3 8 14 24 -10 12 LLWDLL
14 Wolves 15 2 5 8 11 23 -12 11 LWDLLD
15 Crystal Palace 14 2 4 8 10 20 -10 10 LLDLLL
16 Leeds 15 2 3 10 18 30 -12 9 LDLLWL
17 Everton 14 1 6 7 10 24 -14 9 DLLLDD
18 Bournemouth 14 2 2 10 12 38 -26 8 LLLWLL
19 West Ham 13 1 3 9 7 20 -13 6 LDLDLL
20 Nott'm Forest 13 1 3 9 4 32 -28 6 LWDLLL

Chelsea   Aston Villa

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Arsenal 29 10 19 2.4 0.9 23 3 3 70 27 72 UOOOOO
2 9 Fulham 28 9 19 1.4 1.4 11 6 11 39 39 39 UUUOOO
3 2 Man City 28 10 18 2.5 0.9 20 4 4 71 26 64 OUOUUO
4 18 Leicester 28 11 17 1.4 1.8 7 4 17 39 49 25 OUUOUO
5 3 Man United 26 10 16 1.6 1.3 15 5 6 41 35 50 OOUOOU
6 6 Brighton 26 10 16 1.9 1.3 12 7 7 49 34 43 UUOOUO
7 8 Liverpool 27 11 16 1.8 1.2 12 6 9 48 33 42 UUUOUO
8 16 Leeds 28 12 16 1.3 1.7 6 8 14 36 48 26 UUUOOO
9 4 Tottenham 28 13 15 1.9 1.4 15 4 9 52 40 49 OUUUOO
10 7 Brentford 28 14 14 1.6 1.3 10 13 5 46 37 43 UOUUUO
11 11 Aston Villa 27 13 14 1.3 1.4 11 5 11 35 39 38 OOUUUO
12 15 Bournemouth 28 14 14 1.0 2.0 7 6 15 27 55 27 UOOUOO
13 20 Southampton 28 14 14 0.8 1.6 6 5 17 23 46 23 UUUUUO
14 12 Crystal Palace 29 17 12 0.8 1.3 7 9 13 24 39 30 UUUUOO
15 13 Wolves 29 17 12 0.8 1.4 7 7 15 23 42 28 UUUOOU
16 10 Chelsea 27 16 11 1.1 1.0 10 8 9 29 28 38 UUUUOO
17 14 Nott'm Forest 28 17 11 0.8 1.8 6 9 13 23 50 27 UOOOOU
18 17 Everton 28 17 11 0.8 1.4 6 8 14 22 40 26 UUOOUO
19 5 Newcastle 26 16 10 1.5 0.7 12 11 3 39 19 47 UUUUOO
20 19 West Ham 26 19 7 0.9 1.3 6 6 14 24 34 24 UUUOOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Arsenal 15 2 13 2.8 1.2 12 2 1 42 18 38 UOOOOO
2 2 Man City 14 2 12 3.4 1.0 12 1 1 47 14 37 UOOOUO
3 9 Fulham 14 4 10 1.5 1.4 6 4 4 21 20 22 OOUUUO
4 3 Man United 13 4 9 1.8 0.6 9 3 1 24 8 30 OOOOOU
5 11 Aston Villa 14 6 8 1.6 1.4 7 2 5 23 19 23 UOOOUO
6 4 Tottenham 14 7 7 2.1 1.1 10 0 4 29 16 30 UUUUUO
7 6 Brighton 14 7 7 1.8 1.0 7 3 4 25 14 24 OUUOUO
8 7 Brentford 14 7 7 2.0 1.0 7 6 1 28 14 27 OUOUOU
9 8 Liverpool 13 6 7 2.6 0.7 9 3 1 34 9 30 OOUUUO
10 12 Crystal Palace 15 8 7 0.9 1.3 5 5 5 14 19 20 UUUUUO
11 16 Leeds 13 6 7 1.4 1.4 4 5 4 18 18 17 OOUUUO
12 18 Leicester 13 6 7 1.2 1.3 3 3 7 16 17 12 OUOOUO
13 20 Southampton 14 7 7 1.0 1.7 2 4 8 14 24 10 UUOUUO
14 15 Bournemouth 14 8 6 1.1 1.2 5 4 5 15 17 19 UUUOUO
15 10 Chelsea 13 8 5 1.2 0.8 6 4 3 16 10 22 UUUUUO
16 13 Wolves 14 9 5 0.9 1.4 5 2 7 12 19 17 UUOUUO
17 14 Nott'm Forest 15 10 5 1.3 1.2 5 6 4 19 18 21 UUUOOU
18 17 Everton 14 9 5 0.9 1.1 5 2 7 12 16 17 OOUUUU
19 5 Newcastle 13 9 4 1.6 0.7 7 5 1 21 9 26 UUUUUO
20 19 West Ham 13 10 3 1.3 1.1 5 3 5 17 14 18 UUUUOU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 18 Leicester 15 5 10 1.5 2.1 4 1 10 23 32 13 UOOUUO
2 6 Brighton 12 3 9 2.0 1.7 5 4 3 24 20 19 OOOOUO
3 8 Liverpool 14 5 9 1.0 1.7 3 3 8 14 24 12 OOUUUO
4 9 Fulham 14 5 9 1.3 1.4 5 2 7 18 19 17 UUUUOO
5 16 Leeds 15 6 9 1.2 2.0 2 3 10 18 30 9 UOUUOO
6 4 Tottenham 14 6 8 1.6 1.7 5 4 5 23 24 19 OOUOUO
7 15 Bournemouth 14 6 8 0.9 2.7 2 2 10 12 38 8 OUUUOO
8 3 Man United 13 6 7 1.3 2.1 6 2 5 17 27 20 OUUOUO
9 7 Brentford 14 7 7 1.3 1.6 3 7 4 18 23 16 UUUUUO
10 13 Wolves 15 8 7 0.7 1.5 2 5 8 11 23 11 OOUUOU
11 20 Southampton 14 7 7 0.6 1.6 4 1 9 9 22 13 OOOUUU
12 1 Arsenal 14 8 6 2.0 0.6 11 1 2 28 9 34 OUUOUO
13 2 Man City 14 8 6 1.7 0.9 8 3 3 24 12 27 OUOUOU
14 5 Newcastle 13 7 6 1.4 0.8 5 6 2 18 10 21 OUUUUO
15 10 Chelsea 14 8 6 0.9 1.3 4 4 6 13 18 16 UOUUUO
16 11 Aston Villa 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 4 3 6 12 20 15 OUUOUU
17 14 Nott'm Forest 13 7 6 0.3 2.5 1 3 9 4 32 6 OUUUOO
18 17 Everton 14 8 6 0.7 1.7 1 6 7 10 24 9 UUUOOO
19 12 Crystal Palace 14 9 5 0.7 1.4 2 4 8 10 20 10 UOUUUO
20 19 West Ham 13 9 4 0.5 1.5 1 3 9 7 20 6 OOUUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47