Chelsea 3–1 Liverpool – England Premier League, 4 May 2025

Match facts

Chelsea Liverpool

17 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 2

3 Corners 6

10 Fouls 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (348 league matches this season so far).

Result Liverpool to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.60

Expected goals 1.43 – 1.72

Home / Draw / Away

32% 23% 45%

ChelseaDrawLiverpool

Under / Over 2.5 goals

39% 61%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

38% 63%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

4% 0

14% 1

21% 2

22% 3

18% 4

21% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.5% 1–2 9.1% 2–1 7.5%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Chelsea before this match, all matches

1.76points / match

1.74scored / match

1.18conceded / match

17 9 8

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 59:40

Liverpool before this match, all matches

2.41points / match

2.35scored / match

0.94conceded / match

25 7 2

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 80:32

Chelsea all matches all matches Liverpool

Per match

1.74 Goals scored 2.35

1.18 Goals conceded 0.94

2.91 Total goals 3.29

16.21 Shots 17.38

5.97 Shots on target 6.35

10.53 Shots faced 9.47

6.29 Corners 6.76

3.65 Corners against 3.94

11.53 Fouls 11.50

2.68 Yellow cards 1.76

0.82 1st-half goals scored 1.06

0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 74%

26% Draws 21%

24% Losses 6%

94% Over 0.5 goals 100%

79% Over 1.5 goals 88%

59% Over 2.5 goals 62%

26% Over 3.5 goals 41%

12% Over 4.5 goals 21%

12% Over 5.5 goals 9%

62% Both teams scored 56%

26% Clean sheets 41%

18% Failed to score 3%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 50%

35% Draws 26%

26% Losses 24%

76% Over 0.5 goals 82%

35% Over 1.5 goals 41%

15% Over 2.5 goals 24%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea all matches

3

L

1

2

L

4

W

1

W

1

L

1

W

D

2

D

2

1

W

1

W

Liverpool all matches

2

1

W

2

D

2

W

2

W

3

1

W

1

W

2

3

L

2

1

W

1

W

5

1

W

Chelsea before this match, at home

2.06points / match

1.82scored / match

1.00conceded / match

10 5 2

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 31:17

Liverpool before this match, away

2.24points / match

2.41scored / match

1.12conceded / match

11 5 1

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 41:19

Chelsea at home away Liverpool

Per match

1.82 Goals scored 2.41

1.00 Goals conceded 1.12

2.82 Total goals 3.53

18.24 Shots 17.94

6.88 Shots on target 6.59

10.29 Shots faced 9.65

6.65 Corners 7.06

3.41 Corners against 3.29

11.47 Fouls 11.29

2.65 Yellow cards 1.82

0.94 1st-half goals scored 1.06

0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

59% Wins 65%

29% Draws 29%

12% Losses 6%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

82% Over 1.5 goals 88%

59% Over 2.5 goals 59%

29% Over 3.5 goals 47%

6% Over 4.5 goals 29%

6% Over 5.5 goals 12%

65% Both teams scored 53%

29% Clean sheets 47%

6% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 41%

35% Draws 29%

18% Losses 29%

76% Over 0.5 goals 82%

35% Over 1.5 goals 53%

12% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea at home

2

1

W

1

2

L

2

D

3

1

W

2

1

W

4

W

1

W

1

W

2

D

1

W

Liverpool away

6

3

W

5

W

1

D

2

W

2

W

2

D

2

D

2

W

2

3

L

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Chelsea all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.04.25	Chelsea – Everton	1–0 (1–0)	1.55	4.00	6.00	1.88	2.02
20.04.25	Fulham – Chelsea	1–2 (1–0)	2.70	3.70	2.35	1.84	2.06
13.04.25	Chelsea – Ipswich	2–2 (0–2)	1.27	7.00	8.50	1.44	2.75
06.04.25	Brentford – Chelsea	0–0 (0–0)	3.20	3.60	2.15	1.53	2.50
03.04.25	Chelsea – Tottenham	1–0 (0–0)	1.65	4.50	4.50	1.40	3.00
16.03.25	Arsenal – Chelsea	1–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.86	1.92
09.03.25	Chelsea – Leicester	1–0 (0–0)	1.18	8.00	12.00	1.33	3.20
25.02.25	Chelsea – Southampton	4–0 (3–0)	1.17	8.00	13.00	1.29	3.75
22.02.25	Aston Villa – Chelsea	2–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.40	2.60	1.57	2.38
14.02.25	Brighton – Chelsea	3–0 (2–0)	2.70	3.60	2.45	1.57	2.38

Liverpool all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.04.25	Liverpool – Tottenham	5–1 (3–1)	1.25	6.00	11.00	1.33	3.40
20.04.25	Leicester – Liverpool	0–1 (0–0)	11.00	6.25	1.22	1.44	2.75
13.04.25	Liverpool – West Ham	2–1 (1–0)	1.30	6.00	8.00	1.53	2.50
06.04.25	Fulham – Liverpool	3–2 (3–1)	4.50	3.50	1.83	1.80	2.00
02.04.25	Liverpool – Everton	1–0 (0–0)	1.36	5.00	8.00	1.73	2.10
08.03.25	Liverpool – Southampton	3–1 (0–1)	1.10	9.00	19.00	1.29	3.75
26.02.25	Liverpool – Newcastle	2–0 (1–0)	1.50	4.50	5.75	1.44	2.75
23.02.25	Man City – Liverpool	0–2 (0–2)	2.88	3.80	2.25	1.40	3.00
19.02.25	Aston Villa – Liverpool	2–2 (2–1)	3.90	4.00	1.83	1.57	2.38
16.02.25	Liverpool – Wolves	2–1 (2–0)	1.15	8.00	12.00	1.36	3.20

Chelsea at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.04.25	Chelsea – Everton	1–0 (1–0)	1.55	4.00	6.00	1.88	2.02
13.04.25	Chelsea – Ipswich	2–2 (0–2)	1.27	7.00	8.50	1.44	2.75
03.04.25	Chelsea – Tottenham	1–0 (0–0)	1.65	4.50	4.50	1.40	3.00
09.03.25	Chelsea – Leicester	1–0 (0–0)	1.18	8.00	12.00	1.33	3.20
25.02.25	Chelsea – Southampton	4–0 (3–0)	1.17	8.00	13.00	1.29	3.75
03.02.25	Chelsea – West Ham	2–1 (0–1)	1.36	4.75	8.00	1.40	3.00
20.01.25	Chelsea – Wolves	3–1 (1–1)	1.36	5.75	6.50	1.36	3.20
14.01.25	Chelsea – Bournemouth	2–2 (1–0)	1.48	4.75	6.00	1.40	3.00
26.12.24	Chelsea – Fulham	1–2 (1–0)	1.48	4.75	6.00	1.44	2.75
15.12.24	Chelsea – Brentford	2–1 (1–0)	1.33	6.00	7.50	1.33	3.40

Liverpool away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.04.25	Leicester – Liverpool	0–1 (0–0)	11.00	6.25	1.22	1.44	2.75
06.04.25	Fulham – Liverpool	3–2 (3–1)	4.50	3.50	1.83	1.80	2.00
23.02.25	Man City – Liverpool	0–2 (0–2)	2.88	3.80	2.25	1.40	3.00
19.02.25	Aston Villa – Liverpool	2–2 (2–1)	3.90	4.00	1.83	1.57	2.38
12.02.25	Everton – Liverpool	2–2 (1–1)	7.50	4.50	1.44	1.73	2.10
01.02.25	Bournemouth – Liverpool	0–2 (0–1)	4.50	4.33	1.67	1.44	2.75
18.01.25	Brentford – Liverpool	0–2 (0–0)	6.50	5.00	1.42	1.36	3.20
14.01.25	Nott'm Forest – Liverpool	1–1 (1–0)	5.25	4.10	1.62	1.62	2.30
29.12.24	West Ham – Liverpool	0–5 (0–3)	7.00	5.00	1.40	1.40	3.00
22.12.24	Tottenham – Liverpool	3–6 (1–3)	4.50	4.00	1.73	1.30	3.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

5 2

Chelsea winsDrawsLiverpool wins

7matches

2.29goals / match

43%over 2.5

71%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.10.24E0	Liverpool – Chelsea	2–1 (1–0)	1.62	4.10	5.00	1.40	3.00
31.01.24E0	Liverpool – Chelsea	4–1 (2–0)	1.57	4.33	5.25	1.44	2.70
13.08.23E0	Chelsea – Liverpool	1–1 (1–1)	2.90	3.40	2.38	1.67	2.20
04.04.23E0	Chelsea – Liverpool	0–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.40	3.25	1.95	1.95
21.01.23E0	Liverpool – Chelsea	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.75	4.00	1.73	2.10
02.01.22E0	Chelsea – Liverpool	2–2 (2–2)	3.10	3.50	2.25	1.83	2.07
28.08.21E0	Liverpool – Chelsea	1–1 (1–1)	2.45	3.30	2.90	2.00	1.80

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	34	25	7	2	80	32	+48	82
2	Arsenal	35	18	13	4	64	31	+33	67
3	Man City	35	19	7	9	67	43	+24	64
4	Newcastle	35	19	6	10	66	45	+21	63
5	Chelsea	34	17	9	8	59	40	+19	60
6	Nott'm Forest	34	18	6	10	53	41	+12	60
7	Aston Villa	35	17	9	9	55	49	+6	60
8	Bournemouth	35	14	11	10	55	42	+13	53
9	Brentford	35	15	7	13	62	53	+9	52
10	Brighton	35	13	13	9	57	56	+1	52
11	Fulham	35	14	9	12	50	47	+3	51
12	Crystal Palace	34	11	12	11	43	47	-4	45
13	Wolves	35	12	5	18	51	62	-11	41
14	Everton	35	8	15	12	36	43	-7	39
15	Man United	35	10	9	16	42	51	-9	39
16	Tottenham	35	11	5	19	63	57	+6	38
17	West Ham	35	9	10	16	40	59	-19	37
18	Ipswich	35	4	10	21	35	76	-41	22
19	Leicester	35	5	6	24	29	76	-47	21
20	Southampton	35	2	5	28	25	82	-57	11

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	17	14	2	1	39	13	+26	44
2	Man City	18	12	3	3	40	22	+18	39
3	Aston Villa	18	10	7	1	32	20	+12	37
4	Arsenal	18	10	6	2	34	17	+17	36
5	Newcastle	17	11	2	4	38	19	+19	35
6	Chelsea	17	10	5	2	31	17	+14	35
7	Nott'm Forest	17	9	4	4	24	13	+11	31
8	Brentford	18	9	4	5	38	32	+6	31
9	Brighton	18	7	8	3	27	24	+3	29
10	Fulham	17	7	5	5	26	25	+1	26
11	Bournemouth	17	7	4	6	21	15	+6	25
12	Tottenham	17	6	3	8	34	29	+5	21
13	Everton	18	4	9	5	24	23	+1	21
14	Crystal Palace	17	5	6	6	19	23	-4	21
15	Man United	17	6	3	8	21	26	-5	21
16	Wolves	17	6	2	9	26	29	-3	20
17	West Ham	18	5	5	8	22	32	-10	20
18	Leicester	18	3	3	12	13	34	-21	12
19	Ipswich	17	1	4	12	13	40	-27	7
20	Southampton	17	1	2	14	12	45	-33	5

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	17	11	5	1	41	19	+22	38
2	Arsenal	17	8	7	2	30	14	+16	31
3	Nott'm Forest	17	9	2	6	29	28	+1	29
4	Bournemouth	18	7	7	4	34	27	+7	28
5	Newcastle	18	8	4	6	28	26	+2	28
6	Man City	17	7	4	6	27	21	+6	25
7	Chelsea	17	7	4	6	28	23	+5	25
8	Fulham	18	7	4	7	24	22	+2	25
9	Crystal Palace	17	6	6	5	24	24	0	24
10	Brighton	17	6	5	6	30	32	-2	23
11	Aston Villa	17	7	2	8	23	29	-6	23
12	Brentford	17	6	3	8	24	21	+3	21
13	Wolves	18	6	3	9	25	33	-8	21
14	Man United	18	4	6	8	21	25	-4	18
15	Everton	17	4	6	7	12	20	-8	18
16	Tottenham	18	5	2	11	29	28	+1	17
17	West Ham	17	4	5	8	18	27	-9	17
18	Ipswich	18	3	6	9	22	36	-14	15
19	Leicester	17	2	3	12	16	42	-26	9
20	Southampton	18	1	3	14	13	37	-24	6

Chelsea Liverpool

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Brighton	35	10	25	1.6	1.6	13	13	9	57	56	52
2	7	Aston Villa	35	11	24	1.6	1.4	17	9	9	55	49	60
3	13	Wolves	35	11	24	1.5	1.8	12	5	18	51	62	41
4	4	Newcastle	35	12	23	1.9	1.3	19	6	10	66	45	63
5	16	Tottenham	35	12	23	1.8	1.6	11	5	19	63	57	38
6	3	Man City	35	13	22	1.9	1.2	19	7	9	67	43	64
7	9	Brentford	35	13	22	1.8	1.5	15	7	13	62	53	52
8	19	Leicester	35	13	22	0.8	2.2	5	6	24	29	76	21
9	20	Southampton	35	13	22	0.7	2.3	2	5	28	25	82	11
10	1	Liverpool	34	13	21	2.4	0.9	25	7	2	80	32	82
11	18	Ipswich	35	14	21	1.0	2.2	4	10	21	35	76	22
12	5	Chelsea	34	14	20	1.7	1.2	17	9	8	59	40	60
13	8	Bournemouth	35	15	20	1.6	1.2	14	11	10	55	42	53
14	11	Fulham	35	15	20	1.4	1.3	14	9	12	50	47	51
15	15	Man United	35	16	19	1.2	1.5	10	9	16	42	51	39
16	6	Nott'm Forest	34	17	17	1.6	1.2	18	6	10	53	41	60
17	17	West Ham	35	18	17	1.1	1.7	9	10	16	40	59	37
18	12	Crystal Palace	34	18	16	1.3	1.4	11	12	11	43	47	45
19	2	Arsenal	35	20	15	1.8	0.9	18	13	4	64	31	67
20	14	Everton	35	22	13	1.0	1.2	8	15	12	36	43	39

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Man City	18	5	13	2.2	1.2	12	3	3	40	22	39
2	16	Tottenham	17	4	13	2.0	1.7	6	3	8	34	29	21
3	4	Newcastle	17	5	12	2.2	1.1	11	2	4	38	19	35
4	10	Brighton	18	6	12	1.5	1.3	7	8	3	27	24	29
5	20	Southampton	17	5	12	0.7	2.6	1	2	14	12	45	5
6	1	Liverpool	17	6	11	2.3	0.8	14	2	1	39	13	44
7	7	Aston Villa	18	7	11	1.8	1.1	10	7	1	32	20	37
8	9	Brentford	18	7	11	2.1	1.8	9	4	5	38	32	31
9	11	Fulham	17	6	11	1.5	1.5	7	5	5	26	25	26
10	13	Wolves	17	6	11	1.5	1.7	6	2	9	26	29	20
11	2	Arsenal	18	8	10	1.9	0.9	10	6	2	34	17	36
12	5	Chelsea	17	7	10	1.8	1.0	10	5	2	31	17	35
13	15	Man United	17	7	10	1.2	1.5	6	3	8	21	26	21
14	17	West Ham	18	8	10	1.2	1.8	5	5	8	22	32	20
15	14	Everton	18	9	9	1.3	1.3	4	9	5	24	23	21
16	18	Ipswich	17	8	9	0.8	2.4	1	4	12	13	40	7
17	19	Leicester	18	9	9	0.7	1.9	3	3	12	13	34	12
18	12	Crystal Palace	17	9	8	1.1	1.4	5	6	6	19	23	21
19	8	Bournemouth	17	11	6	1.2	0.9	7	4	6	21	15	25
20	6	Nott'm Forest	17	12	5	1.4	0.8	9	4	4	24	13	31

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Bournemouth	18	4	14	1.9	1.5	7	7	4	34	27	28
2	7	Aston Villa	17	4	13	1.4	1.7	7	2	8	23	29	23
3	10	Brighton	17	4	13	1.8	1.9	6	5	6	30	32	23
4	13	Wolves	18	5	13	1.4	1.8	6	3	9	25	33	21
5	19	Leicester	17	4	13	0.9	2.5	2	3	12	16	42	9
6	6	Nott'm Forest	17	5	12	1.7	1.6	9	2	6	29	28	29
7	18	Ipswich	18	6	12	1.2	2.0	3	6	9	22	36	15
8	4	Newcastle	18	7	11	1.6	1.4	8	4	6	28	26	28
9	9	Brentford	17	6	11	1.4	1.2	6	3	8	24	21	21
10	1	Liverpool	17	7	10	2.4	1.1	11	5	1	41	19	38
11	5	Chelsea	17	7	10	1.6	1.4	7	4	6	28	23	25
12	16	Tottenham	18	8	10	1.6	1.6	5	2	11	29	28	17
13	20	Southampton	18	8	10	0.7	2.1	1	3	14	13	37	6
14	3	Man City	17	8	9	1.6	1.2	7	4	6	27	21	25
15	11	Fulham	18	9	9	1.3	1.2	7	4	7	24	22	25
16	15	Man United	18	9	9	1.2	1.4	4	6	8	21	25	18
17	12	Crystal Palace	17	9	8	1.4	1.4	6	6	5	24	24	24
18	17	West Ham	17	10	7	1.1	1.6	4	5	8	18	27	17
19	2	Arsenal	17	12	5	1.8	0.8	8	7	2	30	14	31
20	14	Everton	17	13	4	0.7	1.2	4	6	7	12	20	18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.