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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: T Robinson

Aston Villa 3–1 Bournemouth

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.85 fair 1.74
Draw 4.00 fair 5.11
Away 3.60 fair 4.35
Under 2.5 2.75 fair 3.61
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.38

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Bournemouth
14 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
8 Corners 4
8 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (327 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.46
Expected goals 2.32 – 1.43
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawBournemouth
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9% 1–1 7.8% 3–1 7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.91points / match
2.06scored / match
1.48conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 68:49
Bournemouth before this match, all matches
1.31points / match
1.47scored / match
1.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 47:57
Aston Villa all matches all matches Bournemouth

Per match

2.06 Goals scored 1.47
1.48 Goals conceded 1.78
3.55 Total goals 3.25
14.00 Shots 14.06
5.27 Shots on target 4.88
11.36 Shots faced 13.69
6.39 Corners 6.34
4.24 Corners against 5.50
11.00 Fouls 13.25
2.55 Yellow cards 2.06
0.97 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

58% Wins 34%
18% Draws 28%
24% Losses 38%
97% Over 0.5 goals 97%
88% Over 1.5 goals 91%
70% Over 2.5 goals 69%
55% Over 3.5 goals 47%
30% Over 4.5 goals 9%
12% Over 5.5 goals 6%
67% Both teams scored 63%
24% Clean sheets 22%
12% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 25%
30% Draws 44%
24% Losses 31%
76% Over 0.5 goals 72%
45% Over 1.5 goals 41%
18% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Bournemouth all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
2.19points / match
2.50scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 40:22
Bournemouth before this match, away
1.20points / match
1.60scored / match
2.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 24:31
Aston Villa at home away Bournemouth

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 1.60
1.38 Goals conceded 2.07
3.88 Total goals 3.67
14.88 Shots 13.53
5.75 Shots on target 4.53
9.69 Shots faced 16.47
6.19 Corners 5.33
3.63 Corners against 5.73
11.25 Fouls 13.40
2.69 Yellow cards 2.27
1.06 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.31 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

69% Wins 33%
13% Draws 20%
19% Losses 47%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 100%
75% Over 2.5 goals 80%
69% Over 3.5 goals 60%
31% Over 4.5 goals 13%
19% Over 5.5 goals 7%
69% Both teams scored 73%
25% Clean sheets 20%
6% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

63% Wins 33%
25% Draws 33%
13% Losses 33%
75% Over 0.5 goals 80%
38% Over 1.5 goals 47%
19% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Bournemouth away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.04.24 Arsenal – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–0) 1.295.7510.00 1.50 2.63
06.04.24 Aston Villa – Brentford 3–3 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.53 2.50
03.04.24 Man City – Aston Villa 4–1 (2–1) 1.306.008.00 1.40 3.00
30.03.24 Aston Villa – Wolves 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.35
17.03.24 West Ham – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.752.45 1.57 2.35
10.03.24 Aston Villa – Tottenham 0–4 (0–0) 2.384.002.60 1.36 3.10
02.03.24 Luton – Aston Villa 2–3 (0–2) 4.334.201.73 1.44 2.70
24.02.24 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 4–2 (3–1) 1.534.505.75 1.57 2.35
17.02.24 Fulham – Aston Villa 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.752.20 1.60 2.30
11.02.24 Aston Villa – Man United 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.753.10 1.53 2.40

Bournemouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 Bournemouth – Man United 2–2 (2–1) 2.403.902.60 1.44 2.75
06.04.24 Luton – Bournemouth 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.801.91 1.50 2.63
02.04.24 Bournemouth – Crystal Palace 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.803.60 1.73 2.10
30.03.24 Bournemouth – Everton 2–1 (0–0) 2.203.603.20 1.70 2.10
13.03.24 Bournemouth – Luton 4–3 (0–3) 1.504.755.75 1.44 2.70
09.03.24 Bournemouth – Sheffield United 2–2 (0–1) 1.335.258.00 1.53 2.40
03.03.24 Burnley – Bournemouth 0–2 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.70 2.10
24.02.24 Bournemouth – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.251.40 1.48 2.60
17.02.24 Newcastle – Bournemouth 2–2 (0–0) 1.834.203.75 1.48 2.60
10.02.24 Fulham – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–0) 2.383.502.80 1.73 2.08

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Aston Villa – Brentford 3–3 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.53 2.50
30.03.24 Aston Villa – Wolves 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.35
10.03.24 Aston Villa – Tottenham 0–4 (0–0) 2.384.002.60 1.36 3.10
24.02.24 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 4–2 (3–1) 1.534.505.75 1.57 2.35
11.02.24 Aston Villa – Man United 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.753.10 1.53 2.40
30.01.24 Aston Villa – Newcastle 1–3 (0–2) 1.854.003.80 1.50 2.50
30.12.23 Aston Villa – Burnley 3–2 (2–1) 1.365.257.50 1.57 2.35
22.12.23 Aston Villa – Sheffield United 1–1 (0–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.70
09.12.23 Aston Villa – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.70 2.10
06.12.23 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 4.754.201.70 1.53 2.40

Bournemouth away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Luton – Bournemouth 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.801.91 1.50 2.63
03.03.24 Burnley – Bournemouth 0–2 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.70 2.10
17.02.24 Newcastle – Bournemouth 2–2 (0–0) 1.834.203.75 1.48 2.60
10.02.24 Fulham – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–0) 2.383.502.80 1.73 2.08
01.02.24 West Ham – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.752.75 1.62 2.25
31.12.23 Tottenham – Bournemouth 3–1 (1–0) 1.754.204.00 1.40 2.88
23.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Bournemouth 2–3 (0–0) 2.753.402.55 1.95 1.95
09.12.23 Man United – Bournemouth 0–3 (0–1) 1.554.335.75 1.50 2.50
06.12.23 Crystal Palace – Bournemouth 0–2 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 2.01 1.89
25.11.23 Sheffield United – Bournemouth 1–3 (0–2) 3.203.502.20 1.85 2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsBournemouth wins
3matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.23E0 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 2–2 (1–1) 3.404.001.95 1.53 2.40
18.03.23E0 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 3–0 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.97 1.93
06.08.22E0 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 3.753.502.00 2.00 1.80

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 33 23 5 5 77 26 +51 74 WDWWLW
2 Man City 32 22 7 3 76 32 +44 73 WDDWWW
3 Liverpool 32 21 8 3 72 31 +41 71 WDWWDL
4 Aston Villa 33 19 6 8 68 49 +19 63 LDWLDW
5 Tottenham 32 18 6 8 65 49 +16 60 WLWDWL
6 Newcastle 32 15 5 12 69 52 +17 50 WLWDWW
7 Man United 32 15 5 12 47 48 -1 50 LWDLDD
8 West Ham 33 13 9 11 52 58 -6 48 DDLDWL
9 Chelsea 31 13 8 10 61 52 +9 47 DWDWDW
10 Brighton 32 11 11 10 52 50 +2 44 LWLDLD
11 Wolves 33 12 7 14 46 53 -7 43 WLDLDL
12 Fulham 33 12 6 15 49 51 -2 42 LWDLLW
13 Bournemouth 32 11 9 12 47 57 -10 42 DWWWLD
14 Everton 33 10 8 15 34 48 -14 38 LLDWLW
15 Brentford 34 9 8 17 52 59 -7 35 LDDDWW
16 Crystal Palace 32 8 9 15 37 54 -17 33 LDDLLW
17 Nott'm Forest 34 7 9 18 42 60 -18 30 DDWLDL
18 Luton 34 6 7 21 47 75 -28 25 DLLWLL
19 Burnley 34 5 8 21 37 69 -32 23 WDDLDW
20 Sheffield United 33 3 7 23 31 88 -57 16 DDLDLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 17 13 3 1 43 15 +28 42 WWDWWL
2 Man City 17 12 5 0 43 14 +29 41 DWWDWW
3 Arsenal 16 12 2 2 38 15 +23 38 WWWWWL
4 Newcastle 17 11 3 3 43 20 +23 36 DDWWDW
5 Tottenham 16 12 0 4 34 21 +13 36 WWLWWW
6 Aston Villa 16 11 2 3 40 22 +18 35 LLWLWD
7 Fulham 16 9 1 6 29 16 +13 28 DWLWWL
8 Chelsea 16 8 4 4 35 25 +10 28 WLWDWW
9 Brighton 15 7 6 2 28 19 +9 27 WDWDWL
10 Man United 15 8 2 5 23 22 +1 26 WDWLWD
11 West Ham 17 6 7 4 26 25 +1 25 LWDDDL
12 Wolves 16 7 3 6 23 25 -2 24 LLWWLL
13 Bournemouth 17 6 6 5 23 26 -3 24 LDWWWD
14 Brentford 17 5 6 6 27 30 -3 21 LLDDDW
15 Nott'm Forest 17 5 5 7 25 25 0 20 LWLDWD
16 Everton 16 5 4 7 18 18 0 19 DDDLWW
17 Crystal Palace 15 4 4 7 21 24 -3 16 WWLWDL
18 Luton 17 4 3 10 25 32 -7 15 LLLDWL
19 Burnley 17 2 4 11 17 37 -20 10 DLLWDD
20 Sheffield United 17 2 4 11 18 51 -33 10 LLLDDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 17 11 3 3 39 11 +28 36 WWWDWW
2 Man City 15 10 2 3 33 18 +15 32 WWWWDW
3 Liverpool 15 8 5 2 29 16 +13 29 WWLWWD
4 Aston Villa 17 8 4 5 28 27 +1 28 WWWDLW
5 Tottenham 16 6 6 4 31 28 +3 24 DDWLDL
6 Man United 17 7 3 7 24 26 -2 24 WWLDLD
7 West Ham 16 7 2 7 26 33 -7 23 DLLWLW
8 Chelsea 15 5 4 6 26 27 -1 19 WLWDDD
9 Wolves 17 5 4 8 23 28 -5 19 WWLLDD
10 Everton 17 5 4 8 16 30 -14 19 LDLLDL
11 Bournemouth 15 5 3 7 24 31 -7 18 LDLDWL
12 Brighton 17 4 5 8 24 31 -7 17 LWLLDD
13 Crystal Palace 17 4 5 8 16 30 -14 17 LDLDLW
14 Brentford 17 4 2 11 25 29 -4 14 LLLLDW
15 Newcastle 15 4 2 9 26 32 -6 14 LWWLLW
16 Fulham 17 3 5 9 20 35 -15 14 DWLDLW
17 Burnley 17 3 4 10 20 32 -12 13 LLDDLW
18 Nott'm Forest 17 2 4 11 17 35 -18 10 DLLDLL
19 Luton 17 2 4 11 22 43 -21 10 LDLLLL
20 Sheffield United 16 1 3 12 13 37 -24 6 LWLDLL

Aston Villa   Bournemouth

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Tottenham 32 6 26 2.0 1.5 18 6 8 65 49 60 OOOUOO
2 18 Luton 34 10 24 1.4 2.2 6 7 21 47 75 25 UOUOOO
3 4 Aston Villa 33 10 23 2.1 1.5 19 6 8 68 49 63 OUUOOU
4 6 Newcastle 32 9 23 2.2 1.6 15 5 12 69 52 50 OOOUUO
5 15 Brentford 34 11 23 1.5 1.7 9 8 17 52 59 35 OUUOUO
6 20 Sheffield United 33 10 23 0.9 2.7 3 7 23 31 88 16 OOOOUO
7 13 Bournemouth 32 10 22 1.5 1.8 11 9 12 47 57 42 OOOUOO
8 3 Liverpool 32 11 21 2.2 1.0 21 8 3 72 31 71 UUOOOU
9 7 Man United 32 11 21 1.5 1.5 15 5 12 47 48 50 OUUOOO
10 8 West Ham 33 12 21 1.6 1.8 13 9 11 52 58 48 OUOUOU
11 9 Chelsea 31 10 21 2.0 1.7 13 8 10 61 52 47 OOOOOO
12 11 Wolves 33 12 21 1.4 1.6 12 7 14 46 53 43 OUUOOU
13 12 Fulham 33 12 21 1.5 1.5 12 6 15 49 51 42 OOOOUU
14 1 Arsenal 33 13 20 2.3 0.8 23 5 5 77 26 74 OUUOUU
15 2 Man City 32 12 20 2.4 1.0 22 7 3 76 32 73 OUUOOO
16 10 Brighton 32 12 20 1.6 1.6 11 11 10 52 50 44 OUOUOU
17 19 Burnley 34 14 20 1.1 2.0 5 8 21 37 69 23 OOUUUO
18 17 Nott'm Forest 34 16 18 1.2 1.8 7 9 18 42 60 30 UUOOOU
19 16 Crystal Palace 32 15 17 1.2 1.7 8 9 15 37 54 33 OUUUOU
20 14 Everton 33 18 15 1.0 1.5 10 8 15 34 48 38 UOUUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Tottenham 16 2 14 2.1 1.3 12 0 4 34 21 36 OOOOOO
2 20 Sheffield United 17 3 14 1.1 3.0 2 4 11 18 51 10 OOOOOO
3 3 Liverpool 17 5 12 2.5 0.9 13 3 1 43 15 42 OOUOOU
4 4 Aston Villa 16 4 12 2.5 1.4 11 2 3 40 22 35 OOOOUO
5 6 Newcastle 17 5 12 2.5 1.2 11 3 3 43 20 36 OOOOUO
6 15 Brentford 17 5 12 1.6 1.8 5 6 6 27 30 21 OOOUUU
7 18 Luton 17 5 12 1.5 1.9 4 3 10 25 32 15 OOOUOO
8 1 Arsenal 16 5 11 2.4 0.9 12 2 2 38 15 38 OOOOUU
9 7 Man United 15 4 11 1.5 1.5 8 2 5 23 22 26 OOOOUO
10 9 Chelsea 16 6 10 2.2 1.6 8 4 4 35 25 28 UOOOOO
11 11 Wolves 16 6 10 1.4 1.6 7 3 6 23 25 24 OUUOOU
12 12 Fulham 16 6 10 1.8 1.0 9 1 6 29 16 28 UOOOOU
13 13 Bournemouth 17 7 10 1.4 1.5 6 6 5 23 26 24 UOOOUO
14 2 Man City 17 8 9 2.5 0.8 12 5 0 43 14 41 UUOUOO
15 10 Brighton 15 6 9 1.9 1.3 7 6 2 28 19 27 OUOUUO
16 16 Crystal Palace 15 6 9 1.4 1.6 4 4 7 21 24 16 OOOOUO
17 17 Nott'm Forest 17 8 9 1.5 1.5 5 5 7 25 25 20 OUUUOO
18 19 Burnley 17 8 9 1.0 2.2 2 4 11 17 37 10 OOUOUU
19 8 West Ham 17 9 8 1.5 1.5 6 7 4 26 25 25 OOOUUU
20 14 Everton 16 9 7 1.1 1.1 5 4 7 18 18 19 UOUOUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 8 West Ham 16 3 13 1.6 2.1 7 2 7 26 33 23 OOUOOO
2 5 Tottenham 16 4 12 1.9 1.8 6 6 4 31 28 24 OOOOUO
3 13 Bournemouth 15 3 12 1.6 2.1 5 3 7 24 31 18 OUOOUO
4 18 Luton 17 5 12 1.3 2.5 2 4 11 22 43 10 OUOOUO
5 2 Man City 15 4 11 2.2 1.2 10 2 3 33 18 32 OOOUUO
6 4 Aston Villa 17 6 11 1.6 1.6 8 4 5 28 27 28 OOOUOU
7 6 Newcastle 15 4 11 1.7 2.1 4 2 9 26 32 14 OOOOOU
8 9 Chelsea 15 4 11 1.7 1.8 5 4 6 26 27 19 OOOUOO
9 10 Brighton 17 6 11 1.4 1.8 4 5 8 24 31 17 OOOOUU
10 11 Wolves 17 6 11 1.4 1.6 5 4 8 23 28 19 OOOUUO
11 12 Fulham 17 6 11 1.2 2.1 3 5 9 20 35 14 OOOOOU
12 15 Brentford 17 6 11 1.5 1.7 4 2 11 25 29 14 UOOOOO
13 19 Burnley 17 6 11 1.2 1.9 3 4 10 20 32 13 OOOOUO
14 7 Man United 17 7 10 1.4 1.5 7 3 7 24 26 24 OOOUOO
15 1 Arsenal 17 8 9 2.3 0.6 11 3 3 39 11 36 OOOUOU
16 3 Liverpool 15 6 9 1.9 1.1 8 5 2 29 16 29 UOOOUO
17 17 Nott'm Forest 17 8 9 1.0 2.1 2 4 11 17 35 10 UOUUOU
18 20 Sheffield United 16 7 9 0.8 2.3 1 3 12 13 37 6 OOUOOU
19 14 Everton 17 9 8 0.9 1.8 5 4 8 16 30 19 UUUOUO
20 16 Crystal Palace 17 9 8 0.9 1.8 4 5 8 16 30 17 OUOUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11