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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: T Bramall

Man City 3–1 Bournemouth

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.55 fair 2.21
Draw 4.33 fair 4.30
Away 5.75 fair 3.18
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 2.59
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.63

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man City Bournemouth
12 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
3 Corners 1
7 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (368 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.60
Expected goals 1.75 – 1.42
Home / Draw / Away
Man CityDrawBournemouth
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.4% 2–1 9.1% 1–2 7.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Man City before this match, all matches
1.81points / match
1.86scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 67:43
Bournemouth before this match, all matches
1.47points / match
1.53scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 55:43
Man City all matches all matches Bournemouth

Per match

1.86 Goals scored 1.53
1.19 Goals conceded 1.19
3.06 Total goals 2.72
15.97 Shots 15.33
5.75 Shots on target 5.36
9.28 Shots faced 13.11
6.78 Corners 6.17
3.39 Corners against 5.00
7.64 Fouls 13.39
1.56 Yellow cards 2.61
1.06 1st-half goals scored 0.58
0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

53% Wins 39%
22% Draws 31%
25% Losses 31%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
83% Over 1.5 goals 75%
61% Over 2.5 goals 56%
39% Over 3.5 goals 31%
17% Over 4.5 goals 14%
8% Over 5.5 goals 3%
56% Both teams scored 61%
33% Clean sheets 22%
17% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 36%
33% Draws 28%
19% Losses 36%
86% Over 0.5 goals 78%
53% Over 1.5 goals 19%
22% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City all matches
Bournemouth all matches
Man City before this match, at home
2.17points / match
2.22scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 40:22
Bournemouth before this match, away
1.56points / match
1.89scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 34:27
Man City at home away Bournemouth

Per match

2.22 Goals scored 1.89
1.22 Goals conceded 1.50
3.44 Total goals 3.39
17.00 Shots 14.61
6.00 Shots on target 5.33
8.06 Shots faced 13.83
7.22 Corners 6.00
2.89 Corners against 4.78
7.67 Fouls 13.00
1.78 Yellow cards 2.83
1.44 1st-half goals scored 0.61
0.83 1st-half goals conceded 0.72

How often Full Time

67% Wins 39%
17% Draws 39%
17% Losses 22%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
89% Over 1.5 goals 89%
72% Over 2.5 goals 78%
50% Over 3.5 goals 50%
22% Over 4.5 goals 22%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
61% Both teams scored 78%
28% Clean sheets 11%
11% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 33%
28% Draws 22%
17% Losses 44%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
83% Over 1.5 goals 28%
33% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City at home
Bournemouth away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.05.25 Southampton – Man City 0–0 (0–0) 11.007.501.20 1.36 3.20
02.05.25 Man City – Wolves 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.50 1.53 2.50
22.04.25 Man City – Aston Villa 2–1 (1–1) 1.804.103.90 1.53 2.50
19.04.25 Everton – Man City 0–2 (0–0) 3.703.601.91 1.86 2.04
12.04.25 Man City – Crystal Palace 5–2 (2–2) 1.504.755.75 1.53 2.50
06.04.25 Man United – Man City 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.602.10 1.67 2.20
02.04.25 Man City – Leicester 2–0 (2–0) 1.208.0010.00 1.40 3.00
15.03.25 Man City – Brighton 2–2 (2–1) 1.674.334.50 1.44 2.75
08.03.25 Nott'm Forest – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 4.003.751.85 1.57 2.38
26.02.25 Tottenham – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 3.254.002.00 1.36 3.20

Bournemouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.05.25 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.602.75 1.62 2.30
03.05.25 Arsenal – Bournemouth 1–2 (1–0) 2.053.703.40 1.87 2.03
27.04.25 Bournemouth – Man United 1–1 (1–0) 1.674.004.50 1.67 2.20
19.04.25 Crystal Palace – Bournemouth 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.602.63 1.80 2.00
14.04.25 Bournemouth – Fulham 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.503.30 1.73 2.10
05.04.25 West Ham – Bournemouth 2–2 (0–1) 3.003.502.30 1.80 2.00
02.04.25 Bournemouth – Ipswich 1–2 (0–1) 1.365.257.50 1.53 2.50
15.03.25 Bournemouth – Brentford 1–2 (1–1) 1.734.204.20 1.44 2.75
09.03.25 Tottenham – Bournemouth 2–2 (0–1) 2.703.902.35 1.37 3.00
25.02.25 Brighton – Bournemouth 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.803.30 1.62 2.30

Man City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.05.25 Man City – Wolves 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.50 1.53 2.50
22.04.25 Man City – Aston Villa 2–1 (1–1) 1.804.103.90 1.53 2.50
12.04.25 Man City – Crystal Palace 5–2 (2–2) 1.504.755.75 1.53 2.50
02.04.25 Man City – Leicester 2–0 (2–0) 1.208.0010.00 1.40 3.00
15.03.25 Man City – Brighton 2–2 (2–1) 1.674.334.50 1.44 2.75
23.02.25 Man City – Liverpool 0–2 (0–2) 2.883.802.25 1.40 3.00
15.02.25 Man City – Newcastle 4–0 (3–0) 1.954.203.30 1.44 2.75
25.01.25 Man City – Chelsea 3–1 (1–1) 2.054.003.30 1.40 3.00
04.01.25 Man City – West Ham 4–1 (2–0) 1.306.257.50 1.33 3.40
26.12.24 Man City – Everton 1–1 (1–1) 1.335.507.50 1.53 2.50

Bournemouth away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.25 Arsenal – Bournemouth 1–2 (1–0) 2.053.703.40 1.87 2.03
19.04.25 Crystal Palace – Bournemouth 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.602.63 1.80 2.00
05.04.25 West Ham – Bournemouth 2–2 (0–1) 3.003.502.30 1.80 2.00
09.03.25 Tottenham – Bournemouth 2–2 (0–1) 2.703.902.35 1.37 3.00
25.02.25 Brighton – Bournemouth 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.803.30 1.62 2.30
15.02.25 Southampton – Bournemouth 1–3 (0–2) 6.004.501.50 1.50 2.63
18.01.25 Newcastle – Bournemouth 1–4 (1–2) 1.624.205.00 1.53 2.50
14.01.25 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–0) 1.484.756.00 1.40 3.00
29.12.24 Fulham – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–0) 2.303.602.88 1.67 2.20
22.12.24 Man United – Bournemouth 0–3 (0–1) 1.803.804.20 1.57 2.38

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man City winsDrawsBournemouth wins
5matches
4.00goals / match
80%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24E0 Bournemouth – Man City 2–1 (1–0) 5.504.201.57 1.57 2.38
24.02.24E0 Bournemouth – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.251.40 1.48 2.60
04.11.23E0 Man City – Bournemouth 6–1 (3–0) 1.1011.0019.00 1.29 3.60
25.02.23E0 Bournemouth – Man City 1–4 (0–3) 10.005.751.29 1.57 2.38
13.08.22E0 Man City – Bournemouth 4–0 (3–0) 1.0613.0029.00 1.33 3.40

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 37 25 8 4 85 40 +45 83
2 Arsenal 37 19 14 4 67 33 +34 71
3 Newcastle 37 20 6 11 68 46 +22 66
4 Chelsea 37 19 9 9 63 43 +20 66
5 Aston Villa 37 19 9 9 58 49 +9 66
6 Man City 36 19 8 9 67 43 +24 65
7 Nott'm Forest 37 19 8 10 58 45 +13 65
8 Brighton 37 15 13 9 62 58 +4 58
9 Brentford 37 16 7 14 65 56 +9 55
10 Fulham 37 15 9 13 54 52 +2 54
11 Bournemouth 36 14 11 11 55 43 +12 53
12 Crystal Palace 36 12 13 11 46 48 -2 49
13 Everton 37 10 15 12 41 44 -3 45
14 Wolves 36 12 5 19 51 64 -13 41
15 West Ham 37 10 10 17 43 61 -18 40
16 Man United 37 10 9 18 42 54 -12 39
17 Tottenham 37 11 5 21 63 61 +2 38
18 Leicester 37 6 7 24 33 78 -45 25
19 Ipswich 37 4 10 23 35 79 -44 22
20 Southampton 37 2 6 29 25 84 -59 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 18 14 3 1 41 15 +26 45
2 Chelsea 19 12 5 2 35 18 +17 41
3 Aston Villa 19 11 7 1 34 20 +14 40
4 Man City 18 12 3 3 40 22 +18 39
5 Arsenal 19 11 6 2 35 17 +18 39
6 Newcastle 18 12 2 4 40 19 +21 38
7 Nott'm Forest 18 9 5 4 26 15 +11 32
8 Brighton 19 8 8 3 30 26 +4 32
9 Brentford 19 9 4 6 40 35 +5 31
10 Fulham 18 7 5 6 27 28 -1 26
11 Bournemouth 18 7 4 7 21 16 +5 25
12 Everton 19 5 9 5 26 23 +3 24
13 Crystal Palace 18 5 7 6 20 24 -4 22
14 Tottenham 18 6 3 9 34 31 +3 21
15 Man United 18 6 3 9 21 28 -7 21
16 Wolves 18 6 2 10 26 31 -5 20
17 West Ham 19 5 5 9 23 34 -11 20
18 Leicester 19 4 3 12 15 34 -19 15
19 Ipswich 18 1 4 13 13 41 -28 7
20 Southampton 18 1 3 14 12 45 -33 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 19 11 5 3 44 25 +19 38
2 Nott'm Forest 19 10 3 6 32 30 +2 33
3 Arsenal 18 8 8 2 32 16 +16 32
4 Bournemouth 18 7 7 4 34 27 +7 28
5 Fulham 19 8 4 7 27 24 +3 28
6 Newcastle 19 8 4 7 28 27 +1 28
7 Crystal Palace 18 7 6 5 26 24 +2 27
8 Man City 18 7 5 6 27 21 +6 26
9 Brighton 18 7 5 6 32 32 0 26
10 Aston Villa 18 8 2 8 24 29 -5 26
11 Chelsea 18 7 4 7 28 25 +3 25
12 Brentford 18 7 3 8 25 21 +4 24
13 Everton 18 5 6 7 15 21 -6 21
14 Wolves 18 6 3 9 25 33 -8 21
15 West Ham 18 5 5 8 20 27 -7 20
16 Man United 19 4 6 9 21 26 -5 18
17 Tottenham 19 5 2 12 29 30 -1 17
18 Ipswich 19 3 6 10 22 38 -16 15
19 Leicester 18 2 4 12 18 44 -26 10
20 Southampton 19 1 3 15 13 39 -26 6

Man City   Bournemouth

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Brighton 37 11 26 1.7 1.6 15 13 9 62 58 58
2 1 Liverpool 37 13 24 2.3 1.1 25 8 4 85 40 83
3 5 Aston Villa 37 13 24 1.6 1.3 19 9 9 58 49 66
4 14 Wolves 36 12 24 1.4 1.8 12 5 19 51 64 41
5 3 Newcastle 37 14 23 1.8 1.2 20 6 11 68 46 66
6 9 Brentford 37 14 23 1.8 1.5 16 7 14 65 56 55
7 17 Tottenham 37 14 23 1.7 1.6 11 5 21 63 61 38
8 18 Leicester 37 14 23 0.9 2.1 6 7 24 33 78 25
9 6 Man City 36 14 22 1.9 1.2 19 8 9 67 43 65
10 10 Fulham 37 15 22 1.5 1.4 15 9 13 54 52 54
11 20 Southampton 37 15 22 0.7 2.3 2 6 29 25 84 12
12 4 Chelsea 37 16 21 1.7 1.2 19 9 9 63 43 66
13 19 Ipswich 37 16 21 0.9 2.1 4 10 23 35 79 22
14 11 Bournemouth 36 16 20 1.5 1.2 14 11 11 55 43 53
15 7 Nott'm Forest 37 18 19 1.6 1.2 19 8 10 58 45 65
16 16 Man United 37 18 19 1.1 1.5 10 9 18 42 54 39
17 15 West Ham 37 19 18 1.2 1.6 10 10 17 43 61 40
18 2 Arsenal 37 21 16 1.8 0.9 19 14 4 67 33 71
19 12 Crystal Palace 36 20 16 1.3 1.3 12 13 11 46 48 49
20 13 Everton 37 23 14 1.1 1.2 10 15 12 41 44 45
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Man City 18 5 13 2.2 1.2 12 3 3 40 22 39
2 8 Brighton 19 6 13 1.6 1.4 8 8 3 30 26 32
3 17 Tottenham 18 5 13 1.9 1.7 6 3 9 34 31 21
4 1 Liverpool 18 6 12 2.3 0.8 14 3 1 41 15 45
5 3 Newcastle 18 6 12 2.2 1.1 12 2 4 40 19 38
6 9 Brentford 19 7 12 2.1 1.8 9 4 6 40 35 31
7 10 Fulham 18 6 12 1.5 1.6 7 5 6 27 28 26
8 20 Southampton 18 6 12 0.7 2.5 1 3 14 12 45 6
9 4 Chelsea 19 8 11 1.8 0.9 12 5 2 35 18 41
10 5 Aston Villa 19 8 11 1.8 1.1 11 7 1 34 20 40
11 14 Wolves 18 7 11 1.4 1.7 6 2 10 26 31 20
12 15 West Ham 19 8 11 1.2 1.8 5 5 9 23 34 20
13 2 Arsenal 19 9 10 1.8 0.9 11 6 2 35 17 39
14 16 Man United 18 8 10 1.2 1.6 6 3 9 21 28 21
15 13 Everton 19 10 9 1.4 1.2 5 9 5 26 23 24
16 18 Leicester 19 10 9 0.8 1.8 4 3 12 15 34 15
17 19 Ipswich 18 9 9 0.7 2.3 1 4 13 13 41 7
18 12 Crystal Palace 18 10 8 1.1 1.3 5 7 6 20 24 22
19 7 Nott'm Forest 18 12 6 1.4 0.8 9 5 4 26 15 32
20 11 Bournemouth 18 12 6 1.2 0.9 7 4 7 21 16 25
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Bournemouth 18 4 14 1.9 1.5 7 7 4 34 27 28
2 18 Leicester 18 4 14 1.0 2.4 2 4 12 18 44 10
3 5 Aston Villa 18 5 13 1.3 1.6 8 2 8 24 29 26
4 7 Nott'm Forest 19 6 13 1.7 1.6 10 3 6 32 30 33
5 8 Brighton 18 5 13 1.8 1.8 7 5 6 32 32 26
6 14 Wolves 18 5 13 1.4 1.8 6 3 9 25 33 21
7 1 Liverpool 19 7 12 2.3 1.3 11 5 3 44 25 38
8 19 Ipswich 19 7 12 1.2 2.0 3 6 10 22 38 15
9 3 Newcastle 19 8 11 1.5 1.4 8 4 7 28 27 28
10 9 Brentford 18 7 11 1.4 1.2 7 3 8 25 21 24
11 4 Chelsea 18 8 10 1.6 1.4 7 4 7 28 25 25
12 10 Fulham 19 9 10 1.4 1.3 8 4 7 27 24 28
13 17 Tottenham 19 9 10 1.5 1.6 5 2 12 29 30 17
14 20 Southampton 19 9 10 0.7 2.1 1 3 15 13 39 6
15 6 Man City 18 9 9 1.5 1.2 7 5 6 27 21 26
16 16 Man United 19 10 9 1.1 1.4 4 6 9 21 26 18
17 12 Crystal Palace 18 10 8 1.4 1.3 7 6 5 26 24 27
18 15 West Ham 18 11 7 1.1 1.5 5 5 8 20 27 20
19 2 Arsenal 18 12 6 1.8 0.9 8 8 2 32 16 32
20 13 Everton 18 13 5 0.8 1.2 5 6 7 15 21 21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44