Aston Villa 2–1 Nott'm Forest – England Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

Match facts

Aston Villa Nott'm Forest

17 Shots 19

8 Shots on target 3

4 Corners 4

7 Fouls 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (303 league matches this season so far).

Result Nott'm Forest to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.62

Expected goals 1.51 – 1.57

Home / Draw / Away

37% 24% 39%

Aston VillaDrawNott'm Forest

Under / Over 2.5 goals

41% 60%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

38% 62%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

14% 1

22% 2

22% 3

17% 4

20% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.9% 1–2 8.6% 2–1 8.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches

1.60points / match

1.47scored / match

1.50conceded / match

13 9 8

WonDrawnLost 30 played · 44:45

Nott'm Forest before this match, all matches

1.90points / match

1.67scored / match

1.17conceded / match

17 6 7

WonDrawnLost 30 played · 50:35

Aston Villa all matches all matches Nott'm Forest

Per match

1.47 Goals scored 1.67

1.50 Goals conceded 1.17

2.97 Total goals 2.83

12.40 Shots 12.30

4.20 Shots on target 4.50

12.13 Shots faced 13.87

6.27 Corners 4.27

4.37 Corners against 6.50

11.43 Fouls 10.07

1.97 Yellow cards 2.00

0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.83

0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

43% Wins 57%

30% Draws 20%

27% Losses 23%

97% Over 0.5 goals 97%

87% Over 1.5 goals 70%

67% Over 2.5 goals 50%

37% Over 3.5 goals 30%

10% Over 4.5 goals 20%

0% Over 5.5 goals 10%

67% Both teams scored 43%

17% Clean sheets 43%

20% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 40%

40% Draws 43%

33% Losses 17%

70% Over 0.5 goals 70%

30% Over 1.5 goals 37%

17% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches

1

W

2

D

1

D

2

L

1

D

2

D

2

1

W

1

4

L

1

W

3

W

Nott'm Forest all matches

1

D

3

2

W

5

L

7

W

1

2

L

3

4

L

D

1

W

4

2

W

1

W

Aston Villa before this match, at home

1.87points / match

1.67scored / match

1.20conceded / match

7 7 1

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 25:18

Nott'm Forest before this match, away

1.73points / match

1.73scored / match

1.67conceded / match

8 2 5

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 26:25

Aston Villa at home away Nott'm Forest

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.73

1.20 Goals conceded 1.67

2.87 Total goals 3.40

15.00 Shots 12.27

5.27 Shots on target 4.47

10.07 Shots faced 14.40

7.80 Corners 4.20

3.27 Corners against 6.73

11.20 Fouls 10.53

1.87 Yellow cards 2.53

0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.80

0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.87

How often Full Time

47% Wins 53%

47% Draws 13%

7% Losses 33%

93% Over 0.5 goals 100%

87% Over 1.5 goals 87%

60% Over 2.5 goals 67%

40% Over 3.5 goals 40%

7% Over 4.5 goals 27%

0% Over 5.5 goals 13%

80% Both teams scored 47%

13% Clean sheets 33%

13% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 27%

40% Draws 40%

27% Losses 33%

67% Over 0.5 goals 80%

33% Over 1.5 goals 53%

27% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home

2

D

3

1

W

1

W

2

1

W

2

D

2

1

W

1

D

1

D

2

D

2

1

W

Nott'm Forest away

3

L

3

L

3

2

W

2

W

2

W

3

W

5

L

1

2

L

3

4

L

4

2

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.04.25	Brighton – Aston Villa	0–3 (0–0)	2.05	3.80	3.25	1.62	2.30
08.03.25	Brentford – Aston Villa	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.80	2.90	1.53	2.50
25.02.25	Crystal Palace – Aston Villa	4–1 (1–0)	2.45	3.40	2.80	1.90	2.00
22.02.25	Aston Villa – Chelsea	2–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.40	2.60	1.57	2.38
19.02.25	Aston Villa – Liverpool	2–2 (2–1)	3.90	4.00	1.83	1.57	2.38
15.02.25	Aston Villa – Ipswich	1–1 (0–0)	1.40	4.75	7.00	1.57	2.38
01.02.25	Wolves – Aston Villa	2–0 (1–0)	3.30	3.60	2.10	1.73	2.10
26.01.25	Aston Villa – West Ham	1–1 (1–0)	1.53	4.33	5.75	1.67	2.20
18.01.25	Arsenal – Aston Villa	2–2 (1–0)	1.50	4.10	7.00	1.87	2.03
15.01.25	Everton – Aston Villa	0–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.20	2.30	2.08	1.82

Nott'm Forest all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.04.25	Nott'm Forest – Man United	1–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.40	3.10	1.95	1.95
15.03.25	Ipswich – Nott'm Forest	2–4 (0–3)	3.75	3.50	2.00	1.87	2.03
08.03.25	Nott'm Forest – Man City	1–0 (0–0)	4.00	3.75	1.85	1.57	2.38
26.02.25	Nott'm Forest – Arsenal	0–0 (0–0)	3.90	3.60	1.95	2.20	1.67
23.02.25	Newcastle – Nott'm Forest	4–3 (4–1)	1.80	3.80	4.20	1.67	2.20
15.02.25	Fulham – Nott'm Forest	2–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.40	3.30	2.10	1.73
01.02.25	Nott'm Forest – Brighton	7–0 (3–0)	2.38	3.50	2.80	1.95	1.95
25.01.25	Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest	5–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.70	3.40	1.85	2.05
19.01.25	Nott'm Forest – Southampton	3–2 (3–0)	1.38	4.75	8.00	1.73	2.10
14.01.25	Nott'm Forest – Liverpool	1–1 (1–0)	5.25	4.10	1.62	1.62	2.30

Aston Villa at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.02.25	Aston Villa – Chelsea	2–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.40	2.60	1.57	2.38
19.02.25	Aston Villa – Liverpool	2–2 (2–1)	3.90	4.00	1.83	1.57	2.38
15.02.25	Aston Villa – Ipswich	1–1 (0–0)	1.40	4.75	7.00	1.57	2.38
26.01.25	Aston Villa – West Ham	1–1 (1–0)	1.53	4.33	5.75	1.67	2.20
04.01.25	Aston Villa – Leicester	2–1 (0–0)	1.33	5.50	8.50	1.50	2.63
30.12.24	Aston Villa – Brighton	2–2 (1–1)	1.90	3.80	3.60	1.57	2.38
21.12.24	Aston Villa – Man City	2–1 (1–0)	3.25	3.70	2.10	1.57	2.38
07.12.24	Aston Villa – Southampton	1–0 (1–0)	1.36	5.50	7.00	1.44	2.75
04.12.24	Aston Villa – Brentford	3–1 (3–0)	1.80	3.75	4.33	1.57	2.38
23.11.24	Aston Villa – Crystal Palace	2–2 (1–2)	1.62	4.00	5.50	1.73	2.10

Nott'm Forest away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.25	Ipswich – Nott'm Forest	2–4 (0–3)	3.75	3.50	2.00	1.87	2.03
23.02.25	Newcastle – Nott'm Forest	4–3 (4–1)	1.80	3.80	4.20	1.67	2.20
15.02.25	Fulham – Nott'm Forest	2–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.40	3.30	2.10	1.73
25.01.25	Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest	5–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.70	3.40	1.85	2.05
06.01.25	Wolves – Nott'm Forest	0–3 (0–2)	3.30	3.20	2.30	2.10	1.73
29.12.24	Everton – Nott'm Forest	0–2 (0–1)	2.60	3.20	2.80	2.20	1.67
21.12.24	Brentford – Nott'm Forest	0–2 (0–1)	2.30	3.60	2.90	1.73	2.10
07.12.24	Man United – Nott'm Forest	2–3 (1–1)	1.65	3.90	5.25	1.80	2.00
04.12.24	Man City – Nott'm Forest	3–0 (2–0)	1.36	4.75	9.00	1.57	2.38
23.11.24	Arsenal – Nott'm Forest	3–0 (1–0)	1.38	4.75	9.00	1.80	2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1 2

Aston Villa winsDrawsNott'm Forest wins

5matches

3.00goals / match

40%over 2.5

60%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.12.24E0	Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa	2–1 (0–0)	2.63	3.30	2.70	1.90	2.00
24.02.24E0	Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest	4–2 (3–1)	1.53	4.50	5.75	1.57	2.35
05.11.23E0	Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa	2–0 (1–0)	4.20	3.75	1.85	1.73	2.08
08.04.23E0	Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest	2–0 (0–0)	1.60	4.20	5.25	1.94	1.96
10.10.22E0	Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa	1–1 (1–1)	3.30	3.40	2.20	2.03	1.87

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	30	22	7	1	70	27	+43	73
2	Arsenal	31	17	11	3	56	26	+30	62
3	Nott'm Forest	30	17	6	7	50	35	+15	57
4	Chelsea	30	15	7	8	54	37	+17	52
5	Man City	30	15	6	9	57	40	+17	51
6	Newcastle	29	15	5	9	49	39	+10	50
7	Aston Villa	30	13	9	8	44	45	-1	48
8	Brighton	31	12	11	8	49	47	+2	47
9	Bournemouth	31	12	9	10	51	40	+11	45
10	Fulham	30	12	9	9	44	40	+4	45
11	Crystal Palace	30	11	10	9	39	35	+4	43
12	Brentford	30	12	5	13	51	47	+4	41
13	Man United	30	10	7	13	37	41	-4	37
14	Everton	31	7	14	10	33	38	-5	35
15	West Ham	31	9	8	14	35	52	-17	35
16	Tottenham	30	10	4	16	55	44	+11	34
17	Wolves	31	9	5	17	43	59	-16	32
18	Ipswich	31	4	8	19	31	65	-34	20
19	Leicester	30	4	5	21	25	67	-42	17
20	Southampton	30	2	4	24	22	71	-49	10

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	15	12	2	1	32	11	+21	38
2	Arsenal	15	10	4	1	30	12	+18	34
3	Nott'm Forest	15	9	4	2	24	10	+14	31
4	Chelsea	15	9	4	2	28	15	+13	31
5	Man City	15	9	3	3	32	19	+13	30
6	Aston Villa	15	7	7	1	25	18	+7	28
7	Newcastle	14	8	2	4	26	18	+8	26
8	Brentford	15	7	3	5	30	27	+3	24
9	Brighton	15	6	6	3	21	19	+2	24
10	Fulham	15	6	5	4	22	21	+1	23
11	Bournemouth	15	6	3	6	19	14	+5	21
12	Everton	16	4	8	4	22	19	+3	20
13	Man United	15	6	2	7	21	25	-4	20
14	Crystal Palace	16	5	5	6	19	23	-4	20
15	Tottenham	15	5	3	7	30	26	+4	18
16	West Ham	16	5	3	8	20	30	-10	18
17	Wolves	15	4	2	9	19	27	-8	14
18	Leicester	15	2	3	10	11	30	-19	9
19	Ipswich	16	1	4	11	13	36	-23	7
20	Southampton	15	1	2	12	11	40	-29	5

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	15	10	5	0	38	16	+22	35
2	Arsenal	16	7	7	2	26	14	+12	28
3	Nott'm Forest	15	8	2	5	26	25	+1	26
4	Bournemouth	16	6	6	4	32	26	+6	24
5	Newcastle	15	7	3	5	23	21	+2	24
6	Crystal Palace	14	6	5	3	20	12	+8	23
7	Brighton	16	6	5	5	28	28	0	23
8	Fulham	15	6	4	5	22	19	+3	22
9	Chelsea	15	6	3	6	26	22	+4	21
10	Man City	15	6	3	6	25	21	+4	21
11	Aston Villa	15	6	2	7	19	27	-8	20
12	Wolves	16	5	3	8	24	32	-8	18
13	Brentford	15	5	2	8	21	20	+1	17
14	Man United	15	4	5	6	16	16	0	17
15	West Ham	15	4	5	6	15	22	-7	17
16	Tottenham	15	5	1	9	25	18	+7	16
17	Everton	15	3	6	6	11	19	-8	15
18	Ipswich	15	3	4	8	18	29	-11	13
19	Leicester	15	2	2	11	14	37	-23	8
20	Southampton	15	1	2	12	11	31	-20	5

Aston Villa Nott'm Forest

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Brighton	31	9	22	1.6	1.5	12	11	8	49	47	47
2	17	Wolves	31	9	22	1.4	1.9	9	5	17	43	59	32
3	5	Man City	30	10	20	1.9	1.3	15	6	9	57	40	51
4	7	Aston Villa	30	10	20	1.5	1.5	13	9	8	44	45	48
5	12	Brentford	30	10	20	1.7	1.6	12	5	13	51	47	41
6	9	Bournemouth	31	12	19	1.6	1.3	12	9	10	51	40	45
7	16	Tottenham	30	11	19	1.8	1.5	10	4	16	55	44	34
8	19	Leicester	30	11	19	0.8	2.2	4	5	21	25	67	17
9	20	Southampton	30	11	19	0.7	2.4	2	4	24	22	71	10
10	1	Liverpool	30	12	18	2.3	0.9	22	7	1	70	27	73
11	4	Chelsea	30	12	18	1.8	1.2	15	7	8	54	37	52
12	6	Newcastle	29	11	18	1.7	1.3	15	5	9	49	39	50
13	10	Fulham	30	13	17	1.5	1.3	12	9	9	44	40	45
14	13	Man United	30	13	17	1.2	1.4	10	7	13	37	41	37
15	18	Ipswich	31	14	17	1.0	2.1	4	8	19	31	65	20
16	3	Nott'm Forest	30	15	15	1.7	1.2	17	6	7	50	35	57
17	15	West Ham	31	16	15	1.1	1.7	9	8	14	35	52	35
18	11	Crystal Palace	30	17	13	1.3	1.2	11	10	9	39	35	43
19	2	Arsenal	31	19	12	1.8	0.8	17	11	3	56	26	62
20	14	Everton	31	19	12	1.1	1.2	7	14	10	33	38	35

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Man City	15	4	11	2.1	1.3	9	3	3	32	19	30
2	16	Tottenham	15	4	11	2.0	1.7	5	3	7	30	26	18
3	8	Brighton	15	5	10	1.4	1.3	6	6	3	21	19	24
4	13	Man United	15	5	10	1.4	1.7	6	2	7	21	25	20
5	15	West Ham	16	6	10	1.2	1.9	5	3	8	20	30	18
6	20	Southampton	15	5	10	0.7	2.7	1	2	12	11	40	5
7	1	Liverpool	15	6	9	2.1	0.7	12	2	1	32	11	38
8	4	Chelsea	15	6	9	1.9	1.0	9	4	2	28	15	31
9	6	Newcastle	14	5	9	1.9	1.3	8	2	4	26	18	26
10	7	Aston Villa	15	6	9	1.7	1.2	7	7	1	25	18	28
11	10	Fulham	15	6	9	1.5	1.4	6	5	4	22	21	23
12	12	Brentford	15	6	9	2.0	1.8	7	3	5	30	27	24
13	17	Wolves	15	6	9	1.3	1.8	4	2	9	19	27	14
14	2	Arsenal	15	7	8	2.0	0.8	10	4	1	30	12	34
15	11	Crystal Palace	16	8	8	1.2	1.4	5	5	6	19	23	20
16	14	Everton	16	8	8	1.4	1.2	4	8	4	22	19	20
17	18	Ipswich	16	8	8	0.8	2.2	1	4	11	13	36	7
18	19	Leicester	15	7	8	0.7	2.0	2	3	10	11	30	9
19	9	Bournemouth	15	9	6	1.3	0.9	6	3	6	19	14	21
20	3	Nott'm Forest	15	10	5	1.6	0.7	9	4	2	24	10	31

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	Bournemouth	16	3	13	2.0	1.6	6	6	4	32	26	24
2	17	Wolves	16	3	13	1.5	2.0	5	3	8	24	32	18
3	8	Brighton	16	4	12	1.8	1.8	6	5	5	28	28	23
4	7	Aston Villa	15	4	11	1.3	1.8	6	2	7	19	27	20
5	12	Brentford	15	4	11	1.4	1.3	5	2	8	21	20	17
6	19	Leicester	15	4	11	0.9	2.5	2	2	11	14	37	8
7	3	Nott'm Forest	15	5	10	1.7	1.7	8	2	5	26	25	26
8	1	Liverpool	15	6	9	2.5	1.1	10	5	0	38	16	35
9	4	Chelsea	15	6	9	1.7	1.5	6	3	6	26	22	21
10	5	Man City	15	6	9	1.7	1.4	6	3	6	25	21	21
11	6	Newcastle	15	6	9	1.5	1.4	7	3	5	23	21	24
12	18	Ipswich	15	6	9	1.2	1.9	3	4	8	18	29	13
13	20	Southampton	15	6	9	0.7	2.1	1	2	12	11	31	5
14	10	Fulham	15	7	8	1.5	1.3	6	4	5	22	19	22
15	16	Tottenham	15	7	8	1.7	1.2	5	1	9	25	18	16
16	13	Man United	15	8	7	1.1	1.1	4	5	6	16	16	17
17	11	Crystal Palace	14	9	5	1.4	0.9	6	5	3	20	12	23
18	15	West Ham	15	10	5	1.0	1.5	4	5	6	15	22	17
19	2	Arsenal	16	12	4	1.6	0.9	7	7	2	26	14	28
20	14	Everton	15	11	4	0.7	1.3	3	6	6	11	19	15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.