Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: T Bramall

Bournemouth 2–2 Aston Villa

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.40 fair 2.91
Draw ✓ 4.00 fair 4.33
Away 1.95 fair 2.35
Under 2.5 2.40 fair 2.72
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.58

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bournemouth Aston Villa
15 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 7
16 Fouls 12
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (135 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.55
Expected goals 1.53 – 1.72
Home / Draw / Away
BournemouthDrawAston Villa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.2% 1–2 8.8% 2–1 7.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Bournemouth before this match, all matches
0.92points / match
1.08scored / match
2.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 14:28
Aston Villa before this match, all matches
2.15points / match
2.38scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 31:18
Bournemouth all matches all matches Aston Villa

Per match

1.08 Goals scored 2.38
2.15 Goals conceded 1.38
3.23 Total goals 3.77
12.38 Shots 14.92
4.85 Shots on target 5.69
16.31 Shots faced 10.77
5.00 Corners 5.85
6.46 Corners against 4.38
12.46 Fouls 10.85
1.62 Yellow cards 2.46
0.54 1st-half goals scored 1.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.46

How often Full Time

23% Wins 69%
23% Draws 8%
54% Losses 23%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
92% Over 1.5 goals 92%
69% Over 2.5 goals 77%
46% Over 3.5 goals 62%
8% Over 4.5 goals 23%
8% Over 5.5 goals 15%
62% Both teams scored 69%
15% Clean sheets 15%
31% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

15% Wins 46%
46% Draws 31%
38% Losses 23%
77% Over 0.5 goals 77%
62% Over 1.5 goals 54%
15% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bournemouth all matches
Aston Villa all matches
Bournemouth before this match, at home
1.14points / match
0.86scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 6:10
Aston Villa before this match, away
1.43points / match
1.14scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 8:13
Bournemouth at home away Aston Villa

Per match

0.86 Goals scored 1.14
1.43 Goals conceded 1.86
2.29 Total goals 3.00
12.14 Shots 14.57
4.71 Shots on target 4.86
13.71 Shots faced 12.00
6.00 Corners 6.86
5.86 Corners against 4.71
12.43 Fouls 11.00
1.29 Yellow cards 2.14
0.29 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

29% Wins 43%
29% Draws 14%
43% Losses 43%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 86%
43% Over 2.5 goals 57%
14% Over 3.5 goals 29%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
43% Both teams scored 57%
29% Clean sheets 14%
43% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 14%
57% Draws 43%
29% Losses 43%
57% Over 0.5 goals 71%
29% Over 1.5 goals 57%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bournemouth at home
Aston Villa away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bournemouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Sheffield United – Bournemouth 1–3 (0–2) 3.203.502.20 1.85 2.05
11.11.23 Bournemouth – Newcastle 2–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.73 1.70 2.10
04.11.23 Man City – Bournemouth 6–1 (3–0) 1.1011.0019.00 1.29 3.60
28.10.23 Bournemouth – Burnley 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.503.30 1.75 2.05
21.10.23 Bournemouth – Wolves 1–2 (1–0) 2.383.403.00 1.85 2.05
07.10.23 Everton – Bournemouth 3–0 (2–0) 1.913.603.80 1.85 2.05
30.09.23 Bournemouth – Arsenal 0–4 (0–2) 5.504.501.53 1.53 2.50
24.09.23 Brighton – Bournemouth 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.257.50 1.36 3.20
17.09.23 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 4.333.751.80 1.67 2.20
02.09.23 Brentford – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–1) 1.733.804.75 1.73 2.10

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.11.23 Tottenham – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.802.80 1.50 2.50
12.11.23 Aston Villa – Fulham 3–1 (2–0) 1.574.205.50 1.70 2.10
05.11.23 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 4.203.751.85 1.73 2.08
29.10.23 Aston Villa – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.48 2.60
22.10.23 Aston Villa – West Ham 4–1 (1–0) 1.853.604.00 1.57 2.35
08.10.23 Wolves – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–0) 3.503.402.10 1.75 2.05
30.09.23 Aston Villa – Brighton 6–1 (3–0) 2.553.752.55 1.44 2.75
24.09.23 Chelsea – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.73 2.10
16.09.23 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 3–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.89 2.01
03.09.23 Liverpool – Aston Villa 3–0 (2–0) 1.654.504.50 1.40 3.00

Bournemouth at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.11.23 Bournemouth – Newcastle 2–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.73 1.70 2.10
28.10.23 Bournemouth – Burnley 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.503.30 1.75 2.05
21.10.23 Bournemouth – Wolves 1–2 (1–0) 2.383.403.00 1.85 2.05
30.09.23 Bournemouth – Arsenal 0–4 (0–2) 5.504.501.53 1.53 2.50
17.09.23 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 4.333.751.80 1.67 2.20
26.08.23 Bournemouth – Tottenham 0–2 (0–1) 3.803.751.91 1.53 2.50
12.08.23 Bournemouth – West Ham 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.402.55 1.90 2.00
20.05.23 Bournemouth – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 6.004.751.50 1.57 2.38
06.05.23 Bournemouth – Chelsea 1–3 (1–1) 3.303.502.15 1.99 1.91
30.04.23 Bournemouth – Leeds 4–1 (2–1) 2.553.502.70 1.80 2.00

Aston Villa away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.11.23 Tottenham – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.802.80 1.50 2.50
05.11.23 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 4.203.751.85 1.73 2.08
08.10.23 Wolves – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–0) 3.503.402.10 1.75 2.05
24.09.23 Chelsea – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.73 2.10
03.09.23 Liverpool – Aston Villa 3–0 (2–0) 1.654.504.50 1.40 3.00
27.08.23 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.403.402.15 1.86 2.04
12.08.23 Newcastle – Aston Villa 5–1 (2–1) 1.753.754.60 1.73 2.10
20.05.23 Liverpool – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–1) 1.455.006.25 1.53 2.50
06.05.23 Wolves – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 2.883.302.50 2.20 1.67
30.04.23 Man United – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.904.60 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bournemouth winsDrawsAston Villa wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.03.23E0 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 3–0 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.97 1.93
06.08.22E0 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 3.753.502.00 2.00 1.80

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 14 10 3 1 29 11 +18 33
2 Man City 13 9 2 2 33 13 +20 29
3 Liverpool 13 8 4 1 28 11 +17 28
4 Aston Villa 13 9 1 3 31 18 +13 28
5 Newcastle 14 8 2 4 32 14 +18 26
6 Tottenham 13 8 2 3 25 17 +8 26
7 Man United 14 8 0 6 16 17 -1 24
8 Brighton 13 6 4 3 28 23 +5 22
9 West Ham 13 6 2 5 23 23 0 20
10 Brentford 14 5 4 5 22 19 +3 19
11 Everton 14 5 2 7 15 20 -5 17
12 Chelsea 13 4 4 5 22 20 +2 16
13 Crystal Palace 13 4 3 6 13 18 -5 15
14 Wolves 14 4 3 7 19 25 -6 15
15 Fulham 13 4 3 6 13 22 -9 15
16 Nott'm Forest 14 3 4 7 16 22 -6 13
17 Bournemouth 13 3 3 7 14 28 -14 12
18 Luton 14 2 3 9 13 26 -13 9
19 Burnley 14 2 1 11 15 32 -17 7
20 Sheffield United 14 1 2 11 11 39 -28 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Newcastle 8 7 0 1 19 4 +15 21
2 Arsenal 8 6 2 0 20 8 +12 20
3 Aston Villa 6 6 0 0 23 5 +18 18
4 Liverpool 6 6 0 0 17 2 +15 18
5 Man City 6 5 1 0 17 4 +13 16
6 Brighton 7 3 3 1 15 10 +5 12
7 Brentford 8 3 3 2 15 12 +3 12
8 Tottenham 6 4 0 2 10 8 +2 12
9 Man United 7 4 0 3 8 10 -2 12
10 West Ham 6 3 1 2 11 9 +2 10
11 Nott'm Forest 7 2 3 2 10 9 +1 9
12 Fulham 6 3 0 3 7 9 -2 9
13 Wolves 6 2 2 2 9 12 -3 8
14 Bournemouth 7 2 2 3 6 10 -4 8
15 Chelsea 7 1 3 3 10 11 -1 6
16 Crystal Palace 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2 5
17 Luton 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2 5
18 Everton 7 1 1 5 5 9 -4 4
19 Sheffield United 7 1 1 5 7 19 -12 4
20 Burnley 8 1 0 7 10 20 -10 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 7 4 2 1 15 9 +6 14
2 Man City 7 4 1 2 16 9 +7 13
3 Arsenal 6 4 1 1 9 3 +6 13
4 Everton 7 4 1 2 10 11 -1 13
5 Man United 7 4 0 3 8 7 +1 12
6 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 12 9 +3 10
7 Liverpool 7 2 4 1 11 9 +2 10
8 Brighton 6 3 1 2 13 13 0 10
9 West Ham 7 3 1 3 12 14 -2 10
10 Crystal Palace 7 3 1 3 7 10 -3 10
11 Aston Villa 7 3 1 3 8 13 -5 10
12 Brentford 6 2 1 3 7 7 0 7
13 Wolves 8 2 1 5 10 13 -3 7
14 Fulham 7 1 3 3 6 13 -7 6
15 Newcastle 6 1 2 3 13 10 +3 5
16 Nott'm Forest 7 1 1 5 6 13 -7 4
17 Burnley 6 1 1 4 5 12 -7 4
18 Bournemouth 6 1 1 4 8 18 -10 4
19 Luton 8 1 1 6 7 18 -11 4
20 Sheffield United 7 0 1 6 4 20 -16 1

Bournemouth   Aston Villa

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Sheffield United 14 3 11 0.8 2.8 1 2 11 11 39 5
2 4 Aston Villa 13 3 10 2.4 1.4 9 1 3 31 18 28
3 8 Brighton 13 3 10 2.2 1.8 6 4 3 28 23 22
4 9 West Ham 13 3 10 1.8 1.8 6 2 5 23 23 20
5 14 Wolves 14 4 10 1.4 1.8 4 3 7 19 25 15
6 19 Burnley 14 4 10 1.1 2.3 2 1 11 15 32 7
7 1 Arsenal 14 5 9 2.1 0.8 10 3 1 29 11 33
8 2 Man City 13 4 9 2.5 1.0 9 2 2 33 13 29
9 3 Liverpool 13 4 9 2.2 0.8 8 4 1 28 11 28
10 6 Tottenham 13 4 9 1.9 1.3 8 2 3 25 17 26
11 10 Brentford 14 5 9 1.6 1.4 5 4 5 22 19 19
12 17 Bournemouth 13 4 9 1.1 2.2 3 3 7 14 28 12
13 18 Luton 14 5 9 0.9 1.9 2 3 9 13 26 9
14 5 Newcastle 14 6 8 2.3 1.0 8 2 4 32 14 26
15 7 Man United 14 7 7 1.1 1.2 8 0 6 16 17 24
16 11 Everton 14 7 7 1.1 1.4 5 2 7 15 20 17
17 12 Chelsea 13 6 7 1.7 1.5 4 4 5 22 20 16
18 16 Nott'm Forest 14 7 7 1.1 1.6 3 4 7 16 22 13
19 13 Crystal Palace 13 7 6 1.0 1.4 4 3 6 13 18 15
20 15 Fulham 13 7 6 1.0 1.7 4 3 6 13 22 15
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Arsenal 8 1 7 2.5 1.0 6 2 0 20 8 20
2 4 Aston Villa 6 0 6 3.8 0.8 6 0 0 23 5 18
3 10 Brentford 8 2 6 1.9 1.5 3 3 2 15 12 12
4 19 Burnley 8 2 6 1.2 2.5 1 0 7 10 20 3
5 20 Sheffield United 7 1 6 1.0 2.7 1 1 5 7 19 4
6 3 Liverpool 6 1 5 2.8 0.3 6 0 0 17 2 18
7 8 Brighton 7 2 5 2.1 1.4 3 3 1 15 10 12
8 14 Wolves 6 1 5 1.5 2.0 2 2 2 9 12 8
9 5 Newcastle 8 4 4 2.4 0.5 7 0 1 19 4 21
10 6 Tottenham 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 4 0 2 10 8 12
11 7 Man United 7 3 4 1.1 1.4 4 0 3 8 10 12
12 9 West Ham 6 2 4 1.8 1.5 3 1 2 11 9 10
13 2 Man City 6 3 3 2.8 0.7 5 1 0 17 4 16
14 11 Everton 7 4 3 0.7 1.3 1 1 5 5 9 4
15 12 Chelsea 7 4 3 1.4 1.6 1 3 3 10 11 6
16 13 Crystal Palace 6 3 3 1.0 1.3 1 2 3 6 8 5
17 15 Fulham 6 3 3 1.2 1.5 3 0 3 7 9 9
18 16 Nott'm Forest 7 4 3 1.4 1.3 2 3 2 10 9 9
19 17 Bournemouth 7 4 3 0.9 1.4 2 2 3 6 10 8
20 18 Luton 6 3 3 1.0 1.3 1 2 3 6 8 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 7 1 6 2.3 1.3 4 1 2 16 9 13
2 9 West Ham 7 1 6 1.7 2.0 3 1 3 12 14 10
3 17 Bournemouth 6 0 6 1.3 3.0 1 1 4 8 18 4
4 18 Luton 8 2 6 0.9 2.2 1 1 6 7 18 4
5 6 Tottenham 7 2 5 2.1 1.3 4 2 1 15 9 14
6 8 Brighton 6 1 5 2.2 2.2 3 1 2 13 13 10
7 14 Wolves 8 3 5 1.2 1.6 2 1 5 10 13 7
8 20 Sheffield United 7 2 5 0.6 2.9 0 1 6 4 20 1
9 3 Liverpool 7 3 4 1.6 1.3 2 4 1 11 9 10
10 4 Aston Villa 7 3 4 1.1 1.9 3 1 3 8 13 10
11 5 Newcastle 6 2 4 2.2 1.7 1 2 3 13 10 5
12 11 Everton 7 3 4 1.4 1.6 4 1 2 10 11 13
13 12 Chelsea 6 2 4 2.0 1.5 3 1 2 12 9 10
14 16 Nott'm Forest 7 3 4 0.9 1.9 1 1 5 6 13 4
15 19 Burnley 6 2 4 0.8 2.0 1 1 4 5 12 4
16 7 Man United 7 4 3 1.1 1.0 4 0 3 8 7 12
17 10 Brentford 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 3 7 7 7
18 13 Crystal Palace 7 4 3 1.0 1.4 3 1 3 7 10 10
19 15 Fulham 7 4 3 0.9 1.9 1 3 3 6 13 6
20 1 Arsenal 6 4 2 1.5 0.5 4 1 1 9 3 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44