Newcastle 2–0 Chelsea – England Premier League, 11 May 2025

Match facts

Newcastle Chelsea

15 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 3

2 Corners 8

9 Fouls 13

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (355 league matches this season so far).

Result Newcastle to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.58

Expected goals 1.71 – 1.48

Home / Draw / Away

43% 23% 34%

NewcastleDrawChelsea

Under / Over 2.5 goals

38% 62%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

37% 63%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

4% 0

13% 1

21% 2

22% 3

18% 4

22% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.4% 2–1 8.9% 1–2 7.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Newcastle before this match, all matches

1.80points / match

1.89scored / match

1.29conceded / match

19 6 10

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 66:45

Chelsea before this match, all matches

1.80points / match

1.77scored / match

1.17conceded / match

18 9 8

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 62:41

Newcastle all matches all matches Chelsea

Per match

1.89 Goals scored 1.77

1.29 Goals conceded 1.17

3.17 Total goals 2.94

13.66 Shots 16.23

4.49 Shots on target 6.00

12.49 Shots faced 10.54

5.63 Corners 6.20

5.17 Corners against 3.71

10.40 Fouls 11.49

1.71 Yellow cards 2.66

1.03 1st-half goals scored 0.83

0.66 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

54% Wins 51%

17% Draws 26%

29% Losses 23%

97% Over 0.5 goals 94%

86% Over 1.5 goals 80%

66% Over 2.5 goals 60%

37% Over 3.5 goals 29%

20% Over 4.5 goals 11%

9% Over 5.5 goals 11%

54% Both teams scored 63%

34% Clean sheets 26%

14% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

49% Wins 40%

20% Draws 34%

31% Losses 26%

91% Over 0.5 goals 77%

40% Over 1.5 goals 34%

26% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle all matches

4

3

W

2

L

1

W

2

1

W

3

W

4

1

W

5

W

1

4

L

3

W

1

D

Chelsea all matches

1

2

L

4

W

1

W

1

L

1

W

D

2

D

2

1

W

1

W

3

1

W

Newcastle before this match, at home

2.06points / match

2.24scored / match

1.12conceded / match

11 2 4

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 38:19

Chelsea before this match, away

1.47points / match

1.65scored / match

1.35conceded / match

7 4 6

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 28:23

Newcastle at home away Chelsea

Per match

2.24 Goals scored 1.65

1.12 Goals conceded 1.35

3.35 Total goals 3.00

15.53 Shots 14.18

5.06 Shots on target 5.06

12.59 Shots faced 10.76

6.12 Corners 5.94

5.35 Corners against 3.88

11.12 Fouls 11.59

2.00 Yellow cards 2.71

1.18 1st-half goals scored 0.71

0.41 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

65% Wins 41%

12% Draws 24%

24% Losses 35%

100% Over 0.5 goals 88%

82% Over 1.5 goals 76%

71% Over 2.5 goals 59%

35% Over 3.5 goals 24%

29% Over 4.5 goals 18%

12% Over 5.5 goals 18%

47% Both teams scored 59%

41% Clean sheets 24%

12% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

71% Wins 29%

6% Draws 35%

24% Losses 35%

100% Over 0.5 goals 76%

24% Over 1.5 goals 35%

18% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle at home

4

W

3

W

3

W

1

4

L

1

2

L

4

3

W

2

1

W

4

1

W

5

W

3

W

Chelsea away

4

3

W

D

2

L

1

D

1

3

L

3

L

1

2

L

1

L

D

2

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Newcastle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.05.25	Brighton – Newcastle	1–1 (1–0)	2.88	3.70	2.30	1.53	2.50
26.04.25	Newcastle – Ipswich	3–0 (1–0)	1.18	7.50	13.00	1.36	3.20
19.04.25	Aston Villa – Newcastle	4–1 (1–1)	2.30	3.60	2.75	1.62	2.30
16.04.25	Newcastle – Crystal Palace	5–0 (4–0)	1.67	3.90	5.00	1.73	2.10
13.04.25	Newcastle – Man United	4–1 (1–1)	1.65	4.20	4.75	1.67	2.20
07.04.25	Leicester – Newcastle	0–3 (0–3)	6.50	4.20	1.48	1.62	2.30
02.04.25	Newcastle – Brentford	2–1 (1–0)	1.73	4.50	4.00	1.44	2.75
10.03.25	West Ham – Newcastle	0–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.40	2.20	1.73	2.10
26.02.25	Liverpool – Newcastle	2–0 (1–0)	1.50	4.50	5.75	1.44	2.75
23.02.25	Newcastle – Nott'm Forest	4–3 (4–1)	1.80	3.80	4.20	1.67	2.20

Chelsea all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.05.25	Chelsea – Liverpool	3–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.70	3.10	1.53	2.50
26.04.25	Chelsea – Everton	1–0 (1–0)	1.55	4.00	6.00	1.88	2.02
20.04.25	Fulham – Chelsea	1–2 (1–0)	2.70	3.70	2.35	1.84	2.06
13.04.25	Chelsea – Ipswich	2–2 (0–2)	1.27	7.00	8.50	1.44	2.75
06.04.25	Brentford – Chelsea	0–0 (0–0)	3.20	3.60	2.15	1.53	2.50
03.04.25	Chelsea – Tottenham	1–0 (0–0)	1.65	4.50	4.50	1.40	3.00
16.03.25	Arsenal – Chelsea	1–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.86	1.92
09.03.25	Chelsea – Leicester	1–0 (0–0)	1.18	8.00	12.00	1.33	3.20
25.02.25	Chelsea – Southampton	4–0 (3–0)	1.17	8.00	13.00	1.29	3.75
22.02.25	Aston Villa – Chelsea	2–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.40	2.60	1.57	2.38

Newcastle at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.04.25	Newcastle – Ipswich	3–0 (1–0)	1.18	7.50	13.00	1.36	3.20
16.04.25	Newcastle – Crystal Palace	5–0 (4–0)	1.67	3.90	5.00	1.73	2.10
13.04.25	Newcastle – Man United	4–1 (1–1)	1.65	4.20	4.75	1.67	2.20
02.04.25	Newcastle – Brentford	2–1 (1–0)	1.73	4.50	4.00	1.44	2.75
23.02.25	Newcastle – Nott'm Forest	4–3 (4–1)	1.80	3.80	4.20	1.67	2.20
01.02.25	Newcastle – Fulham	1–2 (1–0)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.62	2.30
18.01.25	Newcastle – Bournemouth	1–4 (1–2)	1.62	4.20	5.00	1.53	2.50
15.01.25	Newcastle – Wolves	3–0 (1–0)	1.36	5.50	8.00	1.44	2.75
26.12.24	Newcastle – Aston Villa	3–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.80	3.75	1.62	2.30
14.12.24	Newcastle – Leicester	4–0 (1–0)	1.30	6.00	8.50	1.44	2.75

Chelsea away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.04.25	Fulham – Chelsea	1–2 (1–0)	2.70	3.70	2.35	1.84	2.06
06.04.25	Brentford – Chelsea	0–0 (0–0)	3.20	3.60	2.15	1.53	2.50
16.03.25	Arsenal – Chelsea	1–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.86	1.92
22.02.25	Aston Villa – Chelsea	2–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.40	2.60	1.57	2.38
14.02.25	Brighton – Chelsea	3–0 (2–0)	2.70	3.60	2.45	1.57	2.38
25.01.25	Man City – Chelsea	3–1 (1–1)	2.05	4.00	3.30	1.40	3.00
04.01.25	Crystal Palace – Chelsea	1–1 (0–1)	3.80	3.75	1.91	1.57	2.38
30.12.24	Ipswich – Chelsea	2–0 (1–0)	6.50	4.75	1.42	1.44	2.75
22.12.24	Everton – Chelsea	0–0 (0–0)	5.00	4.20	1.62	1.67	2.20
08.12.24	Tottenham – Chelsea	3–4 (2–1)	3.40	3.90	2.00	1.36	3.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1 4

Newcastle winsDrawsChelsea wins

7matches

2.86goals / match

57%over 2.5

57%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.10.24E0	Chelsea – Newcastle	2–1 (1–1)	1.73	4.33	4.20	1.44	2.75
11.03.24E0	Chelsea – Newcastle	3–2 (1–1)	1.91	4.00	3.60	1.44	2.70
25.11.23E0	Newcastle – Chelsea	4–1 (1–1)	2.55	3.50	2.63	1.86	2.04
28.05.23E0	Chelsea – Newcastle	1–1 (1–1)	2.90	3.50	2.38	1.73	2.10
12.11.22E0	Newcastle – Chelsea	1–0 (0–0)	2.35	3.40	3.00	1.98	1.92
13.03.22E0	Chelsea – Newcastle	1–0 (0–0)	1.30	5.25	11.00	1.72	2.10
30.10.21E0	Newcastle – Chelsea	0–3 (0–0)	8.50	5.00	1.36	1.72	2.10

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	35	25	7	3	81	35	+46	82
2	Arsenal	35	18	13	4	64	31	+33	67
3	Man City	36	19	8	9	67	43	+24	65
4	Newcastle	35	19	6	10	66	45	+21	63
5	Chelsea	35	18	9	8	62	41	+21	63
6	Aston Villa	36	18	9	9	56	49	+7	63
7	Nott'm Forest	35	18	7	10	54	42	+12	61
8	Brentford	36	16	7	13	63	53	+10	55
9	Brighton	36	14	13	9	59	56	+3	55
10	Bournemouth	36	14	11	11	55	43	+12	53
11	Fulham	36	14	9	13	51	50	+1	51
12	Crystal Palace	35	11	13	11	44	48	-4	46
13	Everton	36	9	15	12	39	44	-5	42
14	Wolves	36	12	5	19	51	64	-13	41
15	Man United	35	10	9	16	42	51	-9	39
16	Tottenham	35	11	5	19	63	57	+6	38
17	West Ham	35	9	10	16	40	59	-19	37
18	Ipswich	36	4	10	22	35	77	-42	22
19	Leicester	35	5	6	24	29	76	-47	21
20	Southampton	36	2	6	28	25	82	-57	12

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	17	14	2	1	39	13	+26	44
2	Man City	18	12	3	3	40	22	+18	39
3	Chelsea	18	11	5	2	34	18	+16	38
4	Aston Villa	18	10	7	1	32	20	+12	37
5	Arsenal	18	10	6	2	34	17	+17	36
6	Newcastle	17	11	2	4	38	19	+19	35
7	Nott'm Forest	17	9	4	4	24	13	+11	31
8	Brentford	18	9	4	5	38	32	+6	31
9	Brighton	18	7	8	3	27	24	+3	29
10	Fulham	18	7	5	6	27	28	-1	26
11	Bournemouth	18	7	4	7	21	16	+5	25
12	Crystal Palace	18	5	7	6	20	24	-4	22
13	Tottenham	17	6	3	8	34	29	+5	21
14	Everton	18	4	9	5	24	23	+1	21
15	Man United	17	6	3	8	21	26	-5	21
16	Wolves	18	6	2	10	26	31	-5	20
17	West Ham	18	5	5	8	22	32	-10	20
18	Leicester	18	3	3	12	13	34	-21	12
19	Ipswich	18	1	4	13	13	41	-28	7
20	Southampton	18	1	3	14	12	45	-33	6

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	18	11	5	2	42	22	+20	38
2	Arsenal	17	8	7	2	30	14	+16	31
3	Nott'm Forest	18	9	3	6	30	29	+1	30
4	Bournemouth	18	7	7	4	34	27	+7	28
5	Newcastle	18	8	4	6	28	26	+2	28
6	Man City	18	7	5	6	27	21	+6	26
7	Brighton	18	7	5	6	32	32	0	26
8	Aston Villa	18	8	2	8	24	29	-5	26
9	Chelsea	17	7	4	6	28	23	+5	25
10	Fulham	18	7	4	7	24	22	+2	25
11	Brentford	18	7	3	8	25	21	+4	24
12	Crystal Palace	17	6	6	5	24	24	0	24
13	Everton	18	5	6	7	15	21	-6	21
14	Wolves	18	6	3	9	25	33	-8	21
15	Man United	18	4	6	8	21	25	-4	18
16	Tottenham	18	5	2	11	29	28	+1	17
17	West Ham	17	4	5	8	18	27	-9	17
18	Ipswich	18	3	6	9	22	36	-14	15
19	Leicester	17	2	3	12	16	42	-26	9
20	Southampton	18	1	3	14	13	37	-24	6

Newcastle Chelsea

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	Brighton	36	11	25	1.6	1.6	14	13	9	59	56	55
2	6	Aston Villa	36	12	24	1.6	1.4	18	9	9	56	49	63
3	14	Wolves	36	12	24	1.4	1.8	12	5	19	51	64	41
4	4	Newcastle	35	12	23	1.9	1.3	19	6	10	66	45	63
5	16	Tottenham	35	12	23	1.8	1.6	11	5	19	63	57	38
6	1	Liverpool	35	13	22	2.3	1.0	25	7	3	81	35	82
7	3	Man City	36	14	22	1.9	1.2	19	8	9	67	43	65
8	8	Brentford	36	14	22	1.8	1.5	16	7	13	63	53	55
9	19	Leicester	35	13	22	0.8	2.2	5	6	24	29	76	21
10	20	Southampton	36	14	22	0.7	2.3	2	6	28	25	82	12
11	5	Chelsea	35	14	21	1.8	1.2	18	9	8	62	41	63
12	11	Fulham	36	15	21	1.4	1.4	14	9	13	51	50	51
13	18	Ipswich	36	15	21	1.0	2.1	4	10	22	35	77	22
14	10	Bournemouth	36	16	20	1.5	1.2	14	11	11	55	43	53
15	15	Man United	35	16	19	1.2	1.5	10	9	16	42	51	39
16	7	Nott'm Forest	35	18	17	1.5	1.2	18	7	10	54	42	61
17	17	West Ham	35	18	17	1.1	1.7	9	10	16	40	59	37
18	12	Crystal Palace	35	19	16	1.3	1.4	11	13	11	44	48	46
19	2	Arsenal	35	20	15	1.8	0.9	18	13	4	64	31	67
20	13	Everton	36	22	14	1.1	1.2	9	15	12	39	44	42

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Man City	18	5	13	2.2	1.2	12	3	3	40	22	39
2	16	Tottenham	17	4	13	2.0	1.7	6	3	8	34	29	21
3	4	Newcastle	17	5	12	2.2	1.1	11	2	4	38	19	35
4	9	Brighton	18	6	12	1.5	1.3	7	8	3	27	24	29
5	11	Fulham	18	6	12	1.5	1.6	7	5	6	27	28	26
6	20	Southampton	18	6	12	0.7	2.5	1	3	14	12	45	6
7	1	Liverpool	17	6	11	2.3	0.8	14	2	1	39	13	44
8	5	Chelsea	18	7	11	1.9	1.0	11	5	2	34	18	38
9	6	Aston Villa	18	7	11	1.8	1.1	10	7	1	32	20	37
10	8	Brentford	18	7	11	2.1	1.8	9	4	5	38	32	31
11	14	Wolves	18	7	11	1.4	1.7	6	2	10	26	31	20
12	2	Arsenal	18	8	10	1.9	0.9	10	6	2	34	17	36
13	15	Man United	17	7	10	1.2	1.5	6	3	8	21	26	21
14	17	West Ham	18	8	10	1.2	1.8	5	5	8	22	32	20
15	13	Everton	18	9	9	1.3	1.3	4	9	5	24	23	21
16	18	Ipswich	18	9	9	0.7	2.3	1	4	13	13	41	7
17	19	Leicester	18	9	9	0.7	1.9	3	3	12	13	34	12
18	12	Crystal Palace	18	10	8	1.1	1.3	5	7	6	20	24	22
19	10	Bournemouth	18	12	6	1.2	0.9	7	4	7	21	16	25
20	7	Nott'm Forest	17	12	5	1.4	0.8	9	4	4	24	13	31

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Bournemouth	18	4	14	1.9	1.5	7	7	4	34	27	28
2	6	Aston Villa	18	5	13	1.3	1.6	8	2	8	24	29	26
3	9	Brighton	18	5	13	1.8	1.8	7	5	6	32	32	26
4	14	Wolves	18	5	13	1.4	1.8	6	3	9	25	33	21
5	19	Leicester	17	4	13	0.9	2.5	2	3	12	16	42	9
6	7	Nott'm Forest	18	6	12	1.7	1.6	9	3	6	30	29	30
7	18	Ipswich	18	6	12	1.2	2.0	3	6	9	22	36	15
8	1	Liverpool	18	7	11	2.3	1.2	11	5	2	42	22	38
9	4	Newcastle	18	7	11	1.6	1.4	8	4	6	28	26	28
10	8	Brentford	18	7	11	1.4	1.2	7	3	8	25	21	24
11	5	Chelsea	17	7	10	1.6	1.4	7	4	6	28	23	25
12	16	Tottenham	18	8	10	1.6	1.6	5	2	11	29	28	17
13	20	Southampton	18	8	10	0.7	2.1	1	3	14	13	37	6
14	3	Man City	18	9	9	1.5	1.2	7	5	6	27	21	26
15	11	Fulham	18	9	9	1.3	1.2	7	4	7	24	22	25
16	15	Man United	18	9	9	1.2	1.4	4	6	8	21	25	18
17	12	Crystal Palace	17	9	8	1.4	1.4	6	6	5	24	24	24
18	17	West Ham	17	10	7	1.1	1.6	4	5	8	18	27	17
19	2	Arsenal	17	12	5	1.8	0.8	8	7	2	30	14	31
20	13	Everton	18	13	5	0.8	1.2	5	6	7	15	21	21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.