Brighton 1–1 Newcastle – England Premier League, 4 May 2025

Match facts

Brighton Newcastle

5 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 5

1 Corners 4

15 Fouls 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (345 league matches this season so far).

Result Newcastle to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.54

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.71

Home / Draw / Away

36% 23% 41%

BrightonDrawNewcastle

Under / Over 2.5 goals

36% 64%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

35% 65%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

4% 0

12% 1

20% 2

22% 3

18% 4

23% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.1% 1–2 8.6% 2–1 8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches

1.50points / match

1.65scored / match

1.62conceded / match

13 12 9

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 56:55

Newcastle before this match, all matches

1.82points / match

1.91scored / match

1.29conceded / match

19 5 10

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 65:44

Brighton all matches all matches Newcastle

Per match

1.65 Goals scored 1.91

1.62 Goals conceded 1.29

3.26 Total goals 3.21

13.91 Shots 13.68

4.91 Shots on target 4.47

11.24 Shots faced 12.71

5.00 Corners 5.68

4.94 Corners against 5.29

11.59 Fouls 10.41

1.97 Yellow cards 1.74

0.71 1st-half goals scored 1.06

0.74 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

38% Wins 56%

35% Draws 15%

26% Losses 29%

94% Over 0.5 goals 97%

88% Over 1.5 goals 85%

74% Over 2.5 goals 68%

44% Over 3.5 goals 38%

15% Over 4.5 goals 21%

9% Over 5.5 goals 9%

71% Both teams scored 53%

21% Clean sheets 35%

15% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 50%

32% Draws 21%

29% Losses 29%

85% Over 0.5 goals 91%

38% Over 1.5 goals 41%

12% Over 2.5 goals 26%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches

3

W

4

W

2

1

W

2

1

W

2

D

3

L

1

2

L

2

D

2

4

L

3

2

W

Newcastle all matches

4

L

4

3

W

2

L

1

W

2

1

W

3

W

4

1

W

5

W

1

4

L

3

W

Brighton before this match, at home

1.65points / match

1.53scored / match

1.35conceded / match

7 7 3

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 26:23

Newcastle before this match, away

1.59points / match

1.59scored / match

1.47conceded / match

8 3 6

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 27:25

Brighton at home away Newcastle

Per match

1.53 Goals scored 1.59

1.35 Goals conceded 1.47

2.88 Total goals 3.06

15.29 Shots 11.82

4.88 Shots on target 3.88

10.24 Shots faced 12.82

5.12 Corners 5.24

4.47 Corners against 5.24

11.59 Fouls 9.71

1.82 Yellow cards 1.47

0.65 1st-half goals scored 0.94

0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

41% Wins 47%

41% Draws 18%

18% Losses 35%

88% Over 0.5 goals 94%

82% Over 1.5 goals 88%

71% Over 2.5 goals 65%

35% Over 3.5 goals 41%

12% Over 4.5 goals 12%

0% Over 5.5 goals 6%

71% Both teams scored 59%

18% Clean sheets 29%

24% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 29%

29% Draws 35%

29% Losses 35%

82% Over 0.5 goals 82%

35% Over 1.5 goals 59%

6% Over 2.5 goals 35%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home

1

3

L

D

1

D

1

L

3

W

2

1

W

2

1

W

3

L

2

D

3

2

W

Newcastle away

2

4

L

4

W

2

W

2

1

W

3

1

W

4

L

2

L

1

W

3

W

1

4

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.04.25	Brighton – West Ham	3–2 (1–0)	1.67	4.20	4.75	1.67	2.20
19.04.25	Brentford – Brighton	4–2 (1–1)	2.40	3.75	2.63	1.57	2.38
12.04.25	Brighton – Leicester	2–2 (1–1)	1.29	6.00	10.00	1.62	2.30
05.04.25	Crystal Palace – Brighton	2–1 (1–1)	2.35	3.60	2.80	1.80	2.00
02.04.25	Brighton – Aston Villa	0–3 (0–0)	2.05	3.80	3.25	1.62	2.30
15.03.25	Man City – Brighton	2–2 (2–1)	1.67	4.33	4.50	1.44	2.75
08.03.25	Brighton – Fulham	2–1 (1–1)	1.95	3.60	3.75	1.73	2.10
25.02.25	Brighton – Bournemouth	2–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.80	3.30	1.62	2.30
22.02.25	Southampton – Brighton	0–4 (0–1)	6.00	4.10	1.55	1.57	2.38
14.02.25	Brighton – Chelsea	3–0 (2–0)	2.70	3.60	2.45	1.57	2.38

Newcastle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.04.25	Newcastle – Ipswich	3–0 (1–0)	1.18	7.50	13.00	1.36	3.20
19.04.25	Aston Villa – Newcastle	4–1 (1–1)	2.30	3.60	2.75	1.62	2.30
16.04.25	Newcastle – Crystal Palace	5–0 (4–0)	1.67	3.90	5.00	1.73	2.10
13.04.25	Newcastle – Man United	4–1 (1–1)	1.65	4.20	4.75	1.67	2.20
07.04.25	Leicester – Newcastle	0–3 (0–3)	6.50	4.20	1.48	1.62	2.30
02.04.25	Newcastle – Brentford	2–1 (1–0)	1.73	4.50	4.00	1.44	2.75
10.03.25	West Ham – Newcastle	0–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.40	2.20	1.73	2.10
26.02.25	Liverpool – Newcastle	2–0 (1–0)	1.50	4.50	5.75	1.44	2.75
23.02.25	Newcastle – Nott'm Forest	4–3 (4–1)	1.80	3.80	4.20	1.67	2.20
15.02.25	Man City – Newcastle	4–0 (3–0)	1.95	4.20	3.30	1.44	2.75

Brighton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.04.25	Brighton – West Ham	3–2 (1–0)	1.67	4.20	4.75	1.67	2.20
12.04.25	Brighton – Leicester	2–2 (1–1)	1.29	6.00	10.00	1.62	2.30
02.04.25	Brighton – Aston Villa	0–3 (0–0)	2.05	3.80	3.25	1.62	2.30
08.03.25	Brighton – Fulham	2–1 (1–1)	1.95	3.60	3.75	1.73	2.10
25.02.25	Brighton – Bournemouth	2–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.80	3.30	1.62	2.30
14.02.25	Brighton – Chelsea	3–0 (2–0)	2.70	3.60	2.45	1.57	2.38
25.01.25	Brighton – Everton	0–1 (0–1)	1.67	3.75	5.50	1.89	1.89
04.01.25	Brighton – Arsenal	1–1 (0–1)	4.33	3.75	1.80	1.73	2.10
27.12.24	Brighton – Brentford	0–0 (0–0)	1.62	4.33	4.75	1.44	2.75
15.12.24	Brighton – Crystal Palace	1–3 (0–2)	1.85	3.80	3.90	1.73	2.10

Newcastle away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.04.25	Aston Villa – Newcastle	4–1 (1–1)	2.30	3.60	2.75	1.62	2.30
07.04.25	Leicester – Newcastle	0–3 (0–3)	6.50	4.20	1.48	1.62	2.30
10.03.25	West Ham – Newcastle	0–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.40	2.20	1.73	2.10
26.02.25	Liverpool – Newcastle	2–0 (1–0)	1.50	4.50	5.75	1.44	2.75
15.02.25	Man City – Newcastle	4–0 (3–0)	1.95	4.20	3.30	1.44	2.75
25.01.25	Southampton – Newcastle	1–3 (1–2)	6.50	5.25	1.42	1.41	2.70
04.01.25	Tottenham – Newcastle	1–2 (1–2)	2.88	3.80	2.25	1.33	3.40
30.12.24	Man United – Newcastle	0–2 (0–2)	2.75	3.50	2.55	1.62	2.30
21.12.24	Ipswich – Newcastle	0–4 (0–3)	4.75	3.75	1.73	1.62	2.30
07.12.24	Brentford – Newcastle	4–2 (2–2)	2.88	3.75	2.30	1.57	2.38

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 3 2

Brighton winsDrawsNewcastle wins

7matches

2.43goals / match

43%over 2.5

71%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.10.24E0	Newcastle – Brighton	0–1 (0–1)	1.95	3.70	3.60	1.49	2.45
11.05.24E0	Newcastle – Brighton	1–1 (1–1)	1.57	4.75	4.75	1.33	3.40
02.09.23E0	Brighton – Newcastle	3–1 (1–0)	2.50	3.80	2.55	1.50	2.63
18.05.23E0	Newcastle – Brighton	4–1 (2–0)	2.00	3.80	3.50	1.62	2.30
13.08.22E0	Brighton – Newcastle	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.20	3.00	2.10	1.72
05.03.22E0	Newcastle – Brighton	2–1 (2–0)	2.75	3.20	2.62	2.30	1.61
06.11.21E0	Brighton – Newcastle	1–1 (1–0)	1.57	3.90	6.00	1.90	1.90

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	34	25	7	2	80	32	+48	82
2	Arsenal	35	18	13	4	64	31	+33	67
3	Man City	35	19	7	9	67	43	+24	64
4	Newcastle	34	19	5	10	65	44	+21	62
5	Chelsea	34	17	9	8	59	40	+19	60
6	Nott'm Forest	34	18	6	10	53	41	+12	60
7	Aston Villa	35	17	9	9	55	49	+6	60
8	Bournemouth	35	14	11	10	55	42	+13	53
9	Fulham	35	14	9	12	50	47	+3	51
10	Brighton	34	13	12	9	56	55	+1	51
11	Brentford	34	14	7	13	58	50	+8	49
12	Crystal Palace	34	11	12	11	43	47	-4	45
13	Wolves	35	12	5	18	51	62	-11	41
14	Everton	35	8	15	12	36	43	-7	39
15	Man United	34	10	9	15	39	47	-8	39
16	Tottenham	34	11	4	19	62	56	+6	37
17	West Ham	34	9	9	16	39	58	-19	36
18	Ipswich	35	4	10	21	35	76	-41	22
19	Leicester	35	5	6	24	29	76	-47	21
20	Southampton	35	2	5	28	25	82	-57	11

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	17	14	2	1	39	13	+26	44
2	Man City	18	12	3	3	40	22	+18	39
3	Aston Villa	18	10	7	1	32	20	+12	37
4	Arsenal	18	10	6	2	34	17	+17	36
5	Newcastle	17	11	2	4	38	19	+19	35
6	Chelsea	17	10	5	2	31	17	+14	35
7	Nott'm Forest	17	9	4	4	24	13	+11	31
8	Brentford	17	8	4	5	34	29	+5	28
9	Brighton	17	7	7	3	26	23	+3	28
10	Fulham	17	7	5	5	26	25	+1	26
11	Bournemouth	17	7	4	6	21	15	+6	25
12	Tottenham	17	6	3	8	34	29	+5	21
13	Everton	18	4	9	5	24	23	+1	21
14	Crystal Palace	17	5	6	6	19	23	-4	21
15	Man United	17	6	3	8	21	26	-5	21
16	Wolves	17	6	2	9	26	29	-3	20
17	West Ham	17	5	4	8	21	31	-10	19
18	Leicester	18	3	3	12	13	34	-21	12
19	Ipswich	17	1	4	12	13	40	-27	7
20	Southampton	17	1	2	14	12	45	-33	5

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	17	11	5	1	41	19	+22	38
2	Arsenal	17	8	7	2	30	14	+16	31
3	Nott'm Forest	17	9	2	6	29	28	+1	29
4	Bournemouth	18	7	7	4	34	27	+7	28
5	Newcastle	17	8	3	6	27	25	+2	27
6	Man City	17	7	4	6	27	21	+6	25
7	Chelsea	17	7	4	6	28	23	+5	25
8	Fulham	18	7	4	7	24	22	+2	25
9	Crystal Palace	17	6	6	5	24	24	0	24
10	Brighton	17	6	5	6	30	32	-2	23
11	Aston Villa	17	7	2	8	23	29	-6	23
12	Brentford	17	6	3	8	24	21	+3	21
13	Wolves	18	6	3	9	25	33	-8	21
14	Man United	17	4	6	7	18	21	-3	18
15	Everton	17	4	6	7	12	20	-8	18
16	West Ham	17	4	5	8	18	27	-9	17
17	Tottenham	17	5	1	11	28	27	+1	16
18	Ipswich	18	3	6	9	22	36	-14	15
19	Leicester	17	2	3	12	16	42	-26	9
20	Southampton	18	1	3	14	13	37	-24	6

Brighton Newcastle

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Brighton	34	9	25	1.6	1.6	13	12	9	56	55	51
2	7	Aston Villa	35	11	24	1.6	1.4	17	9	9	55	49	60
3	13	Wolves	35	11	24	1.5	1.8	12	5	18	51	62	41
4	4	Newcastle	34	11	23	1.9	1.3	19	5	10	65	44	62
5	16	Tottenham	34	11	23	1.8	1.6	11	4	19	62	56	37
6	3	Man City	35	13	22	1.9	1.2	19	7	9	67	43	64
7	19	Leicester	35	13	22	0.8	2.2	5	6	24	29	76	21
8	20	Southampton	35	13	22	0.7	2.3	2	5	28	25	82	11
9	1	Liverpool	34	13	21	2.4	0.9	25	7	2	80	32	82
10	11	Brentford	34	13	21	1.7	1.5	14	7	13	58	50	49
11	18	Ipswich	35	14	21	1.0	2.2	4	10	21	35	76	22
12	5	Chelsea	34	14	20	1.7	1.2	17	9	8	59	40	60
13	8	Bournemouth	35	15	20	1.6	1.2	14	11	10	55	42	53
14	9	Fulham	35	15	20	1.4	1.3	14	9	12	50	47	51
15	15	Man United	34	16	18	1.1	1.4	10	9	15	39	47	39
16	6	Nott'm Forest	34	17	17	1.6	1.2	18	6	10	53	41	60
17	17	West Ham	34	17	17	1.1	1.7	9	9	16	39	58	36
18	12	Crystal Palace	34	18	16	1.3	1.4	11	12	11	43	47	45
19	2	Arsenal	35	20	15	1.8	0.9	18	13	4	64	31	67
20	14	Everton	35	22	13	1.0	1.2	8	15	12	36	43	39

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Man City	18	5	13	2.2	1.2	12	3	3	40	22	39
2	16	Tottenham	17	4	13	2.0	1.7	6	3	8	34	29	21
3	4	Newcastle	17	5	12	2.2	1.1	11	2	4	38	19	35
4	10	Brighton	17	5	12	1.5	1.4	7	7	3	26	23	28
5	20	Southampton	17	5	12	0.7	2.6	1	2	14	12	45	5
6	1	Liverpool	17	6	11	2.3	0.8	14	2	1	39	13	44
7	7	Aston Villa	18	7	11	1.8	1.1	10	7	1	32	20	37
8	9	Fulham	17	6	11	1.5	1.5	7	5	5	26	25	26
9	13	Wolves	17	6	11	1.5	1.7	6	2	9	26	29	20
10	2	Arsenal	18	8	10	1.9	0.9	10	6	2	34	17	36
11	5	Chelsea	17	7	10	1.8	1.0	10	5	2	31	17	35
12	11	Brentford	17	7	10	2.0	1.7	8	4	5	34	29	28
13	15	Man United	17	7	10	1.2	1.5	6	3	8	21	26	21
14	17	West Ham	17	7	10	1.2	1.8	5	4	8	21	31	19
15	14	Everton	18	9	9	1.3	1.3	4	9	5	24	23	21
16	18	Ipswich	17	8	9	0.8	2.4	1	4	12	13	40	7
17	19	Leicester	18	9	9	0.7	1.9	3	3	12	13	34	12
18	12	Crystal Palace	17	9	8	1.1	1.4	5	6	6	19	23	21
19	8	Bournemouth	17	11	6	1.2	0.9	7	4	6	21	15	25
20	6	Nott'm Forest	17	12	5	1.4	0.8	9	4	4	24	13	31

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Bournemouth	18	4	14	1.9	1.5	7	7	4	34	27	28
2	7	Aston Villa	17	4	13	1.4	1.7	7	2	8	23	29	23
3	10	Brighton	17	4	13	1.8	1.9	6	5	6	30	32	23
4	13	Wolves	18	5	13	1.4	1.8	6	3	9	25	33	21
5	19	Leicester	17	4	13	0.9	2.5	2	3	12	16	42	9
6	6	Nott'm Forest	17	5	12	1.7	1.6	9	2	6	29	28	29
7	18	Ipswich	18	6	12	1.2	2.0	3	6	9	22	36	15
8	4	Newcastle	17	6	11	1.6	1.5	8	3	6	27	25	27
9	11	Brentford	17	6	11	1.4	1.2	6	3	8	24	21	21
10	1	Liverpool	17	7	10	2.4	1.1	11	5	1	41	19	38
11	5	Chelsea	17	7	10	1.6	1.4	7	4	6	28	23	25
12	16	Tottenham	17	7	10	1.6	1.6	5	1	11	28	27	16
13	20	Southampton	18	8	10	0.7	2.1	1	3	14	13	37	6
14	3	Man City	17	8	9	1.6	1.2	7	4	6	27	21	25
15	9	Fulham	18	9	9	1.3	1.2	7	4	7	24	22	25
16	12	Crystal Palace	17	9	8	1.4	1.4	6	6	5	24	24	24
17	15	Man United	17	9	8	1.1	1.2	4	6	7	18	21	18
18	17	West Ham	17	10	7	1.1	1.6	4	5	8	18	27	17
19	2	Arsenal	17	12	5	1.8	0.8	8	7	2	30	14	31
20	14	Everton	17	13	4	0.7	1.2	4	6	7	12	20	18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.