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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: C Kavanagh

Newcastle 4–1 Man United

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.65 fair 2.20
Draw 4.20 fair 4.04
Away 4.75 fair 3.35
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.16
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.86

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Newcastle Man United
13 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 5
7 Corners 2
7 Fouls 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (317 league matches this season so far).
Result Newcastle to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.77
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.24
Home / Draw / Away
NewcastleDrawMan United
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–0 9.4% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.77points / match
1.73scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 52:39
Man United before this match, all matches
1.23points / match
1.19scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 37:41
Newcastle all matches all matches Man United

Per match

1.73 Goals scored 1.19
1.30 Goals conceded 1.32
3.03 Total goals 2.52
13.43 Shots 13.48
4.37 Shots on target 4.52
12.83 Shots faced 11.35
5.43 Corners 5.19
5.50 Corners against 4.68
10.57 Fouls 11.10
1.77 Yellow cards 2.16
0.97 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

53% Wins 32%
17% Draws 26%
30% Losses 42%
97% Over 0.5 goals 90%
83% Over 1.5 goals 77%
63% Over 2.5 goals 55%
33% Over 3.5 goals 23%
13% Over 4.5 goals 6%
10% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 42%
33% Clean sheets 29%
17% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 16%
17% Draws 48%
33% Losses 35%
90% Over 0.5 goals 65%
37% Over 1.5 goals 32%
27% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle all matches
Man United all matches
Newcastle before this match, at home
1.86points / match
1.86scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 26:18
Man United before this match, away
1.13points / match
1.07scored / match
1.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 16:16
Newcastle at home away Man United

Per match

1.86 Goals scored 1.07
1.29 Goals conceded 1.07
3.14 Total goals 2.13
15.14 Shots 12.93
4.86 Shots on target 4.47
13.57 Shots faced 11.47
5.79 Corners 5.07
5.93 Corners against 5.60
11.71 Fouls 10.60
2.21 Yellow cards 2.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.27
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

57% Wins 27%
14% Draws 33%
29% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 87%
79% Over 1.5 goals 67%
64% Over 2.5 goals 47%
29% Over 3.5 goals 13%
21% Over 4.5 goals 0%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 40%
36% Clean sheets 33%
14% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

71% Wins 13%
0% Draws 53%
29% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 53%
14% Over 1.5 goals 20%
14% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle at home
Man United away

Last 10 matches before this match

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.04.25 Leicester – Newcastle 0–3 (0–3) 6.504.201.48 1.62 2.30
02.04.25 Newcastle – Brentford 2–1 (1–0) 1.734.504.00 1.44 2.75
10.03.25 West Ham – Newcastle 0–1 (0–0) 3.253.402.20 1.73 2.10
26.02.25 Liverpool – Newcastle 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.505.75 1.44 2.75
23.02.25 Newcastle – Nott'm Forest 4–3 (4–1) 1.803.804.20 1.67 2.20
15.02.25 Man City – Newcastle 4–0 (3–0) 1.954.203.30 1.44 2.75
01.02.25 Newcastle – Fulham 1–2 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.62 2.30
25.01.25 Southampton – Newcastle 1–3 (1–2) 6.505.251.42 1.41 2.70
18.01.25 Newcastle – Bournemouth 1–4 (1–2) 1.624.205.00 1.53 2.50
15.01.25 Newcastle – Wolves 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.508.00 1.44 2.75

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.25 Man United – Man City 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.602.10 1.67 2.20
01.04.25 Nott'm Forest – Man United 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.95 1.95
16.03.25 Leicester – Man United 0–3 (0–1) 4.503.501.83 1.80 2.00
09.03.25 Man United – Arsenal 1–1 (1–0) 5.753.501.70 2.15 1.62
26.02.25 Man United – Ipswich 3–2 (2–2) 1.534.336.00 1.67 2.20
22.02.25 Everton – Man United 2–2 (2–0) 2.503.202.90 2.20 1.67
16.02.25 Tottenham – Man United 1–0 (1–0) 2.453.752.62 1.50 2.63
02.02.25 Man United – Crystal Palace 0–2 (0–0) 2.003.503.80 1.87 2.03
26.01.25 Fulham – Man United 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.88 2.02
19.01.25 Man United – Brighton 1–3 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 1.67 2.20

Newcastle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.04.25 Newcastle – Brentford 2–1 (1–0) 1.734.504.00 1.44 2.75
23.02.25 Newcastle – Nott'm Forest 4–3 (4–1) 1.803.804.20 1.67 2.20
01.02.25 Newcastle – Fulham 1–2 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.62 2.30
18.01.25 Newcastle – Bournemouth 1–4 (1–2) 1.624.205.00 1.53 2.50
15.01.25 Newcastle – Wolves 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.508.00 1.44 2.75
26.12.24 Newcastle – Aston Villa 3–0 (1–0) 1.913.803.75 1.62 2.30
14.12.24 Newcastle – Leicester 4–0 (1–0) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
04.12.24 Newcastle – Liverpool 3–3 (1–0) 4.204.001.75 1.57 2.38
25.11.24 Newcastle – West Ham 0–2 (0–1) 1.504.506.00 1.53 2.50
02.11.24 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.753.751.95 1.84 2.06

Man United away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.25 Nott'm Forest – Man United 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.95 1.95
16.03.25 Leicester – Man United 0–3 (0–1) 4.503.501.83 1.80 2.00
22.02.25 Everton – Man United 2–2 (2–0) 2.503.202.90 2.20 1.67
16.02.25 Tottenham – Man United 1–0 (1–0) 2.453.752.62 1.50 2.63
26.01.25 Fulham – Man United 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.88 2.02
05.01.25 Liverpool – Man United 2–2 (0–0) 1.296.258.00 1.44 2.75
26.12.24 Wolves – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 3.903.701.91 1.67 2.20
15.12.24 Man City – Man United 1–2 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.44 2.75
04.12.24 Arsenal – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 1.444.507.00 1.62 2.30
24.11.24 Ipswich – Man United 1–1 (1–1) 5.254.001.62 1.57 2.38

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Newcastle winsDrawsMan United wins
7matches
2.43goals / match
29%over 2.5
43%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.24E0 Man United – Newcastle 0–2 (0–2) 2.753.502.55 1.62 2.30
15.05.24E0 Man United – Newcastle 3–2 (1–0) 2.754.002.30 1.33 3.40
02.12.23E0 Newcastle – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.67 2.15
02.04.23E0 Newcastle – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.90 1.95 1.95
16.10.22E0 Man United – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.803.50 1.72 2.10
27.12.21E0 Newcastle – Man United 1–1 (1–0) 6.504.751.44 1.61 2.30
11.09.21E0 Man United – Newcastle 4–1 (1–0) 1.187.5015.00 1.44 2.75

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 32 23 7 2 74 31 +43 76
2 Arsenal 32 17 12 3 57 27 +30 63
3 Nott'm Forest 32 17 6 9 51 38 +13 57
4 Man City 32 16 7 9 62 42 +20 55
5 Chelsea 32 15 9 8 56 39 +17 54
6 Aston Villa 32 15 9 8 49 46 +3 54
7 Newcastle 30 16 5 9 52 39 +13 53
8 Fulham 31 13 9 9 47 42 +5 48
9 Brighton 32 12 12 8 51 49 +2 48
10 Bournemouth 31 12 9 10 51 40 +11 45
11 Brentford 32 12 7 13 52 48 +4 43
12 Crystal Palace 31 11 10 10 41 40 +1 43
13 Man United 31 10 8 13 37 41 -4 38
14 Everton 32 8 14 10 34 38 -4 38
15 Tottenham 32 11 4 17 60 49 +11 37
16 Wolves 32 10 5 17 47 61 -14 35
17 West Ham 32 9 8 15 36 54 -18 35
18 Ipswich 32 4 9 19 33 67 -34 21
19 Leicester 32 4 6 22 27 72 -45 18
20 Southampton 32 2 4 26 23 77 -54 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 16 13 2 1 34 12 +22 41
2 Arsenal 16 10 5 1 31 13 +18 35
3 Man City 16 10 3 3 37 21 +16 33
4 Chelsea 16 9 5 2 30 17 +13 32
5 Nott'm Forest 16 9 4 3 24 11 +13 31
6 Aston Villa 16 8 7 1 27 19 +8 31
7 Newcastle 14 8 2 4 26 18 +8 26
8 Fulham 16 7 5 4 25 23 +2 26
9 Brentford 16 7 4 5 30 27 +3 25
10 Brighton 16 6 7 3 23 21 +2 25
11 Tottenham 16 6 3 7 33 27 +6 21
12 Bournemouth 15 6 3 6 19 14 +5 21
13 Man United 16 6 3 7 21 25 -4 21
14 Everton 16 4 8 4 22 19 +3 20
15 Crystal Palace 16 5 5 6 19 23 -4 20
16 West Ham 16 5 3 8 20 30 -10 18
17 Wolves 16 5 2 9 23 29 -6 17
18 Leicester 16 2 3 11 11 33 -22 9
19 Ipswich 16 1 4 11 13 36 -23 7
20 Southampton 16 1 2 13 11 43 -32 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 16 10 5 1 40 19 +21 35
2 Arsenal 16 7 7 2 26 14 +12 28
3 Newcastle 16 8 3 5 26 21 +5 27
4 Nott'm Forest 16 8 2 6 27 27 0 26
5 Bournemouth 16 6 6 4 32 26 +6 24
6 Crystal Palace 15 6 5 4 22 17 +5 23
7 Brighton 16 6 5 5 28 28 0 23
8 Aston Villa 16 7 2 7 22 27 -5 23
9 Chelsea 16 6 4 6 26 22 +4 22
10 Man City 16 6 4 6 25 21 +4 22
11 Fulham 15 6 4 5 22 19 +3 22
12 Brentford 16 5 3 8 22 21 +1 18
13 Everton 16 4 6 6 12 19 -7 18
14 Wolves 16 5 3 8 24 32 -8 18
15 Man United 15 4 5 6 16 16 0 17
16 West Ham 16 4 5 7 16 24 -8 17
17 Tottenham 16 5 1 10 27 22 +5 16
18 Ipswich 16 3 5 8 20 31 -11 14
19 Leicester 16 2 3 11 16 39 -23 9
20 Southampton 16 1 2 13 12 34 -22 5

Newcastle   Man United

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Brighton 32 9 23 1.6 1.5 12 12 8 51 49 48
2 16 Wolves 32 9 23 1.5 1.9 10 5 17 47 61 35
3 6 Aston Villa 32 10 22 1.5 1.4 15 9 8 49 46 54
4 4 Man City 32 11 21 1.9 1.3 16 7 9 62 42 55
5 15 Tottenham 32 11 21 1.9 1.5 11 4 17 60 49 37
6 19 Leicester 32 11 21 0.8 2.2 4 6 22 27 72 18
7 20 Southampton 32 11 21 0.7 2.4 2 4 26 23 77 10
8 1 Liverpool 32 12 20 2.3 1.0 23 7 2 74 31 76
9 11 Brentford 32 12 20 1.6 1.5 12 7 13 52 48 43
10 5 Chelsea 32 13 19 1.8 1.2 15 9 8 56 39 54
11 7 Newcastle 30 11 19 1.7 1.3 16 5 9 52 39 53
12 10 Bournemouth 31 12 19 1.6 1.3 12 9 10 51 40 45
13 8 Fulham 31 13 18 1.5 1.4 13 9 9 47 42 48
14 18 Ipswich 32 14 18 1.0 2.1 4 9 19 33 67 21
15 13 Man United 31 14 17 1.2 1.3 10 8 13 37 41 38
16 3 Nott'm Forest 32 16 16 1.6 1.2 17 6 9 51 38 57
17 17 West Ham 32 16 16 1.1 1.7 9 8 15 36 54 35
18 12 Crystal Palace 31 17 14 1.3 1.3 11 10 10 41 40 43
19 2 Arsenal 32 20 12 1.8 0.8 17 12 3 57 27 63
20 14 Everton 32 20 12 1.1 1.2 8 14 10 34 38 38
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Man City 16 4 12 2.3 1.3 10 3 3 37 21 33
2 15 Tottenham 16 4 12 2.1 1.7 6 3 7 33 27 21
3 9 Brighton 16 5 11 1.4 1.3 6 7 3 23 21 25
4 20 Southampton 16 5 11 0.7 2.7 1 2 13 11 43 5
5 1 Liverpool 16 6 10 2.1 0.8 13 2 1 34 12 41
6 5 Chelsea 16 6 10 1.9 1.1 9 5 2 30 17 32
7 6 Aston Villa 16 6 10 1.7 1.2 8 7 1 27 19 31
8 8 Fulham 16 6 10 1.6 1.4 7 5 4 25 23 26
9 13 Man United 16 6 10 1.3 1.6 6 3 7 21 25 21
10 16 Wolves 16 6 10 1.4 1.8 5 2 9 23 29 17
11 17 West Ham 16 6 10 1.2 1.9 5 3 8 20 30 18
12 7 Newcastle 14 5 9 1.9 1.3 8 2 4 26 18 26
13 11 Brentford 16 7 9 1.9 1.7 7 4 5 30 27 25
14 19 Leicester 16 7 9 0.7 2.1 2 3 11 11 33 9
15 2 Arsenal 16 8 8 1.9 0.8 10 5 1 31 13 35
16 12 Crystal Palace 16 8 8 1.2 1.4 5 5 6 19 23 20
17 14 Everton 16 8 8 1.4 1.2 4 8 4 22 19 20
18 18 Ipswich 16 8 8 0.8 2.2 1 4 11 13 36 7
19 10 Bournemouth 15 9 6 1.3 0.9 6 3 6 19 14 21
20 3 Nott'm Forest 16 11 5 1.5 0.7 9 4 3 24 11 31
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Bournemouth 16 3 13 2.0 1.6 6 6 4 32 26 24
2 16 Wolves 16 3 13 1.5 2.0 5 3 8 24 32 18
3 6 Aston Villa 16 4 12 1.4 1.7 7 2 7 22 27 23
4 9 Brighton 16 4 12 1.8 1.8 6 5 5 28 28 23
5 19 Leicester 16 4 12 1.0 2.4 2 3 11 16 39 9
6 3 Nott'm Forest 16 5 11 1.7 1.7 8 2 6 27 27 26
7 11 Brentford 16 5 11 1.4 1.3 5 3 8 22 21 18
8 1 Liverpool 16 6 10 2.5 1.2 10 5 1 40 19 35
9 7 Newcastle 16 6 10 1.6 1.3 8 3 5 26 21 27
10 18 Ipswich 16 6 10 1.2 1.9 3 5 8 20 31 14
11 20 Southampton 16 6 10 0.8 2.1 1 2 13 12 34 5
12 4 Man City 16 7 9 1.6 1.3 6 4 6 25 21 22
13 5 Chelsea 16 7 9 1.6 1.4 6 4 6 26 22 22
14 15 Tottenham 16 7 9 1.7 1.4 5 1 10 27 22 16
15 8 Fulham 15 7 8 1.5 1.3 6 4 5 22 19 22
16 13 Man United 15 8 7 1.1 1.1 4 5 6 16 16 17
17 12 Crystal Palace 15 9 6 1.5 1.1 6 5 4 22 17 23
18 17 West Ham 16 10 6 1.0 1.5 4 5 7 16 24 17
19 2 Arsenal 16 12 4 1.6 0.9 7 7 2 26 14 28
20 14 Everton 16 12 4 0.8 1.2 4 6 6 12 19 18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44