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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Hooper

Chelsea 2–1 Newcastle

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.73 fair 2.22
Draw 4.33 fair 4.17
Away 4.20 fair 3.23
Under 2.5 2.75 fair 2.36
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.74

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Chelsea Newcastle
17 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 4
13 Fouls 16
6 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (86 league matches this season so far).
Result Chelsea to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.68
Expected goals 1.66 – 1.34
Home / Draw / Away
ChelseaDrawNewcastle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 8.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Chelsea before this match, all matches
1.75points / match
2.13scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 17:10
Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 8:8
Chelsea all matches all matches Newcastle

Per match

2.13 Goals scored 1.00
1.25 Goals conceded 1.00
3.38 Total goals 2.00
13.50 Shots 12.63
5.38 Shots on target 4.00
13.25 Shots faced 15.38
5.75 Corners 6.25
3.88 Corners against 6.50
11.00 Fouls 10.75
3.75 Yellow cards 2.38
1.13 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

50% Wins 38%
25% Draws 38%
25% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
88% Over 1.5 goals 63%
50% Over 2.5 goals 38%
25% Over 3.5 goals 13%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
25% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 63%
25% Clean sheets 25%
13% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 25%
38% Draws 13%
25% Losses 63%
75% Over 0.5 goals 88%
38% Over 1.5 goals 13%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea all matches
Newcastle all matches
Chelsea before this match, at home
1.25points / match
1.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 6:6
Newcastle before this match, away
1.25points / match
1.00scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:5
Chelsea at home away Newcastle

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.00
1.50 Goals conceded 1.25
3.00 Total goals 2.25
15.00 Shots 14.25
6.25 Shots on target 4.50
12.75 Shots faced 14.50
6.75 Corners 6.50
3.25 Corners against 4.50
11.00 Fouls 7.50
3.50 Yellow cards 1.75
1.25 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

25% Wins 25%
50% Draws 50%
25% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
100% Over 1.5 goals 75%
25% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 25%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
25% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 75%
0% Clean sheets 25%
25% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
25% Draws 25%
25% Losses 75%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea at home
Newcastle away

Last 10 matches before this match

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.10.24 Liverpool – Chelsea 2–1 (1–0) 1.624.105.00 1.40 3.00
06.10.24 Chelsea – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.506.50 1.57 2.38
28.09.24 Chelsea – Brighton 4–2 (4–2) 1.734.204.20 1.50 2.63
21.09.24 West Ham – Chelsea 0–3 (0–2) 3.603.901.95 1.50 2.63
14.09.24 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–1 (0–0) 3.403.802.00 1.44 2.75
01.09.24 Chelsea – Crystal Palace 1–1 (1–0) 1.604.335.00 1.50 2.63
25.08.24 Wolves – Chelsea 2–6 (2–2) 4.334.001.75 1.62 2.30
18.08.24 Chelsea – Man City 0–2 (0–1) 4.103.901.80 1.50 2.63
19.05.24 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–1 (1–0) 1.455.006.00 1.29 3.75
15.05.24 Brighton – Chelsea 1–2 (0–1) 3.304.001.95 1.40 3.00

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.24 Newcastle – Brighton 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.703.60 1.49 2.45
05.10.24 Everton – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.20 1.67 2.20
28.09.24 Newcastle – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 5.254.331.60 1.50 2.63
21.09.24 Fulham – Newcastle 3–1 (2–0) 3.003.402.40 1.67 2.20
15.09.24 Wolves – Newcastle 1–2 (1–0) 3.403.502.10 1.57 2.38
01.09.24 Newcastle – Tottenham 2–1 (1–0) 2.504.002.50 1.36 3.20
25.08.24 Bournemouth – Newcastle 1–1 (1–0) 2.903.802.20 1.57 2.38
17.08.24 Newcastle – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.258.00 1.40 3.00
19.05.24 Brentford – Newcastle 2–4 (0–3) 2.903.902.20 1.36 3.20
15.05.24 Man United – Newcastle 3–2 (1–0) 2.754.002.30 1.33 3.40

Chelsea at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.10.24 Chelsea – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.506.50 1.57 2.38
28.09.24 Chelsea – Brighton 4–2 (4–2) 1.734.204.20 1.50 2.63
01.09.24 Chelsea – Crystal Palace 1–1 (1–0) 1.604.335.00 1.50 2.63
18.08.24 Chelsea – Man City 0–2 (0–1) 4.103.901.80 1.50 2.63
19.05.24 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–1 (1–0) 1.455.006.00 1.29 3.75
05.05.24 Chelsea – West Ham 5–0 (3–0) 1.654.504.50 1.40 3.00
02.05.24 Chelsea – Tottenham 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.803.00 1.30 3.50
15.04.24 Chelsea – Everton 6–0 (4–0) 1.704.204.50 1.53 2.50
04.04.24 Chelsea – Man United 4–3 (2–2) 2.004.003.40 1.40 3.00
30.03.24 Chelsea – Burnley 2–2 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.48 2.60

Newcastle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 Everton – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.20 1.67 2.20
21.09.24 Fulham – Newcastle 3–1 (2–0) 3.003.402.40 1.67 2.20
15.09.24 Wolves – Newcastle 1–2 (1–0) 3.403.502.10 1.57 2.38
25.08.24 Bournemouth – Newcastle 1–1 (1–0) 2.903.802.20 1.57 2.38
19.05.24 Brentford – Newcastle 2–4 (0–3) 2.903.902.20 1.36 3.20
15.05.24 Man United – Newcastle 3–2 (1–0) 2.754.002.30 1.33 3.40
04.05.24 Burnley – Newcastle 1–4 (0–3) 3.404.001.95 1.50 2.63
24.04.24 Crystal Palace – Newcastle 2–0 (0–0) 2.753.602.40 1.57 2.38
06.04.24 Fulham – Newcastle 0–1 (0–0) 2.383.802.80 1.50 2.63
11.03.24 Chelsea – Newcastle 3–2 (1–1) 1.914.003.60 1.44 2.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Chelsea winsDrawsNewcastle wins
6matches
2.83goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.03.24E0 Chelsea – Newcastle 3–2 (1–1) 1.914.003.60 1.44 2.70
25.11.23E0 Newcastle – Chelsea 4–1 (1–1) 2.553.502.63 1.86 2.04
28.05.23E0 Chelsea – Newcastle 1–1 (1–1) 2.903.502.38 1.73 2.10
12.11.22E0 Newcastle – Chelsea 1–0 (0–0) 2.353.403.00 1.98 1.92
13.03.22E0 Chelsea – Newcastle 1–0 (0–0) 1.305.2511.00 1.72 2.10
30.10.21E0 Newcastle – Chelsea 0–3 (0–0) 8.505.001.36 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 9 7 2 0 20 9 +11 23
2 Liverpool 8 7 0 1 15 3 +12 21
3 Aston Villa 9 5 3 1 16 11 +5 18
4 Arsenal 8 5 2 1 15 8 +7 17
5 Brighton 9 4 4 1 16 12 +4 16
6 Nott'm Forest 9 4 4 1 11 7 +4 16
7 Chelsea 8 4 2 2 17 10 +7 14
8 Tottenham 8 4 1 3 18 9 +9 13
9 Brentford 9 4 1 4 18 18 0 13
10 Fulham 9 3 3 3 12 12 0 12
11 Bournemouth 9 3 3 3 11 11 0 12
12 Newcastle 8 3 3 2 8 8 0 12
13 Man United 8 3 2 3 7 9 -2 11
14 Leicester 9 2 3 4 13 17 -4 9
15 Everton 9 2 3 4 10 16 -6 9
16 West Ham 8 2 2 4 11 15 -4 8
17 Ipswich 9 0 4 5 9 20 -11 4
18 Crystal Palace 8 0 3 5 5 11 -6 3
19 Wolves 9 0 2 7 12 25 -13 2
20 Southampton 9 0 1 8 6 19 -13 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Brentford 5 4 1 0 15 9 +6 13
2 Man City 5 4 1 0 12 6 +6 13
3 Arsenal 4 3 1 0 10 4 +6 10
4 Tottenham 4 3 0 1 11 3 +8 9
5 Liverpool 4 3 0 1 7 2 +5 9
6 Brighton 5 2 3 0 9 7 +2 9
7 Aston Villa 5 2 2 1 7 6 +1 8
8 Bournemouth 4 2 1 1 6 3 +3 7
9 Fulham 4 2 1 1 7 6 +1 7
10 Newcastle 4 2 1 1 4 3 +1 7
11 Man United 4 2 0 2 3 7 -4 6
12 Chelsea 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5
13 Nott'm Forest 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
14 Leicester 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5
15 Everton 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
16 West Ham 4 1 0 3 6 9 -3 3
17 Crystal Palace 4 0 2 2 2 5 -3 2
18 Ipswich 4 0 2 2 3 7 -4 2
19 Southampton 4 0 1 3 3 8 -5 1
20 Wolves 4 0 0 4 5 12 -7 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 4 4 0 0 8 1 +7 12
2 Nott'm Forest 5 3 2 0 8 4 +4 11
3 Man City 4 3 1 0 8 3 +5 10
4 Aston Villa 4 3 1 0 9 5 +4 10
5 Chelsea 4 3 0 1 11 4 +7 9
6 Brighton 4 2 1 1 7 5 +2 7
7 Arsenal 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
8 Man United 4 1 2 1 4 2 +2 5
9 Fulham 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
10 West Ham 4 1 2 1 5 6 -1 5
11 Newcastle 4 1 2 1 4 5 -1 5
12 Bournemouth 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
13 Tottenham 4 1 1 2 7 6 +1 4
14 Leicester 4 1 1 2 8 10 -2 4
15 Everton 4 1 1 2 5 8 -3 4
16 Wolves 5 0 2 3 7 13 -6 2
17 Ipswich 5 0 2 3 6 13 -7 2
18 Crystal Palace 4 0 1 3 3 6 -3 1
19 Brentford 4 0 0 4 3 9 -6 0
20 Southampton 5 0 0 5 3 11 -8 0

Chelsea   Newcastle

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Brentford 9 2 7 2.0 2.0 4 1 4 18 18 13
2 19 Wolves 9 2 7 1.3 2.8 0 2 7 12 25 2
3 1 Man City 9 3 6 2.2 1.0 7 2 0 20 9 23
4 3 Aston Villa 9 3 6 1.8 1.2 5 3 1 16 11 18
5 5 Brighton 9 3 6 1.8 1.3 4 4 1 16 12 16
6 8 Tottenham 8 2 6 2.2 1.1 4 1 3 18 9 13
7 14 Leicester 9 3 6 1.4 1.9 2 3 4 13 17 9
8 13 Man United 8 3 5 0.9 1.1 3 2 3 7 9 11
9 15 Everton 9 4 5 1.1 1.8 2 3 4 10 16 9
10 16 West Ham 8 3 5 1.4 1.9 2 2 4 11 15 8
11 20 Southampton 9 4 5 0.7 2.1 0 1 8 6 19 1
12 2 Liverpool 8 4 4 1.9 0.4 7 0 1 15 3 21
13 7 Chelsea 8 4 4 2.1 1.2 4 2 2 17 10 14
14 10 Fulham 9 5 4 1.3 1.3 3 3 3 12 12 12
15 17 Ipswich 9 5 4 1.0 2.2 0 4 5 9 20 4
16 4 Arsenal 8 5 3 1.9 1.0 5 2 1 15 8 17
17 11 Bournemouth 9 6 3 1.2 1.2 3 3 3 11 11 12
18 12 Newcastle 8 5 3 1.0 1.0 3 3 2 8 8 12
19 18 Crystal Palace 8 5 3 0.6 1.4 0 3 5 5 11 3
20 6 Nott'm Forest 9 7 2 1.2 0.8 4 4 1 11 7 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 5 1 4 2.4 1.2 4 1 0 12 6 13
2 5 Brighton 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 2 3 0 9 7 9
3 9 Brentford 5 1 4 3.0 1.8 4 1 0 15 9 13
4 16 West Ham 4 0 4 1.5 2.2 1 0 3 6 9 3
5 19 Wolves 4 0 4 1.2 3.0 0 0 4 5 12 0
6 8 Tottenham 4 1 3 2.8 0.8 3 0 1 11 3 9
7 10 Fulham 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 2 1 1 7 6 7
8 13 Man United 4 1 3 0.8 1.8 2 0 2 3 7 6
9 15 Everton 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
10 2 Liverpool 4 2 2 1.8 0.5 3 0 1 7 2 9
11 3 Aston Villa 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 2 2 1 7 6 8
12 4 Arsenal 4 2 2 2.5 1.0 3 1 0 10 4 10
13 14 Leicester 5 3 2 1.0 1.4 1 2 2 5 7 5
14 20 Southampton 4 2 2 0.8 2.0 0 1 3 3 8 1
15 7 Chelsea 4 3 1 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5
16 11 Bournemouth 4 3 1 1.5 0.8 2 1 1 6 3 7
17 12 Newcastle 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 2 1 1 4 3 7
18 17 Ipswich 4 3 1 0.8 1.8 0 2 2 3 7 2
19 18 Crystal Palace 4 3 1 0.5 1.2 0 2 2 2 5 2
20 6 Nott'm Forest 4 4 0 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Aston Villa 4 0 4 2.2 1.2 3 1 0 9 5 10
2 14 Leicester 4 0 4 2.0 2.5 1 1 2 8 10 4
3 7 Chelsea 4 1 3 2.8 1.0 3 0 1 11 4 9
4 8 Tottenham 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 1 1 2 7 6 4
5 9 Brentford 4 1 3 0.8 2.2 0 0 4 3 9 0
6 17 Ipswich 5 2 3 1.2 2.6 0 2 3 6 13 2
7 19 Wolves 5 2 3 1.4 2.6 0 2 3 7 13 2
8 20 Southampton 5 2 3 0.6 2.2 0 0 5 3 11 0
9 1 Man City 4 2 2 2.0 0.8 3 1 0 8 3 10
10 2 Liverpool 4 2 2 2.0 0.2 4 0 0 8 1 12
11 5 Brighton 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 2 1 1 7 5 7
12 6 Nott'm Forest 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 3 2 0 8 4 11
13 11 Bournemouth 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
14 12 Newcastle 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 1 4 5 5
15 13 Man United 4 2 2 1.0 0.5 1 2 1 4 2 5
16 15 Everton 4 2 2 1.2 2.0 1 1 2 5 8 4
17 18 Crystal Palace 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 0 1 3 3 6 1
18 4 Arsenal 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
19 10 Fulham 5 4 1 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
20 16 West Ham 4 3 1 1.2 1.5 1 2 1 5 6 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06