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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: T Robinson

Brentford 4–2 Brighton

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.40 fair 2.40
Draw 3.75 fair 4.44
Away 2.63 fair 2.80
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.97
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.51

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brentford Brighton
16 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 8
7 Fouls 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (320 league matches this season so far).
Result Brentford to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.49
Expected goals 1.78 – 1.64
Home / Draw / Away
BrentfordDrawBrighton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.6% 2–1 8.5% 1–2 7.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Brentford before this match, all matches
1.34points / match
1.63scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 52:48
Brighton before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.59scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 51:49
Brentford all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

1.63 Goals scored 1.59
1.50 Goals conceded 1.53
3.13 Total goals 3.13
11.34 Shots 13.91
4.66 Shots on target 4.84
17.56 Shots faced 11.06
4.53 Corners 4.81
6.66 Corners against 5.09
8.09 Fouls 11.75
1.41 Yellow cards 1.97
0.84 1st-half goals scored 0.69
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

38% Wins 38%
22% Draws 38%
41% Losses 25%
91% Over 0.5 goals 94%
84% Over 1.5 goals 88%
63% Over 2.5 goals 72%
38% Over 3.5 goals 41%
19% Over 4.5 goals 9%
9% Over 5.5 goals 6%
66% Both teams scored 69%
19% Clean sheets 22%
25% Failed to score 16%

How often Half Time

34% Wins 38%
41% Draws 31%
25% Losses 31%
75% Over 0.5 goals 84%
34% Over 1.5 goals 38%
25% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brentford all matches
Brighton all matches
Brentford before this match, at home
1.56points / match
1.88scored / match
1.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 30:27
Brighton before this match, away
1.44points / match
1.75scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 28:28
Brentford at home away Brighton

Per match

1.88 Goals scored 1.75
1.69 Goals conceded 1.75
3.56 Total goals 3.50
12.94 Shots 12.56
5.31 Shots on target 5.06
16.19 Shots faced 12.00
5.13 Corners 4.69
5.56 Corners against 5.50
7.19 Fouls 11.63
1.50 Yellow cards 2.06
1.06 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

44% Wins 38%
25% Draws 31%
31% Losses 31%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 94%
56% Over 2.5 goals 75%
50% Over 3.5 goals 50%
31% Over 4.5 goals 13%
19% Over 5.5 goals 13%
69% Both teams scored 69%
6% Clean sheets 25%
31% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 38%
50% Draws 31%
13% Losses 31%
75% Over 0.5 goals 88%
38% Over 1.5 goals 38%
25% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brentford at home
Brighton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brentford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.25 Arsenal – Brentford 1–1 (0–0) 1.604.335.00 1.73 2.10
06.04.25 Brentford – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.53 2.50
02.04.25 Newcastle – Brentford 2–1 (1–0) 1.734.504.00 1.44 2.75
15.03.25 Bournemouth – Brentford 1–2 (1–1) 1.734.204.20 1.44 2.75
08.03.25 Brentford – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.802.90 1.53 2.50
26.02.25 Brentford – Everton 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.703.50 1.87 2.03
21.02.25 Leicester – Brentford 0–4 (0–3) 3.603.801.91 1.57 2.38
15.02.25 West Ham – Brentford 0–1 (0–1) 2.353.602.88 1.62 2.30
02.02.25 Brentford – Tottenham 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.903.20 1.33 3.40
26.01.25 Crystal Palace – Brentford 1–2 (0–0) 2.053.753.30 1.73 2.10

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.25 Brighton – Leicester 2–2 (1–1) 1.296.0010.00 1.62 2.30
05.04.25 Crystal Palace – Brighton 2–1 (1–1) 2.353.602.80 1.80 2.00
02.04.25 Brighton – Aston Villa 0–3 (0–0) 2.053.803.25 1.62 2.30
15.03.25 Man City – Brighton 2–2 (2–1) 1.674.334.50 1.44 2.75
08.03.25 Brighton – Fulham 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.603.75 1.73 2.10
25.02.25 Brighton – Bournemouth 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.803.30 1.62 2.30
22.02.25 Southampton – Brighton 0–4 (0–1) 6.004.101.55 1.57 2.38
14.02.25 Brighton – Chelsea 3–0 (2–0) 2.703.602.45 1.57 2.38
01.02.25 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 7–0 (3–0) 2.383.502.80 1.95 1.95
25.01.25 Brighton – Everton 0–1 (0–1) 1.673.755.50 1.89 1.89

Brentford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.25 Brentford – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.53 2.50
08.03.25 Brentford – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.802.90 1.53 2.50
26.02.25 Brentford – Everton 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.703.50 1.87 2.03
02.02.25 Brentford – Tottenham 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.903.20 1.33 3.40
18.01.25 Brentford – Liverpool 0–2 (0–0) 6.505.001.42 1.36 3.20
14.01.25 Brentford – Man City 2–2 (0–0) 4.754.201.62 1.40 3.00
01.01.25 Brentford – Arsenal 1–3 (1–1) 6.504.751.44 1.53 2.50
21.12.24 Brentford – Nott'm Forest 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.602.90 1.73 2.10
07.12.24 Brentford – Newcastle 4–2 (2–2) 2.883.752.30 1.57 2.38
30.11.24 Brentford – Leicester 4–1 (3–1) 1.654.204.75 1.57 2.38

Brighton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.04.25 Crystal Palace – Brighton 2–1 (1–1) 2.353.602.80 1.80 2.00
15.03.25 Man City – Brighton 2–2 (2–1) 1.674.334.50 1.44 2.75
22.02.25 Southampton – Brighton 0–4 (0–1) 6.004.101.55 1.57 2.38
01.02.25 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 7–0 (3–0) 2.383.502.80 1.95 1.95
19.01.25 Man United – Brighton 1–3 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 1.67 2.20
16.01.25 Ipswich – Brighton 0–2 (0–0) 3.903.701.91 1.73 2.10
30.12.24 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 1.903.803.60 1.57 2.38
21.12.24 West Ham – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 2.883.702.35 1.50 2.63
08.12.24 Leicester – Brighton 2–2 (0–1) 4.503.801.73 1.57 2.38
05.12.24 Fulham – Brighton 3–1 (1–0) 2.353.602.88 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Brentford winsDrawsBrighton wins
7matches
2.00goals / match
29%over 2.5
29%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.12.24E0 Brighton – Brentford 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.334.75 1.44 2.75
03.04.24E0 Brentford – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.802.75 1.57 2.38
06.12.23E0 Brighton – Brentford 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.803.75 1.62 2.25
01.04.23E0 Brighton – Brentford 3–3 (2–2) 1.674.005.00 1.73 2.10
14.10.22E0 Brentford – Brighton 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.402.30 1.97 1.93
26.12.21E0 Brighton – Brentford 2–0 (2–0) 1.903.404.20 2.20 1.66
11.09.21E0 Brentford – Brighton 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.202.62 2.50 1.53

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 32 23 7 2 74 31 +43 76 WWWWLW
2 Arsenal 32 17 12 3 57 27 +30 63 DDWWDD
3 Newcastle 32 18 5 9 61 40 +21 59 LWWWWW
4 Nott'm Forest 32 17 6 9 51 38 +13 57 DWWWLL
5 Man City 32 16 7 9 62 42 +20 55 WLDWDW
6 Chelsea 32 15 9 8 56 39 +17 54 WWLWDD
7 Aston Villa 32 15 9 8 49 46 +3 54 WLWWWW
8 Bournemouth 32 13 9 10 52 40 +12 48 LDLLDW
9 Fulham 32 13 9 10 47 43 +4 48 WLWLWL
10 Brighton 32 12 12 8 51 49 +2 48 WWDLLD
11 Brentford 32 12 7 13 52 48 +4 43 DLWLDD
12 Crystal Palace 32 11 10 11 41 45 -4 43 WWDWLL
13 Everton 32 8 14 10 34 38 -4 38 DDDLDW
14 Man United 32 10 8 14 38 45 -7 38 WDWLDL
15 Tottenham 32 11 4 17 60 49 +11 37 LDLLWL
16 Wolves 32 10 5 17 47 61 -14 35 LDWWWW
17 West Ham 32 9 8 15 36 54 -18 35 WLDLDL
18 Ipswich 32 4 9 19 33 67 -34 21 LLLWLD
19 Leicester 32 4 6 22 27 72 -45 18 LLLLLD
20 Southampton 32 2 4 26 23 77 -54 10 LLLDLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 16 13 2 1 34 12 +22 41 WWWWWW
2 Arsenal 16 10 5 1 31 13 +18 35 DWLWWD
3 Man City 16 10 3 3 37 21 +16 33 WWLDWW
4 Newcastle 16 10 2 4 35 19 +16 32 LLWWWW
5 Chelsea 16 9 5 2 30 17 +13 32 WWWWWD
6 Nott'm Forest 16 9 4 3 24 11 +13 31 WWDWWL
7 Aston Villa 16 8 7 1 27 19 +8 31 WDDDWW
8 Fulham 16 7 5 4 25 23 +2 26 DLWLWW
9 Brentford 16 7 4 5 30 27 +3 25 DLLDLD
10 Brighton 16 6 7 3 23 21 +2 25 LWWWLD
11 Bournemouth 16 7 3 6 20 14 +6 24 WLLLLW
12 Tottenham 16 6 3 7 33 27 +6 21 LLWLDW
13 Man United 16 6 3 7 21 25 -4 21 WLLWDD
14 Everton 16 4 8 4 22 19 +3 20 WWDDDD
15 Crystal Palace 16 5 5 6 19 23 -4 20 DLLWWW
16 West Ham 16 5 3 8 20 30 -10 18 WLLWLD
17 Wolves 16 5 2 9 23 29 -6 17 LWLDWW
18 Leicester 16 2 3 11 11 33 -22 9 LLLLLL
19 Ipswich 16 1 4 11 13 36 -23 7 LLLLLL
20 Southampton 16 1 2 13 11 43 -32 5 LLLLDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 16 10 5 1 40 19 +21 35 WWDDWL
2 Arsenal 16 7 7 2 26 14 +12 28 DWWDDD
3 Newcastle 16 8 3 5 26 21 +5 27 WWLLWW
4 Nott'm Forest 16 8 2 6 27 27 0 26 WLLLWL
5 Bournemouth 16 6 6 4 32 26 +6 24 DWWLDD
6 Brighton 16 6 5 5 28 28 0 23 WWLWDL
7 Crystal Palace 16 6 5 5 22 22 0 23 WWWDLL
8 Aston Villa 16 7 2 7 22 27 -5 23 DLLWWW
9 Chelsea 16 6 4 6 26 22 +4 22 DLLLLD
10 Man City 16 6 4 6 25 21 +4 22 DWLWLD
11 Fulham 16 6 4 6 22 20 +2 22 WWWLLL
12 Brentford 16 5 3 8 22 21 +1 18 WWWWLD
13 Everton 16 4 6 6 12 19 -7 18 WWDDLW
14 Wolves 16 5 3 8 24 32 -8 18 LLLWWW
15 Man United 16 4 5 7 17 20 -3 17 WLDWLL
16 West Ham 16 4 5 7 16 24 -8 17 DLWDLL
17 Tottenham 16 5 1 10 27 22 +5 16 LWWLLL
18 Ipswich 16 3 5 8 20 31 -11 14 LDLLWD
19 Leicester 16 2 3 11 16 39 -23 9 WLLLLD
20 Southampton 16 1 2 13 12 34 -22 5 LLWLLL

Brentford   Brighton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 10 Brighton 32 9 23 1.6 1.5 12 12 8 51 49 48 OOOOOO
2 16 Wolves 32 9 23 1.5 1.9 10 5 17 47 61 35 OUOUOO
3 7 Aston Villa 32 10 22 1.5 1.4 15 9 8 49 46 54 OOUOOO
4 3 Newcastle 32 11 21 1.9 1.2 18 5 9 61 40 59 UUOOOO
5 5 Man City 32 11 21 1.9 1.3 16 7 9 62 42 55 UUOUUO
6 15 Tottenham 32 11 21 1.9 1.5 11 4 17 60 49 37 UOUUOO
7 19 Leicester 32 11 21 0.8 2.2 4 6 22 27 72 18 UUOUOO
8 20 Southampton 32 11 21 0.7 2.4 2 4 26 23 77 10 OOOUOO
9 1 Liverpool 32 12 20 2.3 1.0 23 7 2 74 31 76 UUOUOO
10 11 Brentford 32 12 20 1.6 1.5 12 7 13 52 48 43 UUOOUU
11 6 Chelsea 32 13 19 1.8 1.2 15 9 8 56 39 54 OUUUUO
12 8 Bournemouth 32 13 19 1.6 1.2 13 9 10 52 40 48 OOOOOU
13 9 Fulham 32 14 18 1.5 1.3 13 9 10 47 43 48 OOUOOU
14 14 Man United 32 14 18 1.2 1.4 10 8 14 38 45 38 OUOUUO
15 18 Ipswich 32 14 18 1.0 2.1 4 9 19 33 67 21 OUOOOO
16 4 Nott'm Forest 32 16 16 1.6 1.2 17 6 9 51 38 57 UUOUOU
17 17 West Ham 32 16 16 1.1 1.7 9 8 15 36 54 35 UUUUOO
18 12 Crystal Palace 32 17 15 1.3 1.4 11 10 11 41 45 43 OUUOOO
19 2 Arsenal 32 20 12 1.8 0.8 17 12 3 57 27 63 UUUOUU
20 13 Everton 32 20 12 1.1 1.2 8 14 10 34 38 38 UUUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Man City 16 4 12 2.3 1.3 10 3 3 37 21 33 OOUOUO
2 15 Tottenham 16 4 12 2.1 1.7 6 3 7 33 27 21 OOUUOO
3 3 Newcastle 16 5 11 2.2 1.2 10 2 4 35 19 32 OOOOOO
4 10 Brighton 16 5 11 1.4 1.3 6 7 3 23 21 25 UOOOOO
5 20 Southampton 16 5 11 0.7 2.7 1 2 13 11 43 5 OOOOUO
6 1 Liverpool 16 6 10 2.1 0.8 13 2 1 34 12 41 OOUOUO
7 6 Chelsea 16 6 10 1.9 1.1 9 5 2 30 17 32 OOOUUO
8 7 Aston Villa 16 6 10 1.7 1.2 8 7 1 27 19 31 OUUOOO
9 9 Fulham 16 6 10 1.6 1.4 7 5 4 25 23 26 OUOUUO
10 14 Man United 16 6 10 1.3 1.6 6 3 7 21 25 21 OOUOUU
11 16 Wolves 16 6 10 1.4 1.8 5 2 9 23 29 17 UUOUUO
12 17 West Ham 16 6 10 1.2 1.9 5 3 8 20 30 18 OUUUUO
13 11 Brentford 16 7 9 1.9 1.7 7 4 5 30 27 25 OUUUUU
14 19 Leicester 16 7 9 0.7 2.1 2 3 11 11 33 9 UUUOOO
15 2 Arsenal 16 8 8 1.9 0.8 10 5 1 31 13 35 OOUUOU
16 12 Crystal Palace 16 8 8 1.2 1.4 5 5 6 19 23 20 UOOOUO
17 13 Everton 16 8 8 1.4 1.2 4 8 4 22 19 20 OOOOUU
18 18 Ipswich 16 8 8 0.8 2.2 1 4 11 13 36 7 UOOOOO
19 8 Bournemouth 16 10 6 1.2 0.9 7 3 6 20 14 24 OUUOOU
20 4 Nott'm Forest 16 11 5 1.5 0.7 9 4 3 24 11 31 OOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 8 Bournemouth 16 3 13 2.0 1.6 6 6 4 32 26 24 OOOOOO
2 16 Wolves 16 3 13 1.5 2.0 5 3 8 24 32 18 OOOUOO
3 7 Aston Villa 16 4 12 1.4 1.7 7 2 7 22 27 23 OUOUOO
4 10 Brighton 16 4 12 1.8 1.8 6 5 5 28 28 23 UOOOOO
5 19 Leicester 16 4 12 1.0 2.4 2 3 11 16 39 9 OOUUUO
6 4 Nott'm Forest 16 5 11 1.7 1.7 8 2 6 27 27 26 OOOOOO
7 11 Brentford 16 5 11 1.4 1.3 5 3 8 22 21 18 OUOOOU
8 1 Liverpool 16 6 10 2.5 1.2 10 5 1 40 19 35 UUOOUO
9 3 Newcastle 16 6 10 1.6 1.3 8 3 5 26 21 27 OOOUUO
10 18 Ipswich 16 6 10 1.2 1.9 3 5 8 20 31 14 OUOUOO
11 20 Southampton 16 6 10 0.8 2.1 1 2 13 12 34 5 OOOOOO
12 5 Man City 16 7 9 1.6 1.3 6 4 6 25 21 22 OOOUUU
13 6 Chelsea 16 7 9 1.6 1.4 6 4 6 26 22 22 UOOOUU
14 15 Tottenham 16 7 9 1.7 1.4 5 1 10 27 22 16 OUOUUO
15 9 Fulham 16 8 8 1.4 1.2 6 4 6 22 20 22 UOOOOU
16 14 Man United 16 8 8 1.1 1.2 4 5 7 17 20 17 UUOOUO
17 12 Crystal Palace 16 9 7 1.4 1.4 6 5 5 22 22 23 UUUUOO
18 17 West Ham 16 10 6 1.0 1.5 4 5 7 16 24 17 UOUUUO
19 2 Arsenal 16 12 4 1.6 0.9 7 7 2 26 14 28 UUUUUU
20 13 Everton 16 12 4 0.8 1.2 4 6 6 12 19 18 UOUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11