Morecambe 0–2 Carlisle – England League Two, 12 Apr 2025

Match facts

Morecambe Carlisle

12 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 3

6 Corners 6

15 Fouls 22

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (495 league matches this season so far).

Result Morecambe to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.92

Expected goals 1.36 – 1.03

Home / Draw / Away

44% 27% 28%

MorecambeDrawCarlisle

Under / Over 2.5 goals

57% 43%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

52% 48%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

9% 0

22% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

10% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.8% 1–0 12.4% 0–1 9.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Morecambe before this match, all matches

0.88points / match

0.90scored / match

1.46conceded / match

10 6 25

WonDrawnLost 41 played · 37:60

Carlisle before this match, all matches

0.83points / match

0.83scored / match

1.54conceded / match

8 10 23

WonDrawnLost 41 played · 34:63

Morecambe all matches all matches Carlisle

Per match

0.90 Goals scored 0.83

1.46 Goals conceded 1.54

2.37 Total goals 2.37

10.39 Shots 11.49

3.20 Shots on target 3.68

13.46 Shots faced 12.90

4.73 Corners 5.20

5.61 Corners against 5.12

12.29 Fouls 10.80

1.80 Yellow cards 2.63

0.39 1st-half goals scored 0.44

0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.73

How often Full Time

24% Wins 20%

15% Draws 24%

61% Losses 56%

100% Over 0.5 goals 88%

59% Over 1.5 goals 63%

37% Over 2.5 goals 46%

22% Over 3.5 goals 22%

10% Over 4.5 goals 15%

7% Over 5.5 goals 2%

37% Both teams scored 49%

17% Clean sheets 22%

46% Failed to score 41%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 20%

49% Draws 41%

32% Losses 39%

63% Over 0.5 goals 71%

27% Over 1.5 goals 29%

5% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Morecambe all matches

1

L

2

L

1

L

1

W

1

2

L

2

D

1

L

1

W

2

W

1

3

L

Carlisle all matches

D

1

W

1

D

1

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

2

D

3

L

1

2

L

3

2

W

Morecambe before this match, at home

1.10points / match

1.10scored / match

1.45conceded / match

6 4 10

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 22:29

Carlisle before this match, away

0.75points / match

0.70scored / match

1.60conceded / match

4 3 13

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 14:32

Morecambe at home away Carlisle

Per match

1.10 Goals scored 0.70

1.45 Goals conceded 1.60

2.55 Total goals 2.30

12.20 Shots 10.50

3.65 Shots on target 3.35

12.70 Shots faced 15.15

5.00 Corners 4.55

5.20 Corners against 6.15

11.50 Fouls 11.00

1.40 Yellow cards 2.80

0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.25

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

30% Wins 20%

20% Draws 15%

50% Losses 65%

100% Over 0.5 goals 90%

65% Over 1.5 goals 60%

30% Over 2.5 goals 50%

25% Over 3.5 goals 20%

15% Over 4.5 goals 10%

15% Over 5.5 goals 0%

35% Both teams scored 40%

25% Clean sheets 25%

40% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 20%

50% Draws 40%

25% Losses 40%

65% Over 0.5 goals 65%

30% Over 1.5 goals 15%

5% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Morecambe at home

2

W

1

L

4

2

W

2

W

1

L

2

L

1

W

2

D

1

W

2

W

Carlisle away

2

3

L

1

L

2

1

W

1

L

1

2

L

1

L

1

W

1

L

3

L

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Morecambe all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.04.25	Grimsby – Morecambe	3–1 (1–1)	1.65	3.80	5.00	2.00	1.85
01.04.25	Morecambe – Cheltenham	2–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.30	2.90	2.00	1.85
29.03.25	Morecambe – Swindon	1–0 (1–0)	3.30	3.40	2.15	1.95	1.90
22.03.25	Port Vale – Morecambe	1–0 (0–0)	1.55	4.20	5.25	2.08	1.73
15.03.25	Morecambe – Barrow	2–2 (2–0)	3.10	3.10	2.38	2.35	1.57
08.03.25	Milton Keynes Dons – Morecambe	2–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.50	3.80	1.93	1.93
04.03.25	Morecambe – AFC Wimbledon	1–0 (1–0)	3.40	3.20	2.15	2.15	1.67
01.03.25	Gillingham – Morecambe	1–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	3.70	2.15	1.67
22.02.25	Morecambe – Walsall	0–2 (0–0)	4.20	3.90	1.73	1.98	1.88
18.02.25	Morecambe – Doncaster	0–1 (0–1)	3.70	3.60	1.90	1.98	1.88

Carlisle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.04.25	Carlisle – Newport County	3–2 (1–2)	1.70	4.00	4.20	1.85	2.00
01.04.25	Chesterfield – Carlisle	2–1 (0–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	1.90	1.95
29.03.25	Doncaster – Carlisle	3–0 (1–0)	1.55	4.00	6.25	1.93	1.93
25.03.25	Carlisle – Milton Keynes Dons	2–2 (2–2)	2.38	3.30	2.88	2.00	1.85
22.03.25	Carlisle – Bromley	2–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.50	2.90	2.05	1.75
15.03.25	Carlisle – AFC Wimbledon	1–2 (0–1)	3.00	3.10	2.38	2.60	1.48
08.03.25	Harrogate – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.25	2.45	2.25	1.62
04.03.25	Carlisle – Walsall	1–1 (1–1)	3.30	3.40	2.10	2.10	1.70
27.02.25	Barrow – Carlisle	0–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.40	3.75	2.15	1.67
22.02.25	Carlisle – Gillingham	0–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.20	2.90	2.35	1.57

Morecambe at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.04.25	Morecambe – Cheltenham	2–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.30	2.90	2.00	1.85
29.03.25	Morecambe – Swindon	1–0 (1–0)	3.30	3.40	2.15	1.95	1.90
15.03.25	Morecambe – Barrow	2–2 (2–0)	3.10	3.10	2.38	2.35	1.57
04.03.25	Morecambe – AFC Wimbledon	1–0 (1–0)	3.40	3.20	2.15	2.15	1.67
22.02.25	Morecambe – Walsall	0–2 (0–0)	4.20	3.90	1.73	1.98	1.88
18.02.25	Morecambe – Doncaster	0–1 (0–1)	3.70	3.60	1.90	1.98	1.88
15.02.25	Morecambe – Accrington	2–0 (0–0)	2.35	3.30	2.90	2.05	1.80
01.02.25	Morecambe – Fleetwood Town	4–2 (1–1)	3.20	3.30	2.20	2.08	1.73
18.01.25	Morecambe – Crewe	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.25	2.20	2.10	1.70
01.01.25	Morecambe – Tranmere	2–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.40	2.35	2.10	1.70

Carlisle away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.04.25	Chesterfield – Carlisle	2–1 (0–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	1.90	1.95
29.03.25	Doncaster – Carlisle	3–0 (1–0)	1.55	4.00	6.25	1.93	1.93
08.03.25	Harrogate – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.25	2.45	2.25	1.62
27.02.25	Barrow – Carlisle	0–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.40	3.75	2.15	1.67
11.02.25	Newport County – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.40	2.50	1.98	1.88
08.02.25	Grimsby – Carlisle	2–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.00	1.85
28.01.25	Notts County – Carlisle	1–0 (1–0)	1.57	4.33	5.00	1.60	2.30
25.01.25	Fleetwood Town – Carlisle	1–2 (0–1)	1.80	3.60	4.10	2.03	1.83
04.01.25	Tranmere – Carlisle	1–0 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.25	2.03	1.83
01.01.25	Crewe – Carlisle	3–2 (1–1)	1.90	3.60	3.75	2.15	1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Morecambe winsDrawsCarlisle wins

1matches

1.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.24E3	Carlisle – Morecambe	0–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.10	1.93	1.93

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	42	21	10	11	58	39	+19	73
2	Port Vale	41	20	13	8	54	40	+14	73
3	Walsall	41	20	12	9	72	49	+23	72
4	Doncaster	41	20	11	10	62	47	+15	71
5	AFC Wimbledon	42	19	12	11	55	32	+23	69
6	Notts County	42	19	11	12	62	43	+19	68
7	Grimsby	41	20	5	16	57	58	-1	65
8	Colchester	41	15	17	9	49	40	+9	62
9	Salford	41	16	13	12	53	47	+6	61
10	Crewe	42	15	16	11	49	44	+5	61
11	Chesterfield	41	16	11	14	62	50	+12	59
12	Swindon	42	14	15	13	66	61	+5	57
13	Bromley	41	14	14	13	56	51	+5	56
14	Fleetwood Town	41	14	14	13	57	53	+4	56
15	Cheltenham	42	14	11	17	54	63	-9	53
16	Barrow	41	14	10	17	47	47	0	52
17	Gillingham	41	11	14	16	36	44	-8	47
18	Newport County	41	13	8	20	51	68	-17	47
19	Milton Keynes Dons	41	13	7	21	51	65	-14	46
20	Harrogate	41	12	9	20	33	52	-19	45
21	Tranmere	41	10	13	18	36	58	-22	43
22	Accrington	41	10	12	19	46	63	-17	42
23	Morecambe	41	10	6	25	37	60	-23	36
24	Carlisle	41	8	10	23	34	63	-29	34

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	21	16	3	2	37	12	+25	51
2	AFC Wimbledon	21	13	4	4	35	14	+21	43
3	Walsall	21	12	5	4	44	29	+15	41
4	Port Vale	20	11	6	3	27	15	+12	39
5	Doncaster	21	10	7	4	33	22	+11	37
6	Colchester	21	10	6	5	28	15	+13	36
7	Notts County	21	10	5	6	29	17	+12	35
8	Swindon	21	9	7	5	39	32	+7	34
9	Newport County	20	10	4	6	31	26	+5	34
10	Chesterfield	20	8	9	3	31	23	+8	33
11	Crewe	21	9	6	6	30	25	+5	33
12	Grimsby	21	10	3	8	30	30	0	33
13	Barrow	20	9	5	6	29	19	+10	32
14	Cheltenham	21	9	5	7	28	28	0	32
15	Salford	20	9	4	7	26	24	+2	31
16	Tranmere	21	7	9	5	22	19	+3	30
17	Harrogate	20	9	3	8	20	25	-5	30
18	Fleetwood Town	21	6	11	4	22	21	+1	29
19	Bromley	21	7	7	7	31	26	+5	28
20	Gillingham	20	8	4	8	21	19	+2	28
21	Milton Keynes Dons	21	8	4	9	25	25	0	28
22	Accrington	20	5	9	6	25	26	-1	24
23	Morecambe	20	6	4	10	22	29	-7	22
24	Carlisle	21	4	7	10	20	31	-11	19

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Doncaster	20	10	4	6	29	25	+4	34
2	Port Vale	21	9	7	5	27	25	+2	34
3	Notts County	21	9	6	6	33	26	+7	33
4	Grimsby	20	10	2	8	27	28	-1	32
5	Walsall	20	8	7	5	28	20	+8	31
6	Salford	21	7	9	5	27	23	+4	30
7	Bromley	20	7	7	6	25	25	0	28
8	Crewe	21	6	10	5	19	19	0	28
9	Fleetwood Town	20	8	3	9	35	32	+3	27
10	Chesterfield	21	8	2	11	31	27	+4	26
11	AFC Wimbledon	21	6	8	7	20	18	+2	26
12	Colchester	20	5	11	4	21	25	-4	26
13	Swindon	21	5	8	8	27	29	-2	23
14	Bradford	21	5	7	9	21	27	-6	22
15	Cheltenham	21	5	6	10	26	35	-9	21
16	Barrow	21	5	5	11	18	28	-10	20
17	Gillingham	21	3	10	8	15	25	-10	19
18	Milton Keynes Dons	20	5	3	12	26	40	-14	18
19	Accrington	21	5	3	13	21	37	-16	18
20	Harrogate	21	3	6	12	13	27	-14	15
21	Carlisle	20	4	3	13	14	32	-18	15
22	Morecambe	21	4	2	15	15	31	-16	14
23	Newport County	21	3	4	14	20	42	-22	13
24	Tranmere	20	3	4	13	14	39	-25	13

Morecambe Carlisle

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Newport County	41	16	25	1.2	1.7	13	8	20	51	68	47
2	7	Grimsby	41	17	24	1.4	1.4	20	5	16	57	58	65
3	12	Swindon	42	18	24	1.6	1.5	14	15	13	66	61	57
4	11	Chesterfield	41	18	23	1.5	1.2	16	11	14	62	50	59
5	19	Milton Keynes Dons	41	18	23	1.2	1.6	13	7	21	51	65	46
6	3	Walsall	41	19	22	1.8	1.2	20	12	9	72	49	72
7	22	Accrington	41	19	22	1.1	1.5	10	12	19	46	63	42
8	4	Doncaster	41	20	21	1.5	1.1	20	11	10	62	47	71
9	15	Cheltenham	42	21	21	1.3	1.5	14	11	17	54	63	53
10	14	Fleetwood Town	41	21	20	1.4	1.3	14	14	13	57	53	56
11	1	Bradford	42	23	19	1.4	0.9	21	10	11	58	39	73
12	24	Carlisle	41	22	19	0.8	1.5	8	10	23	34	63	34
13	6	Notts County	42	24	18	1.5	1.0	19	11	12	62	43	68
14	9	Salford	41	23	18	1.3	1.1	16	13	12	53	47	61
15	13	Bromley	41	23	18	1.4	1.2	14	14	13	56	51	56
16	2	Port Vale	41	24	17	1.3	1.0	20	13	8	54	40	73
17	21	Tranmere	41	24	17	0.9	1.4	10	13	18	36	58	43
18	16	Barrow	41	25	16	1.1	1.1	14	10	17	47	47	52
19	5	AFC Wimbledon	42	27	15	1.3	0.8	19	12	11	55	32	69
20	23	Morecambe	41	26	15	0.9	1.5	10	6	25	37	60	36
21	8	Colchester	41	27	14	1.2	1.0	15	17	9	49	40	62
22	10	Crewe	42	28	14	1.2	1.0	15	16	11	49	44	61
23	20	Harrogate	41	27	14	0.8	1.3	12	9	20	33	52	45
24	17	Gillingham	41	28	13	0.9	1.1	11	14	16	36	44	47

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Swindon	21	7	14	1.9	1.5	9	7	5	39	32	34
2	3	Walsall	21	8	13	2.1	1.4	12	5	4	44	29	41
3	18	Newport County	20	7	13	1.6	1.3	10	4	6	31	26	34
4	4	Doncaster	21	9	12	1.6	1.0	10	7	4	33	22	37
5	7	Grimsby	21	9	12	1.4	1.4	10	3	8	30	30	33
6	1	Bradford	21	10	11	1.8	0.6	16	3	2	37	12	51
7	11	Chesterfield	20	9	11	1.6	1.1	8	9	3	31	23	33
8	19	Milton Keynes Dons	21	11	10	1.2	1.2	8	4	9	25	25	28
9	22	Accrington	20	10	10	1.2	1.3	5	9	6	25	26	24
10	5	AFC Wimbledon	21	12	9	1.7	0.7	13	4	4	35	14	43
11	6	Notts County	21	12	9	1.4	0.8	10	5	6	29	17	35
12	9	Salford	20	11	9	1.3	1.2	9	4	7	26	24	31
13	10	Crewe	21	12	9	1.4	1.2	9	6	6	30	25	33
14	13	Bromley	21	12	9	1.5	1.2	7	7	7	31	26	28
15	24	Carlisle	21	12	9	1.0	1.5	4	7	10	20	31	19
16	2	Port Vale	20	12	8	1.4	0.8	11	6	3	27	15	39
17	8	Colchester	21	13	8	1.3	0.7	10	6	5	28	15	36
18	15	Cheltenham	21	13	8	1.3	1.3	9	5	7	28	28	32
19	16	Barrow	20	12	8	1.4	0.9	9	5	6	29	19	32
20	17	Gillingham	20	12	8	1.1	0.9	8	4	8	21	19	28
21	14	Fleetwood Town	21	14	7	1.0	1.0	6	11	4	22	21	29
22	20	Harrogate	20	13	7	1.0	1.2	9	3	8	20	25	30
23	21	Tranmere	21	15	6	1.0	0.9	7	9	5	22	19	30
24	23	Morecambe	20	14	6	1.1	1.4	6	4	10	22	29	22

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	14	Fleetwood Town	20	7	13	1.8	1.6	8	3	9	35	32	27
2	15	Cheltenham	21	8	13	1.2	1.7	5	6	10	26	35	21
3	19	Milton Keynes Dons	20	7	13	1.3	2.0	5	3	12	26	40	18
4	7	Grimsby	20	8	12	1.4	1.4	10	2	8	27	28	32
5	11	Chesterfield	21	9	12	1.5	1.3	8	2	11	31	27	26
6	18	Newport County	21	9	12	1.0	2.0	3	4	14	20	42	13
7	22	Accrington	21	9	12	1.0	1.8	5	3	13	21	37	18
8	21	Tranmere	20	9	11	0.7	1.9	3	4	13	14	39	13
9	12	Swindon	21	11	10	1.3	1.4	5	8	8	27	29	23
10	24	Carlisle	20	10	10	0.7	1.6	4	3	13	14	32	15
11	2	Port Vale	21	12	9	1.3	1.2	9	7	5	27	25	34
12	3	Walsall	20	11	9	1.4	1.0	8	7	5	28	20	31
13	4	Doncaster	20	11	9	1.4	1.2	10	4	6	29	25	34
14	6	Notts County	21	12	9	1.6	1.2	9	6	6	33	26	33
15	9	Salford	21	12	9	1.3	1.1	7	9	5	27	23	30
16	13	Bromley	20	11	9	1.2	1.2	7	7	6	25	25	28
17	23	Morecambe	21	12	9	0.7	1.5	4	2	15	15	31	14
18	1	Bradford	21	13	8	1.0	1.3	5	7	9	21	27	22
19	16	Barrow	21	13	8	0.9	1.3	5	5	11	18	28	20
20	20	Harrogate	21	14	7	0.6	1.3	3	6	12	13	27	15
21	5	AFC Wimbledon	21	15	6	1.0	0.9	6	8	7	20	18	26
22	8	Colchester	20	14	6	1.1	1.2	5	11	4	21	25	26
23	10	Crewe	21	16	5	0.9	0.9	6	10	5	19	19	28
24	17	Gillingham	21	16	5	0.7	1.2	3	10	8	15	25	19

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.