Morecambe 1–0 Swindon – England League Two, 29 Mar 2025

Match facts

Morecambe Swindon

10 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 3

3 Corners 2

10 Fouls 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (458 league matches this season so far).

Result Swindon to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.80

Expected goals 1.29 – 1.45

Home / Draw / Away

34% 26% 41%

MorecambeDrawSwindon

Under / Over 2.5 goals

48% 52%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

44% 56%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

18% 1

24% 2

22% 3

15% 4

14% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.1% 0–1 9.3% 1–2 8.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Morecambe before this match, all matches

0.79points / match

0.87scored / match

1.50conceded / match

8 6 24

WonDrawnLost 38 played · 33:57

Swindon before this match, all matches

1.26points / match

1.45scored / match

1.45conceded / match

11 15 12

WonDrawnLost 38 played · 55:55

Morecambe all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

0.87 Goals scored 1.45

1.50 Goals conceded 1.45

2.37 Total goals 2.89

10.39 Shots 12.29

3.13 Shots on target 3.39

13.74 Shots faced 11.16

4.66 Corners 5.13

5.71 Corners against 5.16

12.26 Fouls 10.11

1.82 Yellow cards 1.89

0.37 1st-half goals scored 0.61

0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.79

How often Full Time

21% Wins 29%

16% Draws 39%

63% Losses 32%

100% Over 0.5 goals 89%

58% Over 1.5 goals 79%

37% Over 2.5 goals 55%

21% Over 3.5 goals 42%

11% Over 4.5 goals 16%

8% Over 5.5 goals 8%

37% Both teams scored 63%

13% Clean sheets 21%

50% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 18%

47% Draws 45%

34% Losses 37%

63% Over 0.5 goals 74%

26% Over 1.5 goals 45%

5% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Morecambe all matches

1

2

L

2

L

2

W

1

L

2

L

1

L

1

W

1

2

L

2

D

1

L

Swindon all matches

3

1

W

5

1

W

3

D

1

L

1

W

1

W

2

D

2

D

3

D

Morecambe before this match, at home

0.89points / match

1.06scored / match

1.61conceded / match

4 4 10

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 19:29

Swindon before this match, away

1.05points / match

1.21scored / match

1.47conceded / match

4 8 7

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 23:28

Morecambe at home away Swindon

Per match

1.06 Goals scored 1.21

1.61 Goals conceded 1.47

2.67 Total goals 2.68

12.06 Shots 11.37

3.44 Shots on target 3.11

13.39 Shots faced 13.47

4.94 Corners 4.32

5.39 Corners against 5.74

11.67 Fouls 10.47

1.50 Yellow cards 2.32

0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.37

0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.89

How often Full Time

22% Wins 21%

22% Draws 42%

56% Losses 37%

100% Over 0.5 goals 95%

67% Over 1.5 goals 79%

33% Over 2.5 goals 47%

28% Over 3.5 goals 32%

17% Over 4.5 goals 11%

17% Over 5.5 goals 5%

39% Both teams scored 68%

17% Clean sheets 11%

44% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 16%

50% Draws 37%

28% Losses 47%

67% Over 0.5 goals 74%

33% Over 1.5 goals 37%

6% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Morecambe at home

3

L

2

L

2

W

1

L

4

2

W

2

W

1

L

2

L

1

W

2

D

Swindon away

4

L

1

L

1

D

1

D

2

L

2

1

W

5

1

W

1

L

1

W

2

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Morecambe all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.03.25	Port Vale – Morecambe	1–0 (0–0)	1.55	4.20	5.25	2.08	1.73
15.03.25	Morecambe – Barrow	2–2 (2–0)	3.10	3.10	2.38	2.35	1.57
08.03.25	Milton Keynes Dons – Morecambe	2–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.50	3.80	1.93	1.93
04.03.25	Morecambe – AFC Wimbledon	1–0 (1–0)	3.40	3.20	2.15	2.15	1.67
01.03.25	Gillingham – Morecambe	1–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	3.70	2.15	1.67
22.02.25	Morecambe – Walsall	0–2 (0–0)	4.20	3.90	1.73	1.98	1.88
18.02.25	Morecambe – Doncaster	0–1 (0–1)	3.70	3.60	1.90	1.98	1.88
15.02.25	Morecambe – Accrington	2–0 (0–0)	2.35	3.30	2.90	2.05	1.80
08.02.25	Notts County – Morecambe	2–0 (0–0)	1.38	4.50	8.00	1.67	2.15
04.02.25	Newport County – Morecambe	2–1 (1–0)	2.55	3.30	2.60	1.88	1.98

Swindon all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.03.25	Swindon – Accrington	0–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.30	4.00	2.00	1.85
15.03.25	Swindon – Cheltenham	3–3 (1–1)	1.95	3.50	3.75	1.95	1.90
08.03.25	Doncaster – Swindon	2–2 (2–0)	1.67	3.75	4.75	1.85	1.95
04.03.25	Swindon – Salford	2–2 (1–1)	2.00	3.25	3.80	2.20	1.65
01.03.25	Walsall – Swindon	0–1 (0–0)	1.75	3.40	5.00	1.90	1.95
22.02.25	Swindon – Chesterfield	1–0 (0–0)	2.75	3.20	2.50	1.88	1.98
15.02.25	Harrogate – Swindon	1–0 (0–0)	2.90	3.25	2.38	2.10	1.70
08.02.25	Swindon – Port Vale	3–3 (2–2)	2.25	3.30	3.00	2.05	1.80
01.02.25	Carlisle – Swindon	1–5 (0–1)	2.55	3.25	2.70	2.05	1.75
28.01.25	Swindon – Tranmere	3–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.60	4.20	1.95	1.90

Morecambe at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.25	Morecambe – Barrow	2–2 (2–0)	3.10	3.10	2.38	2.35	1.57
04.03.25	Morecambe – AFC Wimbledon	1–0 (1–0)	3.40	3.20	2.15	2.15	1.67
22.02.25	Morecambe – Walsall	0–2 (0–0)	4.20	3.90	1.73	1.98	1.88
18.02.25	Morecambe – Doncaster	0–1 (0–1)	3.70	3.60	1.90	1.98	1.88
15.02.25	Morecambe – Accrington	2–0 (0–0)	2.35	3.30	2.90	2.05	1.80
01.02.25	Morecambe – Fleetwood Town	4–2 (1–1)	3.20	3.30	2.20	2.08	1.73
18.01.25	Morecambe – Crewe	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.25	2.20	2.10	1.70
01.01.25	Morecambe – Tranmere	2–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.40	2.35	2.10	1.70
21.12.24	Morecambe – Bromley	0–2 (0–1)	3.30	3.50	2.05	1.80	2.00
07.12.24	Morecambe – Grimsby	0–3 (0–2)	2.70	3.30	2.50	1.93	1.93

Swindon away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Doncaster – Swindon	2–2 (2–0)	1.67	3.75	4.75	1.85	1.95
01.03.25	Walsall – Swindon	0–1 (0–0)	1.75	3.40	5.00	1.90	1.95
15.02.25	Harrogate – Swindon	1–0 (0–0)	2.90	3.25	2.38	2.10	1.70
01.02.25	Carlisle – Swindon	1–5 (0–1)	2.55	3.25	2.70	2.05	1.75
24.01.25	Newport County – Swindon	1–2 (1–1)	3.60	3.50	1.95	1.83	2.03
04.01.25	Notts County – Swindon	2–0 (2–0)	1.67	3.90	4.50	1.65	2.20
29.12.24	Bromley – Swindon	1–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	3.60	1.73	2.08
26.12.24	AFC Wimbledon – Swindon	1–1 (0–1)	1.62	4.00	5.00	1.88	1.98
14.12.24	Bradford – Swindon	1–0 (1–0)	1.67	3.80	4.75	1.83	2.03
03.12.24	Colchester – Swindon	4–0 (4–0)	1.91	3.40	3.90	1.98	1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2

Morecambe winsDrawsSwindon wins

3matches

5.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.11.24E3	Swindon – Morecambe	2–3 (1–2)	1.80	3.50	4.33	1.85	2.00
27.04.24E3	Swindon – Morecambe	3–3 (2–2)	1.80	4.20	3.80	1.50	2.50
23.09.23E3	Morecambe – Swindon	2–2 (1–1)	3.30	3.60	2.10	1.73	2.08

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Walsall	38	20	10	8	67	43	+24	70
2	Bradford	39	20	10	9	52	32	+20	70
3	Port Vale	39	18	13	8	49	38	+11	67
4	AFC Wimbledon	38	18	10	10	51	28	+23	64
5	Doncaster	37	18	9	10	54	44	+10	63
6	Notts County	38	17	11	10	56	39	+17	62
7	Grimsby	39	19	5	15	54	55	-1	62
8	Colchester	39	14	16	9	47	39	+8	58
9	Crewe	39	14	16	9	45	39	+6	58
10	Salford	37	14	11	12	44	41	+3	53
11	Chesterfield	37	14	10	13	58	44	+14	52
12	Bromley	38	13	13	12	49	47	+2	52
13	Fleetwood Town	38	12	14	12	49	46	+3	50
14	Cheltenham	39	13	11	15	51	57	-6	50
15	Swindon	38	11	15	12	55	55	0	48
16	Barrow	38	13	9	16	43	45	-2	48
17	Milton Keynes Dons	38	13	7	18	49	55	-6	46
18	Newport County	38	13	7	18	48	62	-14	46
19	Gillingham	37	11	10	16	31	39	-8	43
20	Accrington	39	10	12	17	45	55	-10	42
21	Harrogate	38	11	8	19	29	48	-19	41
22	Tranmere	39	9	13	17	30	55	-25	40
23	Carlisle	38	7	10	21	30	56	-26	31
24	Morecambe	38	8	6	24	33	57	-24	30

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	20	15	3	2	35	12	+23	48
2	AFC Wimbledon	20	12	4	4	34	14	+20	40
3	Walsall	19	12	4	3	41	25	+16	40
4	Port Vale	19	10	6	3	25	15	+10	36
5	Colchester	20	9	6	5	27	15	+12	33
6	Newport County	18	10	3	5	30	23	+7	33
7	Notts County	19	9	5	5	25	14	+11	32
8	Doncaster	18	9	5	4	27	19	+8	32
9	Cheltenham	20	9	5	6	28	26	+2	32
10	Barrow	18	9	4	5	28	17	+11	31
11	Crewe	19	8	6	5	26	22	+4	30
12	Salford	19	9	3	7	24	22	+2	30
13	Grimsby	20	9	3	8	27	29	-2	30
14	Chesterfield	18	7	8	3	28	21	+7	29
15	Fleetwood Town	20	6	11	3	22	17	+5	29
16	Swindon	19	7	7	5	32	27	+5	28
17	Milton Keynes Dons	19	8	4	7	23	18	+5	28
18	Gillingham	19	8	3	8	20	18	+2	27
19	Tranmere	20	6	9	5	18	19	-1	27
20	Harrogate	18	8	2	8	16	22	-6	26
21	Bromley	19	6	7	6	25	23	+2	25
22	Accrington	19	5	9	5	24	22	+2	24
23	Morecambe	18	4	4	10	19	29	-10	16
24	Carlisle	20	3	7	10	17	29	-12	16

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Grimsby	19	10	2	7	27	26	+1	32
2	Doncaster	19	9	4	6	27	25	+2	31
3	Port Vale	20	8	7	5	24	23	+1	31
4	Walsall	19	8	6	5	26	18	+8	30
5	Notts County	19	8	6	5	31	25	+6	30
6	Crewe	20	6	10	4	19	17	+2	28
7	Bromley	19	7	6	6	24	24	0	27
8	Colchester	19	5	10	4	20	24	-4	25
9	AFC Wimbledon	18	6	6	6	17	14	+3	24
10	Chesterfield	19	7	2	10	30	23	+7	23
11	Salford	18	5	8	5	20	19	+1	23
12	Bradford	19	5	7	7	17	20	-3	22
13	Fleetwood Town	18	6	3	9	27	29	-2	21
14	Swindon	19	4	8	7	23	28	-5	20
15	Cheltenham	19	4	6	9	23	31	-8	18
16	Milton Keynes Dons	19	5	3	11	26	37	-11	18
17	Accrington	20	5	3	12	21	33	-12	18
18	Barrow	20	4	5	11	15	28	-13	17
19	Gillingham	18	3	7	8	11	21	-10	16
20	Harrogate	20	3	6	11	13	26	-13	15
21	Carlisle	18	4	3	11	13	27	-14	15
22	Morecambe	20	4	2	14	14	28	-14	14
23	Newport County	20	3	4	13	18	39	-21	13
24	Tranmere	19	3	4	12	12	36	-24	13

Morecambe Swindon

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Newport County	38	14	24	1.3	1.6	13	7	18	48	62	46
2	7	Grimsby	39	16	23	1.4	1.4	19	5	15	54	55	62
3	11	Chesterfield	37	16	21	1.6	1.2	14	10	13	58	44	52
4	15	Swindon	38	17	21	1.4	1.4	11	15	12	55	55	48
5	1	Walsall	38	18	20	1.8	1.1	20	10	8	67	43	70
6	14	Cheltenham	39	19	20	1.3	1.5	13	11	15	51	57	50
7	17	Milton Keynes Dons	38	18	20	1.3	1.4	13	7	18	49	55	46
8	20	Accrington	39	19	20	1.2	1.4	10	12	17	45	55	42
9	5	Doncaster	37	18	19	1.5	1.2	18	9	10	54	44	63
10	2	Bradford	39	21	18	1.3	0.8	20	10	9	52	32	70
11	13	Fleetwood Town	38	21	17	1.3	1.2	12	14	12	49	46	50
12	3	Port Vale	39	23	16	1.3	1.0	18	13	8	49	38	67
13	6	Notts County	38	22	16	1.5	1.0	17	11	10	56	39	62
14	12	Bromley	38	22	16	1.3	1.2	13	13	12	49	47	52
15	23	Carlisle	38	22	16	0.8	1.5	7	10	21	30	56	31
16	10	Salford	37	22	15	1.2	1.1	14	11	12	44	41	53
17	16	Barrow	38	23	15	1.1	1.2	13	9	16	43	45	48
18	22	Tranmere	39	24	15	0.8	1.4	9	13	17	30	55	40
19	4	AFC Wimbledon	38	24	14	1.3	0.7	18	10	10	51	28	64
20	8	Colchester	39	25	14	1.2	1.0	14	16	9	47	39	58
21	24	Morecambe	38	24	14	0.9	1.5	8	6	24	33	57	30
22	9	Crewe	39	26	13	1.2	1.0	14	16	9	45	39	58
23	21	Harrogate	38	25	13	0.8	1.3	11	8	19	29	48	41
24	19	Gillingham	37	25	12	0.8	1.1	11	10	16	31	39	43

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Newport County	18	5	13	1.7	1.3	10	3	5	30	23	33
2	1	Walsall	19	7	12	2.2	1.3	12	4	3	41	25	40
3	15	Swindon	19	7	12	1.7	1.4	7	7	5	32	27	28
4	2	Bradford	20	9	11	1.8	0.6	15	3	2	35	12	48
5	7	Grimsby	20	9	11	1.4	1.4	9	3	8	27	29	30
6	5	Doncaster	18	8	10	1.5	1.1	9	5	4	27	19	32
7	11	Chesterfield	18	8	10	1.6	1.2	7	8	3	28	21	29
8	4	AFC Wimbledon	20	11	9	1.7	0.7	12	4	4	34	14	40
9	20	Accrington	19	10	9	1.3	1.2	5	9	5	24	22	24
10	3	Port Vale	19	11	8	1.3	0.8	10	6	3	25	15	36
11	8	Colchester	20	12	8	1.4	0.8	9	6	5	27	15	33
12	9	Crewe	19	11	8	1.4	1.2	8	6	5	26	22	30
13	10	Salford	19	11	8	1.3	1.2	9	3	7	24	22	30
14	14	Cheltenham	20	12	8	1.4	1.3	9	5	6	28	26	32
15	16	Barrow	18	10	8	1.6	0.9	9	4	5	28	17	31
16	17	Milton Keynes Dons	19	11	8	1.2	0.9	8	4	7	23	18	28
17	19	Gillingham	19	11	8	1.1	0.9	8	3	8	20	18	27
18	23	Carlisle	20	12	8	0.8	1.4	3	7	10	17	29	16
19	6	Notts County	19	12	7	1.3	0.7	9	5	5	25	14	32
20	12	Bromley	19	12	7	1.3	1.2	6	7	6	25	23	25
21	13	Fleetwood Town	20	14	6	1.1	0.8	6	11	3	22	17	29
22	21	Harrogate	18	12	6	0.9	1.2	8	2	8	16	22	26
23	24	Morecambe	18	12	6	1.1	1.6	4	4	10	19	29	16
24	22	Tranmere	20	15	5	0.9	0.9	6	9	5	18	19	27

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Grimsby	19	7	12	1.4	1.4	10	2	7	27	26	32
2	14	Cheltenham	19	7	12	1.2	1.6	4	6	9	23	31	18
3	17	Milton Keynes Dons	19	7	12	1.4	1.9	5	3	11	26	37	18
4	11	Chesterfield	19	8	11	1.6	1.2	7	2	10	30	23	23
5	13	Fleetwood Town	18	7	11	1.5	1.6	6	3	9	27	29	21
6	18	Newport County	20	9	11	0.9	1.9	3	4	13	18	39	13
7	20	Accrington	20	9	11	1.1	1.6	5	3	12	21	33	18
8	22	Tranmere	19	9	10	0.6	1.9	3	4	12	12	36	13
9	5	Doncaster	19	10	9	1.4	1.3	9	4	6	27	25	31
10	6	Notts County	19	10	9	1.6	1.3	8	6	5	31	25	30
11	12	Bromley	19	10	9	1.3	1.3	7	6	6	24	24	27
12	15	Swindon	19	10	9	1.2	1.5	4	8	7	23	28	20
13	1	Walsall	19	11	8	1.4	0.9	8	6	5	26	18	30
14	3	Port Vale	20	12	8	1.2	1.1	8	7	5	24	23	31
15	23	Carlisle	18	10	8	0.7	1.5	4	3	11	13	27	15
16	24	Morecambe	20	12	8	0.7	1.4	4	2	14	14	28	14
17	2	Bradford	19	12	7	0.9	1.1	5	7	7	17	20	22
18	10	Salford	18	11	7	1.1	1.1	5	8	5	20	19	23
19	16	Barrow	20	13	7	0.8	1.4	4	5	11	15	28	17
20	21	Harrogate	20	13	7	0.7	1.3	3	6	11	13	26	15
21	8	Colchester	19	13	6	1.1	1.3	5	10	4	20	24	25
22	4	AFC Wimbledon	18	13	5	0.9	0.8	6	6	6	17	14	24
23	9	Crewe	20	15	5	0.9	0.8	6	10	4	19	17	28
24	19	Gillingham	18	14	4	0.6	1.2	3	7	8	11	21	16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.