Barrow 0–1 Carlisle – England League Two, 27 Feb 2025

Match facts

Barrow Carlisle

19 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

4 Corners 1

18 Fouls 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (388 league matches this season so far).

Result Barrow to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.87

Expected goals 1.56 – 0.89

Home / Draw / Away

53% 26% 21%

BarrowDrawCarlisle

Under / Over 2.5 goals

56% 44%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

54% 46%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

9% 0

21% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

10% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 13.5% 1–1 12% 2–0 10.5%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Barrow before this match, all matches

1.16points / match

1.06scored / match

1.22conceded / match

10 7 15

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 34:39

Carlisle before this match, all matches

0.72points / match

0.72scored / match

1.53conceded / match

5 8 19

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 23:49

Barrow all matches all matches Carlisle

Per match

1.06 Goals scored 0.72

1.22 Goals conceded 1.53

2.28 Total goals 2.25

10.78 Shots 11.66

3.97 Shots on target 3.63

9.16 Shots faced 11.94

5.22 Corners 5.31

4.78 Corners against 4.91

10.34 Fouls 11.19

2.00 Yellow cards 2.75

0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.38

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

31% Wins 16%

22% Draws 25%

47% Losses 59%

100% Over 0.5 goals 84%

72% Over 1.5 goals 59%

38% Over 2.5 goals 41%

16% Over 3.5 goals 22%

3% Over 4.5 goals 16%

0% Over 5.5 goals 3%

41% Both teams scored 44%

22% Clean sheets 25%

38% Failed to score 47%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 22%

41% Draws 38%

28% Losses 41%

72% Over 0.5 goals 69%

25% Over 1.5 goals 25%

6% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Barrow all matches

2

D

2

L

2

L

3

W

1

3

L

1

L

3

W

2

1

W

2

3

L

3

L

Carlisle all matches

2

3

L

1

L

1

L

2

1

W

1

L

1

5

L

1

2

L

1

L

D

Barrow before this match, at home

1.75points / match

1.63scored / match

1.00conceded / match

8 4 4

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 26:16

Carlisle before this match, away

0.75points / match

0.75scored / match

1.63conceded / match

3 3 10

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 12:26

Barrow at home away Carlisle

Per match

1.63 Goals scored 0.75

1.00 Goals conceded 1.63

2.63 Total goals 2.38

11.38 Shots 11.06

4.94 Shots on target 3.50

8.50 Shots faced 13.63

5.63 Corners 4.75

4.13 Corners against 5.63

9.88 Fouls 11.69

1.69 Yellow cards 3.00

0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.25

0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

50% Wins 19%

25% Draws 19%

25% Losses 63%

100% Over 0.5 goals 88%

88% Over 1.5 goals 63%

50% Over 2.5 goals 50%

25% Over 3.5 goals 25%

0% Over 4.5 goals 13%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

50% Both teams scored 44%

38% Clean sheets 25%

13% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 19%

44% Draws 38%

13% Losses 44%

75% Over 0.5 goals 69%

31% Over 1.5 goals 19%

6% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Barrow at home

1

D

1

D

1

3

L

2

W

2

D

2

L

3

W

1

3

L

3

W

2

1

W

Carlisle away

1

3

L

1

W

1

D

2

3

L

1

L

2

1

W

1

L

1

2

L

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Barrow all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.02.25	Crewe – Barrow	3–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.30	3.20	2.40	1.53
15.02.25	Cheltenham – Barrow	3–2 (0–1)	2.40	3.10	3.00	2.25	1.62
11.02.25	Barrow – Milton Keynes Dons	2–1 (1–1)	2.00	3.40	3.60	2.15	1.67
08.02.25	Barrow – Gillingham	3–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.00	3.70	2.50	1.50
01.02.25	Newport County – Barrow	1–0 (0–0)	3.10	3.20	2.30	2.05	1.75
29.01.25	Barrow – Doncaster	1–3 (1–2)	3.00	3.10	2.40	2.15	1.67
25.01.25	Barrow – Grimsby	3–0 (1–0)	2.10	3.25	3.50	2.10	1.67
18.01.25	Swindon – Barrow	2–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.30	3.10	2.10	1.70
04.01.25	Barrow – Harrogate	0–2 (0–0)	1.62	3.70	5.25	2.10	1.70
01.01.25	Barrow – Bradford	2–2 (1–1)	2.63	3.40	2.50	2.25	1.62

Carlisle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.02.25	Carlisle – Gillingham	0–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.20	2.90	2.35	1.57
15.02.25	Carlisle – Colchester	0–0 (0–0)	3.30	3.20	2.20	2.25	1.62
11.02.25	Newport County – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.40	2.50	1.98	1.88
08.02.25	Grimsby – Carlisle	2–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.00	1.85
01.02.25	Carlisle – Swindon	1–5 (0–1)	2.55	3.25	2.70	2.05	1.75
28.01.25	Notts County – Carlisle	1–0 (1–0)	1.57	4.33	5.00	1.60	2.30
25.01.25	Fleetwood Town – Carlisle	1–2 (0–1)	1.80	3.60	4.10	2.03	1.83
18.01.25	Carlisle – Bradford	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.25	2.20	2.05	1.75
04.01.25	Tranmere – Carlisle	1–0 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.25	2.03	1.83
01.01.25	Crewe – Carlisle	3–2 (1–1)	1.90	3.60	3.75	2.15	1.67

Barrow at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.02.25	Barrow – Milton Keynes Dons	2–1 (1–1)	2.00	3.40	3.60	2.15	1.67
08.02.25	Barrow – Gillingham	3–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.00	3.70	2.50	1.50
29.01.25	Barrow – Doncaster	1–3 (1–2)	3.00	3.10	2.40	2.15	1.67
25.01.25	Barrow – Grimsby	3–0 (1–0)	2.10	3.25	3.50	2.10	1.67
04.01.25	Barrow – Harrogate	0–2 (0–0)	1.62	3.70	5.25	2.10	1.70
01.01.25	Barrow – Bradford	2–2 (1–1)	2.63	3.40	2.50	2.25	1.62
21.12.24	Barrow – Fleetwood Town	2–0 (2–0)	2.20	3.50	3.00	2.05	1.75
16.11.24	Barrow – AFC Wimbledon	1–3 (1–1)	2.63	3.10	2.63	2.40	1.53
09.11.24	Barrow – Colchester	1–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	3.60	2.10	1.70
22.10.24	Barrow – Notts County	1–1 (1–0)	2.55	3.60	2.60	1.93	1.93

Carlisle away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.02.25	Newport County – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.40	2.50	1.98	1.88
08.02.25	Grimsby – Carlisle	2–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.00	1.85
28.01.25	Notts County – Carlisle	1–0 (1–0)	1.57	4.33	5.00	1.60	2.30
25.01.25	Fleetwood Town – Carlisle	1–2 (0–1)	1.80	3.60	4.10	2.03	1.83
04.01.25	Tranmere – Carlisle	1–0 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.25	2.03	1.83
01.01.25	Crewe – Carlisle	3–2 (1–1)	1.90	3.60	3.75	2.15	1.67
21.12.24	Port Vale – Carlisle	0–0 (0–0)	1.73	3.50	4.75	2.05	1.80
16.11.24	Bromley – Carlisle	1–1 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	3.60	1.93	1.93
09.11.24	Salford – Carlisle	0–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.60	3.60	1.90	1.95
22.10.24	Walsall – Carlisle	3–1 (1–0)	1.57	3.90	5.75	1.70	2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 4

Barrow winsDrawsCarlisle wins

5matches

2.20goals / match

40%over 2.5

40%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.08.24E3	Carlisle – Barrow	1–0 (1–0)	2.35	3.40	2.90	1.98	1.88
22.04.23E3	Barrow – Carlisle	0–1 (0–1)	2.90	3.10	2.63	2.50	1.50
31.01.23E3	Carlisle – Barrow	5–1 (1–0)	2.10	3.25	3.75	2.35	1.57
19.03.22E3	Barrow – Carlisle	1–2 (0–1)	2.30	3.30	3.20	2.25	1.61
13.11.21E3	Carlisle – Barrow	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.25	3.00	2.15	1.66

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Walsall	33	20	7	6	63	36	+27	67
2	Bradford	33	17	9	7	43	28	+15	60
3	Doncaster	33	17	7	9	48	40	+8	58
4	AFC Wimbledon	32	16	9	7	44	21	+23	57
5	Notts County	32	16	9	7	50	31	+19	57
6	Port Vale	31	15	10	6	41	33	+8	55
7	Crewe	33	13	13	7	39	31	+8	52
8	Grimsby	32	16	3	13	46	48	-2	51
9	Salford	32	13	9	10	39	32	+7	48
10	Bromley	33	11	12	10	43	41	+2	45
11	Cheltenham	32	12	9	11	45	45	0	45
12	Fleetwood Town	33	11	11	11	42	39	+3	44
13	Colchester	32	9	16	7	37	32	+5	43
14	Chesterfield	31	11	9	11	49	38	+11	42
15	Swindon	33	10	11	12	47	48	-1	41
16	Newport County	32	11	7	14	41	50	-9	40
17	Milton Keynes Dons	32	11	6	15	44	46	-2	39
18	Barrow	32	10	7	15	34	39	-5	37
19	Gillingham	32	9	8	15	27	35	-8	35
20	Accrington	32	8	9	15	36	50	-14	33
21	Harrogate	33	9	6	18	26	44	-18	33
22	Tranmere	33	6	10	17	23	52	-29	28
23	Morecambe	33	7	5	21	29	51	-22	26
24	Carlisle	32	5	8	19	23	49	-26	23

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	17	13	3	1	28	10	+18	42
2	Walsall	17	12	4	1	40	21	+19	40
3	AFC Wimbledon	16	11	3	2	29	9	+20	36
4	Notts County	16	9	4	3	23	10	+13	31
5	Cheltenham	17	9	4	4	27	23	+4	31
6	Crewe	16	8	5	3	24	16	+8	29
7	Salford	16	9	2	5	22	15	+7	29
8	Port Vale	15	8	5	2	21	14	+7	29
9	Barrow	16	8	4	4	26	16	+10	28
10	Doncaster	16	8	4	4	22	17	+5	28
11	Newport County	16	8	3	5	24	22	+2	27
12	Fleetwood Town	17	6	8	3	19	14	+5	26
13	Grimsby	16	8	2	6	25	25	0	26
14	Chesterfield	15	6	7	2	25	17	+8	25
15	Swindon	16	7	4	5	27	22	+5	25
16	Milton Keynes Dons	17	7	4	6	21	16	+5	25
17	Colchester	16	6	6	4	20	12	+8	24
18	Bromley	17	5	6	6	22	21	+1	21
19	Gillingham	16	6	2	8	18	18	0	20
20	Tranmere	17	4	8	5	13	17	-4	20
21	Harrogate	16	6	2	8	13	21	-8	20
22	Accrington	15	3	7	5	16	21	-5	16
23	Morecambe	16	3	3	10	16	27	-11	12
24	Carlisle	16	2	5	9	11	23	-12	11

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Doncaster	17	9	3	5	26	23	+3	30
2	Walsall	16	8	3	5	23	15	+8	27
3	Notts County	16	7	5	4	27	21	+6	26
4	Port Vale	16	7	5	4	20	19	+1	26
5	Grimsby	16	8	1	7	21	23	-2	25
6	Bromley	16	6	6	4	21	20	+1	24
7	Crewe	17	5	8	4	15	15	0	23
8	AFC Wimbledon	16	5	6	5	15	12	+3	21
9	Salford	16	4	7	5	17	17	0	19
10	Colchester	16	3	10	3	17	20	-3	19
11	Fleetwood Town	16	5	3	8	23	25	-2	18
12	Bradford	16	4	6	6	15	18	-3	18
13	Chesterfield	16	5	2	9	24	21	+3	17
14	Accrington	17	5	2	10	20	29	-9	17
15	Swindon	17	3	7	7	20	26	-6	16
16	Gillingham	16	3	6	7	9	17	-8	15
17	Cheltenham	15	3	5	7	18	22	-4	14
18	Milton Keynes Dons	15	4	2	9	23	30	-7	14
19	Morecambe	17	4	2	11	13	24	-11	14
20	Harrogate	17	3	4	10	13	23	-10	13
21	Newport County	16	3	4	9	17	28	-11	13
22	Carlisle	16	3	3	10	12	26	-14	12
23	Barrow	16	2	3	11	8	23	-15	9
24	Tranmere	16	2	2	12	10	35	-25	8

Barrow Carlisle

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Grimsby	32	11	21	1.4	1.5	16	3	13	46	48	51
2	16	Newport County	32	13	19	1.3	1.6	11	7	14	41	50	40
3	1	Walsall	33	15	18	1.9	1.1	20	7	6	63	36	67
4	15	Swindon	33	15	18	1.4	1.5	10	11	12	47	48	41
5	20	Accrington	32	14	18	1.1	1.6	8	9	15	36	50	33
6	3	Doncaster	33	16	17	1.5	1.2	17	7	9	48	40	58
7	11	Cheltenham	32	15	17	1.4	1.4	12	9	11	45	45	45
8	14	Chesterfield	31	14	17	1.6	1.2	11	9	11	49	38	42
9	17	Milton Keynes Dons	32	15	17	1.4	1.4	11	6	15	44	46	39
10	2	Bradford	33	18	15	1.3	0.8	17	9	7	43	28	60
11	6	Port Vale	31	17	14	1.3	1.1	15	10	6	41	33	55
12	12	Fleetwood Town	33	19	14	1.3	1.2	11	11	11	42	39	44
13	22	Tranmere	33	19	14	0.7	1.6	6	10	17	23	52	28
14	5	Notts County	32	19	13	1.6	1.0	16	9	7	50	31	57
15	10	Bromley	33	20	13	1.3	1.2	11	12	10	43	41	45
16	24	Carlisle	32	19	13	0.7	1.5	5	8	19	23	49	23
17	9	Salford	32	20	12	1.2	1.0	13	9	10	39	32	48
18	18	Barrow	32	20	12	1.1	1.2	10	7	15	34	39	37
19	23	Morecambe	33	21	12	0.9	1.5	7	5	21	29	51	26
20	4	AFC Wimbledon	32	21	11	1.4	0.7	16	9	7	44	21	57
21	7	Crewe	33	22	11	1.2	0.9	13	13	7	39	31	52
22	19	Gillingham	32	21	11	0.8	1.1	9	8	15	27	35	35
23	21	Harrogate	33	22	11	0.8	1.3	9	6	18	26	44	33
24	13	Colchester	32	22	10	1.2	1.0	9	16	7	37	32	43

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Walsall	17	6	11	2.4	1.2	12	4	1	40	21	40
2	8	Grimsby	16	5	11	1.6	1.6	8	2	6	25	25	26
3	16	Newport County	16	5	11	1.5	1.4	8	3	5	24	22	27
4	15	Swindon	16	6	10	1.7	1.4	7	4	5	27	22	25
5	2	Bradford	17	8	9	1.6	0.6	13	3	1	28	10	42
6	3	Doncaster	16	8	8	1.4	1.1	8	4	4	22	17	28
7	11	Cheltenham	17	9	8	1.6	1.4	9	4	4	27	23	31
8	14	Chesterfield	15	7	8	1.7	1.1	6	7	2	25	17	25
9	18	Barrow	16	8	8	1.6	1.0	8	4	4	26	16	28
10	19	Gillingham	16	8	8	1.1	1.1	6	2	8	18	18	20
11	20	Accrington	15	7	8	1.1	1.4	3	7	5	16	21	16
12	4	AFC Wimbledon	16	9	7	1.8	0.6	11	3	2	29	9	36
13	6	Port Vale	15	8	7	1.4	0.9	8	5	2	21	14	29
14	7	Crewe	16	9	7	1.5	1.0	8	5	3	24	16	29
15	17	Milton Keynes Dons	17	10	7	1.2	0.9	7	4	6	21	16	25
16	9	Salford	16	10	6	1.4	0.9	9	2	5	22	15	29
17	10	Bromley	17	11	6	1.3	1.2	5	6	6	22	21	21
18	5	Notts County	16	11	5	1.4	0.6	9	4	3	23	10	31
19	12	Fleetwood Town	17	12	5	1.1	0.8	6	8	3	19	14	26
20	13	Colchester	16	11	5	1.2	0.8	6	6	4	20	12	24
21	21	Harrogate	16	11	5	0.8	1.3	6	2	8	13	21	20
22	23	Morecambe	16	11	5	1.0	1.7	3	3	10	16	27	12
23	24	Carlisle	16	11	5	0.7	1.4	2	5	9	11	23	11
24	22	Tranmere	17	13	4	0.8	1.0	4	8	5	13	17	20

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Grimsby	16	6	10	1.3	1.4	8	1	7	21	23	25
2	17	Milton Keynes Dons	15	5	10	1.5	2.0	4	2	9	23	30	14
3	20	Accrington	17	7	10	1.2	1.7	5	2	10	20	29	17
4	22	Tranmere	16	6	10	0.6	2.2	2	2	12	10	35	8
5	3	Doncaster	17	8	9	1.5	1.4	9	3	5	26	23	30
6	11	Cheltenham	15	6	9	1.2	1.5	3	5	7	18	22	14
7	12	Fleetwood Town	16	7	9	1.4	1.6	5	3	8	23	25	18
8	14	Chesterfield	16	7	9	1.5	1.3	5	2	9	24	21	17
9	5	Notts County	16	8	8	1.7	1.3	7	5	4	27	21	26
10	15	Swindon	17	9	8	1.2	1.5	3	7	7	20	26	16
11	16	Newport County	16	8	8	1.1	1.8	3	4	9	17	28	13
12	24	Carlisle	16	8	8	0.8	1.6	3	3	10	12	26	12
13	1	Walsall	16	9	7	1.4	0.9	8	3	5	23	15	27
14	6	Port Vale	16	9	7	1.2	1.2	7	5	4	20	19	26
15	10	Bromley	16	9	7	1.3	1.2	6	6	4	21	20	24
16	23	Morecambe	17	10	7	0.8	1.4	4	2	11	13	24	14
17	2	Bradford	16	10	6	0.9	1.1	4	6	6	15	18	18
18	9	Salford	16	10	6	1.1	1.1	4	7	5	17	17	19
19	21	Harrogate	17	11	6	0.8	1.4	3	4	10	13	23	13
20	13	Colchester	16	11	5	1.1	1.2	3	10	3	17	20	19
21	4	AFC Wimbledon	16	12	4	0.9	0.8	5	6	5	15	12	21
22	7	Crewe	17	13	4	0.9	0.9	5	8	4	15	15	23
23	18	Barrow	16	12	4	0.5	1.4	2	3	11	8	23	9
24	19	Gillingham	16	13	3	0.6	1.1	3	6	7	9	17	15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.