Tranmere 1–0 Swindon – England League Two, 10 Apr 2023

Match facts

Tranmere Swindon

7 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 2

3 Corners 7

14 Fouls 12

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (476 league matches this season so far).

Result Tranmere to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.94

Expected goals 1.26 – 1.12

Home / Draw / Away

40% 28% 33%

TranmereDrawSwindon

Under / Over 2.5 goals

57% 43%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

52% 48%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

9% 0

22% 1

26% 2

21% 3

12% 4

9% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 13.1% 1–0 11.6% 0–1 10.3%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Tranmere before this match, all matches

1.25points / match

0.95scored / match

1.05conceded / match

13 11 16

WonDrawnLost 40 played · 38:42

Swindon before this match, all matches

1.31points / match

1.33scored / match

1.26conceded / match

13 12 14

WonDrawnLost 39 played · 52:49

Tranmere all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

0.95 Goals scored 1.33

1.05 Goals conceded 1.26

2.00 Total goals 2.59

11.05 Shots 12.56

3.68 Shots on target 4.38

10.73 Shots faced 11.59

5.05 Corners 5.36

4.78 Corners against 4.92

11.18 Fouls 9.41

1.55 Yellow cards 1.87

0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.64

0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

33% Wins 33%

28% Draws 31%

40% Losses 36%

93% Over 0.5 goals 90%

70% Over 1.5 goals 72%

28% Over 2.5 goals 49%

8% Over 3.5 goals 15%

3% Over 4.5 goals 15%

0% Over 5.5 goals 10%

38% Both teams scored 54%

38% Clean sheets 28%

33% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 23%

38% Draws 56%

40% Losses 21%

75% Over 0.5 goals 64%

25% Over 1.5 goals 33%

5% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Tranmere all matches

2

L

2

L

1

W

1

W

1

D

2

L

1

3

L

1

D

1

D

2

L

Swindon all matches

1

2

L

2

1

W

3

W

1

D

1

2

L

D

4

D

1

L

1

2

L

2

4

L

Tranmere before this match, at home

1.50points / match

1.20scored / match

0.95conceded / match

8 6 6

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 24:19

Swindon before this match, away

1.25points / match

1.20scored / match

1.35conceded / match

6 7 7

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 24:27

Tranmere at home away Swindon

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 1.20

0.95 Goals conceded 1.35

2.15 Total goals 2.55

11.20 Shots 12.30

3.70 Shots on target 4.15

9.65 Shots faced 13.45

5.50 Corners 4.95

3.95 Corners against 5.85

10.35 Fouls 10.25

1.25 Yellow cards 1.70

0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.60

0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

40% Wins 30%

30% Draws 35%

30% Losses 35%

95% Over 0.5 goals 90%

75% Over 1.5 goals 75%

35% Over 2.5 goals 45%

10% Over 3.5 goals 10%

0% Over 4.5 goals 10%

0% Over 5.5 goals 10%

40% Both teams scored 60%

45% Clean sheets 20%

20% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 25%

35% Draws 50%

35% Losses 25%

80% Over 0.5 goals 70%

20% Over 1.5 goals 25%

0% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Tranmere at home

3

W

2

D

1

D

1

W

1

W

2

L

1

W

1

D

1

3

L

1

D

Swindon away

1

W

2

1

W

1

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

D

4

D

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Tranmere all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.04.23	Carlisle – Tranmere	2–0 (2–0)	1.73	3.50	5.50	2.30	1.60
31.03.23	Tranmere – Harrogate	1–1 (1–1)	2.10	3.40	3.60	2.10	1.70
25.03.23	Colchester – Tranmere	1–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.20	3.00	2.50	1.50
18.03.23	Tranmere – Newport County	1–3 (0–2)	2.75	3.00	2.80	2.40	1.53
11.03.23	Gillingham – Tranmere	2–0 (1–0)	2.45	3.00	3.10	2.60	1.48
04.03.23	Tranmere – Hartlepool	1–1 (0–1)	1.83	3.50	4.75	2.10	1.77
28.02.23	Tranmere – Crawley Town	1–0 (0–0)	1.67	3.75	5.50	2.02	1.83
25.02.23	Stevenage – Tranmere	0–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.60	4.20	2.25	1.62
18.02.23	Tranmere – Mansfield	0–2 (0–1)	2.75	3.10	2.70	2.40	1.53
14.02.23	Bradford – Tranmere	2–0 (1–0)	2.38	3.20	3.20	2.15	1.67

Swindon all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.04.23	Swindon – Mansfield	2–4 (1–3)	3.20	3.40	2.25	2.00	1.85
01.04.23	Hartlepool – Swindon	2–1 (0–1)	2.75	3.25	2.60	1.95	1.90
25.03.23	Swindon – Stockport	0–1 (0–0)	3.60	3.30	2.10	2.10	1.70
18.03.23	Rochdale – Swindon	4–4 (2–2)	3.25	3.40	2.20	2.08	1.73
14.03.23	Walsall – Swindon	0–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.20	3.75	2.15	1.67
11.03.23	Swindon – Carlisle	1–2 (0–0)	2.90	3.10	2.55	2.05	1.75
04.03.23	Leyton Orient – Swindon	1–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.10	4.00	2.25	1.62
25.02.23	Swindon – Harrogate	3–0 (2–0)	1.75	3.60	4.75	1.85	1.95
18.02.23	Salford – Swindon	1–2 (1–1)	2.30	3.50	3.00	1.90	1.95
14.02.23	Sutton – Swindon	2–1 (0–1)	2.20	3.20	3.50	2.08	1.73

Tranmere at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
31.03.23	Tranmere – Harrogate	1–1 (1–1)	2.10	3.40	3.60	2.10	1.70
18.03.23	Tranmere – Newport County	1–3 (0–2)	2.75	3.00	2.80	2.40	1.53
04.03.23	Tranmere – Hartlepool	1–1 (0–1)	1.83	3.50	4.75	2.10	1.77
28.02.23	Tranmere – Crawley Town	1–0 (0–0)	1.67	3.75	5.50	2.02	1.83
18.02.23	Tranmere – Mansfield	0–2 (0–1)	2.75	3.10	2.70	2.40	1.53
11.02.23	Tranmere – Salford	1–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.40	3.60	2.30	1.60
28.01.23	Tranmere – Leyton Orient	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.10	2.80	2.40	1.53
14.01.23	Tranmere – Walsall	1–1 (0–0)	2.40	3.10	3.20	2.50	1.50
07.01.23	Tranmere – Sutton	2–2 (1–1)	2.20	3.20	3.50	2.25	1.62
26.12.22	Tranmere – Doncaster	3–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	4.00	2.15	1.67

Swindon away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.04.23	Hartlepool – Swindon	2–1 (0–1)	2.75	3.25	2.60	1.95	1.90
18.03.23	Rochdale – Swindon	4–4 (2–2)	3.25	3.40	2.20	2.08	1.73
14.03.23	Walsall – Swindon	0–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.20	3.75	2.15	1.67
04.03.23	Leyton Orient – Swindon	1–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.10	4.00	2.25	1.62
18.02.23	Salford – Swindon	1–2 (1–1)	2.30	3.50	3.00	1.90	1.95
14.02.23	Sutton – Swindon	2–1 (0–1)	2.20	3.20	3.50	2.08	1.73
04.02.23	Newport County – Swindon	2–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.20	2.75	2.00	1.80
01.01.23	Colchester – Swindon	1–0 (1–0)	3.10	3.40	2.30	2.08	1.73
29.12.22	Northampton – Swindon	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.60	2.00	1.85
17.12.22	Barrow – Swindon	0–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.60	2.75	2.02	1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2

Tranmere winsDrawsSwindon wins

3matches

1.67goals / match

33%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.11.22E3	Swindon – Tranmere	1–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.40	3.20	2.02	1.83
08.02.22E3	Tranmere – Swindon	3–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.20	2.07	1.72
17.08.21E3	Swindon – Tranmere	0–0 (0–0)	2.60	3.40	2.70	2.05	1.75

England League Two table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	39	23	11	5	52	25	+27	80
2	Northampton	40	19	13	8	53	37	+16	70
3	Carlisle	40	19	12	9	60	37	+23	69
4	Stevenage	39	19	12	8	53	36	+17	69
5	Stockport	40	19	10	11	53	33	+20	67
6	Bradford	39	17	14	8	48	34	+14	65
7	Mansfield	39	18	10	11	63	48	+15	64
8	Salford	40	18	9	13	61	46	+15	63
9	Barrow	40	17	7	16	42	47	-5	58
10	Sutton	40	15	12	13	41	42	-1	57
11	Swindon	39	13	12	14	52	49	+3	51
12	Doncaster	40	15	6	19	40	55	-15	51
13	Walsall	40	11	17	12	42	40	+2	50
14	Tranmere	40	13	11	16	38	42	-4	50
15	Grimsby	39	12	12	15	42	50	-8	48
16	Crewe	39	11	15	13	39	47	-8	48
17	Newport County	39	11	14	14	41	43	-2	47
18	AFC Wimbledon	41	11	14	16	43	48	-5	47
19	Gillingham	40	12	11	17	28	42	-14	47
20	Harrogate	39	9	13	17	45	57	-12	40
21	Colchester	40	9	12	19	35	47	-12	39
22	Crawley Town	40	9	11	20	43	64	-21	38
23	Hartlepool	40	8	14	18	47	69	-22	38
24	Rochdale	40	8	8	24	38	61	-23	32

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	20	14	5	1	28	8	+20	47
2	Stevenage	20	14	2	4	35	15	+20	44
3	Carlisle	20	11	6	3	30	16	+14	39
4	Sutton	20	11	4	5	24	16	+8	37
5	Northampton	20	10	6	4	25	16	+9	36
6	Barrow	20	11	3	6	25	17	+8	36
7	Stockport	20	9	8	3	26	15	+11	35
8	Gillingham	20	10	4	6	17	17	0	34
9	Walsall	20	8	8	4	24	15	+9	32
10	Bradford	20	8	8	4	27	19	+8	32
11	Salford	20	9	5	6	26	21	+5	32
12	Mansfield	19	8	7	4	33	26	+7	31
13	Doncaster	20	10	1	9	24	25	-1	31
14	Tranmere	20	8	6	6	24	19	+5	30
15	Crewe	20	8	6	6	25	23	+2	30
16	Crawley Town	20	8	5	7	29	29	0	29
17	AFC Wimbledon	20	7	6	7	22	21	+1	27
18	Swindon	19	7	5	7	28	22	+6	26
19	Harrogate	20	5	8	7	25	29	-4	23
20	Newport County	19	5	6	8	20	23	-3	21
21	Colchester	20	4	9	7	17	20	-3	21
22	Grimsby	19	4	9	6	19	24	-5	21
23	Hartlepool	20	4	9	7	23	32	-9	21
24	Rochdale	20	4	4	12	23	32	-9	16

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Northampton	20	9	7	4	28	21	+7	34
2	Mansfield	20	10	3	7	30	22	+8	33
3	Leyton Orient	19	9	6	4	24	17	+7	33
4	Bradford	19	9	6	4	21	15	+6	33
5	Stockport	20	10	2	8	27	18	+9	32
6	Salford	20	9	4	7	35	25	+10	31
7	Carlisle	20	8	6	6	30	21	+9	30
8	Grimsby	20	8	3	9	23	26	-3	27
9	Newport County	20	6	8	6	21	20	+1	26
10	Swindon	20	6	7	7	24	27	-3	25
11	Stevenage	19	5	10	4	18	21	-3	25
12	Barrow	20	6	4	10	17	30	-13	22
13	AFC Wimbledon	21	4	8	9	21	27	-6	20
14	Sutton	20	4	8	8	17	26	-9	20
15	Tranmere	20	5	5	10	14	23	-9	20
16	Doncaster	20	5	5	10	16	30	-14	20
17	Walsall	20	3	9	8	18	25	-7	18
18	Colchester	20	5	3	12	18	27	-9	18
19	Crewe	19	3	9	7	14	24	-10	18
20	Harrogate	19	4	5	10	20	28	-8	17
21	Hartlepool	20	4	5	11	24	37	-13	17
22	Rochdale	20	4	4	12	15	29	-14	16
23	Gillingham	20	2	7	11	11	25	-14	13
24	Crawley Town	20	1	6	13	14	35	-21	9

Tranmere Swindon

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	23	Hartlepool	40	17	23	1.2	1.7	8	14	18	47	69	38
2	7	Mansfield	39	18	21	1.6	1.2	18	10	11	63	48	64
3	20	Harrogate	39	19	20	1.2	1.5	9	13	17	45	57	40
4	22	Crawley Town	40	20	20	1.1	1.6	9	11	20	43	64	38
5	11	Swindon	39	20	19	1.3	1.3	13	12	14	52	49	51
6	8	Salford	40	22	18	1.5	1.1	18	9	13	61	46	63
7	3	Carlisle	40	23	17	1.5	0.9	19	12	9	60	37	69
8	12	Doncaster	40	23	17	1.0	1.4	15	6	19	40	55	51
9	15	Grimsby	39	22	17	1.1	1.3	12	12	15	42	50	48
10	18	AFC Wimbledon	41	24	17	1.0	1.2	11	14	16	43	48	47
11	24	Rochdale	40	23	17	0.9	1.5	8	8	24	38	61	32
12	2	Northampton	40	24	16	1.3	0.9	19	13	8	53	37	70
13	4	Stevenage	39	23	16	1.4	0.9	19	12	8	53	36	69
14	16	Crewe	39	23	16	1.0	1.2	11	15	13	39	47	48
15	5	Stockport	40	25	15	1.3	0.8	19	10	11	53	33	67
16	6	Bradford	39	24	15	1.2	0.9	17	14	8	48	34	65
17	9	Barrow	40	25	15	1.1	1.2	17	7	16	42	47	58
18	10	Sutton	40	25	15	1.0	1.1	15	12	13	41	42	57
19	13	Walsall	40	27	13	1.1	1.0	11	17	12	42	40	50
20	17	Newport County	39	26	13	1.1	1.1	11	14	14	41	43	47
21	21	Colchester	40	27	13	0.9	1.2	9	12	19	35	47	39
22	14	Tranmere	40	29	11	0.9	1.1	13	11	16	38	42	50
23	1	Leyton Orient	39	29	10	1.3	0.6	23	11	5	52	25	80
24	19	Gillingham	40	32	8	0.7	1.1	12	11	17	28	42	47

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Mansfield	19	8	11	1.7	1.4	8	7	4	33	26	31
2	20	Harrogate	20	9	11	1.2	1.4	5	8	7	25	29	23
3	23	Hartlepool	20	9	11	1.1	1.6	4	9	7	23	32	21
4	4	Stevenage	20	10	10	1.8	0.8	14	2	4	35	15	44
5	11	Swindon	19	9	10	1.5	1.2	7	5	7	28	22	26
6	22	Crawley Town	20	10	10	1.4	1.4	8	5	7	29	29	29
7	24	Rochdale	20	10	10	1.1	1.6	4	4	12	23	32	16
8	2	Northampton	20	11	9	1.2	0.8	10	6	4	25	16	36
9	16	Crewe	20	11	9	1.2	1.1	8	6	6	25	23	30
10	6	Bradford	20	12	8	1.4	0.9	8	8	4	27	19	32
11	8	Salford	20	12	8	1.3	1.1	9	5	6	26	21	32
12	9	Barrow	20	12	8	1.2	0.8	11	3	6	25	17	36
13	12	Doncaster	20	12	8	1.2	1.2	10	1	9	24	25	31
14	15	Grimsby	19	11	8	1.0	1.3	4	9	6	19	24	21
15	3	Carlisle	20	13	7	1.5	0.8	11	6	3	30	16	39
16	10	Sutton	20	13	7	1.2	0.8	11	4	5	24	16	37
17	14	Tranmere	20	13	7	1.2	0.9	8	6	6	24	19	30
18	17	Newport County	19	12	7	1.1	1.2	5	6	8	20	23	21
19	5	Stockport	20	14	6	1.3	0.8	9	8	3	26	15	35
20	13	Walsall	20	14	6	1.2	0.8	8	8	4	24	15	32
21	18	AFC Wimbledon	20	14	6	1.1	1.1	7	6	7	22	21	27
22	1	Leyton Orient	20	15	5	1.4	0.4	14	5	1	28	8	47
23	21	Colchester	20	15	5	0.8	1.0	4	9	7	17	20	21
24	19	Gillingham	20	16	4	0.8	0.8	10	4	6	17	17	34

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	23	Hartlepool	20	8	12	1.2	1.9	4	5	11	24	37	17
2	18	AFC Wimbledon	21	10	11	1.0	1.3	4	8	9	21	27	20
3	3	Carlisle	20	10	10	1.5	1.1	8	6	6	30	21	30
4	7	Mansfield	20	10	10	1.5	1.1	10	3	7	30	22	33
5	8	Salford	20	10	10	1.8	1.2	9	4	7	35	25	31
6	22	Crawley Town	20	10	10	0.7	1.8	1	6	13	14	35	9
7	5	Stockport	20	11	9	1.4	0.9	10	2	8	27	18	32
8	11	Swindon	20	11	9	1.2	1.4	6	7	7	24	27	25
9	12	Doncaster	20	11	9	0.8	1.5	5	5	10	16	30	20
10	15	Grimsby	20	11	9	1.1	1.3	8	3	9	23	26	27
11	20	Harrogate	19	10	9	1.1	1.5	4	5	10	20	28	17
12	10	Sutton	20	12	8	0.8	1.3	4	8	8	17	26	20
13	21	Colchester	20	12	8	0.9	1.4	5	3	12	18	27	18
14	2	Northampton	20	13	7	1.4	1.1	9	7	4	28	21	34
15	6	Bradford	19	12	7	1.1	0.8	9	6	4	21	15	33
16	9	Barrow	20	13	7	0.8	1.5	6	4	10	17	30	22
17	13	Walsall	20	13	7	0.9	1.2	3	9	8	18	25	18
18	16	Crewe	19	12	7	0.7	1.3	3	9	7	14	24	18
19	24	Rochdale	20	13	7	0.8	1.4	4	4	12	15	29	16
20	4	Stevenage	19	13	6	0.9	1.1	5	10	4	18	21	25
21	17	Newport County	20	14	6	1.1	1.0	6	8	6	21	20	26
22	1	Leyton Orient	19	14	5	1.3	0.9	9	6	4	24	17	33
23	14	Tranmere	20	16	4	0.7	1.1	5	5	10	14	23	20
24	19	Gillingham	20	16	4	0.6	1.2	2	7	11	11	25	13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.