Swindon 2–4 Mansfield – England League Two, 7 Apr 2023

Match facts

Swindon Mansfield

5 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 6

0 Corners 2

8 Fouls 16

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (464 league matches this season so far).

Result Swindon to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.82

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.30

Home / Draw / Away

39% 26% 35%

SwindonDrawMansfield

Under / Over 2.5 goals

49% 51%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

45% 55%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

18% 1

25% 2

22% 3

15% 4

14% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.2% 1–0 9.4% 0–1 8.7%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Swindon before this match, all matches

1.34points / match

1.32scored / match

1.18conceded / match

13 12 13

WonDrawnLost 38 played · 50:45

Mansfield before this match, all matches

1.61points / match

1.55scored / match

1.21conceded / match

17 10 11

WonDrawnLost 38 played · 59:46

Swindon all matches all matches Mansfield

Per match

1.32 Goals scored 1.55

1.18 Goals conceded 1.21

2.50 Total goals 2.76

12.76 Shots 12.87

4.42 Shots on target 4.50

11.66 Shots faced 9.55

5.50 Corners 5.82

5.00 Corners against 3.95

9.45 Fouls 11.97

1.87 Yellow cards 1.71

0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.68

0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.66

How often Full Time

34% Wins 45%

32% Draws 26%

34% Losses 29%

89% Over 0.5 goals 87%

71% Over 1.5 goals 74%

47% Over 2.5 goals 53%

13% Over 3.5 goals 29%

13% Over 4.5 goals 18%

8% Over 5.5 goals 8%

53% Both teams scored 58%

29% Clean sheets 32%

29% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 21%

58% Draws 53%

18% Losses 26%

63% Over 0.5 goals 66%

32% Over 1.5 goals 39%

16% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon all matches

2

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

3

W

1

D

1

2

L

D

4

D

1

L

1

2

L

Mansfield all matches

2

W

4

W

2

W

2

5

L

3

1

W

1

L

1

D

4

1

W

Swindon before this match, at home

1.44points / match

1.44scored / match

1.00conceded / match

7 5 6

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 26:18

Mansfield before this match, away

1.58points / match

1.37scored / match

1.05conceded / match

9 3 7

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 26:20

Swindon at home away Mansfield

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.37

1.00 Goals conceded 1.05

2.44 Total goals 2.42

13.28 Shots 12.58

4.72 Shots on target 4.00

9.67 Shots faced 9.74

6.11 Corners 5.84

4.06 Corners against 4.21

8.56 Fouls 12.26

2.06 Yellow cards 1.74

0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.58

0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.79

How often Full Time

39% Wins 47%

28% Draws 16%

33% Losses 37%

89% Over 0.5 goals 95%

67% Over 1.5 goals 74%

50% Over 2.5 goals 47%

17% Over 3.5 goals 21%

17% Over 4.5 goals 5%

6% Over 5.5 goals 0%

44% Both teams scored 47%

39% Clean sheets 32%

28% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 16%

67% Draws 42%

11% Losses 42%

56% Over 0.5 goals 74%

39% Over 1.5 goals 37%

17% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon at home

1

D

1

L

D

1

2

L

5

W

3

D

2

L

3

W

1

2

L

1

L

Mansfield away

3

L

D

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

D

4

W

2

W

3

1

W

1

L

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Swindon all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.04.23	Hartlepool – Swindon	2–1 (0–1)	2.75	3.25	2.60	1.95	1.90
25.03.23	Swindon – Stockport	0–1 (0–0)	3.60	3.30	2.10	2.10	1.70
18.03.23	Rochdale – Swindon	4–4 (2–2)	3.25	3.40	2.20	2.08	1.73
14.03.23	Walsall – Swindon	0–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.20	3.75	2.15	1.67
11.03.23	Swindon – Carlisle	1–2 (0–0)	2.90	3.10	2.55	2.05	1.75
04.03.23	Leyton Orient – Swindon	1–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.10	4.00	2.25	1.62
25.02.23	Swindon – Harrogate	3–0 (2–0)	1.75	3.60	4.75	1.85	1.95
18.02.23	Salford – Swindon	1–2 (1–1)	2.30	3.50	3.00	1.90	1.95
14.02.23	Sutton – Swindon	2–1 (0–1)	2.20	3.20	3.50	2.08	1.73
11.02.23	Swindon – Doncaster	0–2 (0–0)	2.00	3.50	3.75	2.00	1.80

Mansfield all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.04.23	Mansfield – Crawley Town	4–1 (1–0)	1.65	3.60	5.75	2.05	1.80
25.03.23	Mansfield – Sutton	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.50	3.20	2.10	1.77
22.03.23	Mansfield – Grimsby	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.40	4.50	2.02	1.83
18.03.23	Stockport – Mansfield	1–1 (1–0)	1.80	3.60	4.50	2.15	1.67
14.03.23	Northampton – Mansfield	1–0 (1–0)	2.38	3.20	3.20	2.25	1.62
04.03.23	AFC Wimbledon – Mansfield	1–3 (1–1)	3.20	3.20	2.30	2.15	1.67
25.02.23	Mansfield – Salford	2–5 (1–2)	1.95	3.50	3.80	2.00	1.85
18.02.23	Tranmere – Mansfield	0–2 (0–1)	2.75	3.10	2.70	2.40	1.53
14.02.23	Carlisle – Mansfield	0–4 (0–4)	2.38	3.30	3.00	2.20	1.65
11.02.23	Mansfield – Gillingham	2–0 (2–0)	1.80	3.50	4.75	2.30	1.60

Swindon at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.03.23	Swindon – Stockport	0–1 (0–0)	3.60	3.30	2.10	2.10	1.70
11.03.23	Swindon – Carlisle	1–2 (0–0)	2.90	3.10	2.55	2.05	1.75
25.02.23	Swindon – Harrogate	3–0 (2–0)	1.75	3.60	4.75	1.85	1.95
11.02.23	Swindon – Doncaster	0–2 (0–0)	2.00	3.50	3.75	2.00	1.80
28.01.23	Swindon – Gillingham	3–3 (1–3)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.15	1.67
14.01.23	Swindon – Grimsby	5–0 (1–0)	2.55	3.10	3.00	2.08	1.73
26.12.22	Swindon – Walsall	1–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.10	3.50	2.20	1.65
10.12.22	Swindon – AFC Wimbledon	0–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.60	3.60	1.98	1.88
19.11.22	Swindon – Crewe	0–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.75	4.50	1.85	2.00
12.11.22	Swindon – Tranmere	1–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.40	3.20	2.02	1.83

Mansfield away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.03.23	Stockport – Mansfield	1–1 (1–0)	1.80	3.60	4.50	2.15	1.67
14.03.23	Northampton – Mansfield	1–0 (1–0)	2.38	3.20	3.20	2.25	1.62
04.03.23	AFC Wimbledon – Mansfield	1–3 (1–1)	3.20	3.20	2.30	2.15	1.67
18.02.23	Tranmere – Mansfield	0–2 (0–1)	2.75	3.10	2.70	2.40	1.53
14.02.23	Carlisle – Mansfield	0–4 (0–4)	2.38	3.30	3.00	2.20	1.65
04.02.23	Bradford – Mansfield	1–1 (1–0)	2.63	3.30	2.70	2.10	1.70
01.01.23	Walsall – Mansfield	2–1 (1–0)	2.50	3.40	2.80	2.10	1.70
29.12.22	Hartlepool – Mansfield	1–2 (1–0)	3.80	3.50	2.00	2.05	1.80
10.12.22	Stevenage – Mansfield	0–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.40	3.60	2.05	1.75
19.11.22	Harrogate – Mansfield	3–0 (3–0)	3.90	3.60	1.95	1.93	1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Swindon winsDrawsMansfield wins

3matches

4.33goals / match

67%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.10.22E3	Mansfield – Swindon	2–5 (2–2)	1.90	3.60	4.00	2.00	1.85
11.01.22E3	Mansfield – Swindon	3–2 (3–1)	2.30	3.60	2.90	1.70	2.10
28.08.21E3	Swindon – Mansfield	1–0 (0–0)	3.10	3.40	2.30	2.07	1.72

England League Two table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	38	22	11	5	50	25	+25	77
2	Northampton	39	19	13	7	53	34	+19	70
3	Stevenage	38	19	11	8	52	35	+17	68
4	Carlisle	39	18	12	9	58	37	+21	66
5	Stockport	39	18	10	11	52	33	+19	64
6	Bradford	38	17	13	8	48	34	+14	64
7	Salford	39	18	9	12	61	44	+17	63
8	Mansfield	38	17	10	11	59	46	+13	61
9	Barrow	39	17	7	15	42	44	-2	58
10	Sutton	39	15	12	12	41	41	0	57
11	Swindon	38	13	12	13	50	45	+5	51
12	Doncaster	39	15	6	18	40	54	-14	51
13	Walsall	39	11	17	11	40	36	+4	50
14	Tranmere	39	13	11	15	38	40	-2	50
15	Grimsby	38	12	12	14	41	46	-5	48
16	AFC Wimbledon	40	11	13	16	41	46	-5	46
17	Crewe	38	10	15	13	36	47	-11	45
18	Newport County	38	10	14	14	38	43	-5	44
19	Gillingham	39	11	11	17	27	42	-15	44
20	Harrogate	38	9	12	17	43	55	-12	39
21	Colchester	39	9	11	19	34	46	-12	38
22	Crawley Town	39	9	10	20	43	64	-21	37
23	Hartlepool	39	7	14	18	43	68	-25	35
24	Rochdale	39	7	8	24	34	59	-25	29

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	20	14	5	1	28	8	+20	47
2	Stevenage	19	14	1	4	34	14	+20	43
3	Sutton	19	11	4	4	24	15	+9	37
4	Carlisle	19	10	6	3	28	16	+12	36
5	Northampton	20	10	6	4	25	16	+9	36
6	Barrow	20	11	3	6	25	17	+8	36
7	Stockport	20	9	8	3	26	15	+11	35
8	Walsall	20	8	8	4	24	15	+9	32
9	Bradford	20	8	8	4	27	19	+8	32
10	Salford	19	9	5	5	26	19	+7	32
11	Mansfield	19	8	7	4	33	26	+7	31
12	Doncaster	20	10	1	9	24	25	-1	31
13	Gillingham	19	9	4	6	16	17	-1	31
14	Tranmere	20	8	6	6	24	19	+5	30
15	Crawley Town	19	8	4	7	29	29	0	28
16	AFC Wimbledon	20	7	6	7	22	21	+1	27
17	Crewe	19	7	6	6	22	23	-1	27
18	Swindon	18	7	5	6	26	18	+8	26
19	Harrogate	19	5	7	7	23	27	-4	22
20	Grimsby	18	4	9	5	18	20	-2	21
21	Colchester	20	4	9	7	17	20	-3	21
22	Hartlepool	20	4	9	7	23	32	-9	21
23	Newport County	18	4	6	8	17	23	-6	18
24	Rochdale	19	3	4	12	19	30	-11	13

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Northampton	19	9	7	3	28	18	+10	34
2	Bradford	18	9	5	4	21	15	+6	32
3	Salford	20	9	4	7	35	25	+10	31
4	Carlisle	20	8	6	6	30	21	+9	30
5	Mansfield	19	9	3	7	26	20	+6	30
6	Leyton Orient	18	8	6	4	22	17	+5	30
7	Stockport	19	9	2	8	26	18	+8	29
8	Grimsby	20	8	3	9	23	26	-3	27
9	Newport County	20	6	8	6	21	20	+1	26
10	Swindon	20	6	7	7	24	27	-3	25
11	Stevenage	19	5	10	4	18	21	-3	25
12	Barrow	19	6	4	9	17	27	-10	22
13	Tranmere	19	5	5	9	14	21	-7	20
14	Sutton	20	4	8	8	17	26	-9	20
15	Doncaster	19	5	5	9	16	29	-13	20
16	AFC Wimbledon	20	4	7	9	19	25	-6	19
17	Walsall	19	3	9	7	16	21	-5	18
18	Crewe	19	3	9	7	14	24	-10	18
19	Harrogate	19	4	5	10	20	28	-8	17
20	Colchester	19	5	2	12	17	26	-9	17
21	Rochdale	20	4	4	12	15	29	-14	16
22	Hartlepool	19	3	5	11	20	36	-16	14
23	Gillingham	20	2	7	11	11	25	-14	13
24	Crawley Town	20	1	6	13	14	35	-21	9

Swindon Mansfield

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	23	Hartlepool	39	17	22	1.1	1.7	7	14	18	43	68	35
2	8	Mansfield	38	18	20	1.6	1.2	17	10	11	59	46	61
3	22	Crawley Town	39	19	20	1.1	1.6	9	10	20	43	64	37
4	20	Harrogate	38	19	19	1.1	1.4	9	12	17	43	55	39
5	7	Salford	39	21	18	1.6	1.1	18	9	12	61	44	63
6	11	Swindon	38	20	18	1.3	1.2	13	12	13	50	45	51
7	4	Carlisle	39	22	17	1.5	0.9	18	12	9	58	37	66
8	12	Doncaster	39	22	17	1.0	1.4	15	6	18	40	54	51
9	3	Stevenage	38	22	16	1.4	0.9	19	11	8	52	35	68
10	15	Grimsby	38	22	16	1.1	1.2	12	12	14	41	46	48
11	16	AFC Wimbledon	40	24	16	1.0	1.1	11	13	16	41	46	46
12	24	Rochdale	39	23	16	0.9	1.5	7	8	24	34	59	29
13	2	Northampton	39	24	15	1.4	0.9	19	13	7	53	34	70
14	5	Stockport	39	24	15	1.3	0.8	18	10	11	52	33	64
15	6	Bradford	38	23	15	1.3	0.9	17	13	8	48	34	64
16	10	Sutton	39	24	15	1.1	1.1	15	12	12	41	41	57
17	17	Crewe	38	23	15	0.9	1.2	10	15	13	36	47	45
18	9	Barrow	39	25	14	1.1	1.1	17	7	15	42	44	58
19	21	Colchester	39	26	13	0.9	1.2	9	11	19	34	46	38
20	13	Walsall	39	27	12	1.0	0.9	11	17	11	40	36	50
21	18	Newport County	38	26	12	1.0	1.1	10	14	14	38	43	44
22	14	Tranmere	39	28	11	1.0	1.0	13	11	15	38	40	50
23	1	Leyton Orient	38	28	10	1.3	0.7	22	11	5	50	25	77
24	19	Gillingham	39	31	8	0.7	1.1	11	11	17	27	42	44

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Mansfield	19	8	11	1.7	1.4	8	7	4	33	26	31
2	23	Hartlepool	20	9	11	1.1	1.6	4	9	7	23	32	21
3	3	Stevenage	19	9	10	1.8	0.7	14	1	4	34	14	43
4	20	Harrogate	19	9	10	1.2	1.4	5	7	7	23	27	22
5	22	Crawley Town	19	9	10	1.5	1.5	8	4	7	29	29	28
6	2	Northampton	20	11	9	1.2	0.8	10	6	4	25	16	36
7	11	Swindon	18	9	9	1.4	1.0	7	5	6	26	18	26
8	24	Rochdale	19	10	9	1.0	1.6	3	4	12	19	30	13
9	6	Bradford	20	12	8	1.4	0.9	8	8	4	27	19	32
10	7	Salford	19	11	8	1.4	1.0	9	5	5	26	19	32
11	9	Barrow	20	12	8	1.2	0.8	11	3	6	25	17	36
12	12	Doncaster	20	12	8	1.2	1.2	10	1	9	24	25	31
13	17	Crewe	19	11	8	1.2	1.2	7	6	6	22	23	27
14	4	Carlisle	19	12	7	1.5	0.8	10	6	3	28	16	36
15	10	Sutton	19	12	7	1.3	0.8	11	4	4	24	15	37
16	14	Tranmere	20	13	7	1.2	0.9	8	6	6	24	19	30
17	15	Grimsby	18	11	7	1.0	1.1	4	9	5	18	20	21
18	5	Stockport	20	14	6	1.3	0.8	9	8	3	26	15	35
19	13	Walsall	20	14	6	1.2	0.8	8	8	4	24	15	32
20	16	AFC Wimbledon	20	14	6	1.1	1.1	7	6	7	22	21	27
21	18	Newport County	18	12	6	0.9	1.3	4	6	8	17	23	18
22	1	Leyton Orient	20	15	5	1.4	0.4	14	5	1	28	8	47
23	21	Colchester	20	15	5	0.8	1.0	4	9	7	17	20	21
24	19	Gillingham	19	15	4	0.8	0.9	9	4	6	16	17	31

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	23	Hartlepool	19	8	11	1.1	1.9	3	5	11	20	36	14
2	4	Carlisle	20	10	10	1.5	1.1	8	6	6	30	21	30
3	7	Salford	20	10	10	1.8	1.2	9	4	7	35	25	31
4	16	AFC Wimbledon	20	10	10	0.9	1.2	4	7	9	19	25	19
5	22	Crawley Town	20	10	10	0.7	1.8	1	6	13	14	35	9
6	5	Stockport	19	10	9	1.4	0.9	9	2	8	26	18	29
7	8	Mansfield	19	10	9	1.4	1.1	9	3	7	26	20	30
8	11	Swindon	20	11	9	1.2	1.4	6	7	7	24	27	25
9	12	Doncaster	19	10	9	0.8	1.5	5	5	9	16	29	20
10	15	Grimsby	20	11	9	1.1	1.3	8	3	9	23	26	27
11	20	Harrogate	19	10	9	1.1	1.5	4	5	10	20	28	17
12	10	Sutton	20	12	8	0.8	1.3	4	8	8	17	26	20
13	21	Colchester	19	11	8	0.9	1.4	5	2	12	17	26	17
14	6	Bradford	18	11	7	1.2	0.8	9	5	4	21	15	32
15	17	Crewe	19	12	7	0.7	1.3	3	9	7	14	24	18
16	24	Rochdale	20	13	7	0.8	1.4	4	4	12	15	29	16
17	2	Northampton	19	13	6	1.5	0.9	9	7	3	28	18	34
18	3	Stevenage	19	13	6	0.9	1.1	5	10	4	18	21	25
19	9	Barrow	19	13	6	0.9	1.4	6	4	9	17	27	22
20	13	Walsall	19	13	6	0.8	1.1	3	9	7	16	21	18
21	18	Newport County	20	14	6	1.1	1.0	6	8	6	21	20	26
22	1	Leyton Orient	18	13	5	1.2	0.9	8	6	4	22	17	30
23	14	Tranmere	19	15	4	0.7	1.1	5	5	9	14	21	20
24	19	Gillingham	20	16	4	0.6	1.2	2	7	11	11	25	13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.