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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: C Boyeson

Hartlepool 2–1 Swindon

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.75 fair 3.25
Draw 3.25 fair 4.02
Away 2.60 fair 2.25
Under 2.5 1.90 fair 2.15
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.95 fair 1.87

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Hartlepool Swindon
16 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 5
10 Corners 5
15 Fouls 13
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (455 league matches this season so far).
Result Swindon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.77
Expected goals 1.26 – 1.56
Home / Draw / Away
HartlepoolDrawSwindon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 0–1 9.3% 1–2 9.1%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Hartlepool before this match, all matches
0.84points / match
1.08scored / match
1.76conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 38 played · 41:67
Swindon before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
1.32scored / match
1.16conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 49:43
Hartlepool all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

1.08 Goals scored 1.32
1.76 Goals conceded 1.16
2.84 Total goals 2.49
10.03 Shots 12.59
3.13 Shots on target 4.41
12.61 Shots faced 11.54
4.13 Corners 5.51
5.03 Corners against 4.86
10.71 Fouls 9.35
1.55 Yellow cards 1.84
0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.62
0.74 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

16% Wins 35%
37% Draws 32%
47% Losses 32%
92% Over 0.5 goals 89%
84% Over 1.5 goals 70%
55% Over 2.5 goals 46%
34% Over 3.5 goals 14%
11% Over 4.5 goals 14%
8% Over 5.5 goals 8%
63% Both teams scored 51%
16% Clean sheets 30%
29% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 22%
39% Draws 59%
37% Losses 19%
71% Over 0.5 goals 62%
32% Over 1.5 goals 32%
13% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hartlepool all matches
Swindon all matches
Hartlepool before this match, at home
0.95points / match
1.11scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 21:31
Swindon before this match, away
1.32points / match
1.21scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 23:25
Hartlepool at home away Swindon

Per match

1.11 Goals scored 1.21
1.63 Goals conceded 1.32
2.74 Total goals 2.53
11.79 Shots 11.95
3.32 Shots on target 4.11
11.16 Shots faced 13.32
4.63 Corners 4.95
5.26 Corners against 5.63
9.79 Fouls 10.11
1.26 Yellow cards 1.63
0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.58
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

16% Wins 32%
47% Draws 37%
37% Losses 32%
84% Over 0.5 goals 89%
79% Over 1.5 goals 74%
53% Over 2.5 goals 42%
32% Over 3.5 goals 11%
16% Over 4.5 goals 11%
11% Over 5.5 goals 11%
63% Both teams scored 58%
21% Clean sheets 21%
32% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 21%
47% Draws 53%
26% Losses 26%
68% Over 0.5 goals 68%
21% Over 1.5 goals 26%
5% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hartlepool at home
Swindon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Hartlepool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.03.23 Hartlepool – Leyton Orient 1–1 (0–0) 4.503.501.75 2.20 1.65
18.03.23 Bradford – Hartlepool 2–2 (0–1) 1.603.806.00 2.00 1.85
11.03.23 Hartlepool – Northampton 1–1 (1–0) 3.803.502.00 2.10 1.70
04.03.23 Tranmere – Hartlepool 1–1 (0–1) 1.833.504.75 2.10 1.77
25.02.23 Hartlepool – Walsall 3–3 (0–1) 3.403.102.20 2.20 1.65
21.02.23 Hartlepool – Newport County 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.202.20 2.35 1.57
18.02.23 AFC Wimbledon – Hartlepool 2–2 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 2.10 1.70
14.02.23 Crewe – Hartlepool 2–0 (2–0) 2.303.203.30 2.10 1.70
11.02.23 Hartlepool – Sutton 2–2 (2–2) 3.603.402.10 2.10 1.70
04.02.23 Doncaster – Hartlepool 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.754.00 2.02 1.83

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.03.23 Swindon – Stockport 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.10 1.70
18.03.23 Rochdale – Swindon 4–4 (2–2) 3.253.402.20 2.08 1.73
14.03.23 Walsall – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.75 2.15 1.67
11.03.23 Swindon – Carlisle 1–2 (0–0) 2.903.102.55 2.05 1.75
04.03.23 Leyton Orient – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.104.00 2.25 1.62
25.02.23 Swindon – Harrogate 3–0 (2–0) 1.753.604.75 1.85 1.95
18.02.23 Salford – Swindon 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.503.00 1.90 1.95
14.02.23 Sutton – Swindon 2–1 (0–1) 2.203.203.50 2.08 1.73
11.02.23 Swindon – Doncaster 0–2 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 2.00 1.80
04.02.23 Newport County – Swindon 2–1 (0–0) 2.703.202.75 2.00 1.80

Hartlepool at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.03.23 Hartlepool – Leyton Orient 1–1 (0–0) 4.503.501.75 2.20 1.65
11.03.23 Hartlepool – Northampton 1–1 (1–0) 3.803.502.00 2.10 1.70
25.02.23 Hartlepool – Walsall 3–3 (0–1) 3.403.102.20 2.20 1.65
21.02.23 Hartlepool – Newport County 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.202.20 2.35 1.57
11.02.23 Hartlepool – Sutton 2–2 (2–2) 3.603.402.10 2.10 1.70
28.01.23 Hartlepool – Colchester 1–2 (0–1) 2.553.252.80 2.15 1.67
21.01.23 Hartlepool – Rochdale 2–0 (0–0) 2.403.203.10 2.10 1.70
01.01.23 Hartlepool – Harrogate 3–3 (1–1) 2.503.402.80 1.98 1.88
29.12.22 Hartlepool – Mansfield 1–2 (1–0) 3.803.502.00 2.05 1.80
03.12.22 Hartlepool – Stockport 0–5 (0–2) 7.004.201.50 2.05 1.75

Swindon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.03.23 Rochdale – Swindon 4–4 (2–2) 3.253.402.20 2.08 1.73
14.03.23 Walsall – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.75 2.15 1.67
04.03.23 Leyton Orient – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.104.00 2.25 1.62
18.02.23 Salford – Swindon 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.503.00 1.90 1.95
14.02.23 Sutton – Swindon 2–1 (0–1) 2.203.203.50 2.08 1.73
04.02.23 Newport County – Swindon 2–1 (0–0) 2.703.202.75 2.00 1.80
01.01.23 Colchester – Swindon 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.402.30 2.08 1.73
29.12.22 Northampton – Swindon 1–2 (0–1) 2.103.403.60 2.00 1.85
17.12.22 Barrow – Swindon 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.602.75 2.02 1.83
03.12.22 Crawley Town – Swindon 2–0 (0–0) 3.603.751.95 1.90 1.95

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Hartlepool winsDrawsSwindon wins
3matches
3.33goals / match
100%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.22E3 Swindon – Hartlepool 2–1 (2–1) 1.663.805.25 1.93 1.93
23.04.22E3 Hartlepool – Swindon 0–3 (0–1) 3.703.302.10 2.10 1.70
23.11.21E3 Swindon – Hartlepool 3–1 (0–0) 1.753.754.60 1.98 1.88

England League Two table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leyton Orient 37 21 11 5 49 25 +24 74
2 Northampton 38 19 12 7 52 33 +19 69
3 Stevenage 37 19 10 8 51 34 +17 67
4 Carlisle 38 18 12 8 58 36 +22 66
5 Stockport 39 18 10 11 52 33 +19 64
6 Bradford 38 17 13 8 48 34 +14 64
7 Salford 39 18 9 12 61 44 +17 63
8 Mansfield 37 16 10 11 55 45 +10 58
9 Sutton 38 15 11 12 40 40 0 56
10 Barrow 38 16 7 15 40 43 -3 55
11 Swindon 37 13 12 12 49 43 +6 51
12 Doncaster 38 15 6 17 40 52 -12 51
13 Tranmere 39 13 11 15 38 40 -2 50
14 Walsall 38 11 16 11 39 35 +4 49
15 Grimsby 38 12 12 14 41 46 -5 48
16 AFC Wimbledon 39 11 13 15 41 45 -4 46
17 Gillingham 38 11 11 16 26 40 -14 44
18 Newport County 37 10 13 14 38 43 -5 43
19 Crewe 37 9 15 13 34 47 -13 42
20 Harrogate 38 9 12 17 43 55 -12 39
21 Colchester 38 9 10 19 34 46 -12 37
22 Crawley Town 38 9 10 19 42 60 -18 37
23 Hartlepool 38 6 14 18 41 67 -26 32
24 Rochdale 38 6 8 24 33 59 -26 26
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leyton Orient 19 13 5 1 27 8 +19 44
2 Stevenage 19 14 1 4 34 14 +20 43
3 Sutton 19 11 4 4 24 15 +9 37
4 Carlisle 19 10 6 3 28 16 +12 36
5 Stockport 20 9 8 3 26 15 +11 35
6 Northampton 19 10 5 4 24 15 +9 35
7 Barrow 19 10 3 6 23 16 +7 33
8 Bradford 20 8 8 4 27 19 +8 32
9 Salford 19 9 5 5 26 19 +7 32
10 Walsall 19 8 7 4 23 14 +9 31
11 Doncaster 19 10 1 8 24 23 +1 31
12 Gillingham 19 9 4 6 16 17 -1 31
13 Tranmere 20 8 6 6 24 19 +5 30
14 Mansfield 18 7 7 4 29 25 +4 28
15 Crawley Town 19 8 4 7 29 29 0 28
16 AFC Wimbledon 19 7 6 6 22 20 +2 27
17 Crewe 19 7 6 6 22 23 -1 27
18 Swindon 18 7 5 6 26 18 +8 26
19 Harrogate 19 5 7 7 23 27 -4 22
20 Grimsby 18 4 9 5 18 20 -2 21
21 Colchester 19 4 8 7 17 20 -3 20
22 Newport County 18 4 6 8 17 23 -6 18
23 Hartlepool 19 3 9 7 21 31 -10 18
24 Rochdale 19 3 4 12 19 30 -11 13
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Northampton 19 9 7 3 28 18 +10 34
2 Bradford 18 9 5 4 21 15 +6 32
3 Salford 20 9 4 7 35 25 +10 31
4 Carlisle 19 8 6 5 30 20 +10 30
5 Mansfield 19 9 3 7 26 20 +6 30
6 Leyton Orient 18 8 6 4 22 17 +5 30
7 Stockport 19 9 2 8 26 18 +8 29
8 Grimsby 20 8 3 9 23 26 -3 27
9 Newport County 19 6 7 6 21 20 +1 25
10 Swindon 19 6 7 6 23 25 -2 25
11 Stevenage 18 5 9 4 17 20 -3 24
12 Barrow 19 6 4 9 17 27 -10 22
13 Tranmere 19 5 5 9 14 21 -7 20
14 Doncaster 19 5 5 9 16 29 -13 20
15 AFC Wimbledon 20 4 7 9 19 25 -6 19
16 Sutton 19 4 7 8 16 25 -9 19
17 Walsall 19 3 9 7 16 21 -5 18
18 Harrogate 19 4 5 10 20 28 -8 17
19 Colchester 19 5 2 12 17 26 -9 17
20 Crewe 18 2 9 7 12 24 -12 15
21 Hartlepool 19 3 5 11 20 36 -16 14
22 Gillingham 19 2 7 10 10 23 -13 13
23 Rochdale 19 3 4 12 14 29 -15 13
24 Crawley Town 19 1 6 12 13 31 -18 9

Hartlepool   Swindon

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 23 Hartlepool 38 17 21 1.1 1.8 6 14 18 41 67 32
2 8 Mansfield 37 18 19 1.5 1.2 16 10 11 55 45 58
3 20 Harrogate 38 19 19 1.1 1.4 9 12 17 43 55 39
4 22 Crawley Town 38 19 19 1.1 1.6 9 10 19 42 60 37
5 7 Salford 39 21 18 1.6 1.1 18 9 12 61 44 63
6 4 Carlisle 38 21 17 1.5 0.9 18 12 8 58 36 66
7 11 Swindon 37 20 17 1.3 1.2 13 12 12 49 43 51
8 12 Doncaster 38 21 17 1.1 1.4 15 6 17 40 52 51
9 3 Stevenage 37 21 16 1.4 0.9 19 10 8 51 34 67
10 15 Grimsby 38 22 16 1.1 1.2 12 12 14 41 46 48
11 16 AFC Wimbledon 39 23 16 1.1 1.2 11 13 15 41 45 46
12 24 Rochdale 38 22 16 0.9 1.6 6 8 24 33 59 26
13 2 Northampton 38 23 15 1.4 0.9 19 12 7 52 33 69
14 5 Stockport 39 24 15 1.3 0.8 18 10 11 52 33 64
15 6 Bradford 38 23 15 1.3 0.9 17 13 8 48 34 64
16 9 Sutton 38 23 15 1.1 1.1 15 11 12 40 40 56
17 19 Crewe 37 22 15 0.9 1.3 9 15 13 34 47 42
18 10 Barrow 38 25 13 1.1 1.1 16 7 15 40 43 55
19 21 Colchester 38 25 13 0.9 1.2 9 10 19 34 46 37
20 14 Walsall 38 26 12 1.0 0.9 11 16 11 39 35 49
21 18 Newport County 37 25 12 1.0 1.2 10 13 14 38 43 43
22 13 Tranmere 39 28 11 1.0 1.0 13 11 15 38 40 50
23 1 Leyton Orient 37 27 10 1.3 0.7 21 11 5 49 25 74
24 17 Gillingham 38 31 7 0.7 1.1 11 11 16 26 40 44
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Stevenage 19 9 10 1.8 0.7 14 1 4 34 14 43
2 8 Mansfield 18 8 10 1.6 1.4 7 7 4 29 25 28
3 20 Harrogate 19 9 10 1.2 1.4 5 7 7 23 27 22
4 22 Crawley Town 19 9 10 1.5 1.5 8 4 7 29 29 28
5 23 Hartlepool 19 9 10 1.1 1.6 3 9 7 21 31 18
6 2 Northampton 19 10 9 1.3 0.8 10 5 4 24 15 35
7 11 Swindon 18 9 9 1.4 1.0 7 5 6 26 18 26
8 24 Rochdale 19 10 9 1.0 1.6 3 4 12 19 30 13
9 6 Bradford 20 12 8 1.4 0.9 8 8 4 27 19 32
10 7 Salford 19 11 8 1.4 1.0 9 5 5 26 19 32
11 12 Doncaster 19 11 8 1.3 1.2 10 1 8 24 23 31
12 19 Crewe 19 11 8 1.2 1.2 7 6 6 22 23 27
13 4 Carlisle 19 12 7 1.5 0.8 10 6 3 28 16 36
14 9 Sutton 19 12 7 1.3 0.8 11 4 4 24 15 37
15 10 Barrow 19 12 7 1.2 0.8 10 3 6 23 16 33
16 13 Tranmere 20 13 7 1.2 0.9 8 6 6 24 19 30
17 15 Grimsby 18 11 7 1.0 1.1 4 9 5 18 20 21
18 5 Stockport 20 14 6 1.3 0.8 9 8 3 26 15 35
19 14 Walsall 19 13 6 1.2 0.7 8 7 4 23 14 31
20 16 AFC Wimbledon 19 13 6 1.2 1.1 7 6 6 22 20 27
21 18 Newport County 18 12 6 0.9 1.3 4 6 8 17 23 18
22 1 Leyton Orient 19 14 5 1.4 0.4 13 5 1 27 8 44
23 21 Colchester 19 14 5 0.9 1.1 4 8 7 17 20 20
24 17 Gillingham 19 15 4 0.8 0.9 9 4 6 16 17 31
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 23 Hartlepool 19 8 11 1.1 1.9 3 5 11 20 36 14
2 4 Carlisle 19 9 10 1.6 1.1 8 6 5 30 20 30
3 7 Salford 20 10 10 1.8 1.2 9 4 7 35 25 31
4 16 AFC Wimbledon 20 10 10 0.9 1.2 4 7 9 19 25 19
5 5 Stockport 19 10 9 1.4 0.9 9 2 8 26 18 29
6 8 Mansfield 19 10 9 1.4 1.1 9 3 7 26 20 30
7 12 Doncaster 19 10 9 0.8 1.5 5 5 9 16 29 20
8 15 Grimsby 20 11 9 1.1 1.3 8 3 9 23 26 27
9 20 Harrogate 19 10 9 1.1 1.5 4 5 10 20 28 17
10 22 Crawley Town 19 10 9 0.7 1.6 1 6 12 13 31 9
11 9 Sutton 19 11 8 0.8 1.3 4 7 8 16 25 19
12 11 Swindon 19 11 8 1.2 1.3 6 7 6 23 25 25
13 21 Colchester 19 11 8 0.9 1.4 5 2 12 17 26 17
14 6 Bradford 18 11 7 1.2 0.8 9 5 4 21 15 32
15 19 Crewe 18 11 7 0.7 1.3 2 9 7 12 24 15
16 24 Rochdale 19 12 7 0.7 1.5 3 4 12 14 29 13
17 2 Northampton 19 13 6 1.5 0.9 9 7 3 28 18 34
18 3 Stevenage 18 12 6 0.9 1.1 5 9 4 17 20 24
19 10 Barrow 19 13 6 0.9 1.4 6 4 9 17 27 22
20 14 Walsall 19 13 6 0.8 1.1 3 9 7 16 21 18
21 18 Newport County 19 13 6 1.1 1.1 6 7 6 21 20 25
22 1 Leyton Orient 18 13 5 1.2 0.9 8 6 4 22 17 30
23 13 Tranmere 19 15 4 0.7 1.1 5 5 9 14 21 20
24 17 Gillingham 19 16 3 0.5 1.2 2 7 10 10 23 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51