Swindon 3–0 Harrogate – England League Two, 25 Feb 2023

Match facts

Swindon Harrogate

13 Shots 4

7 Shots on target 3

4 Corners 1

5 Fouls 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (375 league matches this season so far).

Result Swindon to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.89

Expected goals 1.59 – 1.09

Home / Draw / Away

49% 25% 26%

SwindonDrawHarrogate

Under / Over 2.5 goals

50% 50%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

47% 53%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

18% 1

25% 2

22% 3

15% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.9% 1–0 10.9% 2–1 9.5%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Swindon before this match, all matches

1.45points / match

1.29scored / match

1.13conceded / match

12 9 10

WonDrawnLost 31 played · 40:35

Harrogate before this match, all matches

0.97points / match

1.19scored / match

1.52conceded / match

7 9 15

WonDrawnLost 31 played · 37:47

Swindon all matches all matches Harrogate

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 1.19

1.13 Goals conceded 1.52

2.42 Total goals 2.71

13.13 Shots 10.39

4.52 Shots on target 3.55

11.77 Shots faced 14.29

5.94 Corners 4.29

4.77 Corners against 6.23

9.58 Fouls 10.00

1.87 Yellow cards 1.48

0.61 1st-half goals scored 0.45

0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.87

How often Full Time

39% Wins 23%

29% Draws 29%

32% Losses 48%

90% Over 0.5 goals 90%

71% Over 1.5 goals 71%

45% Over 2.5 goals 55%

13% Over 3.5 goals 32%

13% Over 4.5 goals 16%

6% Over 5.5 goals 6%

52% Both teams scored 52%

29% Clean sheets 23%

29% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 19%

58% Draws 42%

19% Losses 39%

65% Over 0.5 goals 74%

32% Over 1.5 goals 45%

16% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon all matches

1

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

L

5

W

3

D

1

2

L

2

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

Harrogate all matches

1

L

3

D

1

3

L

1

D

1

L

1

W

1

3

L

1

D

2

D

Swindon before this match, at home

1.53points / match

1.47scored / match

1.00conceded / match

6 5 4

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 22:15

Harrogate before this match, away

0.87points / match

1.07scored / match

1.40conceded / match

3 4 8

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 16:21

Swindon at home away Harrogate

Per match

1.47 Goals scored 1.07

1.00 Goals conceded 1.40

2.47 Total goals 2.47

14.40 Shots 8.13

5.07 Shots on target 2.67

10.00 Shots faced 15.40

6.80 Corners 3.13

4.27 Corners against 6.93

8.47 Fouls 10.87

1.93 Yellow cards 1.73

0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.27

0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.87

How often Full Time

40% Wins 20%

33% Draws 27%

27% Losses 53%

87% Over 0.5 goals 87%

67% Over 1.5 goals 60%

47% Over 2.5 goals 47%

20% Over 3.5 goals 27%

20% Over 4.5 goals 20%

7% Over 5.5 goals 7%

47% Both teams scored 47%

40% Clean sheets 27%

27% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 7%

67% Draws 53%

13% Losses 40%

60% Over 0.5 goals 67%

40% Over 1.5 goals 40%

20% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon at home

1

W

1

W

2

1

W

1

D

1

L

D

1

2

L

5

W

3

D

2

L

Harrogate away

1

L

1

2

L

1

3

L

2

3

L

4

1

W

1

L

3

D

1

W

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Swindon all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.02.23	Salford – Swindon	1–2 (1–1)	2.30	3.50	3.00	1.90	1.95
14.02.23	Sutton – Swindon	2–1 (0–1)	2.20	3.20	3.50	2.08	1.73
11.02.23	Swindon – Doncaster	0–2 (0–0)	2.00	3.50	3.75	2.00	1.80
04.02.23	Newport County – Swindon	2–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.20	2.75	2.00	1.80
28.01.23	Swindon – Gillingham	3–3 (1–3)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.15	1.67
14.01.23	Swindon – Grimsby	5–0 (1–0)	2.55	3.10	3.00	2.08	1.73
01.01.23	Colchester – Swindon	1–0 (1–0)	3.10	3.40	2.30	2.08	1.73
29.12.22	Northampton – Swindon	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.60	2.00	1.85
26.12.22	Swindon – Walsall	1–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.10	3.50	2.20	1.65
17.12.22	Barrow – Swindon	0–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.60	2.75	2.02	1.83

Harrogate all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.02.23	Grimsby – Harrogate	0–0 (0–0)	1.75	3.80	4.75	1.93	1.93
18.02.23	Harrogate – Crewe	2–2 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	4.00	2.10	1.77
14.02.23	Salford – Harrogate	1–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.50	4.00	1.90	1.95
11.02.23	Harrogate – Stockport	1–3 (0–2)	4.33	3.80	1.73	2.00	1.85
04.02.23	Carlisle – Harrogate	0–1 (0–0)	1.62	4.00	5.25	1.90	1.95
28.01.23	Harrogate – Sutton	0–1 (0–1)	2.90	3.40	2.40	2.05	1.80
14.01.23	Harrogate – Stevenage	1–1 (0–0)	4.20	3.50	1.91	2.08	1.73
07.01.23	Harrogate – Colchester	1–3 (0–2)	2.15	3.40	3.40	2.10	1.70
01.01.23	Hartlepool – Harrogate	3–3 (1–1)	2.50	3.40	2.80	1.98	1.88
29.12.22	Bradford – Harrogate	1–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.88	1.98

Swindon at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.02.23	Swindon – Doncaster	0–2 (0–0)	2.00	3.50	3.75	2.00	1.80
28.01.23	Swindon – Gillingham	3–3 (1–3)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.15	1.67
14.01.23	Swindon – Grimsby	5–0 (1–0)	2.55	3.10	3.00	2.08	1.73
26.12.22	Swindon – Walsall	1–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.10	3.50	2.20	1.65
10.12.22	Swindon – AFC Wimbledon	0–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.60	3.60	1.98	1.88
19.11.22	Swindon – Crewe	0–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.75	4.50	1.85	2.00
12.11.22	Swindon – Tranmere	1–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.40	3.20	2.02	1.83
22.10.22	Swindon – Hartlepool	2–1 (2–1)	1.66	3.80	5.25	1.93	1.93
15.10.22	Swindon – Colchester	1–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.50	3.80	1.98	1.88
04.10.22	Swindon – Newport County	1–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.40	3.20	1.90	1.95

Harrogate away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.02.23	Grimsby – Harrogate	0–0 (0–0)	1.75	3.80	4.75	1.93	1.93
14.02.23	Salford – Harrogate	1–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.50	4.00	1.90	1.95
04.02.23	Carlisle – Harrogate	0–1 (0–0)	1.62	4.00	5.25	1.90	1.95
01.01.23	Hartlepool – Harrogate	3–3 (1–1)	2.50	3.40	2.80	1.98	1.88
29.12.22	Bradford – Harrogate	1–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.88	1.98
03.12.22	Rochdale – Harrogate	1–4 (1–1)	2.37	3.40	3.00	2.00	1.85
29.10.22	AFC Wimbledon – Harrogate	3–2 (1–0)	2.15	3.40	3.40	2.05	1.80
25.10.22	Walsall – Harrogate	3–1 (3–0)	1.90	3.50	4.20	2.15	1.66
08.10.22	Colchester – Harrogate	2–1 (2–0)	2.00	3.25	4.00	2.05	1.75
24.09.22	Stevenage – Harrogate	1–0 (0–0)	1.57	4.00	6.00	2.02	1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1 1

Swindon winsDrawsHarrogate wins

3matches

3.33goals / match

67%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
30.07.22E3	Harrogate – Swindon	3–0 (1–0)	3.40	3.50	2.10	1.65	2.20
15.04.22E3	Harrogate – Swindon	1–4 (0–2)	3.20	3.30	2.30	1.90	1.95
27.11.21E3	Swindon – Harrogate	1–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.50	3.50	1.83	2.02

England League Two table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	33	21	7	5	43	19	+24	70
2	Stevenage	30	16	9	5	43	25	+18	57
3	Carlisle	32	15	10	7	49	32	+17	55
4	Stockport	32	16	6	10	48	30	+18	54
5	Northampton	31	14	10	7	44	31	+13	52
6	Mansfield	31	15	7	9	49	37	+12	52
7	Salford	32	14	7	11	42	33	+9	49
8	Bradford	30	13	9	8	37	29	+8	48
9	Sutton	32	13	8	11	34	38	-4	47
10	Doncaster	31	14	4	13	36	42	-6	46
11	Swindon	31	12	9	10	40	35	+5	45
12	Barrow	32	13	5	14	35	40	-5	44
13	Walsall	30	10	12	8	32	25	+7	42
14	AFC Wimbledon	31	10	12	9	32	31	+1	42
15	Tranmere	32	11	8	13	32	32	0	41
16	Newport County	31	9	10	12	31	34	-3	37
17	Grimsby	29	10	7	12	32	36	-4	37
18	Crewe	31	8	13	10	27	38	-11	37
19	Colchester	33	9	8	16	31	39	-8	35
20	Harrogate	31	7	9	15	37	47	-10	30
21	Gillingham	30	7	9	14	19	34	-15	30
22	Hartlepool	33	6	9	18	33	59	-26	27
23	Crawley Town	29	6	8	15	32	47	-15	26
24	Rochdale	33	5	6	22	26	51	-25	21

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	17	13	3	1	24	5	+19	42
2	Stevenage	15	12	1	2	29	9	+20	37
3	Sutton	16	10	3	3	20	13	+7	33
4	Carlisle	17	9	5	3	26	16	+10	32
5	Stockport	16	9	4	3	24	13	+11	31
6	Doncaster	15	9	1	5	22	17	+5	28
7	Walsall	15	7	5	3	21	13	+8	26
8	Mansfield	15	7	5	3	27	20	+7	26
9	Northampton	16	7	5	4	21	15	+6	26
10	Salford	17	7	5	5	20	17	+3	26
11	Tranmere	16	7	4	5	20	14	+6	25
12	Barrow	15	8	1	6	19	14	+5	25
13	Bradford	16	6	6	4	20	15	+5	24
14	AFC Wimbledon	15	6	6	3	17	13	+4	24
15	Swindon	15	6	5	4	22	15	+7	23
16	Crewe	17	6	5	6	17	19	-2	23
17	Crawley Town	14	6	2	6	20	21	-1	20
18	Colchester	16	4	7	5	16	17	-1	19
19	Gillingham	14	5	4	5	9	13	-4	19
20	Harrogate	16	4	5	7	21	26	-5	17
21	Newport County	15	4	4	7	15	19	-4	16
22	Grimsby	14	3	6	5	13	16	-3	15
23	Hartlepool	16	3	6	7	16	26	-10	15
24	Rochdale	17	2	3	12	13	26	-13	9

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	16	8	4	4	19	14	+5	28
2	Northampton	15	7	5	3	23	16	+7	26
3	Mansfield	16	8	2	6	22	17	+5	26
4	Bradford	14	7	3	4	17	14	+3	24
5	Stockport	16	7	2	7	24	17	+7	23
6	Carlisle	15	6	5	4	23	16	+7	23
7	Salford	15	7	2	6	22	16	+6	23
8	Grimsby	15	7	1	7	19	20	-1	22
9	Swindon	16	6	4	6	18	20	-2	22
10	Newport County	16	5	6	5	16	15	+1	21
11	Stevenage	15	4	8	3	14	16	-2	20
12	Barrow	17	5	4	8	16	26	-10	19
13	AFC Wimbledon	16	4	6	6	15	18	-3	18
14	Doncaster	16	5	3	8	14	25	-11	18
15	Walsall	15	3	7	5	11	12	-1	16
16	Tranmere	16	4	4	8	12	18	-6	16
17	Colchester	17	5	1	11	15	22	-7	16
18	Crewe	14	2	8	4	10	19	-9	14
19	Sutton	16	3	5	8	14	25	-11	14
20	Harrogate	15	3	4	8	16	21	-5	13
21	Rochdale	16	3	3	10	13	25	-12	12
22	Hartlepool	17	3	3	11	17	33	-16	12
23	Gillingham	16	2	5	9	10	21	-11	11
24	Crawley Town	15	0	6	9	12	26	-14	6

Swindon Harrogate

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	22	Hartlepool	33	14	19	1.0	1.8	6	9	18	33	59	27
2	6	Mansfield	31	14	17	1.6	1.2	15	7	9	49	37	52
3	20	Harrogate	31	14	17	1.2	1.5	7	9	15	37	47	30
4	23	Crawley Town	29	13	16	1.1	1.6	6	8	15	32	47	26
5	3	Carlisle	32	17	15	1.5	1.0	15	10	7	49	32	55
6	4	Stockport	32	17	15	1.5	0.9	16	6	10	48	30	54
7	5	Northampton	31	16	15	1.4	1.0	14	10	7	44	31	52
8	10	Doncaster	31	16	15	1.2	1.4	14	4	13	36	42	46
9	24	Rochdale	33	18	15	0.8	1.5	5	6	22	26	51	21
10	9	Sutton	32	18	14	1.1	1.2	13	8	11	34	38	47
11	11	Swindon	31	17	14	1.3	1.1	12	9	10	40	35	45
12	17	Grimsby	29	15	14	1.1	1.2	10	7	12	32	36	37
13	2	Stevenage	30	17	13	1.4	0.8	16	9	5	43	25	57
14	7	Salford	32	19	13	1.3	1.0	14	7	11	42	33	49
15	8	Bradford	30	17	13	1.2	1.0	13	9	8	37	29	48
16	18	Crewe	31	18	13	0.9	1.2	8	13	10	27	38	37
17	12	Barrow	32	20	12	1.1	1.2	13	5	14	35	40	44
18	19	Colchester	33	21	12	0.9	1.2	9	8	16	31	39	35
19	14	AFC Wimbledon	31	20	11	1.0	1.0	10	12	9	32	31	42
20	13	Walsall	30	20	10	1.1	0.8	10	12	8	32	25	42
21	15	Tranmere	32	22	10	1.0	1.0	11	8	13	32	32	41
22	16	Newport County	31	21	10	1.0	1.1	9	10	12	31	34	37
23	1	Leyton Orient	33	25	8	1.3	0.6	21	7	5	43	19	70
24	21	Gillingham	30	25	5	0.6	1.1	7	9	14	19	34	30

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	20	Harrogate	16	6	10	1.3	1.6	4	5	7	21	26	17
2	5	Northampton	16	7	9	1.3	0.9	7	5	4	21	15	26
3	6	Mansfield	15	6	9	1.8	1.3	7	5	3	27	20	26
4	22	Hartlepool	16	7	9	1.0	1.6	3	6	7	16	26	15
5	2	Stevenage	15	7	8	1.9	0.6	12	1	2	29	9	37
6	23	Crawley Town	14	6	8	1.4	1.5	6	2	6	20	21	20
7	24	Rochdale	17	9	8	0.8	1.5	2	3	12	13	26	9
8	3	Carlisle	17	10	7	1.5	0.9	9	5	3	26	16	32
9	10	Doncaster	15	8	7	1.5	1.1	9	1	5	22	17	28
10	11	Swindon	15	8	7	1.5	1.0	6	5	4	22	15	23
11	18	Crewe	17	10	7	1.0	1.1	6	5	6	17	19	23
12	4	Stockport	16	10	6	1.5	0.8	9	4	3	24	13	31
13	7	Salford	17	11	6	1.2	1.0	7	5	5	20	17	26
14	8	Bradford	16	10	6	1.2	0.9	6	6	4	20	15	24
15	9	Sutton	16	10	6	1.2	0.8	10	3	3	20	13	33
16	12	Barrow	15	9	6	1.3	0.9	8	1	6	19	14	25
17	13	Walsall	15	9	6	1.4	0.9	7	5	3	21	13	26
18	15	Tranmere	16	10	6	1.2	0.9	7	4	5	20	14	25
19	16	Newport County	15	9	6	1.0	1.3	4	4	7	15	19	16
20	17	Grimsby	14	8	6	0.9	1.1	3	6	5	13	16	15
21	19	Colchester	16	11	5	1.0	1.1	4	7	5	16	17	19
22	1	Leyton Orient	17	13	4	1.4	0.3	13	3	1	24	5	42
23	14	AFC Wimbledon	15	11	4	1.1	0.9	6	6	3	17	13	24
24	21	Gillingham	14	12	2	0.6	0.9	5	4	5	9	13	19

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	22	Hartlepool	17	7	10	1.0	1.9	3	3	11	17	33	12
2	4	Stockport	16	7	9	1.5	1.1	7	2	7	24	17	23
3	3	Carlisle	15	7	8	1.5	1.1	6	5	4	23	16	23
4	6	Mansfield	16	8	8	1.4	1.1	8	2	6	22	17	26
5	9	Sutton	16	8	8	0.9	1.6	3	5	8	14	25	14
6	10	Doncaster	16	8	8	0.9	1.6	5	3	8	14	25	18
7	17	Grimsby	15	7	8	1.3	1.3	7	1	7	19	20	22
8	23	Crawley Town	15	7	8	0.8	1.7	0	6	9	12	26	6
9	7	Salford	15	8	7	1.5	1.1	7	2	6	22	16	23
10	8	Bradford	14	7	7	1.2	1.0	7	3	4	17	14	24
11	11	Swindon	16	9	7	1.1	1.2	6	4	6	18	20	22
12	14	AFC Wimbledon	16	9	7	0.9	1.1	4	6	6	15	18	18
13	19	Colchester	17	10	7	0.9	1.3	5	1	11	15	22	16
14	20	Harrogate	15	8	7	1.1	1.4	3	4	8	16	21	13
15	24	Rochdale	16	9	7	0.8	1.6	3	3	10	13	25	12
16	5	Northampton	15	9	6	1.5	1.1	7	5	3	23	16	26
17	12	Barrow	17	11	6	0.9	1.5	5	4	8	16	26	19
18	18	Crewe	14	8	6	0.7	1.4	2	8	4	10	19	14
19	2	Stevenage	15	10	5	0.9	1.1	4	8	3	14	16	20
20	1	Leyton Orient	16	12	4	1.2	0.9	8	4	4	19	14	28
21	13	Walsall	15	11	4	0.7	0.8	3	7	5	11	12	16
22	15	Tranmere	16	12	4	0.8	1.1	4	4	8	12	18	16
23	16	Newport County	16	12	4	1.0	0.9	5	6	5	16	15	21
24	21	Gillingham	16	13	3	0.6	1.3	2	5	9	10	21	11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.