Northampton 1–2 Swindon – England League Two, 29 Dec 2022

Match facts

Northampton Swindon

16 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 4

15 Corners 3

11 Fouls 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (261 league matches this season so far).

Result Northampton to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.99

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.03

Home / Draw / Away

47% 26% 27%

NorthamptonDrawSwindon

Under / Over 2.5 goals

54% 46%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

50% 50%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

20% 1

26% 2

21% 3

14% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.4% 1–0 12% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Northampton before this match, all matches

1.95points / match

1.68scored / match

1.00conceded / match

12 7 3

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 37:22

Swindon before this match, all matches

1.52points / match

1.13scored / match

1.00conceded / match

9 8 6

WonDrawnLost 23 played · 26:23

Northampton all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

1.68 Goals scored 1.13

1.00 Goals conceded 1.00

2.68 Total goals 2.13

11.59 Shots 13.57

4.18 Shots on target 4.52

10.77 Shots faced 11.35

4.45 Corners 6.57

4.23 Corners against 4.26

11.32 Fouls 9.48

1.82 Yellow cards 1.87

0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.61

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

55% Wins 39%

32% Draws 35%

14% Losses 26%

91% Over 0.5 goals 87%

77% Over 1.5 goals 65%

55% Over 2.5 goals 35%

32% Over 3.5 goals 9%

14% Over 4.5 goals 9%

0% Over 5.5 goals 4%

64% Both teams scored 48%

23% Clean sheets 35%

23% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 17%

50% Draws 65%

23% Losses 17%

68% Over 0.5 goals 61%

36% Over 1.5 goals 35%

9% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Northampton all matches

1

L

D

3

2

W

2

D

1

D

2

W

3

1

W

D

2

1

W

1

D

Swindon all matches

1

W

2

1

W

1

D

5

2

W

1

D

1

L

2

L

D

1

W

1

2

L

Northampton before this match, at home

1.91points / match

1.64scored / match

1.00conceded / match

6 3 2

WonDrawnLost 11 played · 18:11

Swindon before this match, away

1.45points / match

1.09scored / match

1.18conceded / match

4 4 3

WonDrawnLost 11 played · 12:13

Northampton at home away Swindon

Per match

1.64 Goals scored 1.09

1.00 Goals conceded 1.18

2.64 Total goals 2.27

12.45 Shots 13.55

4.45 Shots on target 4.36

10.82 Shots faced 12.64

4.00 Corners 5.91

3.91 Corners against 4.09

11.27 Fouls 10.27

1.91 Yellow cards 1.64

0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.55

0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

55% Wins 36%

27% Draws 36%

18% Losses 27%

91% Over 0.5 goals 91%

73% Over 1.5 goals 73%

64% Over 2.5 goals 27%

27% Over 3.5 goals 9%

9% Over 4.5 goals 9%

0% Over 5.5 goals 9%

64% Both teams scored 45%

18% Clean sheets 27%

27% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 18%

55% Draws 55%

27% Losses 27%

73% Over 0.5 goals 64%

36% Over 1.5 goals 27%

0% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Northampton at home

2

1

W

1

L

3

1

W

3

W

2

1

W

1

L

2

D

1

D

2

1

W

Swindon away

1

D

1

D

1

W

2

1

W

2

L

1

D

5

2

W

2

L

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Northampton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.22	Mansfield – Northampton	1–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.50	3.60	2.10	1.77
20.12.22	Northampton – Carlisle	2–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.30	3.60	2.15	1.67
03.12.22	Northampton – Tranmere	0–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.10	2.80	2.40	1.53
19.11.22	Bradford – Northampton	1–3 (0–2)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.15	1.66
12.11.22	Gillingham – Northampton	0–2 (0–1)	3.00	3.10	2.55	2.50	1.50
29.10.22	Northampton – Newport County	1–1 (0–1)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.15	1.66
25.10.22	Northampton – Sutton	2–2 (2–0)	2.37	3.20	3.20	2.40	1.53
22.10.22	Stevenage – Northampton	2–3 (1–1)	1.85	3.60	4.20	2.20	1.65
15.10.22	Leyton Orient – Northampton	0–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.40	4.20	2.10	1.70
08.10.22	Northampton – Salford	0–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.50	2.75	2.10	1.70

Swindon all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.22	Swindon – Walsall	1–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.10	3.50	2.20	1.65
17.12.22	Barrow – Swindon	0–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.60	2.75	2.02	1.83
10.12.22	Swindon – AFC Wimbledon	0–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.60	3.60	1.98	1.88
03.12.22	Crawley Town – Swindon	2–0 (0–0)	3.60	3.75	1.95	1.90	1.95
19.11.22	Swindon – Crewe	0–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.75	4.50	1.85	2.00
12.11.22	Swindon – Tranmere	1–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.40	3.20	2.02	1.83
29.10.22	Mansfield – Swindon	2–5 (2–2)	1.90	3.60	4.00	2.00	1.85
25.10.22	Bradford – Swindon	1–1 (1–0)	2.40	3.40	2.87	1.95	1.90
22.10.22	Swindon – Hartlepool	2–1 (2–1)	1.66	3.80	5.25	1.93	1.93
15.10.22	Swindon – Colchester	1–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.50	3.80	1.98	1.88

Northampton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.12.22	Northampton – Carlisle	2–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.30	3.60	2.15	1.67
03.12.22	Northampton – Tranmere	0–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.10	2.80	2.40	1.53
29.10.22	Northampton – Newport County	1–1 (0–1)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.15	1.66
25.10.22	Northampton – Sutton	2–2 (2–0)	2.37	3.20	3.20	2.40	1.53
08.10.22	Northampton – Salford	0–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.50	2.75	2.10	1.70
24.09.22	Northampton – Stockport	2–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.30	2.90	2.02	1.83
17.09.22	Northampton – Rochdale	3–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.50	4.75	2.10	1.70
03.09.22	Northampton – Barrow	3–1 (1–1)	1.95	3.40	4.00	2.25	1.61
27.08.22	Northampton – Doncaster	0–1 (0–0)	1.90	3.60	4.00	1.88	1.98
13.08.22	Northampton – Hartlepool	2–1 (1–1)	1.85	3.60	4.20	2.20	1.65

Swindon away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.12.22	Barrow – Swindon	0–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.60	2.75	2.02	1.83
03.12.22	Crawley Town – Swindon	2–0 (0–0)	3.60	3.75	1.95	1.90	1.95
29.10.22	Mansfield – Swindon	2–5 (2–2)	1.90	3.60	4.00	2.00	1.85
25.10.22	Bradford – Swindon	1–1 (1–0)	2.40	3.40	2.87	1.95	1.90
08.10.22	Stevenage – Swindon	2–0 (1–0)	1.83	3.30	5.00	2.02	1.83
24.09.22	Grimsby – Swindon	1–2 (1–2)	2.25	3.40	3.20	2.00	1.85
17.09.22	Doncaster – Swindon	0–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.25	2.75	2.05	1.80
03.09.22	Gillingham – Swindon	0–0 (0–0)	2.62	3.20	2.75	2.15	1.66
27.08.22	Stockport – Swindon	1–1 (0–0)	1.80	4.00	4.20	1.90	1.95
13.08.22	Carlisle – Swindon	1–1 (1–1)	2.55	3.30	2.80	2.05	1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1 1

Northampton winsDrawsSwindon wins

3matches

4.00goals / match

67%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.10.22E3	Swindon – Northampton	1–2 (0–0)	2.45	3.20	3.10	2.07	1.72
01.01.22E3	Swindon – Northampton	5–2 (1–1)	2.20	3.40	3.30	1.98	1.88
18.09.21E3	Northampton – Swindon	1–1 (0–0)	2.15	3.50	3.30	2.07	1.72

England League Two table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	22	16	4	2	35	12	+23	52
2	Stevenage	22	13	6	3	31	16	+15	45
3	Northampton	22	12	7	3	37	22	+15	43
4	Carlisle	23	10	9	4	36	23	+13	39
5	Swindon	23	9	8	6	26	23	+3	35
6	Mansfield	22	10	5	7	30	28	+2	35
7	Barrow	22	11	2	9	28	26	+2	35
8	Walsall	21	9	6	6	27	18	+9	33
9	Bradford	21	9	6	6	26	21	+5	33
10	Salford	21	9	5	7	24	19	+5	32
11	Stockport	21	9	4	8	31	22	+9	31
12	AFC Wimbledon	22	8	7	7	26	25	+1	31
13	Doncaster	22	9	4	9	24	30	-6	31
14	Tranmere	22	8	6	8	23	18	+5	30
15	Sutton	23	8	5	10	21	29	-8	29
16	Grimsby	21	7	6	8	24	23	+1	27
17	Crewe	21	6	7	8	18	27	-9	25
18	Newport County	22	6	5	11	21	25	-4	23
19	Harrogate	21	6	4	11	27	32	-5	22
20	Crawley Town	22	5	6	11	23	34	-11	21
21	Hartlepool	22	4	6	12	20	40	-20	18
22	Colchester	22	4	5	13	19	29	-10	17
23	Rochdale	21	4	3	14	15	31	-16	15
24	Gillingham	21	2	8	11	6	25	-19	14

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	12	9	2	1	19	4	+15	29
2	Stevenage	11	9	1	1	20	5	+15	28
3	Barrow	11	8	0	3	18	9	+9	24
4	Northampton	11	6	3	2	18	11	+7	21
5	Walsall	10	6	2	2	17	8	+9	20
6	Carlisle	11	5	5	1	15	9	+6	20
7	Sutton	11	6	2	3	12	10	+2	20
8	Swindon	12	5	4	3	14	10	+4	19
9	Mansfield	11	5	4	2	18	15	+3	19
10	Stockport	11	5	3	3	15	10	+5	18
11	AFC Wimbledon	11	5	3	3	14	11	+3	18
12	Tranmere	11	5	2	4	15	9	+6	17
13	Doncaster	10	5	1	4	13	12	+1	16
14	Crawley Town	12	5	1	6	15	17	-2	16
15	Harrogate	11	4	3	4	16	16	0	15
16	Crewe	11	4	3	4	13	13	0	15
17	Bradford	10	3	5	2	12	9	+3	14
18	Colchester	10	3	4	3	12	11	+1	13
19	Salford	11	3	4	4	11	12	-1	13
20	Grimsby	10	2	5	3	11	11	0	11
21	Newport County	11	3	1	7	9	14	-5	10
22	Gillingham	11	2	4	5	4	12	-8	10
23	Hartlepool	10	2	4	4	7	16	-9	10
24	Rochdale	11	2	1	8	9	17	-8	7

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	10	7	2	1	16	8	+8	23
2	Northampton	11	6	4	1	19	11	+8	22
3	Carlisle	12	5	4	3	21	14	+7	19
4	Salford	10	6	1	3	13	7	+6	19
5	Bradford	11	6	1	4	14	12	+2	19
6	Stevenage	11	4	5	2	11	11	0	17
7	Grimsby	11	5	1	5	13	12	+1	16
8	Mansfield	11	5	1	5	12	13	-1	16
9	Swindon	11	4	4	3	12	13	-1	16
10	Doncaster	12	4	3	5	11	18	-7	15
11	Stockport	10	4	1	5	16	12	+4	13
12	Newport County	11	3	4	4	12	11	+1	13
13	Walsall	11	3	4	4	10	10	0	13
14	Tranmere	11	3	4	4	8	9	-1	13
15	AFC Wimbledon	11	3	4	4	12	14	-2	13
16	Barrow	11	3	2	6	10	17	-7	11
17	Crewe	10	2	4	4	5	14	-9	10
18	Sutton	12	2	3	7	9	19	-10	9
19	Rochdale	10	2	2	6	6	14	-8	8
20	Hartlepool	12	2	2	8	13	24	-11	8
21	Harrogate	10	2	1	7	11	16	-5	7
22	Crawley Town	10	0	5	5	8	17	-9	5
23	Colchester	12	1	1	10	7	18	-11	4
24	Gillingham	10	0	4	6	2	13	-11	4

Northampton Swindon

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	19	Harrogate	21	8	13	1.3	1.5	6	4	11	27	32	22
2	21	Hartlepool	22	9	13	0.9	1.8	4	6	12	20	40	18
3	3	Northampton	22	10	12	1.7	1.0	12	7	3	37	22	43
4	6	Mansfield	22	10	12	1.4	1.3	10	5	7	30	28	35
5	13	Doncaster	22	10	12	1.1	1.4	9	4	9	24	30	31
6	4	Carlisle	23	12	11	1.6	1.0	10	9	4	36	23	39
7	11	Stockport	21	10	11	1.5	1.0	9	4	8	31	22	31
8	20	Crawley Town	22	11	11	1.0	1.5	5	6	11	23	34	21
9	9	Bradford	21	11	10	1.2	1.0	9	6	6	26	21	33
10	17	Crewe	21	11	10	0.9	1.3	6	7	8	18	27	25
11	2	Stevenage	22	13	9	1.4	0.7	13	6	3	31	16	45
12	7	Barrow	22	13	9	1.3	1.2	11	2	9	28	26	35
13	8	Walsall	21	12	9	1.3	0.9	9	6	6	27	18	33
14	15	Sutton	23	14	9	0.9	1.3	8	5	10	21	29	29
15	16	Grimsby	21	12	9	1.1	1.1	7	6	8	24	23	27
16	23	Rochdale	21	12	9	0.7	1.5	4	3	14	15	31	15
17	5	Swindon	23	15	8	1.1	1.0	9	8	6	26	23	35
18	12	AFC Wimbledon	22	14	8	1.2	1.1	8	7	7	26	25	31
19	22	Colchester	22	14	8	0.9	1.3	4	5	13	19	29	17
20	10	Salford	21	14	7	1.1	0.9	9	5	7	24	19	32
21	14	Tranmere	22	15	7	1.0	0.8	8	6	8	23	18	30
22	18	Newport County	22	15	7	1.0	1.1	6	5	11	21	25	23
23	1	Leyton Orient	22	16	6	1.6	0.5	16	4	2	35	12	52
24	24	Gillingham	21	19	2	0.3	1.2	2	8	11	6	25	14

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Northampton	11	4	7	1.6	1.0	6	3	2	18	11	21
2	6	Mansfield	11	4	7	1.6	1.4	5	4	2	18	15	19
3	19	Harrogate	11	4	7	1.5	1.5	4	3	4	16	16	15
4	17	Crewe	11	5	6	1.2	1.2	4	3	4	13	13	15
5	20	Crawley Town	12	6	6	1.2	1.4	5	1	6	15	17	16
6	23	Rochdale	11	5	6	0.8	1.5	2	1	8	9	17	7
7	2	Stevenage	11	6	5	1.8	0.5	9	1	1	20	5	28
8	5	Swindon	12	7	5	1.2	0.8	5	4	3	14	10	19
9	7	Barrow	11	6	5	1.6	0.8	8	0	3	18	9	24
10	8	Walsall	10	5	5	1.7	0.8	6	2	2	17	8	20
11	13	Doncaster	10	5	5	1.3	1.2	5	1	4	13	12	16
12	14	Tranmere	11	6	5	1.4	0.8	5	2	4	15	9	17
13	16	Grimsby	10	5	5	1.1	1.1	2	5	3	11	11	11
14	21	Hartlepool	10	5	5	0.7	1.6	2	4	4	7	16	10
15	4	Carlisle	11	7	4	1.4	0.8	5	5	1	15	9	20
16	9	Bradford	10	6	4	1.2	0.9	3	5	2	12	9	14
17	11	Stockport	11	7	4	1.4	0.9	5	3	3	15	10	18
18	22	Colchester	10	6	4	1.2	1.1	3	4	3	12	11	13
19	1	Leyton Orient	12	9	3	1.6	0.3	9	2	1	19	4	29
20	10	Salford	11	8	3	1.0	1.1	3	4	4	11	12	13
21	12	AFC Wimbledon	11	8	3	1.3	1.0	5	3	3	14	11	18
22	15	Sutton	11	8	3	1.1	0.9	6	2	3	12	10	20
23	18	Newport County	11	8	3	0.8	1.3	3	1	7	9	14	10
24	24	Gillingham	11	10	1	0.4	1.1	2	4	5	4	12	10

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	21	Hartlepool	12	4	8	1.1	2.0	2	2	8	13	24	8
2	4	Carlisle	12	5	7	1.8	1.2	5	4	3	21	14	19
3	11	Stockport	10	3	7	1.6	1.2	4	1	5	16	12	13
4	13	Doncaster	12	5	7	0.9	1.5	4	3	5	11	18	15
5	9	Bradford	11	5	6	1.3	1.1	6	1	4	14	12	19
6	15	Sutton	12	6	6	0.8	1.6	2	3	7	9	19	9
7	19	Harrogate	10	4	6	1.1	1.6	2	1	7	11	16	7
8	3	Northampton	11	6	5	1.7	1.0	6	4	1	19	11	22
9	6	Mansfield	11	6	5	1.1	1.2	5	1	5	12	13	16
10	12	AFC Wimbledon	11	6	5	1.1	1.3	3	4	4	12	14	13
11	20	Crawley Town	10	5	5	0.8	1.7	0	5	5	8	17	5
12	2	Stevenage	11	7	4	1.0	1.0	4	5	2	11	11	17
13	7	Barrow	11	7	4	0.9	1.5	3	2	6	10	17	11
14	8	Walsall	11	7	4	0.9	0.9	3	4	4	10	10	13
15	10	Salford	10	6	4	1.3	0.7	6	1	3	13	7	19
16	16	Grimsby	11	7	4	1.2	1.1	5	1	5	13	12	16
17	17	Crewe	10	6	4	0.5	1.4	2	4	4	5	14	10
18	18	Newport County	11	7	4	1.1	1.0	3	4	4	12	11	13
19	22	Colchester	12	8	4	0.6	1.5	1	1	10	7	18	4
20	1	Leyton Orient	10	7	3	1.6	0.8	7	2	1	16	8	23
21	5	Swindon	11	8	3	1.1	1.2	4	4	3	12	13	16
22	23	Rochdale	10	7	3	0.6	1.4	2	2	6	6	14	8
23	14	Tranmere	11	9	2	0.7	0.8	3	4	4	8	9	13
24	24	Gillingham	10	9	1	0.2	1.3	0	4	6	2	13	4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.