Rochdale 4–4 Swindon – England League Two, 18 Mar 2023

Match facts

Rochdale Swindon

18 Shots 16

8 Shots on target 7

6 Corners 5

11 Fouls 7

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (426 league matches this season so far).

Result Swindon to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.91

Expected goals 1.03 – 1.34

Home / Draw / Away

29% 27% 44%

RochdaleDrawSwindon

Under / Over 2.5 goals

58% 42%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

52% 48%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

9% 0

22% 1

26% 2

21% 3

12% 4

9% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.9% 0–1 12.5% 1–0 9.6%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Rochdale before this match, all matches

0.69points / match

0.81scored / match

1.47conceded / match

6 7 23

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 29:53

Swindon before this match, all matches

1.43points / match

1.29scored / match

1.09conceded / match

13 11 11

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 45:38

Rochdale all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

0.81 Goals scored 1.29

1.47 Goals conceded 1.09

2.28 Total goals 2.37

8.97 Shots 12.86

3.06 Shots on target 4.46

13.11 Shots faced 11.31

4.17 Corners 5.66

5.17 Corners against 4.91

11.31 Fouls 9.34

1.81 Yellow cards 1.83

0.36 1st-half goals scored 0.60

0.72 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

17% Wins 37%

19% Draws 31%

64% Losses 31%

97% Over 0.5 goals 89%

64% Over 1.5 goals 71%

42% Over 2.5 goals 46%

8% Over 3.5 goals 11%

8% Over 4.5 goals 11%

6% Over 5.5 goals 6%

50% Both teams scored 51%

14% Clean sheets 31%

39% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 23%

39% Draws 57%

47% Losses 20%

75% Over 0.5 goals 63%

25% Over 1.5 goals 31%

3% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Rochdale all matches

2

L

1

L

1

2

L

1

D

1

2

L

2

L

1

2

L

1

D

2

W

1

L

Swindon all matches

5

W

3

D

1

2

L

2

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

3

W

1

D

1

2

L

D

Rochdale before this match, at home

0.67points / match

0.83scored / match

1.44conceded / match

3 3 12

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 15:26

Swindon before this match, away

1.33points / match

1.06scored / match

1.17conceded / match

6 6 6

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 19:21

Rochdale at home away Swindon

Per match

0.83 Goals scored 1.06

1.44 Goals conceded 1.17

2.28 Total goals 2.22

9.89 Shots 11.72

3.22 Shots on target 3.94

11.94 Shots faced 13.06

4.33 Corners 4.94

4.39 Corners against 5.61

11.22 Fouls 10.28

1.78 Yellow cards 1.67

0.39 1st-half goals scored 0.50

0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

17% Wins 33%

17% Draws 33%

67% Losses 33%

100% Over 0.5 goals 89%

72% Over 1.5 goals 72%

44% Over 2.5 goals 39%

6% Over 3.5 goals 6%

6% Over 4.5 goals 6%

0% Over 5.5 goals 6%

61% Both teams scored 56%

11% Clean sheets 22%

28% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 22%

44% Draws 50%

39% Losses 28%

72% Over 0.5 goals 67%

28% Over 1.5 goals 22%

0% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Rochdale at home

1

L

1

4

L

1

2

L

1

D

1

2

L

1

L

1

D

2

L

1

2

L

2

W

Swindon away

5

2

W

2

L

1

W

2

1

W

1

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Rochdale all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.03.23	Grimsby – Rochdale	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.20	4.33	2.25	1.62
04.03.23	Rochdale – Stevenage	2–0 (2–0)	4.75	3.50	1.80	2.10	1.70
25.02.23	Crewe – Rochdale	1–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.10	3.10	2.25	1.62
21.02.23	Rochdale – Stockport	1–2 (0–0)	5.25	3.60	1.73	2.25	1.62
18.02.23	Rochdale – Gillingham	0–2 (0–1)	3.20	3.10	2.40	2.30	1.60
14.02.23	Leyton Orient – Rochdale	2–1 (2–0)	1.62	3.60	6.50	2.15	1.67
11.02.23	Rochdale – Northampton	1–1 (0–0)	3.60	3.40	2.10	2.20	1.65
04.02.23	Salford – Rochdale	2–1 (1–0)	1.91	3.40	4.33	2.00	1.80
28.01.23	Rochdale – Carlisle	0–1 (0–1)	3.75	3.50	2.00	2.08	1.73
21.01.23	Hartlepool – Rochdale	2–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.20	3.10	2.10	1.70

Swindon all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.03.23	Walsall – Swindon	0–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.20	3.75	2.15	1.67
11.03.23	Swindon – Carlisle	1–2 (0–0)	2.90	3.10	2.55	2.05	1.75
04.03.23	Leyton Orient – Swindon	1–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.10	4.00	2.25	1.62
25.02.23	Swindon – Harrogate	3–0 (2–0)	1.75	3.60	4.75	1.85	1.95
18.02.23	Salford – Swindon	1–2 (1–1)	2.30	3.50	3.00	1.90	1.95
14.02.23	Sutton – Swindon	2–1 (0–1)	2.20	3.20	3.50	2.08	1.73
11.02.23	Swindon – Doncaster	0–2 (0–0)	2.00	3.50	3.75	2.00	1.80
04.02.23	Newport County – Swindon	2–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.20	2.75	2.00	1.80
28.01.23	Swindon – Gillingham	3–3 (1–3)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.15	1.67
14.01.23	Swindon – Grimsby	5–0 (1–0)	2.55	3.10	3.00	2.08	1.73

Rochdale at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.03.23	Rochdale – Stevenage	2–0 (2–0)	4.75	3.50	1.80	2.10	1.70
21.02.23	Rochdale – Stockport	1–2 (0–0)	5.25	3.60	1.73	2.25	1.62
18.02.23	Rochdale – Gillingham	0–2 (0–1)	3.20	3.10	2.40	2.30	1.60
11.02.23	Rochdale – Northampton	1–1 (0–0)	3.60	3.40	2.10	2.20	1.65
28.01.23	Rochdale – Carlisle	0–1 (0–1)	3.75	3.50	2.00	2.08	1.73
14.01.23	Rochdale – Colchester	1–2 (1–1)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.10	1.70
07.01.23	Rochdale – Newport County	1–1 (1–0)	3.40	3.25	2.25	2.15	1.67
26.12.22	Rochdale – Hartlepool	1–2 (0–1)	2.00	3.50	3.80	2.02	1.83
03.12.22	Rochdale – Harrogate	1–4 (1–1)	2.37	3.40	3.00	2.00	1.85
12.11.22	Rochdale – Mansfield	0–1 (0–0)	3.40	3.30	2.20	2.05	1.75

Swindon away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.03.23	Walsall – Swindon	0–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.20	3.75	2.15	1.67
04.03.23	Leyton Orient – Swindon	1–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.10	4.00	2.25	1.62
18.02.23	Salford – Swindon	1–2 (1–1)	2.30	3.50	3.00	1.90	1.95
14.02.23	Sutton – Swindon	2–1 (0–1)	2.20	3.20	3.50	2.08	1.73
04.02.23	Newport County – Swindon	2–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.20	2.75	2.00	1.80
01.01.23	Colchester – Swindon	1–0 (1–0)	3.10	3.40	2.30	2.08	1.73
29.12.22	Northampton – Swindon	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.60	2.00	1.85
17.12.22	Barrow – Swindon	0–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.60	2.75	2.02	1.83
03.12.22	Crawley Town – Swindon	2–0 (0–0)	3.60	3.75	1.95	1.90	1.95
29.10.22	Mansfield – Swindon	2–5 (2–2)	1.90	3.60	4.00	2.00	1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Rochdale winsDrawsSwindon wins

3matches

2.33goals / match

67%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.08.22E3	Swindon – Rochdale	3–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.60	3.80	1.93	1.93
02.04.22E3	Rochdale – Swindon	0–0 (0–0)	2.62	3.40	2.70	2.00	1.85
16.10.21E3	Swindon – Rochdale	2–2 (1–0)	2.15	3.25	3.60	2.10	1.70

England League Two table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	35	21	9	5	46	22	+24	72
2	Stevenage	35	19	9	7	50	31	+19	66
3	Carlisle	35	18	10	7	58	35	+23	64
4	Northampton	36	17	12	7	49	33	+16	63
5	Bradford	36	16	12	8	45	32	+13	60
6	Stockport	36	17	8	11	49	31	+18	59
7	Salford	36	16	8	12	54	41	+13	56
8	Mansfield	34	16	7	11	54	44	+10	55
9	Sutton	37	15	10	12	40	40	0	55
10	Barrow	36	15	7	14	38	41	-3	52
11	Swindon	35	13	11	11	45	38	+7	50
12	Doncaster	35	15	5	15	38	46	-8	50
13	Tranmere	36	13	9	14	35	35	0	48
14	Walsall	35	10	15	10	36	32	+4	45
15	Grimsby	34	12	9	13	37	41	-4	45
16	AFC Wimbledon	36	10	13	13	38	42	-4	43
17	Crewe	35	9	15	11	33	44	-11	42
18	Newport County	36	9	13	14	35	42	-7	40
19	Gillingham	35	9	11	15	23	37	-14	38
20	Colchester	36	9	8	19	31	43	-12	35
21	Harrogate	36	8	11	17	41	54	-13	35
22	Hartlepool	37	6	13	18	40	66	-26	31
23	Crawley Town	34	7	8	19	37	58	-21	29
24	Rochdale	36	6	7	23	29	53	-24	25

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stevenage	18	14	1	3	33	11	+22	43
2	Leyton Orient	18	13	4	1	25	6	+19	43
3	Sutton	19	11	4	4	24	15	+9	37
4	Carlisle	18	10	5	3	28	16	+12	35
5	Stockport	18	9	6	3	24	13	+11	33
6	Northampton	18	9	5	4	23	15	+8	32
7	Doncaster	18	10	1	7	24	21	+3	31
8	Barrow	18	9	3	6	21	15	+6	30
9	Tranmere	18	8	5	5	22	15	+7	29
10	Salford	18	8	5	5	23	18	+5	29
11	Bradford	18	7	7	4	24	17	+7	28
12	Walsall	18	7	7	4	21	14	+7	28
13	Crewe	19	7	6	6	22	23	-1	27
14	Swindon	17	7	5	5	26	17	+9	26
15	Mansfield	16	7	5	4	29	25	+4	26
16	Gillingham	17	7	4	6	13	16	-3	25
17	AFC Wimbledon	17	6	6	5	20	19	+1	24
18	Crawley Town	16	7	2	7	25	27	-2	23
19	Grimsby	17	4	8	5	17	19	-2	20
20	Colchester	18	4	7	7	16	19	-3	19
21	Harrogate	18	4	7	7	22	27	-5	19
22	Newport County	18	4	6	8	17	23	-6	18
23	Hartlepool	18	3	8	7	20	30	-10	17
24	Rochdale	18	3	3	12	15	26	-11	12

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	18	9	5	4	21	15	+6	32
2	Northampton	18	8	7	3	26	18	+8	31
3	Carlisle	17	8	5	4	30	19	+11	29
4	Mansfield	18	9	2	7	25	19	+6	29
5	Leyton Orient	17	8	5	4	21	16	+5	29
6	Salford	18	8	3	7	31	23	+8	27
7	Stockport	18	8	2	8	25	18	+7	26
8	Grimsby	17	8	1	8	20	22	-2	25
9	Swindon	18	6	6	6	19	21	-2	24
10	Stevenage	17	5	8	4	17	20	-3	23
11	Newport County	18	5	7	6	18	19	-1	22
12	Barrow	18	6	4	8	17	26	-9	22
13	AFC Wimbledon	19	4	7	8	18	23	-5	19
14	Tranmere	18	5	4	9	13	20	-7	19
15	Doncaster	17	5	4	8	14	25	-11	19
16	Sutton	18	4	6	8	16	25	-9	18
17	Walsall	17	3	8	6	15	18	-3	17
18	Harrogate	18	4	4	10	19	27	-8	16
19	Colchester	18	5	1	12	15	24	-9	16
20	Crewe	16	2	9	5	11	21	-10	15
21	Hartlepool	19	3	5	11	20	36	-16	14
22	Gillingham	18	2	7	9	10	21	-11	13
23	Rochdale	18	3	4	11	14	27	-13	13
24	Crawley Town	18	0	6	12	12	31	-19	6

Rochdale Swindon

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	22	Hartlepool	37	16	21	1.1	1.8	6	13	18	40	66	31
2	8	Mansfield	34	15	19	1.6	1.3	16	7	11	54	44	55
3	21	Harrogate	36	17	19	1.1	1.5	8	11	17	41	54	35
4	23	Crawley Town	34	15	19	1.1	1.7	7	8	19	37	58	29
5	3	Carlisle	35	18	17	1.7	1.0	18	10	7	58	35	64
6	7	Salford	36	20	16	1.5	1.1	16	8	12	54	41	56
7	11	Swindon	35	19	16	1.3	1.1	13	11	11	45	38	50
8	12	Doncaster	35	19	16	1.1	1.3	15	5	15	38	46	50
9	2	Stevenage	35	20	15	1.4	0.9	19	9	7	50	31	66
10	4	Northampton	36	21	15	1.4	0.9	17	12	7	49	33	63
11	6	Stockport	36	21	15	1.4	0.9	17	8	11	49	31	59
12	9	Sutton	37	22	15	1.1	1.1	15	10	12	40	40	55
13	15	Grimsby	34	19	15	1.1	1.2	12	9	13	37	41	45
14	16	AFC Wimbledon	36	21	15	1.1	1.2	10	13	13	38	42	43
15	24	Rochdale	36	21	15	0.8	1.5	6	7	23	29	53	25
16	5	Bradford	36	22	14	1.2	0.9	16	12	8	45	32	60
17	17	Crewe	35	21	14	0.9	1.3	9	15	11	33	44	42
18	10	Barrow	36	24	12	1.1	1.1	15	7	14	38	41	52
19	14	Walsall	35	23	12	1.0	0.9	10	15	10	36	32	45
20	20	Colchester	36	24	12	0.9	1.2	9	8	19	31	43	35
21	18	Newport County	36	25	11	1.0	1.2	9	13	14	35	42	40
22	13	Tranmere	36	26	10	1.0	1.0	13	9	14	35	35	48
23	1	Leyton Orient	35	26	9	1.3	0.6	21	9	5	46	22	72
24	19	Gillingham	35	29	6	0.7	1.1	9	11	15	23	37	38

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Mansfield	16	6	10	1.8	1.6	7	5	4	29	25	26
2	21	Harrogate	18	8	10	1.2	1.5	4	7	7	22	27	19
3	22	Hartlepool	18	8	10	1.1	1.7	3	8	7	20	30	17
4	23	Crawley Town	16	6	10	1.6	1.7	7	2	7	25	27	23
5	2	Stevenage	18	9	9	1.8	0.6	14	1	3	33	11	43
6	4	Northampton	18	9	9	1.3	0.8	9	5	4	23	15	32
7	11	Swindon	17	8	9	1.5	1.0	7	5	5	26	17	26
8	12	Doncaster	18	10	8	1.3	1.2	10	1	7	24	21	31
9	17	Crewe	19	11	8	1.2	1.2	7	6	6	22	23	27
10	24	Rochdale	18	10	8	0.8	1.4	3	3	12	15	26	12
11	3	Carlisle	18	11	7	1.6	0.9	10	5	3	28	16	35
12	5	Bradford	18	11	7	1.3	0.9	7	7	4	24	17	28
13	7	Salford	18	11	7	1.3	1.0	8	5	5	23	18	29
14	9	Sutton	19	12	7	1.3	0.8	11	4	4	24	15	37
15	15	Grimsby	17	10	7	1.0	1.1	4	8	5	17	19	20
16	6	Stockport	18	12	6	1.3	0.7	9	6	3	24	13	33
17	10	Barrow	18	12	6	1.2	0.8	9	3	6	21	15	30
18	13	Tranmere	18	12	6	1.2	0.8	8	5	5	22	15	29
19	14	Walsall	18	12	6	1.2	0.8	7	7	4	21	14	28
20	16	AFC Wimbledon	17	11	6	1.2	1.1	6	6	5	20	19	24
21	18	Newport County	18	12	6	0.9	1.3	4	6	8	17	23	18
22	20	Colchester	18	13	5	0.9	1.1	4	7	7	16	19	19
23	1	Leyton Orient	18	14	4	1.4	0.3	13	4	1	25	6	43
24	19	Gillingham	17	14	3	0.8	0.9	7	4	6	13	16	25

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	22	Hartlepool	19	8	11	1.1	1.9	3	5	11	20	36	14
2	3	Carlisle	17	7	10	1.8	1.1	8	5	4	30	19	29
3	6	Stockport	18	9	9	1.4	1.0	8	2	8	25	18	26
4	7	Salford	18	9	9	1.7	1.3	8	3	7	31	23	27
5	8	Mansfield	18	9	9	1.4	1.1	9	2	7	25	19	29
6	16	AFC Wimbledon	19	10	9	0.9	1.2	4	7	8	18	23	19
7	21	Harrogate	18	9	9	1.1	1.5	4	4	10	19	27	16
8	23	Crawley Town	18	9	9	0.7	1.7	0	6	12	12	31	6
9	9	Sutton	18	10	8	0.9	1.4	4	6	8	16	25	18
10	12	Doncaster	17	9	8	0.8	1.5	5	4	8	14	25	19
11	15	Grimsby	17	9	8	1.2	1.3	8	1	8	20	22	25
12	5	Bradford	18	11	7	1.2	0.8	9	5	4	21	15	32
13	11	Swindon	18	11	7	1.1	1.2	6	6	6	19	21	24
14	20	Colchester	18	11	7	0.8	1.3	5	1	12	15	24	16
15	24	Rochdale	18	11	7	0.8	1.5	3	4	11	14	27	13
16	2	Stevenage	17	11	6	1.0	1.2	5	8	4	17	20	23
17	4	Northampton	18	12	6	1.4	1.0	8	7	3	26	18	31
18	10	Barrow	18	12	6	0.9	1.4	6	4	8	17	26	22
19	14	Walsall	17	11	6	0.9	1.1	3	8	6	15	18	17
20	17	Crewe	16	10	6	0.7	1.3	2	9	5	11	21	15
21	1	Leyton Orient	17	12	5	1.2	0.9	8	5	4	21	16	29
22	18	Newport County	18	13	5	1.0	1.1	5	7	6	18	19	22
23	13	Tranmere	18	14	4	0.7	1.1	5	4	9	13	20	19
24	19	Gillingham	18	15	3	0.6	1.2	2	7	9	10	21	13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.