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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: S Stockbridge

Lincoln 3–1 Luton

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 3.50 fair 2.21
Draw 3.20 fair 3.89
Away 2.05 fair 3.45
Under 2.5 1.70 fair 1.96
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.04

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Lincoln Luton
15 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 2
2 Corners 7
12 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (91 league matches this season so far).
Result Lincoln to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.49 – 1.14
Home / Draw / Away
LincolnDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 1–0 10.7% 2–1 9.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Lincoln before this match, all matches
1.88points / match
1.38scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 11:8
Luton before this match, all matches
1.71points / match
1.43scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 10:6
Lincoln all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.43
1.00 Goals conceded 0.86
2.38 Total goals 2.29
7.38 Shots 13.29
3.13 Shots on target 4.43
13.88 Shots faced 8.57
3.25 Corners 7.57
8.50 Corners against 4.00
14.00 Fouls 11.00
3.13 Yellow cards 1.57
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

50% Wins 57%
38% Draws 0%
13% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 57%
25% Over 2.5 goals 43%
25% Over 3.5 goals 14%
13% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 29%
38% Clean sheets 57%
13% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

88% Wins 29%
0% Draws 43%
13% Losses 29%
100% Over 0.5 goals 57%
13% Over 1.5 goals 29%
13% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lincoln all matches
Luton all matches
Lincoln before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 8:5
Luton before this match, away
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 6:2
Lincoln at home away Luton

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 2.00
1.25 Goals conceded 0.67
3.25 Total goals 2.67
9.75 Shots 9.67
4.50 Shots on target 4.00
13.00 Shots faced 9.00
4.25 Corners 6.33
9.25 Corners against 3.67
14.00 Fouls 12.33
4.00 Yellow cards 1.67
1.25 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

50% Wins 67%
50% Draws 0%
0% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 67%
50% Over 3.5 goals 0%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 33%
25% Clean sheets 67%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 33%
0% Draws 33%
0% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
25% Over 1.5 goals 33%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lincoln at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Lincoln all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25 Burton – Lincoln 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.502.35 2.20 1.65
06.09.25 Lincoln – Wigan 2–2 (2–1) 2.303.103.00 2.60 1.48
30.08.25 Lincoln – Mansfield 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.602.85 2.10 1.70
23.08.25 Bolton – Lincoln 1–1 (0–1) 1.703.505.00 2.05 1.75
19.08.25 Northampton – Lincoln 0–1 (0–1) 3.303.402.15 2.25 1.62
16.08.25 Lincoln – Plymouth 3–2 (1–0) 2.003.253.75 2.05 1.75
09.08.25 AFC Wimbledon – Lincoln 2–0 (1–0) 3.003.252.38 2.35 1.57
02.08.25 Lincoln – Reading 2–0 (1–0) 1.903.503.80 1.83 2.03
03.05.25 Lincoln – Wrexham 0–2 (0–0) 2.803.252.45 2.00 1.85
26.04.25 Stockport – Lincoln 3–2 (0–2) 1.833.504.00 2.15 1.67

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25 Luton – Plymouth 2–3 (1–2) 1.494.206.00 1.75 2.05
30.08.25 Burton – Luton 0–3 (0–2) 4.503.901.66 2.00 1.85
23.08.25 Luton – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.303.70 2.05 1.75
19.08.25 Luton – Wigan 1–0 (1–0) 1.603.755.50 2.15 1.67
16.08.25 Bradford – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 3.303.302.15 2.10 1.70
09.08.25 Peterboro – Luton 0–2 (0–0) 4.003.701.85 1.65 2.20
01.08.25 Luton – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.335.50 1.90 1.95
03.05.25E1 West Brom – Luton 5–3 (3–1) 3.003.402.30 2.05 1.80
26.04.25E1 Luton – Coventry 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.252.88 2.03 1.83
21.04.25E1 Luton – Bristol City 3–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.80 2.20 1.67

Lincoln at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.09.25 Lincoln – Wigan 2–2 (2–1) 2.303.103.00 2.60 1.48
30.08.25 Lincoln – Mansfield 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.602.85 2.10 1.70
16.08.25 Lincoln – Plymouth 3–2 (1–0) 2.003.253.75 2.05 1.75
02.08.25 Lincoln – Reading 2–0 (1–0) 1.903.503.80 1.83 2.03
03.05.25 Lincoln – Wrexham 0–2 (0–0) 2.803.252.45 2.00 1.85
21.04.25 Lincoln – Bolton 4–2 (2–2) 3.203.302.25 2.05 1.75
12.04.25 Lincoln – Shrewsbury 1–1 (1–1) 1.483.907.00 2.15 1.67
01.04.25 Lincoln – Huddersfield 1–0 (1–0) 2.383.202.90 2.25 1.62
22.03.25 Lincoln – Exeter 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.504.50 2.20 1.65
15.03.25 Lincoln – Bristol Rvs 5–0 (1–0) 1.534.106.00 2.00 1.85

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.25 Burton – Luton 0–3 (0–2) 4.503.901.66 2.00 1.85
16.08.25 Bradford – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 3.303.302.15 2.10 1.70
09.08.25 Peterboro – Luton 0–2 (0–0) 4.003.701.85 1.65 2.20
03.05.25E1 West Brom – Luton 5–3 (3–1) 3.003.402.30 2.05 1.80
18.04.25E1 Derby – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.602.903.00 2.75 1.44
08.04.25E1 Stoke – Luton 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.252.90 2.38 1.57
29.03.25E1 Hull – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.403.25 2.30 1.62
11.03.25E1 Cardiff – Luton 1–2 (0–0) 2.303.253.10 2.25 1.57
08.03.25E1 Burnley – Luton 4–0 (2–0) 1.623.606.00 2.38 1.57
23.02.25E1 Watford – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 2.353.502.88 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 7 5 2 0 12 2 +10 17
2 Bradford 8 5 2 1 14 10 +4 17
3 Barnsley 7 5 1 1 14 9 +5 16
4 Stevenage 7 5 1 1 10 5 +5 16
5 Doncaster 8 5 1 2 9 8 +1 16
6 Huddersfield 8 5 0 3 15 11 +4 15
7 Lincoln 8 4 3 1 11 8 +3 15
8 Wigan 8 3 3 2 13 9 +4 12
9 Luton 7 4 0 3 10 6 +4 12
10 Stockport 8 3 3 2 13 12 +1 12
11 AFC Wimbledon 8 4 0 4 10 10 0 12
12 Bolton 8 2 5 1 10 7 +3 11
13 Mansfield 8 3 2 3 12 10 +2 11
14 Leyton Orient 8 3 2 3 10 13 -3 11
15 Northampton 7 3 1 3 5 6 -1 10
16 Exeter 8 3 0 5 9 9 0 9
17 Plymouth 8 3 0 5 11 17 -6 9
18 Rotherham 7 2 1 4 6 10 -4 7
19 Wycombe 8 1 2 5 8 11 -3 5
20 Port Vale 8 1 2 5 6 9 -3 5
21 Reading 7 1 2 4 7 12 -5 5
22 Burton 6 1 1 4 5 10 -5 4
23 Blackpool 7 1 1 5 7 14 -7 4
24 Peterboro 8 1 1 6 6 15 -9 4
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 4 4 0 0 9 2 +7 12
2 Bradford 4 4 0 0 10 5 +5 12
3 Wigan 4 3 1 0 9 2 +7 10
4 Barnsley 4 3 1 0 10 6 +4 10
5 Doncaster 4 3 1 0 6 2 +4 10
6 Cardiff 3 3 0 0 9 1 +8 9
7 AFC Wimbledon 4 3 0 1 6 2 +4 9
8 Stevenage 3 3 0 0 4 0 +4 9
9 Bolton 4 2 2 0 7 2 +5 8
10 Lincoln 4 2 2 0 8 5 +3 8
11 Mansfield 4 2 1 1 8 4 +4 7
12 Stockport 4 2 1 1 6 4 +2 7
13 Rotherham 3 2 1 0 5 3 +2 7
14 Northampton 4 2 1 1 3 1 +2 7
15 Exeter 4 2 0 2 8 5 +3 6
16 Plymouth 4 2 0 2 6 6 0 6
17 Luton 4 2 0 2 4 4 0 6
18 Leyton Orient 4 1 2 1 5 4 +1 5
19 Blackpool 3 1 1 1 6 6 0 4
20 Wycombe 4 1 1 2 5 5 0 4
21 Peterboro 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4
22 Burton 4 1 1 2 2 5 -3 4
23 Reading 3 1 0 2 2 4 -2 3
24 Port Vale 4 0 1 3 3 6 -3 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 4 2 2 0 3 1 +2 8
2 Stevenage 4 2 1 1 6 5 +1 7
3 Lincoln 4 2 1 1 3 3 0 7
4 Luton 3 2 0 1 6 2 +4 6
5 Barnsley 3 2 0 1 4 3 +1 6
6 Doncaster 4 2 0 2 3 6 -3 6
7 Leyton Orient 4 2 0 2 5 9 -4 6
8 Stockport 4 1 2 1 7 8 -1 5
9 Bradford 4 1 2 1 4 5 -1 5
10 Port Vale 4 1 1 2 3 3 0 4
11 Mansfield 4 1 1 2 4 6 -2 4
12 Bolton 4 0 3 1 3 5 -2 3
13 Huddersfield 4 1 0 3 6 9 -3 3
14 Northampton 3 1 0 2 2 5 -3 3
15 Exeter 4 1 0 3 1 4 -3 3
16 AFC Wimbledon 4 1 0 3 4 8 -4 3
17 Plymouth 4 1 0 3 5 11 -6 3
18 Reading 4 0 2 2 5 8 -3 2
19 Wigan 4 0 2 2 4 7 -3 2
20 Wycombe 4 0 1 3 3 6 -3 1
21 Burton 2 0 0 2 3 5 -2 0
22 Rotherham 4 0 0 4 1 7 -6 0
23 Peterboro 4 0 0 4 3 10 -7 0
24 Blackpool 4 0 0 4 1 8 -7 0

Lincoln   Luton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bradford 8 2 6 1.8 1.2 5 2 1 14 10 17
2 6 Huddersfield 8 3 5 1.9 1.4 5 0 3 15 11 15
3 10 Stockport 8 3 5 1.6 1.5 3 3 2 13 12 12
4 17 Plymouth 8 3 5 1.4 2.1 3 0 5 11 17 9
5 3 Barnsley 7 3 4 2.0 1.3 5 1 1 14 9 16
6 8 Wigan 8 4 4 1.6 1.1 3 3 2 13 9 12
7 11 AFC Wimbledon 8 4 4 1.2 1.2 4 0 4 10 10 12
8 13 Mansfield 8 4 4 1.5 1.2 3 2 3 12 10 11
9 14 Leyton Orient 8 4 4 1.2 1.6 3 2 3 10 13 11
10 18 Rotherham 7 3 4 0.9 1.4 2 1 4 6 10 7
11 19 Wycombe 8 4 4 1.0 1.4 1 2 5 8 11 5
12 22 Burton 6 2 4 0.8 1.7 1 1 4 5 10 4
13 24 Peterboro 8 4 4 0.8 1.9 1 1 6 6 15 4
14 1 Cardiff 7 4 3 1.7 0.3 5 2 0 12 2 17
15 5 Doncaster 8 5 3 1.1 1.0 5 1 2 9 8 16
16 9 Luton 7 4 3 1.4 0.9 4 0 3 10 6 12
17 16 Exeter 8 5 3 1.1 1.1 3 0 5 9 9 9
18 20 Port Vale 8 5 3 0.8 1.1 1 2 5 6 9 5
19 21 Reading 7 4 3 1.0 1.7 1 2 4 7 12 5
20 23 Blackpool 7 4 3 1.0 2.0 1 1 5 7 14 4
21 4 Stevenage 7 5 2 1.4 0.7 5 1 1 10 5 16
22 7 Lincoln 8 6 2 1.4 1.0 4 3 1 11 8 15
23 12 Bolton 8 7 1 1.2 0.9 2 5 1 10 7 11
24 15 Northampton 7 6 1 0.7 0.9 3 1 3 5 6 10
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bradford 4 0 4 2.5 1.2 4 0 0 10 5 12
2 1 Cardiff 3 0 3 3.0 0.3 3 0 0 9 1 9
3 3 Barnsley 4 1 3 2.5 1.5 3 1 0 10 6 10
4 16 Exeter 4 1 3 2.0 1.2 2 0 2 8 5 6
5 6 Huddersfield 4 2 2 2.2 0.5 4 0 0 9 2 12
6 7 Lincoln 4 2 2 2.0 1.2 2 2 0 8 5 8
7 8 Wigan 4 2 2 2.2 0.5 3 1 0 9 2 10
8 10 Stockport 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 2 1 1 6 4 7
9 13 Mansfield 4 2 2 2.0 1.0 2 1 1 8 4 7
10 17 Plymouth 4 2 2 1.5 1.5 2 0 2 6 6 6
11 18 Rotherham 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 2 1 0 5 3 7
12 19 Wycombe 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 1 2 5 5 4
13 20 Port Vale 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 0 1 3 3 6 1
14 22 Burton 4 2 2 0.5 1.2 1 1 2 2 5 4
15 23 Blackpool 3 1 2 2.0 2.0 1 1 1 6 6 4
16 5 Doncaster 4 3 1 1.5 0.5 3 1 0 6 2 10
17 9 Luton 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 2 0 2 4 4 6
18 11 AFC Wimbledon 4 3 1 1.5 0.5 3 0 1 6 2 9
19 12 Bolton 4 3 1 1.8 0.5 2 2 0 7 2 8
20 14 Leyton Orient 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 1 5 4 5
21 21 Reading 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 1 0 2 2 4 3
22 24 Peterboro 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4
23 4 Stevenage 3 3 0 1.3 0.0 3 0 0 4 0 9
24 15 Northampton 4 4 0 0.8 0.2 2 1 1 3 1 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Huddersfield 4 1 3 1.5 2.2 1 0 3 6 9 3
2 10 Stockport 4 1 3 1.8 2.0 1 2 1 7 8 5
3 11 AFC Wimbledon 4 1 3 1.0 2.0 1 0 3 4 8 3
4 14 Leyton Orient 4 1 3 1.2 2.2 2 0 2 5 9 6
5 17 Plymouth 4 1 3 1.2 2.8 1 0 3 5 11 3
6 24 Peterboro 4 1 3 0.8 2.5 0 0 4 3 10 0
7 2 Bradford 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 1 4 5 5
8 4 Stevenage 4 2 2 1.5 1.2 2 1 1 6 5 7
9 5 Doncaster 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 2 0 2 3 6 6
10 8 Wigan 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 0 2 2 4 7 2
11 9 Luton 3 1 2 2.0 0.7 2 0 1 6 2 6
12 13 Mansfield 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 1 1 2 4 6 4
13 18 Rotherham 4 2 2 0.2 1.8 0 0 4 1 7 0
14 19 Wycombe 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 0 1 3 3 6 1
15 21 Reading 4 2 2 1.2 2.0 0 2 2 5 8 2
16 22 Burton 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 0 2 3 5 0
17 3 Barnsley 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 2 0 1 4 3 6
18 15 Northampton 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 1 0 2 2 5 3
19 20 Port Vale 4 3 1 0.8 0.8 1 1 2 3 3 4
20 23 Blackpool 4 3 1 0.2 2.0 0 0 4 1 8 0
21 1 Cardiff 4 4 0 0.8 0.2 2 2 0 3 1 8
22 7 Lincoln 4 4 0 0.8 0.8 2 1 1 3 3 7
23 12 Bolton 4 4 0 0.8 1.2 0 3 1 3 5 3
24 16 Exeter 4 4 0 0.2 1.0 1 0 3 1 4 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40