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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: M Drysdale

Luton 0–1 Cardiff

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.00 fair 2.34
Draw 3.30 fair 3.58
Away ✓ 3.70 fair 3.42
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.75 fair 1.69
Over 2.5 2.05 fair 2.46

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Cardiff
23 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 8
11 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (47 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.29 – 1.02
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawCardiff
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.1% 1–0 12.8% 0–1 10.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
2.25points / match
1.25scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:2
Cardiff before this match, all matches
2.50points / match
1.50scored / match
0.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 6:1
Luton all matches all matches Cardiff

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.50
0.50 Goals conceded 0.25
1.75 Total goals 1.75
9.00 Shots 13.75
2.75 Shots on target 3.50
7.50 Shots faced 10.00
7.00 Corners 4.25
2.75 Corners against 3.00
11.00 Fouls 12.75
1.50 Yellow cards 2.00
0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

75% Wins 75%
0% Draws 25%
25% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 50%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 25%
75% Clean sheets 75%
0% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 25%
50% Draws 50%
25% Losses 25%
50% Over 0.5 goals 50%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Cardiff all matches
Luton before this match, at home
3.00points / match
1.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:0
Cardiff before this match, away
2.00points / match
0.50scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 1:0
Luton at home away Cardiff

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.50
0.00 Goals conceded 0.00
1.00 Total goals 0.50
9.50 Shots 12.50
2.50 Shots on target 1.00
5.50 Shots faced 16.00
6.50 Corners 3.00
3.00 Corners against 5.00
8.50 Fouls 8.50
1.00 Yellow cards 1.50
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 50%
0% Draws 50%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Both teams scored 0%
100% Clean sheets 100%
0% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
50% Draws 100%
0% Losses 0%
50% Over 0.5 goals 0%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Cardiff away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.08.25 Luton – Wigan 1–0 (1–0) 1.603.755.50 2.15 1.67
16.08.25 Bradford – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 3.303.302.15 2.10 1.70
09.08.25 Peterboro – Luton 0–2 (0–0) 4.003.701.85 1.65 2.20
01.08.25 Luton – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.335.50 1.90 1.95
03.05.25E1 West Brom – Luton 5–3 (3–1) 3.003.402.30 2.05 1.80
26.04.25E1 Luton – Coventry 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.252.88 2.03 1.83
21.04.25E1 Luton – Bristol City 3–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.80 2.20 1.67
18.04.25E1 Derby – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.602.903.00 2.75 1.44
12.04.25E1 Luton – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.404.33 2.20 1.67
08.04.25E1 Stoke – Luton 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.252.90 2.38 1.57

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.08.25 AFC Wimbledon – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.402.10 2.20 1.65
16.08.25 Cardiff – Rotherham 3–0 (1–0) 1.703.754.75 1.93 1.93
07.08.25 Port Vale – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.402.60 2.00 1.85
02.08.25 Cardiff – Peterboro 2–1 (0–1) 1.554.205.25 1.58 2.25
03.05.25E1 Norwich – Cardiff 4–2 (3–0) 1.584.334.75 1.57 2.38
26.04.25E1 Cardiff – West Brom 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.10 1.73
21.04.25E1 Cardiff – Oxford 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.254.50 2.20 1.67
18.04.25E1 Sheffield United – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 1.573.756.00 1.95 1.90
12.04.25E1 Cardiff – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.503.00 2.20 1.67
08.04.25E1 Preston – Cardiff 2–2 (1–0) 2.553.302.75 2.10 1.73

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.08.25 Luton – Wigan 1–0 (1–0) 1.603.755.50 2.15 1.67
01.08.25 Luton – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.335.50 1.90 1.95
26.04.25E1 Luton – Coventry 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.252.88 2.03 1.83
21.04.25E1 Luton – Bristol City 3–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.80 2.20 1.67
12.04.25E1 Luton – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.404.33 2.20 1.67
05.04.25E1 Luton – Leeds 1–1 (1–1) 5.254.101.60 2.00 1.85
15.03.25E1 Luton – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.302.63 1.95 1.90
01.03.25E1 Luton – Portsmouth 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.40 2.05 1.80
19.02.25E1 Luton – Plymouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.733.604.75 2.00 1.80
15.02.25E1 Luton – Sheffield United 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.502.15 2.20 1.67

Cardiff away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.08.25 AFC Wimbledon – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.402.10 2.20 1.65
07.08.25 Port Vale – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.402.60 2.00 1.85
03.05.25E1 Norwich – Cardiff 4–2 (3–0) 1.584.334.75 1.57 2.38
18.04.25E1 Sheffield United – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 1.573.756.00 1.95 1.90
08.04.25E1 Preston – Cardiff 2–2 (1–0) 2.553.302.75 2.10 1.73
05.04.25E1 QPR – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.30 2.20 1.67
15.03.25E1 Blackburn – Cardiff 1–2 (1–1) 2.003.303.80 2.20 1.67
08.03.25E1 Sunderland – Cardiff 2–1 (1–1) 1.504.335.75 1.90 1.95
22.02.25E1 Plymouth – Cardiff 1–1 (0–1) 2.633.502.50 2.00 1.85
11.02.25E1 Portsmouth – Cardiff 2–1 (2–1) 2.253.303.20 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Luton winsDrawsCardiff wins
6matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.03.25E1 Cardiff – Luton 1–2 (0–0) 2.303.253.10 2.25 1.57
06.11.24E1 Luton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.20 1.83 2.03
31.01.23E1 Luton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.404.20 2.30 1.62
30.08.22E1 Cardiff – Luton 1–2 (0–0) 2.553.202.90 2.50 1.53
18.04.22E1 Cardiff – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.873.102.62 2.20 1.66
27.11.21E1 Luton – Cardiff 1–2 (0–1) 1.903.504.00 2.05 1.80

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stevenage 4 4 0 0 8 3 +5 12
2 Cardiff 4 3 1 0 6 1 +5 10
3 Barnsley 4 3 1 0 8 4 +4 10
4 Bradford 4 3 1 0 6 3 +3 10
5 Huddersfield 4 3 0 1 9 3 +6 9
6 Luton 4 3 0 1 5 2 +3 9
7 Lincoln 4 3 0 1 6 4 +2 9
8 Stockport 4 2 1 1 7 5 +2 7
9 Leyton Orient 4 2 1 1 5 5 0 7
10 Doncaster 4 2 1 1 4 4 0 7
11 Exeter 4 2 0 2 6 4 +2 6
12 Mansfield 4 2 0 2 6 5 +1 6
13 Wigan 4 2 0 2 5 4 +1 6
14 AFC Wimbledon 4 2 0 2 4 3 +1 6
15 Bolton 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
16 Burton 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
17 Rotherham 3 1 0 2 2 5 -3 3
18 Blackpool 4 1 0 3 6 11 -5 3
19 Port Vale 4 0 2 2 2 4 -2 2
20 Wycombe 4 0 1 3 3 6 -3 1
21 Reading 4 0 1 3 2 7 -5 1
22 Northampton 4 0 1 3 1 6 -5 1
23 Plymouth 4 0 0 4 3 9 -6 0
24 Peterboro 4 0 0 4 1 7 -6 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 2 2 0 0 5 0 +5 6
2 Cardiff 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
3 Wigan 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
4 Lincoln 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
5 Stevenage 2 2 0 0 3 0 +3 6
6 Bradford 2 2 0 0 4 2 +2 6
7 Luton 2 2 0 0 2 0 +2 6
8 Leyton Orient 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
9 Bolton 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4
10 Barnsley 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
11 Burton 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
12 Doncaster 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
13 Exeter 2 1 0 1 5 3 +2 3
14 Mansfield 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
15 Stockport 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
16 AFC Wimbledon 2 1 0 1 2 1 +1 3
17 Rotherham 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
18 Blackpool 2 1 0 1 5 5 0 3
19 Port Vale 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
20 Northampton 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
21 Wycombe 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0
22 Plymouth 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
23 Reading 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
24 Peterboro 2 0 0 2 0 3 -3 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barnsley 2 2 0 0 4 1 +3 6
2 Stevenage 2 2 0 0 5 3 +2 6
3 Stockport 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
4 Bradford 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
5 Cardiff 2 1 1 0 1 0 +1 4
6 Huddersfield 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3
7 Luton 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
8 Mansfield 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
9 AFC Wimbledon 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
10 Exeter 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
11 Doncaster 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3
12 Lincoln 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3
13 Leyton Orient 2 1 0 1 1 3 -2 3
14 Wycombe 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
15 Port Vale 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
16 Bolton 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
17 Reading 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
18 Burton 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
19 Plymouth 2 0 0 2 2 5 -3 0
20 Peterboro 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
21 Wigan 2 0 0 2 0 3 -3 0
22 Northampton 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0
23 Rotherham 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0
24 Blackpool 2 0 0 2 1 6 -5 0

Luton   Cardiff

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Bradford 4 1 3 1.5 0.8 3 1 0 6 3 10
2 8 Stockport 4 1 3 1.8 1.2 2 1 1 7 5 7
3 12 Mansfield 4 1 3 1.5 1.2 2 0 2 6 5 6
4 18 Blackpool 4 1 3 1.5 2.8 1 0 3 6 11 3
5 1 Stevenage 4 2 2 2.0 0.8 4 0 0 8 3 12
6 2 Cardiff 4 2 2 1.5 0.2 3 1 0 6 1 10
7 3 Barnsley 4 2 2 2.0 1.0 3 1 0 8 4 10
8 5 Huddersfield 4 2 2 2.2 0.8 3 0 1 9 3 9
9 9 Leyton Orient 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 1 5 5 7
10 11 Exeter 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 2 0 2 6 4 6
11 16 Burton 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
12 17 Rotherham 3 1 2 0.7 1.7 1 0 2 2 5 3
13 19 Port Vale 4 2 2 0.5 1.0 0 2 2 2 4 2
14 20 Wycombe 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 0 1 3 3 6 1
15 23 Plymouth 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 0 0 4 3 9 0
16 6 Luton 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 3 0 1 5 2 9
17 7 Lincoln 4 3 1 1.5 1.0 3 0 1 6 4 9
18 10 Doncaster 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 2 1 1 4 4 7
19 13 Wigan 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 2 0 2 5 4 6
20 14 AFC Wimbledon 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 2 0 2 4 3 6
21 21 Reading 4 3 1 0.5 1.8 0 1 3 2 7 1
22 22 Northampton 4 3 1 0.2 1.5 0 1 3 1 6 1
23 24 Peterboro 4 3 1 0.2 1.8 0 0 4 1 7 0
24 15 Bolton 4 4 0 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Cardiff 2 0 2 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
2 4 Bradford 2 0 2 2.0 1.0 2 0 0 4 2 6
3 11 Exeter 2 0 2 2.5 1.5 1 0 1 5 3 3
4 18 Blackpool 2 0 2 2.5 2.5 1 0 1 5 5 3
5 3 Barnsley 2 1 1 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
6 5 Huddersfield 2 1 1 2.5 0.0 2 0 0 5 0 6
7 7 Lincoln 2 1 1 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6
8 8 Stockport 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
9 9 Leyton Orient 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
10 12 Mansfield 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
11 13 Wigan 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
12 16 Burton 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
13 17 Rotherham 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
14 19 Port Vale 2 1 1 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
15 20 Wycombe 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 2 1 3 0
16 21 Reading 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
17 23 Plymouth 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
18 1 Stevenage 2 2 0 1.5 0.0 2 0 0 3 0 6
19 6 Luton 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 2 0 0 2 0 6
20 10 Doncaster 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
21 14 AFC Wimbledon 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 0 1 2 1 3
22 15 Bolton 2 2 0 1.5 0.5 1 1 0 3 1 4
23 22 Northampton 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1
24 24 Peterboro 2 2 0 0.0 1.5 0 0 2 0 3 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Stevenage 2 0 2 2.5 1.5 2 0 0 5 3 6
2 8 Stockport 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
3 12 Mansfield 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
4 3 Barnsley 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 2 0 0 4 1 6
5 4 Bradford 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
6 5 Huddersfield 2 1 1 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3
7 6 Luton 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
8 9 Leyton Orient 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 1 0 1 1 3 3
9 10 Doncaster 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3
10 14 AFC Wimbledon 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
11 16 Burton 1 0 1 2.0 3.0 0 0 1 2 3 0
12 17 Rotherham 2 1 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0
13 18 Blackpool 2 1 1 0.5 3.0 0 0 2 1 6 0
14 19 Port Vale 2 1 1 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
15 20 Wycombe 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
16 22 Northampton 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0
17 23 Plymouth 2 1 1 1.0 2.5 0 0 2 2 5 0
18 24 Peterboro 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
19 2 Cardiff 2 2 0 0.5 0.0 1 1 0 1 0 4
20 7 Lincoln 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3
21 11 Exeter 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
22 13 Wigan 2 2 0 0.0 1.5 0 0 2 0 3 0
23 15 Bolton 2 2 0 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
24 21 Reading 2 2 0 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40