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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: P Wright

Burton 0–3 Luton

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2025/2026

Home 4.50 fair 2.28
Draw 3.90 fair 3.72
Away ✓ 1.66 fair 3.42
Under 2.5 1.85 fair 1.80
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.25

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Luton
8 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 6
6 Corners 4
9 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (61 league matches this season so far).
Result Burton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.38 – 1.08
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.7% 1–0 11.8% 0–1 9.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.25scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:6
Luton before this match, all matches
1.80points / match
1.00scored / match
0.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 5:3
Burton all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.00
1.50 Goals conceded 0.60
2.75 Total goals 1.60
13.00 Shots 11.80
3.25 Shots on target 3.60
12.50 Shots faced 9.20
5.50 Corners 6.60
5.25 Corners against 3.80
12.25 Fouls 11.00
1.75 Yellow cards 1.60
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

25% Wins 60%
25% Draws 0%
50% Losses 40%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 40%
75% Over 2.5 goals 20%
25% Over 3.5 goals 0%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 20%
25% Clean sheets 60%
25% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

75% Wins 20%
25% Draws 60%
0% Losses 20%
75% Over 0.5 goals 40%
25% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Luton all matches
Burton before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.00scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:1
Luton before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:2
Burton at home away Luton

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.50
0.50 Goals conceded 1.00
1.50 Total goals 2.50
12.50 Shots 8.50
3.50 Shots on target 3.00
12.00 Shots faced 9.50
5.00 Corners 7.50
5.00 Corners against 2.50
13.50 Fouls 13.50
3.00 Yellow cards 2.00
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
50% Draws 0%
0% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 50%
50% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
50% Draws 50%
0% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 50%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.08.25 Stockport – Burton 2–1 (0–1) 1.534.105.75 1.98 1.88
16.08.25 Burton – Port Vale 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.25 2.08 1.73
09.08.25 Barnsley – Burton 3–2 (0–2) 1.703.804.75 1.85 2.00
02.08.25 Burton – Mansfield 2–1 (1–0) 2.453.402.70 1.88 1.98
03.05.25 Charlton – Burton 3–1 (2–1) 1.603.905.25 1.93 1.93
29.04.25 Burton – Wigan 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.103.30 2.60 1.48
26.04.25 Burton – Cambridge 2–1 (0–0) 1.853.404.00 2.00 1.85
21.04.25 Burton – Birmingham 1–2 (0–2) 4.004.001.75 1.93 1.93
18.04.25 Exeter – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.202.55 2.08 1.73
12.04.25 Burton – Huddersfield 3–0 (2–0) 3.253.252.20 2.00 1.85

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.08.25 Luton – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.303.70 2.05 1.75
19.08.25 Luton – Wigan 1–0 (1–0) 1.603.755.50 2.15 1.67
16.08.25 Bradford – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 3.303.302.15 2.10 1.70
09.08.25 Peterboro – Luton 0–2 (0–0) 4.003.701.85 1.65 2.20
01.08.25 Luton – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.335.50 1.90 1.95
03.05.25E1 West Brom – Luton 5–3 (3–1) 3.003.402.30 2.05 1.80
26.04.25E1 Luton – Coventry 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.252.88 2.03 1.83
21.04.25E1 Luton – Bristol City 3–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.80 2.20 1.67
18.04.25E1 Derby – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.602.903.00 2.75 1.44
12.04.25E1 Luton – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.404.33 2.20 1.67

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.08.25 Burton – Port Vale 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.25 2.08 1.73
02.08.25 Burton – Mansfield 2–1 (1–0) 2.453.402.70 1.88 1.98
29.04.25 Burton – Wigan 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.103.30 2.60 1.48
26.04.25 Burton – Cambridge 2–1 (0–0) 1.853.404.00 2.00 1.85
21.04.25 Burton – Birmingham 1–2 (0–2) 4.004.001.75 1.93 1.93
12.04.25 Burton – Huddersfield 3–0 (2–0) 3.253.252.20 2.00 1.85
01.04.25 Burton – Leyton Orient 2–1 (0–1) 2.703.202.55 2.10 1.70
08.03.25 Burton – Bolton 1–2 (0–1) 3.603.601.95 1.88 1.98
01.03.25 Burton – Mansfield 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.603.00 1.93 1.93
08.02.25 Burton – Blackpool 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.402.10 1.95 1.90

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.08.25 Bradford – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 3.303.302.15 2.10 1.70
09.08.25 Peterboro – Luton 0–2 (0–0) 4.003.701.85 1.65 2.20
03.05.25E1 West Brom – Luton 5–3 (3–1) 3.003.402.30 2.05 1.80
18.04.25E1 Derby – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.602.903.00 2.75 1.44
08.04.25E1 Stoke – Luton 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.252.90 2.38 1.57
29.03.25E1 Hull – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.403.25 2.30 1.62
11.03.25E1 Cardiff – Luton 1–2 (0–0) 2.303.253.10 2.25 1.57
08.03.25E1 Burnley – Luton 4–0 (2–0) 1.623.606.00 2.38 1.57
23.02.25E1 Watford – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 2.353.502.88 2.20 1.67
12.02.25E1 Sunderland – Luton 2–0 (1–0) 1.673.805.00 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 6 5 1 0 11 1 +10 16
2 Doncaster 6 4 1 1 6 4 +2 13
3 Huddersfield 5 4 0 1 10 3 +7 12
4 Stevenage 5 4 0 1 8 4 +4 12
5 Bradford 5 3 2 0 7 4 +3 11
6 Stockport 5 3 1 1 9 6 +3 10
7 Barnsley 5 3 1 1 8 6 +2 10
8 Lincoln 5 3 1 1 7 5 +2 10
9 Mansfield 5 3 0 2 10 6 +4 9
10 AFC Wimbledon 5 3 0 2 6 3 +3 9
11 Luton 5 3 0 2 5 3 +2 9
12 Wigan 5 2 1 2 7 6 +1 7
13 Leyton Orient 5 2 1 2 6 9 -3 7
14 Exeter 5 2 0 3 6 6 0 6
15 Bolton 5 1 3 1 5 5 0 6
16 Burton 4 1 1 2 5 6 -1 4
17 Northampton 5 1 1 3 3 6 -3 4
18 Rotherham 5 1 1 3 4 8 -4 4
19 Blackpool 5 1 0 4 6 12 -6 3
20 Plymouth 6 1 0 5 4 13 -9 3
21 Wycombe 5 0 2 3 5 8 -3 2
22 Port Vale 5 0 2 3 2 5 -3 2
23 Reading 5 0 2 3 4 9 -5 2
24 Peterboro 5 0 1 4 2 8 -6 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 3 3 0 0 9 1 +8 9
2 Huddersfield 3 3 0 0 6 0 +6 9
3 Doncaster 3 2 1 0 3 1 +2 7
4 Mansfield 3 2 0 1 7 3 +4 6
5 Wigan 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
6 Lincoln 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
7 AFC Wimbledon 3 2 0 1 4 1 +3 6
8 Stevenage 2 2 0 0 3 0 +3 6
9 Stockport 3 2 0 1 5 3 +2 6
10 Bradford 2 2 0 0 4 2 +2 6
11 Luton 3 2 0 1 2 1 +1 6
12 Bolton 3 1 2 0 4 2 +2 5
13 Leyton Orient 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
14 Barnsley 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
15 Rotherham 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
16 Burton 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
17 Northampton 3 1 1 1 2 1 +1 4
18 Exeter 2 1 0 1 5 3 +2 3
19 Blackpool 2 1 0 1 5 5 0 3
20 Plymouth 3 1 0 2 2 4 -2 3
21 Wycombe 3 0 1 2 3 5 -2 1
22 Port Vale 3 0 1 2 1 3 -2 1
23 Peterboro 3 0 1 2 1 4 -3 1
24 Reading 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 3 2 1 0 2 0 +2 7
2 Stevenage 3 2 0 1 5 4 +1 6
3 Barnsley 3 2 0 1 4 3 +1 6
4 Doncaster 3 2 0 1 3 3 0 6
5 Bradford 3 1 2 0 3 2 +1 5
6 Stockport 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
7 Lincoln 3 1 1 1 2 3 -1 4
8 Huddersfield 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3
9 Luton 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
10 Mansfield 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
11 AFC Wimbledon 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
12 Exeter 3 1 0 2 1 3 -2 3
13 Leyton Orient 3 1 0 2 2 7 -5 3
14 Reading 3 0 2 1 3 5 -2 2
15 Wycombe 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
16 Port Vale 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
17 Bolton 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
18 Wigan 3 0 1 2 2 5 -3 1
19 Burton 2 0 0 2 3 5 -2 0
20 Peterboro 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
21 Northampton 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0
22 Rotherham 3 0 0 3 0 5 -5 0
23 Blackpool 3 0 0 3 1 7 -6 0
24 Plymouth 3 0 0 3 2 9 -7 0

Burton   Luton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Stockport 5 1 4 1.8 1.2 3 1 1 9 6 10
2 9 Mansfield 5 1 4 2.0 1.2 3 0 2 10 6 9
3 1 Cardiff 6 3 3 1.8 0.2 5 1 0 11 1 16
4 5 Bradford 5 2 3 1.4 0.8 3 2 0 7 4 11
5 13 Leyton Orient 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 2 1 2 6 9 7
6 16 Burton 4 1 3 1.2 1.5 1 1 2 5 6 4
7 18 Rotherham 5 2 3 0.8 1.6 1 1 3 4 8 4
8 19 Blackpool 5 2 3 1.2 2.4 1 0 4 6 12 3
9 20 Plymouth 6 3 3 0.7 2.2 1 0 5 4 13 3
10 21 Wycombe 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 0 2 3 5 8 2
11 3 Huddersfield 5 3 2 2.0 0.6 4 0 1 10 3 12
12 4 Stevenage 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 4 0 1 8 4 12
13 7 Barnsley 5 3 2 1.6 1.2 3 1 1 8 6 10
14 12 Wigan 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 2 1 2 7 6 7
15 14 Exeter 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 2 0 3 6 6 6
16 22 Port Vale 5 3 2 0.4 1.0 0 2 3 2 5 2
17 23 Reading 5 3 2 0.8 1.8 0 2 3 4 9 2
18 2 Doncaster 6 5 1 1.0 0.7 4 1 1 6 4 13
19 8 Lincoln 5 4 1 1.4 1.0 3 1 1 7 5 10
20 10 AFC Wimbledon 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 3 0 2 6 3 9
21 11 Luton 5 4 1 1.0 0.6 3 0 2 5 3 9
22 17 Northampton 5 4 1 0.6 1.2 1 1 3 3 6 4
23 24 Peterboro 5 4 1 0.4 1.6 0 1 4 2 8 1
24 15 Bolton 5 5 0 1.0 1.0 1 3 1 5 5 6
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Cardiff 3 0 3 3.0 0.3 3 0 0 9 1 9
2 5 Bradford 2 0 2 2.0 1.0 2 0 0 4 2 6
3 6 Stockport 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 2 0 1 5 3 6
4 9 Mansfield 3 1 2 2.3 1.0 2 0 1 7 3 6
5 14 Exeter 2 0 2 2.5 1.5 1 0 1 5 3 3
6 18 Rotherham 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
7 19 Blackpool 2 0 2 2.5 2.5 1 0 1 5 5 3
8 21 Wycombe 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 0 1 2 3 5 1
9 3 Huddersfield 3 2 1 2.0 0.0 3 0 0 6 0 9
10 7 Barnsley 2 1 1 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
11 8 Lincoln 2 1 1 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6
12 12 Wigan 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
13 13 Leyton Orient 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
14 16 Burton 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
15 20 Plymouth 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 1 0 2 2 4 3
16 22 Port Vale 3 2 1 0.3 1.0 0 1 2 1 3 1
17 23 Reading 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
18 2 Doncaster 3 3 0 1.0 0.3 2 1 0 3 1 7
19 4 Stevenage 2 2 0 1.5 0.0 2 0 0 3 0 6
20 10 AFC Wimbledon 3 3 0 1.3 0.3 2 0 1 4 1 6
21 11 Luton 3 3 0 0.7 0.3 2 0 1 2 1 6
22 15 Bolton 3 3 0 1.3 0.7 1 2 0 4 2 5
23 17 Northampton 3 3 0 0.7 0.3 1 1 1 2 1 4
24 24 Peterboro 3 3 0 0.3 1.3 0 1 2 1 4 1
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Stevenage 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 2 0 1 5 4 6
2 6 Stockport 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
3 9 Mansfield 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
4 13 Leyton Orient 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 1 0 2 2 7 3
5 16 Burton 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 0 2 3 5 0
6 20 Plymouth 3 1 2 0.7 3.0 0 0 3 2 9 0
7 2 Doncaster 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 2 0 1 3 3 6
8 3 Huddersfield 2 1 1 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3
9 5 Bradford 3 2 1 1.0 0.7 1 2 0 3 2 5
10 7 Barnsley 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 2 0 1 4 3 6
11 10 AFC Wimbledon 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
12 11 Luton 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
13 12 Wigan 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 1 2 2 5 1
14 17 Northampton 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0
15 18 Rotherham 3 2 1 0.0 1.7 0 0 3 0 5 0
16 19 Blackpool 3 2 1 0.3 2.3 0 0 3 1 7 0
17 21 Wycombe 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
18 22 Port Vale 2 1 1 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
19 23 Reading 3 2 1 1.0 1.7 0 2 1 3 5 2
20 24 Peterboro 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
21 1 Cardiff 3 3 0 0.7 0.0 2 1 0 2 0 7
22 8 Lincoln 3 3 0 0.7 1.0 1 1 1 2 3 4
23 14 Exeter 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 1 0 2 1 3 3
24 15 Bolton 2 2 0 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51