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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Linington

QPR 1–0 Watford

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 3.20 fair 2.88
Draw 3.25 fair 3.67
Away 2.30 fair 2.63
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.80
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.24

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

QPR Watford
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
2 Corners 5
14 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (422 league matches this season so far).
Result Watford to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 2.00
Expected goals 1.19 – 1.26
Home / Draw / Away
QPRDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.9% 0–1 10.8% 1–0 10.2%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

QPR before this match, all matches
1.11points / match
1.03scored / match
1.49conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 36:52
Watford before this match, all matches
1.46points / match
1.17scored / match
1.09conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 41:38
QPR all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.03 Goals scored 1.17
1.49 Goals conceded 1.09
2.51 Total goals 2.26
12.71 Shots 11.23
3.69 Shots on target 3.86
10.97 Shots faced 12.09
5.40 Corners 4.97
4.91 Corners against 5.34
10.69 Fouls 11.69
1.74 Yellow cards 2.06
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.51
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

29% Wins 37%
26% Draws 34%
46% Losses 29%
91% Over 0.5 goals 89%
74% Over 1.5 goals 71%
54% Over 2.5 goals 37%
26% Over 3.5 goals 23%
6% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
51% Both teams scored 43%
20% Clean sheets 37%
37% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 26%
31% Draws 49%
46% Losses 26%
77% Over 0.5 goals 69%
43% Over 1.5 goals 31%
17% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR all matches
Watford all matches
QPR before this match, at home
1.12points / match
1.12scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 19:26
Watford before this match, away
1.22points / match
0.94scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 17:22
QPR at home away Watford

Per match

1.12 Goals scored 0.94
1.53 Goals conceded 1.22
2.65 Total goals 2.17
13.65 Shots 10.11
4.18 Shots on target 3.17
9.88 Shots faced 13.11
5.71 Corners 4.89
4.18 Corners against 5.78
11.12 Fouls 11.72
1.65 Yellow cards 2.11
0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.39
0.82 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

29% Wins 28%
24% Draws 39%
47% Losses 33%
94% Over 0.5 goals 89%
82% Over 1.5 goals 72%
65% Over 2.5 goals 33%
18% Over 3.5 goals 22%
6% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
59% Both teams scored 39%
12% Clean sheets 33%
35% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 17%
24% Draws 56%
41% Losses 28%
88% Over 0.5 goals 67%
53% Over 1.5 goals 33%
29% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

QPR all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.03.23 Rotherham – QPR 3–1 (1–0) 3.003.202.50 2.10 1.73
25.02.23 QPR – Blackburn 1–3 (1–2) 2.153.203.60 2.20 1.67
18.02.23 Middlesbrough – QPR 3–1 (0–0) 1.554.205.75 1.88 1.98
14.02.23 QPR – Sunderland 0–3 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.05 1.80
11.02.23 QPR – Millwall 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.102.80 2.20 1.67
04.02.23 Huddersfield – QPR 1–1 (1–1) 3.103.252.38 2.30 1.62
28.01.23 Hull – QPR 3–0 (1–0) 2.503.402.80 2.10 1.73
21.01.23 QPR – Swansea 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.302.70 2.02 1.83
14.01.23 Reading – QPR 2–2 (2–0) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.67
02.01.23 QPR – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–0) 3.103.402.30 2.10 1.73

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.03.23 Watford – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.67
25.02.23 Sheffield United – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.603.80 2.02 1.83
20.02.23 Watford – West Brom 3–2 (1–0) 2.633.402.55 2.10 1.73
14.02.23 Burnley – Watford 1–1 (0–1) 1.673.805.25 1.95 1.90
11.02.23 Watford – Blackburn 1–1 (0–1) 1.913.404.33 2.10 1.73
04.02.23 Reading – Watford 2–2 (0–1) 2.803.302.55 2.20 1.67
28.01.23 Middlesbrough – Watford 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.404.33 2.10 1.73
21.01.23 Watford – Rotherham 1–1 (0–1) 1.554.206.00 1.93 1.93
14.01.23 Watford – Blackpool 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.754.33 1.95 1.90
02.01.23 Norwich – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.603.80 1.98 1.88

QPR at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.02.23 QPR – Blackburn 1–3 (1–2) 2.153.203.60 2.20 1.67
14.02.23 QPR – Sunderland 0–3 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.05 1.80
11.02.23 QPR – Millwall 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.102.80 2.20 1.67
21.01.23 QPR – Swansea 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.302.70 2.02 1.83
02.01.23 QPR – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–0) 3.103.402.30 2.10 1.73
29.12.22 QPR – Luton 0–3 (0–1) 2.253.253.30 2.10 1.73
11.12.22 QPR – Burnley 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.402.30 2.00 1.85
08.11.22 QPR – Huddersfield 1–2 (1–2) 1.703.755.25 2.00 1.85
05.11.22 QPR – West Brom 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.602.70 2.02 1.83
22.10.22 QPR – Wigan 2–1 (2–1) 1.953.504.00 2.10 1.72

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.02.23 Sheffield United – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.603.80 2.02 1.83
14.02.23 Burnley – Watford 1–1 (0–1) 1.673.805.25 1.95 1.90
04.02.23 Reading – Watford 2–2 (0–1) 2.803.302.55 2.20 1.67
28.01.23 Middlesbrough – Watford 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.404.33 2.10 1.73
02.01.23 Norwich – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.603.80 1.98 1.88
30.12.22 Swansea – Watford 4–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.25 2.10 1.73
17.12.22 Huddersfield – Watford 0–2 (0–0) 3.753.302.10 2.20 1.67
12.11.22 Bristol City – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.402.37 2.00 1.85
02.11.22 Cardiff – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.202.50 2.10 1.72
29.10.22 Wigan – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.252.37 2.20 1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

QPR winsDrawsWatford wins
1matches
5.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.08.22E1 Watford – QPR 2–3 (1–2) 1.903.404.33 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 35 22 11 2 68 28 +40 77
2 Sheffield United 35 20 7 8 56 31 +25 67
3 Middlesbrough 35 18 6 11 61 40 +21 60
4 Blackburn 36 18 4 14 41 41 0 58
5 Luton 35 15 12 8 43 34 +9 57
6 Norwich 35 16 7 12 51 39 +12 55
7 Millwall 35 15 9 11 45 38 +7 54
8 Coventry 35 14 10 11 41 34 +7 52
9 West Brom 35 14 9 12 45 38 +7 51
10 Watford 35 13 12 10 41 38 +3 51
11 Sunderland 35 13 10 12 50 43 +7 49
12 Bristol City 36 12 12 12 45 43 +2 48
13 Preston 35 12 11 12 30 38 -8 47
14 Stoke 36 13 7 16 47 44 +3 46
15 Hull 35 12 9 14 40 48 -8 45
16 Reading 35 13 5 17 38 54 -16 44
17 Swansea 35 11 10 14 47 52 -5 43
18 Rotherham 35 9 13 13 40 47 -7 40
19 Birmingham 35 10 9 16 39 47 -8 39
20 QPR 35 10 9 16 36 52 -16 39
21 Cardiff 35 10 8 17 27 38 -11 38
22 Blackpool 36 7 11 18 33 53 -20 32
23 Huddersfield 35 8 8 19 30 51 -21 32
24 Wigan 35 7 11 17 31 54 -23 32
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 18 13 5 0 40 13 +27 44
2 Blackburn 17 12 1 4 23 13 +10 37
3 Sheffield United 17 11 3 3 35 16 +19 36
4 Middlesbrough 17 10 5 2 31 13 +18 35
5 Reading 17 10 3 4 27 19 +8 33
6 Millwall 17 9 5 3 27 15 +12 32
7 West Brom 18 9 5 4 25 15 +10 32
8 Coventry 18 9 5 4 23 16 +7 32
9 Watford 17 8 5 4 24 16 +8 29
10 Bristol City 19 8 5 6 24 18 +6 29
11 Norwich 18 8 4 6 27 21 +6 28
12 Rotherham 17 7 5 5 29 21 +8 26
13 Luton 18 6 8 4 23 19 +4 26
14 Hull 18 7 4 7 20 23 -3 25
15 Swansea 17 7 3 7 27 25 +2 24
16 Sunderland 17 6 5 6 22 22 0 23
17 Cardiff 18 6 5 7 15 16 -1 23
18 Stoke 18 6 4 8 23 21 +2 22
19 Huddersfield 18 6 4 8 16 20 -4 22
20 Birmingham 18 5 5 8 20 21 -1 20
21 QPR 17 5 4 8 19 26 -7 19
22 Blackpool 17 4 6 7 17 21 -4 18
23 Preston 18 4 6 8 12 22 -10 18
24 Wigan 18 3 5 10 13 31 -18 14
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 17 9 6 2 28 15 +13 33
2 Sheffield United 18 9 4 5 21 15 +6 31
3 Luton 17 9 4 4 20 15 +5 31
4 Preston 17 8 5 4 18 16 +2 29
5 Norwich 17 8 3 6 24 18 +6 27
6 Sunderland 18 7 5 6 28 21 +7 26
7 Middlesbrough 18 8 1 9 30 27 +3 25
8 Stoke 18 7 3 8 24 23 +1 24
9 Millwall 18 6 4 8 18 23 -5 22
10 Watford 18 5 7 6 17 22 -5 22
11 Blackburn 19 6 3 10 18 28 -10 21
12 Coventry 17 5 5 7 18 18 0 20
13 Hull 17 5 5 7 20 25 -5 20
14 QPR 18 5 5 8 17 26 -9 20
15 West Brom 17 5 4 8 20 23 -3 19
16 Bristol City 17 4 7 6 21 25 -4 19
17 Swansea 18 4 7 7 20 27 -7 19
18 Birmingham 17 5 4 8 19 26 -7 19
19 Wigan 17 4 6 7 18 23 -5 18
20 Cardiff 17 4 3 10 12 22 -10 15
21 Rotherham 18 2 8 8 11 26 -15 14
22 Blackpool 19 3 5 11 16 32 -16 14
23 Reading 18 3 2 13 11 35 -24 11
24 Huddersfield 17 2 4 11 14 31 -17 10

QPR   Watford

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Middlesbrough 35 13 22 1.7 1.1 18 6 11 61 40 60
2 16 Reading 35 15 20 1.1 1.5 13 5 17 38 54 44
3 17 Swansea 35 15 20 1.3 1.5 11 10 14 47 52 43
4 11 Sunderland 35 16 19 1.4 1.2 13 10 12 50 43 49
5 20 QPR 35 16 19 1.0 1.5 10 9 16 36 52 39
6 6 Norwich 35 17 18 1.5 1.1 16 7 12 51 39 55
7 1 Burnley 35 18 17 1.9 0.8 22 11 2 68 28 77
8 14 Stoke 36 19 17 1.3 1.2 13 7 16 47 44 46
9 18 Rotherham 35 18 17 1.1 1.3 9 13 13 40 47 40
10 4 Blackburn 36 20 16 1.1 1.1 18 4 14 41 41 58
11 15 Hull 35 19 16 1.1 1.4 12 9 14 40 48 45
12 19 Birmingham 35 19 16 1.1 1.3 10 9 16 39 47 39
13 22 Blackpool 36 20 16 0.9 1.5 7 11 18 33 53 32
14 23 Huddersfield 35 19 16 0.9 1.5 8 8 19 30 51 32
15 2 Sheffield United 35 20 15 1.6 0.9 20 7 8 56 31 67
16 24 Wigan 35 20 15 0.9 1.5 7 11 17 31 54 32
17 7 Millwall 35 21 14 1.3 1.1 15 9 11 45 38 54
18 12 Bristol City 36 22 14 1.2 1.2 12 12 12 45 43 48
19 10 Watford 35 22 13 1.2 1.1 13 12 10 41 38 51
20 13 Preston 35 22 13 0.9 1.1 12 11 12 30 38 47
21 5 Luton 35 23 12 1.2 1.0 15 12 8 43 34 57
22 8 Coventry 35 24 11 1.2 1.0 14 10 11 41 34 52
23 9 West Brom 35 24 11 1.3 1.1 14 9 12 45 38 51
24 21 Cardiff 35 26 9 0.8 1.1 10 8 17 27 38 38
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Burnley 18 7 11 2.2 0.7 13 5 0 40 13 44
2 16 Reading 17 6 11 1.6 1.1 10 3 4 27 19 33
3 17 Swansea 17 6 11 1.6 1.5 7 3 7 27 25 24
4 20 QPR 17 6 11 1.1 1.5 5 4 8 19 26 19
5 2 Sheffield United 17 7 10 2.1 0.9 11 3 3 35 16 36
6 18 Rotherham 17 7 10 1.7 1.2 7 5 5 29 21 26
7 3 Middlesbrough 17 8 9 1.8 0.8 10 5 2 31 13 35
8 6 Norwich 18 9 9 1.5 1.2 8 4 6 27 21 28
9 11 Sunderland 17 8 9 1.3 1.3 6 5 6 22 22 23
10 14 Stoke 18 10 8 1.3 1.2 6 4 8 23 21 22
11 15 Hull 18 10 8 1.1 1.3 7 4 7 20 23 25
12 19 Birmingham 18 10 8 1.1 1.2 5 5 8 20 21 20
13 4 Blackburn 17 10 7 1.4 0.8 12 1 4 23 13 37
14 5 Luton 18 11 7 1.3 1.1 6 8 4 23 19 26
15 7 Millwall 17 10 7 1.6 0.9 9 5 3 27 15 32
16 10 Watford 17 10 7 1.4 0.9 8 5 4 24 16 29
17 22 Blackpool 17 10 7 1.0 1.2 4 6 7 17 21 18
18 24 Wigan 18 11 7 0.7 1.7 3 5 10 13 31 14
19 12 Bristol City 19 13 6 1.3 0.9 8 5 6 24 18 29
20 13 Preston 18 12 6 0.7 1.2 4 6 8 12 22 18
21 23 Huddersfield 18 12 6 0.9 1.1 6 4 8 16 20 22
22 8 Coventry 18 13 5 1.3 0.9 9 5 4 23 16 32
23 9 West Brom 18 14 4 1.4 0.8 9 5 4 25 15 32
24 21 Cardiff 18 14 4 0.8 0.9 6 5 7 15 16 23
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Middlesbrough 18 5 13 1.7 1.5 8 1 9 30 27 25
2 11 Sunderland 18 8 10 1.6 1.2 7 5 6 28 21 26
3 23 Huddersfield 17 7 10 0.8 1.8 2 4 11 14 31 10
4 4 Blackburn 19 10 9 0.9 1.5 6 3 10 18 28 21
5 6 Norwich 17 8 9 1.4 1.1 8 3 6 24 18 27
6 14 Stoke 18 9 9 1.3 1.3 7 3 8 24 23 24
7 16 Reading 18 9 9 0.6 1.9 3 2 13 11 35 11
8 17 Swansea 18 9 9 1.1 1.5 4 7 7 20 27 19
9 22 Blackpool 19 10 9 0.8 1.7 3 5 11 16 32 14
10 12 Bristol City 17 9 8 1.2 1.5 4 7 6 21 25 19
11 15 Hull 17 9 8 1.2 1.5 5 5 7 20 25 20
12 19 Birmingham 17 9 8 1.1 1.5 5 4 8 19 26 19
13 20 QPR 18 10 8 0.9 1.4 5 5 8 17 26 20
14 24 Wigan 17 9 8 1.1 1.4 4 6 7 18 23 18
15 7 Millwall 18 11 7 1.0 1.3 6 4 8 18 23 22
16 9 West Brom 17 10 7 1.2 1.4 5 4 8 20 23 19
17 13 Preston 17 10 7 1.1 0.9 8 5 4 18 16 29
18 18 Rotherham 18 11 7 0.6 1.4 2 8 8 11 26 14
19 1 Burnley 17 11 6 1.6 0.9 9 6 2 28 15 33
20 8 Coventry 17 11 6 1.1 1.1 5 5 7 18 18 20
21 10 Watford 18 12 6 0.9 1.2 5 7 6 17 22 22
22 2 Sheffield United 18 13 5 1.2 0.8 9 4 5 21 15 31
23 5 Luton 17 12 5 1.2 0.9 9 4 4 20 15 31
24 21 Cardiff 17 12 5 0.7 1.3 4 3 10 12 22 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51