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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Linington

Millwall 2–0 Stoke

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.30 fair 3.12
Draw 3.20 fair 3.60
Away 2.95 fair 2.49
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.73
Over 2.5 2.30 fair 2.37

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Millwall Stoke
15 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 2
13 Fouls 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (119 league matches this season so far).
Result Stoke to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.10 – 1.27
Home / Draw / Away
MillwallDrawStoke
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.1% 0–1 11.9% 1–0 10.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches
1.70points / match
1.10scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 11:13
Stoke before this match, all matches
1.80points / match
1.20scored / match
0.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 12:6
Millwall all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

1.10 Goals scored 1.20
1.30 Goals conceded 0.60
2.40 Total goals 1.80
12.80 Shots 12.80
3.20 Shots on target 4.40
12.80 Shots faced 10.90
4.80 Corners 6.50
5.50 Corners against 4.50
14.50 Fouls 9.80
2.20 Yellow cards 1.70
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.30
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
20% Draws 30%
30% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
80% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 30%
10% Over 3.5 goals 10%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 40%
30% Clean sheets 40%
30% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 30%
40% Draws 50%
20% Losses 20%
70% Over 0.5 goals 50%
20% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches
Stoke all matches
Millwall before this match, at home
1.20points / match
0.80scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 4:9
Stoke before this match, away
1.60points / match
1.20scored / match
0.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 6:3
Millwall at home away Stoke

Per match

0.80 Goals scored 1.20
1.80 Goals conceded 0.60
2.60 Total goals 1.80
13.00 Shots 12.00
2.40 Shots on target 4.40
10.40 Shots faced 15.20
5.00 Corners 6.00
4.80 Corners against 5.60
12.60 Fouls 9.80
1.80 Yellow cards 2.00
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

40% Wins 40%
0% Draws 40%
60% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
80% Over 1.5 goals 60%
60% Over 2.5 goals 40%
20% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Both teams scored 40%
40% Clean sheets 40%
60% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 20%
40% Draws 80%
20% Losses 0%
60% Over 0.5 goals 20%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home
Stoke away

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.25 QPR – Millwall 1–2 (0–2) 2.572.952.82 2.38 1.57
04.10.25 Millwall – West Brom 3–0 (1–0) 2.753.202.50 2.38 1.57
01.10.25 Millwall – Coventry 0–4 (0–1) 3.003.302.30 1.93 1.93
27.09.25 Swansea – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.103.50 2.38 1.57
22.09.25 Millwall – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 2.013.203.80 2.30 1.62
13.09.25 Charlton – Millwall 1–1 (1–0) 2.403.103.10 2.50 1.53
30.08.25 Millwall – Wrexham 0–2 (0–0) 1.963.403.75 2.10 1.73
23.08.25 Sheffield United – Millwall 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.403.70 2.20 1.67
16.08.25 Millwall – Middlesbrough 0–3 (0–0) 2.153.253.40 2.30 1.62
09.08.25 Norwich – Millwall 1–2 (0–0) 2.003.303.80 2.10 1.73

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.25 Stoke – Wrexham 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.503.75 2.00 1.85
04.10.25 Blackburn – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.70 2.20 1.67
30.09.25 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.404.50 2.00 1.80
27.09.25 Stoke – Norwich 1–1 (0–1) 1.963.603.50 1.93 1.93
20.09.25 QPR – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 2.653.202.55 2.10 1.73
13.09.25 Stoke – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.202.35 2.30 1.62
30.08.25 Stoke – West Brom 0–1 (0–1) 2.653.202.65 2.10 1.73
23.08.25 Southampton – Stoke 1–2 (0–0) 1.733.804.50 1.98 1.88
16.08.25 Sheffield Weds – Stoke 0–3 (0–1) 3.903.401.95 2.00 1.80
09.08.25 Stoke – Derby 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.20 2.50 1.53

Millwall at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.25 Millwall – West Brom 3–0 (1–0) 2.753.202.50 2.38 1.57
01.10.25 Millwall – Coventry 0–4 (0–1) 3.003.302.30 1.93 1.93
22.09.25 Millwall – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 2.013.203.80 2.30 1.62
30.08.25 Millwall – Wrexham 0–2 (0–0) 1.963.403.75 2.10 1.73
16.08.25 Millwall – Middlesbrough 0–3 (0–0) 2.153.253.40 2.30 1.62
26.04.25 Millwall – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.30 2.38 1.57
21.04.25 Millwall – Norwich 3–1 (2–1) 2.203.403.20 2.20 1.67
12.04.25 Millwall – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 2.883.252.45 2.10 1.73
05.04.25 Millwall – Portsmouth 2–1 (0–0) 2.353.003.30 2.63 1.50
15.03.25 Millwall – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.103.60 2.63 1.50

Stoke away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.25 Blackburn – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.70 2.20 1.67
30.09.25 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.404.50 2.00 1.80
20.09.25 QPR – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 2.653.202.55 2.10 1.73
23.08.25 Southampton – Stoke 1–2 (0–0) 1.733.804.50 1.98 1.88
16.08.25 Sheffield Weds – Stoke 0–3 (0–1) 3.903.401.95 2.00 1.80
03.05.25 Derby – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.004.20 2.50 1.53
21.04.25 Leeds – Stoke 6–0 (5–0) 1.275.7511.00 1.67 2.20
12.04.25 Cardiff – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.503.00 2.20 1.67
05.04.25 Preston – Stoke 1–1 (1–0) 2.353.253.00 2.30 1.62
15.03.25 Millwall – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.103.60 2.63 1.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Millwall winsDrawsStoke wins
8matches
1.50goals / match
13%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.25E1 Millwall – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.103.60 2.63 1.50
09.11.24E1 Stoke – Millwall 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.252.80 2.20 1.67
23.12.23E1 Stoke – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.603.40 2.10 1.70
26.08.23E1 Millwall – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.20 1.67
25.02.23E1 Stoke – Millwall 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.203.00 2.38 1.57
30.07.22E1 Millwall – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.30 1.61
19.03.22E1 Stoke – Millwall 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.20 2.37 1.57
23.10.21E1 Millwall – Stoke 2–1 (0–1) 2.503.103.00 2.37 1.57

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 10 6 4 0 29 7 +22 22
2 Middlesbrough 10 6 3 1 14 7 +7 21
3 Stoke 10 5 3 2 12 6 +6 18
4 Leicester 10 4 5 1 14 9 +5 17
5 West Brom 10 5 2 3 11 11 0 17
6 Millwall 10 5 2 3 11 13 -2 17
7 Bristol City 10 4 4 2 16 10 +6 16
8 Preston 10 4 4 2 12 9 +3 16
9 Charlton 10 4 3 3 10 9 +1 15
10 Hull 10 4 3 3 17 18 -1 15
11 QPR 10 4 3 3 14 16 -2 15
12 Ipswich 9 3 4 2 16 10 +6 13
13 Swansea 10 3 4 3 10 10 0 13
14 Portsmouth 10 3 4 3 9 10 -1 13
15 Southampton 10 2 6 2 11 12 -1 12
16 Watford 10 3 3 4 11 12 -1 12
17 Birmingham 10 3 3 4 10 14 -4 12
18 Wrexham 10 2 4 4 14 16 -2 10
19 Oxford 10 2 3 5 11 13 -2 9
20 Norwich 10 2 2 6 11 15 -4 8
21 Derby 10 1 5 4 11 16 -5 8
22 Blackburn 9 2 1 6 7 13 -6 7
23 Sheffield United 10 2 0 8 4 16 -12 6
24 Sheffield Weds 10 1 3 6 9 22 -13 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 0 6 2 +4 13
2 Coventry 5 3 2 0 13 2 +11 11
3 Ipswich 5 3 2 0 13 5 +8 11
4 Preston 5 3 2 0 7 3 +4 11
5 Charlton 5 3 1 1 7 3 +4 10
6 Stoke 5 3 1 1 6 3 +3 10
7 Watford 5 3 1 1 8 6 +2 10
8 Hull 5 3 1 1 9 8 +1 10
9 Leicester 5 2 3 0 6 3 +3 9
10 QPR 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8
11 Birmingham 5 2 2 1 7 6 +1 8
12 West Brom 5 2 2 1 5 4 +1 8
13 Portsmouth 5 2 1 2 5 6 -1 7
14 Southampton 5 1 3 1 4 4 0 6
15 Swansea 5 1 3 1 6 7 -1 6
16 Millwall 5 2 0 3 4 9 -5 6
17 Bristol City 5 1 2 2 7 8 -1 5
18 Oxford 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
19 Wrexham 5 0 3 2 7 10 -3 3
20 Derby 5 0 3 2 6 9 -3 3
21 Sheffield United 5 1 0 4 3 8 -5 3
22 Blackburn 4 0 1 3 3 7 -4 1
23 Sheffield Weds 5 0 1 4 1 14 -13 1
24 Norwich 5 0 0 5 4 9 -5 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 5 3 2 0 16 5 +11 11
2 Bristol City 5 3 2 0 9 2 +7 11
3 Millwall 5 3 2 0 7 4 +3 11
4 West Brom 5 3 0 2 6 7 -1 9
5 Middlesbrough 5 2 2 1 8 5 +3 8
6 Stoke 5 2 2 1 6 3 +3 8
7 Leicester 5 2 2 1 8 6 +2 8
8 Norwich 5 2 2 1 7 6 +1 8
9 Wrexham 5 2 1 2 7 6 +1 7
10 Swansea 5 2 1 2 4 3 +1 7
11 QPR 5 2 1 2 8 12 -4 7
12 Portsmouth 5 1 3 1 4 4 0 6
13 Southampton 5 1 3 1 7 8 -1 6
14 Blackburn 5 2 0 3 4 6 -2 6
15 Sheffield Weds 5 1 2 2 8 8 0 5
16 Preston 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
17 Hull 5 1 2 2 8 10 -2 5
18 Derby 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5
19 Charlton 5 1 2 2 3 6 -3 5
20 Oxford 5 1 1 3 6 7 -1 4
21 Birmingham 5 1 1 3 3 8 -5 4
22 Sheffield United 5 1 0 4 1 8 -7 3
23 Ipswich 4 0 2 2 3 5 -2 2
24 Watford 5 0 2 3 3 6 -3 2

Millwall   Stoke

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Hull 10 2 8 1.7 1.8 4 3 3 17 18 15
2 24 Sheffield Weds 10 3 7 0.9 2.2 1 3 6 9 22 6
3 1 Coventry 10 4 6 2.9 0.7 6 4 0 29 7 22
4 11 QPR 10 4 6 1.4 1.6 4 3 3 14 16 15
5 2 Middlesbrough 10 5 5 1.4 0.7 6 3 1 14 7 21
6 6 Millwall 10 5 5 1.1 1.3 5 2 3 11 13 17
7 7 Bristol City 10 5 5 1.6 1.0 4 4 2 16 10 16
8 12 Ipswich 9 4 5 1.8 1.1 3 4 2 16 10 13
9 15 Southampton 10 5 5 1.1 1.2 2 6 2 11 12 12
10 16 Watford 10 5 5 1.1 1.2 3 3 4 11 12 12
11 18 Wrexham 10 5 5 1.4 1.6 2 4 4 14 16 10
12 19 Oxford 10 5 5 1.1 1.3 2 3 5 11 13 9
13 20 Norwich 10 5 5 1.1 1.5 2 2 6 11 15 8
14 4 Leicester 10 6 4 1.4 0.9 4 5 1 14 9 17
15 5 West Brom 10 6 4 1.1 1.1 5 2 3 11 11 17
16 8 Preston 10 6 4 1.2 0.9 4 4 2 12 9 16
17 17 Birmingham 10 6 4 1.0 1.4 3 3 4 10 14 12
18 22 Blackburn 9 5 4 0.8 1.4 2 1 6 7 13 7
19 3 Stoke 10 7 3 1.2 0.6 5 3 2 12 6 18
20 9 Charlton 10 7 3 1.0 0.9 4 3 3 10 9 15
21 13 Swansea 10 7 3 1.0 1.0 3 4 3 10 10 13
22 14 Portsmouth 10 7 3 0.9 1.0 3 4 3 9 10 13
23 21 Derby 10 7 3 1.1 1.6 1 5 4 11 16 8
24 23 Sheffield United 10 7 3 0.4 1.6 2 0 8 4 16 6
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Hull 5 1 4 1.8 1.6 3 1 1 9 8 10
2 12 Ipswich 5 1 4 2.6 1.0 3 2 0 13 5 11
3 16 Watford 5 1 4 1.6 1.2 3 1 1 8 6 10
4 6 Millwall 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 2 0 3 4 9 6
5 7 Bristol City 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 1 2 2 7 8 5
6 18 Wrexham 5 2 3 1.4 2.0 0 3 2 7 10 3
7 20 Norwich 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 0 0 5 4 9 0
8 24 Sheffield Weds 5 2 3 0.2 2.8 0 1 4 1 14 1
9 1 Coventry 5 3 2 2.6 0.4 3 2 0 13 2 11
10 2 Middlesbrough 5 3 2 1.2 0.4 4 1 0 6 2 13
11 8 Preston 5 3 2 1.4 0.6 3 2 0 7 3 11
12 9 Charlton 5 3 2 1.4 0.6 3 1 1 7 3 10
13 11 QPR 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8
14 13 Swansea 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 1 3 1 6 7 6
15 14 Portsmouth 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 2 1 2 5 6 7
16 15 Southampton 5 3 2 0.8 0.8 1 3 1 4 4 6
17 17 Birmingham 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 2 2 1 7 6 8
18 19 Oxford 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
19 22 Blackburn 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 0 1 3 3 7 1
20 23 Sheffield United 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 1 0 4 3 8 3
21 3 Stoke 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 3 1 1 6 3 10
22 4 Leicester 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 2 3 0 6 3 9
23 5 West Brom 5 4 1 1.0 0.8 2 2 1 5 4 8
24 21 Derby 5 4 1 1.2 1.8 0 3 2 6 9 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 5 1 4 3.2 1.0 3 2 0 16 5 11
2 10 Hull 5 1 4 1.6 2.0 1 2 2 8 10 5
3 11 QPR 5 1 4 1.6 2.4 2 1 2 8 12 7
4 24 Sheffield Weds 5 1 4 1.6 1.6 1 2 2 8 8 5
5 2 Middlesbrough 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 2 2 1 8 5 8
6 4 Leicester 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 2 2 1 8 6 8
7 5 West Brom 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 3 0 2 6 7 9
8 15 Southampton 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 1 3 1 7 8 6
9 19 Oxford 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 1 1 3 6 7 4
10 3 Stoke 5 3 2 1.2 0.6 2 2 1 6 3 8
11 6 Millwall 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 3 2 0 7 4 11
12 7 Bristol City 5 3 2 1.8 0.4 3 2 0 9 2 11
13 8 Preston 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
14 17 Birmingham 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 1 1 3 3 8 4
15 18 Wrexham 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 2 1 2 7 6 7
16 20 Norwich 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 2 2 1 7 6 8
17 21 Derby 5 3 2 1.0 1.4 1 2 2 5 7 5
18 22 Blackburn 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 2 0 3 4 6 6
19 9 Charlton 5 4 1 0.6 1.2 1 2 2 3 6 5
20 12 Ipswich 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 0 2 2 3 5 2
21 13 Swansea 5 4 1 0.8 0.6 2 1 2 4 3 7
22 14 Portsmouth 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 1 3 1 4 4 6
23 16 Watford 5 4 1 0.6 1.2 0 2 3 3 6 2
24 23 Sheffield United 5 4 1 0.2 1.6 1 0 4 1 8 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40