Millwall 1–0 Swansea – England Championship, 26 Apr 2025

Match facts

Millwall Swansea

16 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 4

4 Corners 7

11 Fouls 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (531 league matches this season so far).

Result Millwall to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.74

Expected goals 1.30 – 0.88

Home / Draw / Away

46% 28% 25%

MillwallDrawSwansea

Under / Over 2.5 goals

63% 37%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

57% 43%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

11% 0

25% 1

27% 2

20% 3

11% 4

7% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 14.7% 1–1 12.9% 0–0 11.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches

1.43points / match

1.02scored / match

1.05conceded / match

17 12 15

WonDrawnLost 44 played · 45:46

Swansea before this match, all matches

1.36points / match

1.09scored / match

1.18conceded / match

17 9 18

WonDrawnLost 44 played · 48:52

Millwall all matches all matches Swansea

Per match

1.02 Goals scored 1.09

1.05 Goals conceded 1.18

2.07 Total goals 2.27

11.23 Shots 10.52

3.61 Shots on target 3.55

10.77 Shots faced 11.30

4.86 Corners 4.70

5.36 Corners against 4.77

12.95 Fouls 10.61

1.66 Yellow cards 1.59

0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.66

0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.48

How often Full Time

39% Wins 39%

27% Draws 20%

34% Losses 41%

93% Over 0.5 goals 93%

50% Over 1.5 goals 59%

30% Over 2.5 goals 45%

18% Over 3.5 goals 16%

9% Over 4.5 goals 7%

5% Over 5.5 goals 5%

43% Both teams scored 41%

34% Clean sheets 32%

30% Failed to score 34%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 39%

43% Draws 34%

32% Losses 27%

61% Over 0.5 goals 70%

23% Over 1.5 goals 30%

9% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches

2

L

2

1

W

2

L

1

W

1

L

2

1

W

1

W

1

W

1

4

L

3

1

W

Swansea all matches

D

1

W

1

L

2

L

2

D

1

W

3

W

1

W

1

W

2

1

W

Millwall before this match, at home

1.68points / match

1.18scored / match

0.86conceded / match

11 4 7

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 26:19

Swansea before this match, away

1.14points / match

0.82scored / match

1.41conceded / match

7 4 11

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 18:31

Millwall at home away Swansea

Per match

1.18 Goals scored 0.82

0.86 Goals conceded 1.41

2.05 Total goals 2.23

12.41 Shots 9.64

3.73 Shots on target 2.91

8.82 Shots faced 12.82

5.14 Corners 4.95

4.86 Corners against 5.00

12.59 Fouls 10.09

1.32 Yellow cards 1.91

0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.36

0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

50% Wins 32%

18% Draws 18%

32% Losses 50%

100% Over 0.5 goals 91%

50% Over 1.5 goals 55%

32% Over 2.5 goals 50%

18% Over 3.5 goals 18%

5% Over 4.5 goals 5%

0% Over 5.5 goals 5%

41% Both teams scored 45%

32% Clean sheets 18%

27% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 23%

55% Draws 36%

18% Losses 41%

50% Over 0.5 goals 68%

23% Over 1.5 goals 18%

14% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home

1

L

1

L

2

D

2

1

W

1

D

2

L

1

W

2

1

W

1

W

3

1

W

Swansea away

4

L

3

L

1

5

L

1

W

1

3

L

D

1

L

2

D

1

W

2

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.04.25	Millwall – Norwich	3–1 (2–1)	2.20	3.40	3.20	2.20	1.67
18.04.25	Blackburn – Millwall	4–1 (2–1)	2.35	3.10	3.20	2.63	1.50
12.04.25	Millwall – Middlesbrough	1–0 (0–0)	2.88	3.25	2.45	2.10	1.73
08.04.25	Sheffield United – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	1.62	3.75	5.25	2.30	1.62
05.04.25	Millwall – Portsmouth	2–1 (0–0)	2.35	3.00	3.30	2.63	1.50
29.03.25	Sunderland – Millwall	1–0 (1–0)	1.62	3.75	5.50	2.30	1.62
15.03.25	Millwall – Stoke	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.10	3.60	2.63	1.50
12.03.25	Leeds – Millwall	2–0 (1–0)	1.29	5.25	10.00	1.98	1.88
08.03.25	Watford – Millwall	1–2 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.45	1.49
04.03.25	Millwall – Bristol City	0–2 (0–0)	2.75	3.00	2.75	2.75	1.44

Swansea all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.04.25	QPR – Swansea	1–2 (0–1)	2.40	3.50	2.75	2.30	1.62
18.04.25	Swansea – Hull	1–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.30	3.00	2.20	1.67
12.04.25	Sunderland – Swansea	0–1 (0–0)	1.70	3.60	4.75	2.10	1.73
09.04.25	Swansea – Plymouth	3–0 (3–0)	1.58	4.00	5.00	2.03	1.83
05.04.25	Swansea – Derby	1–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.30	3.75	2.38	1.57
29.03.25	Leeds – Swansea	2–2 (1–0)	1.22	6.00	12.00	1.73	2.10
15.03.25	Swansea – Burnley	0–2 (0–2)	3.60	3.20	2.10	2.50	1.53
12.03.25	Watford – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.05	1.68
08.03.25	Swansea – Middlesbrough	1–0 (1–0)	2.70	3.40	2.50	1.93	1.93
04.03.25	Preston – Swansea	0–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.20	3.10	2.30	1.62

Millwall at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.04.25	Millwall – Norwich	3–1 (2–1)	2.20	3.40	3.20	2.20	1.67
12.04.25	Millwall – Middlesbrough	1–0 (0–0)	2.88	3.25	2.45	2.10	1.73
05.04.25	Millwall – Portsmouth	2–1 (0–0)	2.35	3.00	3.30	2.63	1.50
15.03.25	Millwall – Stoke	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.10	3.60	2.63	1.50
04.03.25	Millwall – Bristol City	0–2 (0–0)	2.75	3.00	2.75	2.75	1.44
15.02.25	Millwall – West Brom	1–1 (1–1)	2.63	3.20	2.75	2.50	1.53
01.02.25	Millwall – QPR	2–1 (2–1)	2.20	3.10	3.50	2.75	1.44
21.01.25	Millwall – Cardiff	2–2 (2–1)	2.15	2.90	3.90	3.00	1.40
18.01.25	Millwall – Hull	0–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.20	3.75	2.50	1.53
01.01.25	Millwall – Oxford	0–1 (0–0)	1.67	3.75	5.00	2.30	1.62

Swansea away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.04.25	QPR – Swansea	1–2 (0–1)	2.40	3.50	2.75	2.30	1.62
12.04.25	Sunderland – Swansea	0–1 (0–0)	1.70	3.60	4.75	2.10	1.73
29.03.25	Leeds – Swansea	2–2 (1–0)	1.22	6.00	12.00	1.73	2.10
12.03.25	Watford – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.05	1.68
04.03.25	Preston – Swansea	0–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.20	3.10	2.30	1.62
15.02.25	Stoke – Swansea	3–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.40	2.88	2.10	1.73
09.02.25	Bristol City – Swansea	0–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.10	2.10	1.73
25.01.25	Norwich – Swansea	5–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.20	3.60	1.95	1.90
18.01.25	Cardiff – Swansea	3–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.25	2.63	2.10	1.73
01.01.25	Portsmouth – Swansea	4–0 (2–0)	2.88	3.40	2.38	1.95	1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3 2 2

Millwall winsDrawsSwansea wins

7matches

1.86goals / match

43%over 2.5

29%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.10.24E1	Swansea – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.25	2.88	2.20	1.67
04.05.24E1	Swansea – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.50	3.60	1.93	1.93
30.09.23E1	Millwall – Swansea	0–3 (0–1)	2.10	3.30	3.75	2.08	1.73
14.03.23E1	Millwall – Swansea	2–1 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	3.80	2.20	1.67
16.08.22E1	Swansea – Millwall	2–2 (2–0)	2.50	3.20	3.00	2.30	1.61
05.04.22E1	Millwall – Swansea	0–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.25	3.75	2.30	1.61
15.09.21E1	Swansea – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	2.60	3.10	2.90	2.30	1.61

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Burnley	45	27	16	2	66	15	+51	97	WDWWWW
2	Leeds	44	27	13	4	89	29	+60	94	DDWWWW
3	Sheffield United	45	28	7	10	62	35	+27	91	LLLWLW
4	Sunderland	44	21	13	10	58	41	+17	76	WWDLLL
5	Bristol City	44	17	16	11	57	49	+8	67	LWWDWL
6	Coventry	45	19	9	17	62	58	+4	66	LWDWLL
7	Middlesbrough	44	18	9	17	64	54	+10	63	WWLLWL
8	Millwall	44	17	12	15	45	46	-1	63	LWWWLW
9	Blackburn	44	18	8	18	50	46	+4	62	LLDWWW
10	West Brom	44	14	18	12	52	44	+8	60	LLLWLL
11	Swansea	44	17	9	18	48	52	-4	60	DWWWWW
12	Watford	44	16	8	20	51	58	-7	56	DLWLLL
13	Sheffield Weds	44	15	11	18	58	67	-9	56	DLDLLW
14	Norwich	44	13	14	17	67	66	+1	53	WLDLLL
15	QPR	45	13	14	18	52	63	-11	53	DWDWLL
16	Portsmouth	44	14	10	20	56	69	-13	52	WLLDWW
17	Stoke	45	12	14	19	45	62	-17	50	DDWWLL
18	Preston	44	10	19	15	45	55	-10	49	LDDLLL
19	Oxford	44	12	13	19	44	62	-18	49	LWLWLD
20	Luton	45	13	10	22	42	64	-22	49	DDLWWW
21	Hull	44	12	12	20	43	52	-9	48	LWLDLW
22	Derby	44	12	10	22	47	56	-9	46	WLDDLW
23	Cardiff	44	9	16	19	46	69	-23	43	DDDLLD
24	Plymouth	44	10	13	21	48	85	-37	43	DWLWLW

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Leeds	22	17	4	1	57	12	+45	55	WDWDWW
2	Burnley	22	13	9	0	32	7	+25	48	WWDWWW
3	Sheffield United	22	15	3	4	32	16	+16	48	LWDWLW
4	Bristol City	22	13	6	3	34	18	+16	45	WDWWWW
5	Sunderland	22	12	7	3	32	17	+15	43	LWDWLL
6	Coventry	22	13	3	6	38	24	+14	42	WWWLWW
7	Portsmouth	22	11	6	5	32	20	+12	39	WWLWDW
8	Watford	22	12	3	7	26	21	+5	39	WLWDWL
9	West Brom	22	10	8	4	28	17	+11	38	WWDLWL
10	Middlesbrough	22	11	5	6	31	23	+8	38	LWWWLW
11	Blackburn	22	11	4	7	32	22	+10	37	WDLLDW
12	Millwall	22	11	4	7	26	19	+7	37	DLWWWW
13	Norwich	22	9	8	5	48	32	+16	35	WDLWDL
14	Swansea	22	10	5	7	30	21	+9	35	WWLWWW
15	Oxford	22	10	5	7	29	29	0	35	LLWWLL
16	Luton	23	9	7	7	25	22	+3	34	WDDLWW
17	Plymouth	22	9	7	6	39	37	+2	34	DLLWWW
18	Preston	22	7	12	3	25	20	+5	33	DDWDDL
19	Stoke	23	8	9	6	29	25	+4	33	DWWDWL
20	Derby	22	9	4	9	25	18	+7	31	LWWWDL
21	QPR	23	7	8	8	31	34	-3	29	LDDDLL
22	Cardiff	22	7	5	10	24	27	-3	26	WLLDLD
23	Sheffield Weds	22	6	7	9	29	31	-2	25	LLLLLW
24	Hull	22	5	8	9	24	27	-3	23	DWWLDW

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Burnley	23	14	7	2	34	8	+26	49	WWWDWW
2	Sheffield United	23	13	4	6	30	19	+11	43	WWLLLW
3	Leeds	22	10	9	3	32	17	+15	39	WLDDWW
4	Sunderland	22	9	6	7	26	24	+2	33	LWLWDL
5	Sheffield Weds	22	9	4	9	29	36	-7	31	LWWDDL
6	Millwall	22	6	8	8	19	27	-8	26	WWLLWL
7	Middlesbrough	22	7	4	11	33	31	+2	25	WLDWLL
8	Hull	22	7	4	11	19	25	-6	25	LDDWLL
9	Blackburn	22	7	4	11	18	24	-6	25	LLLLWW
10	Swansea	22	7	4	11	18	31	-13	25	LDLDWW
11	QPR	22	6	6	10	21	29	-8	24	LLLLWW
12	Coventry	23	6	6	11	24	34	-10	24	WLLDLL
13	West Brom	22	4	10	8	24	27	-3	22	DDDLLL
14	Bristol City	22	4	10	8	23	31	-8	22	DWDLDL
15	Norwich	22	4	6	12	19	34	-15	18	DDLLLL
16	Watford	22	4	5	13	25	37	-12	17	WDLLLL
17	Cardiff	22	2	11	9	22	42	-20	17	DLWDDL
18	Stoke	22	4	5	13	16	37	-21	17	LLLDWL
19	Preston	22	3	7	12	20	35	-15	16	LLDLLL
20	Derby	22	3	6	13	22	38	-16	15	LLWLDW
21	Luton	22	4	3	15	17	42	-25	15	LLWWDW
22	Oxford	22	2	8	12	15	33	-18	14	LDLLWD
23	Portsmouth	22	3	4	15	24	49	-25	13	WLLLLW
24	Plymouth	22	1	6	15	9	48	-39	9	DLWDLL

Millwall Swansea

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	16	Portsmouth	44	16	28	1.3	1.6	14	10	20	56	69	52	UOUOOU
2	24	Plymouth	44	18	26	1.1	1.9	10	13	21	48	85	43	UOOOOO
3	12	Watford	44	19	25	1.2	1.3	16	8	20	51	58	56	UOUOOU
4	6	Coventry	45	21	24	1.4	1.3	19	9	17	62	58	66	OUUUOU
5	13	Sheffield Weds	44	20	24	1.3	1.5	15	11	18	58	67	56	UUOUUO
6	15	QPR	45	21	24	1.2	1.4	13	14	18	52	63	53	UOUOOO
7	14	Norwich	44	21	23	1.5	1.5	13	14	17	67	66	53	UOUOOO
8	7	Middlesbrough	44	23	21	1.5	1.2	18	9	17	64	54	63	OUUUOO
9	4	Sunderland	44	24	20	1.3	0.9	21	13	10	58	41	76	UUUUOU
10	11	Swansea	44	24	20	1.1	1.2	17	9	18	48	52	60	OUOUUO
11	18	Preston	44	24	20	1.0	1.2	10	19	15	45	55	49	UUOOOO
12	2	Leeds	44	25	19	2.0	0.7	27	13	4	89	29	94	OUUOUO
13	5	Bristol City	44	25	19	1.3	1.1	17	16	11	57	49	67	UOOUOO
14	20	Luton	45	26	19	0.9	1.4	13	10	22	42	64	49	UUUUOU
15	23	Cardiff	44	25	19	1.0	1.6	9	16	19	46	69	43	UUOUUU
16	22	Derby	44	26	18	1.1	1.3	12	10	22	47	56	46	UUUOUO
17	9	Blackburn	44	27	17	1.1	1.0	18	8	18	50	46	62	UUOUOU
18	17	Stoke	45	28	17	1.0	1.4	12	14	19	45	62	50	UUUUOU
19	3	Sheffield United	45	29	16	1.4	0.8	28	7	10	62	35	91	UUOUOU
20	10	West Brom	44	28	16	1.2	1.0	14	18	12	52	44	60	UUOOUO
21	19	Oxford	44	28	16	1.0	1.4	12	13	19	44	62	49	OUOUUU
22	1	Burnley	45	31	14	1.5	0.3	27	16	2	66	15	97	OUOOOO
23	21	Hull	44	30	14	1.0	1.2	12	12	20	43	52	48	UUUUUO
24	8	Millwall	44	31	13	1.0	1.0	17	12	15	45	46	63	UOUUOO

Home – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	24	Plymouth	22	6	16	1.8	1.7	9	7	6	39	37	34	UOOOOO
2	6	Coventry	22	7	15	1.7	1.1	13	3	6	38	24	42	OOOOUU
3	15	QPR	23	9	14	1.3	1.5	7	8	8	31	34	29	OOUUOO
4	2	Leeds	22	9	13	2.6	0.5	17	4	1	57	12	55	OUUOOO
5	14	Norwich	22	9	13	2.2	1.5	9	8	5	48	32	35	OUOUUO
6	16	Portsmouth	22	9	13	1.5	0.9	11	6	5	32	20	39	OUOUOU
7	12	Watford	22	10	12	1.2	1.0	12	3	7	26	21	39	UOUUUO
8	5	Bristol City	22	11	11	1.5	0.8	13	6	3	34	18	45	OUOOOO
9	4	Sunderland	22	13	9	1.5	0.8	12	7	3	32	17	43	UOUUUU
10	7	Middlesbrough	22	13	9	1.4	1.0	11	5	6	31	23	38	UUOOUO
11	9	Blackburn	22	13	9	1.5	1.0	11	4	7	32	22	37	UUOUOO
12	11	Swansea	22	13	9	1.4	1.0	10	5	7	30	21	35	OUUUOU
13	13	Sheffield Weds	22	13	9	1.3	1.4	6	7	9	29	31	25	OOUUUO
14	17	Stoke	23	14	9	1.3	1.1	8	9	6	29	25	33	UUOUUU
15	20	Luton	23	14	9	1.1	1.0	9	7	7	25	22	34	UUUUOU
16	18	Preston	22	14	8	1.1	0.9	7	12	3	25	20	33	UUOUOO
17	19	Oxford	22	14	8	1.3	1.3	10	5	7	29	29	35	UOUUOU
18	21	Hull	22	14	8	1.1	1.2	5	8	9	24	27	23	UUOUUO
19	1	Burnley	22	15	7	1.5	0.3	13	9	0	32	7	48	OOUUOO
20	3	Sheffield United	22	15	7	1.5	0.7	15	3	4	32	16	48	OUUOUU
21	8	Millwall	22	15	7	1.2	0.9	11	4	7	26	19	37	UUUOUO
22	10	West Brom	22	15	7	1.3	0.8	10	8	4	28	17	38	UUUUOO
23	22	Derby	22	15	7	1.1	0.8	9	4	9	25	18	31	UOUUUU
24	23	Cardiff	22	15	7	1.1	1.2	7	5	10	24	27	26	UOOUUU

Away – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	13	Sheffield Weds	22	7	15	1.3	1.6	9	4	9	29	36	31	OOOUOU
2	16	Portsmouth	22	7	15	1.1	2.2	3	4	15	24	49	13	UUOOUO
3	12	Watford	22	9	13	1.1	1.7	4	5	13	25	37	17	UUUOOU
4	7	Middlesbrough	22	10	12	1.5	1.4	7	4	11	33	31	25	OUUUUO
5	18	Preston	22	10	12	0.9	1.6	3	7	12	20	35	16	OUUUOO
6	23	Cardiff	22	10	12	1.0	1.9	2	11	9	22	42	17	UOOUOU
7	4	Sunderland	22	11	11	1.2	1.1	9	6	7	26	24	33	OOOUUO
8	11	Swansea	22	11	11	0.8	1.4	7	4	11	18	31	25	OUUOUO
9	22	Derby	22	11	11	1.0	1.7	3	6	13	22	38	15	OUOUOO
10	14	Norwich	22	12	10	0.9	1.5	4	6	12	19	34	18	UUOOOO
11	15	QPR	22	12	10	1.0	1.3	6	6	10	21	29	24	OUOOOO
12	20	Luton	22	12	10	0.8	1.9	4	3	15	17	42	15	UOOUUU
13	24	Plymouth	22	12	10	0.4	2.2	1	6	15	9	48	9	UUOUOO
14	3	Sheffield United	23	14	9	1.3	0.8	13	4	6	30	19	43	OUUOOU
15	6	Coventry	23	14	9	1.0	1.5	6	6	11	24	34	24	OUOUOU
16	10	West Brom	22	13	9	1.1	1.2	4	10	8	24	27	22	UUUUOU
17	5	Bristol City	22	14	8	1.0	1.4	4	10	8	23	31	22	UUUUUO
18	9	Blackburn	22	14	8	0.8	1.1	7	4	11	18	24	25	OOUUUU
19	17	Stoke	22	14	8	0.7	1.7	4	5	13	16	37	17	OOUUUO
20	19	Oxford	22	14	8	0.7	1.5	2	8	12	15	33	14	UUOOUU
21	1	Burnley	23	16	7	1.5	0.3	14	7	2	34	8	49	OUOUOO
22	2	Leeds	22	16	6	1.5	0.8	10	9	3	32	17	39	OUOUUU
23	8	Millwall	22	16	6	0.9	1.2	6	8	8	19	27	26	UOUUUO
24	21	Hull	22	16	6	0.9	1.1	7	4	11	19	25	25	UUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.