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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: M Salisbury

Middlesbrough 1–0 Birmingham

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.65 fair 2.40
Draw 3.75 fair 3.62
Away 5.75 fair 3.26
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.83 fair 1.73
Over 2.5 2.02 fair 2.37

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Middlesbrough Birmingham
13 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 6
11 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (135 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.30 – 1.07
Home / Draw / Away
MiddlesbroughDrawBirmingham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13% 1–0 12.1% 0–1 10%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
0.91points / match
1.18scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 13:16
Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.18points / match
0.82scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 9:11
Middlesbrough all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.18 Goals scored 0.82
1.45 Goals conceded 1.00
2.64 Total goals 1.82
11.91 Shots 9.91
3.18 Shots on target 3.09
8.55 Shots faced 13.27
6.45 Corners 4.55
3.82 Corners against 5.45
10.36 Fouls 12.00
2.27 Yellow cards 2.09
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.45
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.27

How often Full Time

18% Wins 27%
36% Draws 36%
45% Losses 36%
91% Over 0.5 goals 82%
64% Over 1.5 goals 55%
55% Over 2.5 goals 27%
36% Over 3.5 goals 9%
18% Over 4.5 goals 9%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
64% Both teams scored 45%
18% Clean sheets 27%
27% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 27%
36% Draws 55%
36% Losses 18%
91% Over 0.5 goals 55%
55% Over 1.5 goals 18%
18% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches
Birmingham all matches
Middlesbrough before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.33scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 8:7
Birmingham before this match, away
1.33points / match
0.83scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 5:6
Middlesbrough at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 0.83
1.17 Goals conceded 1.00
2.50 Total goals 1.83
11.33 Shots 8.17
3.17 Shots on target 2.33
7.00 Shots faced 15.17
6.33 Corners 3.67
3.83 Corners against 5.50
9.33 Fouls 13.00
2.67 Yellow cards 2.67
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

33% Wins 33%
50% Draws 33%
17% Losses 33%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
67% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 17%
33% Over 3.5 goals 17%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 33%
33% Clean sheets 33%
17% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 17%
33% Draws 50%
17% Losses 33%
83% Over 0.5 goals 67%
50% Over 1.5 goals 17%
17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home
Birmingham away

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.22 Coventry – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 2.903.302.45 1.95 1.90
17.09.22 Middlesbrough – Rotherham 0–0 (0–0) 1.614.005.75 1.98 1.88
13.09.22 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–3 (0–3) 1.703.605.25 2.10 1.72
05.09.22 Middlesbrough – Sunderland 1–0 (1–0) 1.723.605.00 1.98 1.88
30.08.22 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.72
27.08.22 Middlesbrough – Swansea 2–1 (2–0) 1.753.754.75 2.00 1.85
20.08.22 Reading – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.98 1.88
17.08.22 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.66
14.08.22 Middlesbrough – Sheffield United 2–2 (1–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.72
06.08.22 QPR – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–1) 3.003.302.40 2.00 1.80

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.22 Sheffield United – Birmingham 1–1 (0–0) 1.444.757.00 1.83 2.02
17.09.22 Birmingham – Coventry 0–0 (0–0) 2.873.252.55 2.00 1.80
14.09.22 West Brom – Birmingham 2–3 (1–1) 1.444.338.00 1.85 2.00
03.09.22 Preston – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.663.605.75 2.20 1.66
30.08.22 Birmingham – Norwich 1–2 (0–0) 4.503.501.83 2.00 1.85
27.08.22 Rotherham – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 2.20 1.66
20.08.22 Birmingham – Wigan 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.252.80 2.20 1.66
16.08.22 Birmingham – Watford 1–1 (1–0) 3.603.402.00 2.10 1.72
13.08.22 Cardiff – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.30 2.20 1.66
05.08.22 Birmingham – Huddersfield 2–1 (2–0) 2.373.253.10 2.20 1.66

Middlesbrough at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.09.22 Middlesbrough – Rotherham 0–0 (0–0) 1.614.005.75 1.98 1.88
13.09.22 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–3 (0–3) 1.703.605.25 2.10 1.72
05.09.22 Middlesbrough – Sunderland 1–0 (1–0) 1.723.605.00 1.98 1.88
27.08.22 Middlesbrough – Swansea 2–1 (2–0) 1.753.754.75 2.00 1.85
14.08.22 Middlesbrough – Sheffield United 2–2 (1–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.72
30.07.22 Middlesbrough – West Brom 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.403.25 2.10 1.72
30.04.22 Middlesbrough – Stoke 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.20 2.10 1.72
27.04.22 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.50 2.05 1.80
18.04.22 Middlesbrough – Huddersfield 0–2 (0–1) 1.853.504.50 2.10 1.72
09.04.22 Middlesbrough – Hull 0–1 (0–0) 1.554.006.50 1.95 1.90

Birmingham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.22 Sheffield United – Birmingham 1–1 (0–0) 1.444.757.00 1.83 2.02
14.09.22 West Brom – Birmingham 2–3 (1–1) 1.444.338.00 1.85 2.00
03.09.22 Preston – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.663.605.75 2.20 1.66
27.08.22 Rotherham – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 2.20 1.66
13.08.22 Cardiff – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.30 2.20 1.66
30.07.22 Luton – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.33 2.00 1.80
30.04.22 Cardiff – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.403.75 2.05 1.80
18.04.22 Blackpool – Birmingham 6–1 (3–0) 2.153.403.40 2.10 1.72
09.04.22 Nott'm Forest – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.006.50 2.05 1.80
19.03.22 Swansea – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.604.33 2.02 1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Middlesbrough winsDrawsBirmingham wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.22E1 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.05 2.10 1.72
30.10.21E1 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 0–2 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 12 7 3 2 20 7 +13 24
2 Norwich 12 7 3 2 18 10 +8 24
3 Reading 12 7 1 4 14 16 -2 22
4 QPR 12 6 3 3 17 12 +5 21
5 Burnley 11 4 6 1 18 11 +7 18
6 Blackburn 12 6 0 6 13 15 -2 18
7 Sunderland 12 4 5 3 16 11 +5 17
8 Watford 11 4 5 2 15 11 +4 17
9 Luton 12 4 5 3 16 13 +3 17
10 Wigan 10 4 4 2 11 11 0 16
11 Bristol City 12 4 3 5 20 18 +2 15
12 Swansea 11 4 3 4 13 14 -1 15
13 Cardiff 12 4 3 5 9 12 -3 15
14 Rotherham 10 3 5 2 12 8 +4 14
15 Preston 11 2 7 2 3 4 -1 13
16 Birmingham 11 3 4 4 9 11 -2 13
17 Millwall 11 4 1 6 12 16 -4 13
18 Stoke 11 3 3 5 11 15 -4 12
19 Blackpool 12 3 3 6 10 16 -6 12
20 Hull 11 3 2 6 11 23 -12 11
21 West Brom 11 1 7 3 17 17 0 10
22 Middlesbrough 11 2 4 5 13 16 -3 10
23 Huddersfield 11 2 2 7 13 19 -6 8
24 Coventry 9 1 4 4 8 13 -5 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Reading 7 5 1 1 12 7 +5 16
2 Norwich 6 4 2 0 12 5 +7 14
3 Sheffield United 6 4 1 1 12 3 +9 13
4 Blackburn 6 4 0 2 9 6 +3 12
5 Millwall 6 4 0 2 9 6 +3 12
6 Rotherham 6 3 2 1 11 4 +7 11
7 Cardiff 6 3 2 1 5 3 +2 11
8 Bristol City 6 3 1 2 9 5 +4 10
9 Watford 5 3 1 1 8 6 +2 10
10 Burnley 5 2 3 0 9 6 +3 9
11 Middlesbrough 6 2 3 1 8 7 +1 9
12 Hull 6 3 0 3 7 11 -4 9
13 QPR 5 2 2 1 7 5 +2 8
14 Sunderland 6 1 4 1 6 4 +2 7
15 Luton 7 1 4 2 9 9 0 7
16 Huddersfield 6 2 1 3 7 7 0 7
17 Swansea 6 2 1 3 6 8 -2 7
18 West Brom 6 1 3 2 11 10 +1 6
19 Birmingham 5 1 2 2 4 5 -1 5
20 Stoke 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
21 Blackpool 5 1 1 3 4 6 -2 4
22 Preston 6 0 4 2 1 4 -3 4
23 Coventry 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
24 Wigan 5 0 3 2 3 8 -5 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wigan 5 4 1 0 8 3 +5 13
2 QPR 7 4 1 2 10 7 +3 13
3 Sheffield United 6 3 2 1 8 4 +4 11
4 Sunderland 6 3 1 2 10 7 +3 10
5 Luton 5 3 1 1 7 4 +3 10
6 Norwich 6 3 1 2 6 5 +1 10
7 Burnley 6 2 3 1 9 5 +4 9
8 Preston 5 2 3 0 2 0 +2 9
9 Swansea 5 2 2 1 7 6 +1 8
10 Birmingham 6 2 2 2 5 6 -1 8
11 Blackpool 7 2 2 3 6 10 -4 8
12 Watford 6 1 4 1 7 5 +2 7
13 Stoke 6 2 1 3 6 7 -1 7
14 Blackburn 6 2 0 4 4 9 -5 6
15 Reading 5 2 0 3 2 9 -7 6
16 Bristol City 6 1 2 3 11 13 -2 5
17 West Brom 5 0 4 1 6 7 -1 4
18 Coventry 7 0 4 3 7 12 -5 4
19 Cardiff 6 1 1 4 4 9 -5 4
20 Rotherham 4 0 3 1 1 4 -3 3
21 Hull 5 0 2 3 4 12 -8 2
22 Middlesbrough 5 0 1 4 5 9 -4 1
23 Huddersfield 5 0 1 4 6 12 -6 1
24 Millwall 5 0 1 4 3 10 -7 1

Middlesbrough   Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Reading 12 5 7 1.2 1.3 7 1 4 14 16 22
2 11 Bristol City 12 5 7 1.7 1.5 4 3 5 20 18 15
3 20 Hull 11 4 7 1.0 2.1 3 2 6 11 23 11
4 23 Huddersfield 11 4 7 1.2 1.7 2 2 7 13 19 8
5 6 Blackburn 12 6 6 1.1 1.2 6 0 6 13 15 18
6 7 Sunderland 12 6 6 1.3 0.9 4 5 3 16 11 17
7 22 Middlesbrough 11 5 6 1.2 1.5 2 4 5 13 16 10
8 2 Norwich 12 7 5 1.5 0.8 7 3 2 18 10 24
9 4 QPR 12 7 5 1.4 1.0 6 3 3 17 12 21
10 12 Swansea 11 6 5 1.2 1.3 4 3 4 13 14 15
11 18 Stoke 11 6 5 1.0 1.4 3 3 5 11 15 12
12 21 West Brom 11 6 5 1.5 1.5 1 7 3 17 17 10
13 1 Sheffield United 12 8 4 1.7 0.6 7 3 2 20 7 24
14 8 Watford 11 7 4 1.4 1.0 4 5 2 15 11 17
15 9 Luton 12 8 4 1.3 1.1 4 5 3 16 13 17
16 17 Millwall 11 7 4 1.1 1.5 4 1 6 12 16 13
17 19 Blackpool 12 8 4 0.8 1.3 3 3 6 10 16 12
18 24 Coventry 9 5 4 0.9 1.4 1 4 4 8 13 7
19 5 Burnley 11 8 3 1.6 1.0 4 6 1 18 11 18
20 10 Wigan 10 7 3 1.1 1.1 4 4 2 11 11 16
21 13 Cardiff 12 9 3 0.8 1.0 4 3 5 9 12 15
22 14 Rotherham 10 7 3 1.2 0.8 3 5 2 12 8 14
23 16 Birmingham 11 8 3 0.8 1.0 3 4 4 9 11 13
24 15 Preston 11 11 0 0.3 0.4 2 7 2 3 4 13
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Reading 7 2 5 1.7 1.0 5 1 1 12 7 16
2 20 Hull 6 2 4 1.2 1.8 3 0 3 7 11 9
3 1 Sheffield United 6 3 3 2.0 0.5 4 1 1 12 3 13
4 2 Norwich 6 3 3 2.0 0.8 4 2 0 12 5 14
5 6 Blackburn 6 3 3 1.5 1.0 4 0 2 9 6 12
6 8 Watford 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 3 1 1 8 6 10
7 9 Luton 7 4 3 1.3 1.3 1 4 2 9 9 7
8 12 Swansea 6 3 3 1.0 1.3 2 1 3 6 8 7
9 21 West Brom 6 3 3 1.8 1.7 1 3 2 11 10 6
10 22 Middlesbrough 6 3 3 1.3 1.2 2 3 1 8 7 9
11 23 Huddersfield 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 3 7 7 7
12 4 QPR 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 2 2 1 7 5 8
13 5 Burnley 5 3 2 1.8 1.2 2 3 0 9 6 9
14 7 Sunderland 6 4 2 1.0 0.7 1 4 1 6 4 7
15 11 Bristol City 6 4 2 1.5 0.8 3 1 2 9 5 10
16 14 Rotherham 6 4 2 1.8 0.7 3 2 1 11 4 11
17 16 Birmingham 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 1 2 2 4 5 5
18 17 Millwall 6 4 2 1.5 1.0 4 0 2 9 6 12
19 18 Stoke 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
20 10 Wigan 5 4 1 0.6 1.6 0 3 2 3 8 3
21 13 Cardiff 6 5 1 0.8 0.5 3 2 1 5 3 11
22 19 Blackpool 5 4 1 0.8 1.2 1 1 3 4 6 4
23 15 Preston 6 6 0 0.2 0.7 0 4 2 1 4 4
24 24 Coventry 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Bristol City 6 1 5 1.8 2.2 1 2 3 11 13 5
2 7 Sunderland 6 2 4 1.7 1.2 3 1 2 10 7 10
3 23 Huddersfield 5 1 4 1.2 2.4 0 1 4 6 12 1
4 24 Coventry 7 3 4 1.0 1.7 0 4 3 7 12 4
5 4 QPR 7 4 3 1.4 1.0 4 1 2 10 7 13
6 6 Blackburn 6 3 3 0.7 1.5 2 0 4 4 9 6
7 18 Stoke 6 3 3 1.0 1.2 2 1 3 6 7 7
8 19 Blackpool 7 4 3 0.9 1.4 2 2 3 6 10 8
9 20 Hull 5 2 3 0.8 2.4 0 2 3 4 12 2
10 22 Middlesbrough 5 2 3 1.0 1.8 0 1 4 5 9 1
11 2 Norwich 6 4 2 1.0 0.8 3 1 2 6 5 10
12 3 Reading 5 3 2 0.4 1.8 2 0 3 2 9 6
13 10 Wigan 5 3 2 1.6 0.6 4 1 0 8 3 13
14 12 Swansea 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 2 2 1 7 6 8
15 13 Cardiff 6 4 2 0.7 1.5 1 1 4 4 9 4
16 17 Millwall 5 3 2 0.6 2.0 0 1 4 3 10 1
17 21 West Brom 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 0 4 1 6 7 4
18 1 Sheffield United 6 5 1 1.3 0.7 3 2 1 8 4 11
19 5 Burnley 6 5 1 1.5 0.8 2 3 1 9 5 9
20 8 Watford 6 5 1 1.2 0.8 1 4 1 7 5 7
21 9 Luton 5 4 1 1.4 0.8 3 1 1 7 4 10
22 14 Rotherham 4 3 1 0.2 1.0 0 3 1 1 4 3
23 16 Birmingham 6 5 1 0.8 1.0 2 2 2 5 6 8
24 15 Preston 5 5 0 0.4 0.0 2 3 0 2 0 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51