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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: C Pawson

Sunderland 2–1 Stoke

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.75 fair 1.82
Draw 3.70 fair 3.92
Away 4.75 fair 5.12
Under 2.5 1.88 fair 1.73
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 2.38

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sunderland Stoke
25 Shots 11
10 Shots on target 3
9 Corners 4
5 Fouls 9
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (215 league matches this season so far).
Result Sunderland to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.78
Expected goals 1.55 – 0.81
Home / Draw / Away
SunderlandDrawStoke
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 14.6% 1–1 11.8% 2–0 11.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Sunderland before this match, all matches
1.83points / match
1.44scored / match
0.72conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 26:13
Stoke before this match, all matches
1.17points / match
1.06scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 19:22
Sunderland all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.06
0.72 Goals conceded 1.22
2.17 Total goals 2.28
12.17 Shots 11.22
3.83 Shots on target 3.83
10.78 Shots faced 15.72
5.00 Corners 5.44
5.11 Corners against 6.33
10.33 Fouls 11.00
1.94 Yellow cards 2.33
0.78 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.11 1st-half goals conceded 0.39

How often Full Time

50% Wins 28%
33% Draws 33%
17% Losses 39%
83% Over 0.5 goals 89%
61% Over 1.5 goals 72%
39% Over 2.5 goals 33%
28% Over 3.5 goals 17%
6% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
39% Both teams scored 44%
56% Clean sheets 28%
22% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 28%
39% Draws 50%
6% Losses 22%
67% Over 0.5 goals 56%
17% Over 1.5 goals 22%
6% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sunderland all matches
Stoke all matches
Sunderland before this match, at home
2.25points / match
1.75scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 14:4
Stoke before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.50scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 4:9
Sunderland at home away Stoke

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 0.50
0.50 Goals conceded 1.13
2.25 Total goals 1.63
12.63 Shots 9.88
3.88 Shots on target 3.88
8.38 Shots faced 20.63
5.38 Corners 4.50
4.25 Corners against 6.50
9.50 Fouls 12.63
1.88 Yellow cards 2.88
1.25 1st-half goals scored 0.13
0.13 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

63% Wins 25%
38% Draws 25%
0% Losses 50%
88% Over 0.5 goals 88%
63% Over 1.5 goals 63%
38% Over 2.5 goals 13%
38% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 13%
75% Clean sheets 38%
13% Failed to score 63%

How often Half Time

75% Wins 13%
25% Draws 63%
0% Losses 25%
88% Over 0.5 goals 38%
38% Over 1.5 goals 0%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sunderland at home
Stoke away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sunderland all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.24 Sheffield United – Sunderland 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.303.90 2.38 1.57
26.11.24 Sunderland – West Brom 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.402.90 2.20 1.67
23.11.24 Millwall – Sunderland 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.253.20 2.38 1.57
09.11.24 Sunderland – Coventry 2–2 (2–0) 2.153.203.50 1.98 1.88
06.11.24 Preston – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.102.30 2.20 1.67
02.11.24 QPR – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.402.05 2.20 1.67
26.10.24 Sunderland – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.205.50 1.80 2.00
23.10.24 Luton – Sunderland 1–2 (0–0) 2.553.302.75 1.98 1.88
20.10.24 Hull – Sunderland 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.402.38 1.73 2.10
04.10.24 Sunderland – Leeds 2–2 (1–1) 3.003.202.40 2.10 1.73

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.24 Stoke – Burnley 0–2 (0–0) 3.003.402.30 2.20 1.67
26.11.24 Stoke – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 2.10 1.73
23.11.24 QPR – Stoke 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 2.00 1.85
09.11.24 Stoke – Millwall 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.252.80 2.20 1.67
06.11.24 Blackburn – Stoke 0–2 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.88 1.98
02.11.24 Stoke – Derby 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.03 1.83
26.10.24 Sheffield United – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.604.75 1.93 1.93
22.10.24 Stoke – Bristol City 2–2 (2–0) 2.383.402.90 1.98 1.88
19.10.24 Stoke – Norwich 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.402.63 1.80 2.00
05.10.24 Swansea – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 1.98 1.88

Sunderland at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.11.24 Sunderland – West Brom 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.402.90 2.20 1.67
09.11.24 Sunderland – Coventry 2–2 (2–0) 2.153.203.50 1.98 1.88
26.10.24 Sunderland – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.205.50 1.80 2.00
04.10.24 Sunderland – Leeds 2–2 (1–1) 3.003.202.40 2.10 1.73
01.10.24 Sunderland – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.673.904.75 2.03 1.83
21.09.24 Sunderland – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.402.80 1.90 1.95
24.08.24 Sunderland – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.30 1.90 1.95
18.08.24 Sunderland – Sheffield Weds 4–0 (3–0) 2.203.303.30 1.95 1.90
04.05.24 Sunderland – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–2) 2.703.402.55 2.00 1.80
20.04.24 Sunderland – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.253.50 2.20 1.67

Stoke away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.24 QPR – Stoke 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 2.00 1.85
06.11.24 Blackburn – Stoke 0–2 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.88 1.98
26.10.24 Sheffield United – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.604.75 1.93 1.93
05.10.24 Swansea – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 1.98 1.88
28.09.24 Middlesbrough – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.00 1.73 2.10
14.09.24 Oxford – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.98 1.88
31.08.24 Plymouth – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.15 1.70 2.10
17.08.24 Watford – Stoke 3–0 (0–0) 2.633.252.70 2.05 1.80
27.04.24 Southampton – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 1.754.334.00 1.53 2.50
13.04.24 Sheffield Weds – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.102.88 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sunderland winsDrawsStoke wins
4matches
3.50goals / match
75%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.01.24E1 Sunderland – Stoke 3–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.80 2.05 1.80
21.10.23E1 Stoke – Sunderland 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.302.75 1.75 2.05
04.03.23E1 Sunderland – Stoke 1–5 (0–1) 2.253.253.25 2.10 1.73
20.08.22E1 Stoke – Sunderland 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.403.50 2.02 1.83

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 18 12 4 2 25 9 +16 40
2 Burnley 19 10 7 2 24 7 +17 37
3 Leeds 18 10 5 3 31 13 +18 35
4 Sunderland 18 9 6 3 26 13 +13 33
5 Middlesbrough 19 9 4 6 33 22 +11 31
6 Watford 18 9 3 6 26 24 +2 30
7 West Brom 18 6 10 2 19 12 +7 28
8 Blackburn 17 8 4 5 21 17 +4 28
9 Norwich 18 6 7 5 35 27 +8 25
10 Millwall 17 6 7 4 20 15 +5 25
11 Bristol City 18 6 7 5 24 21 +3 25
12 Sheffield Weds 18 7 4 7 22 27 -5 25
13 Swansea 18 6 5 7 18 17 +1 23
14 Stoke 18 5 6 7 19 22 -3 21
15 Derby 18 5 5 8 22 24 -2 20
16 Coventry 18 4 6 8 24 27 -3 18
17 Oxford 18 4 6 8 20 28 -8 18
18 Preston 18 3 9 6 17 25 -8 18
19 Luton 18 5 3 10 20 33 -13 18
20 Cardiff 18 4 5 9 17 28 -11 17
21 Plymouth 18 4 5 9 18 38 -20 17
22 Hull 18 3 6 9 17 26 -9 15
23 QPR 18 2 9 7 15 26 -11 15
24 Portsmouth 16 2 7 7 18 30 -12 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 9 8 1 0 14 2 +12 25
2 Watford 9 7 2 0 13 4 +9 23
3 Leeds 9 7 1 1 20 5 +15 22
4 Burnley 9 5 4 0 13 3 +10 19
5 Blackburn 9 6 1 2 13 7 +6 19
6 Sunderland 8 5 3 0 14 4 +10 18
7 Millwall 9 5 2 2 13 7 +6 17
8 Middlesbrough 10 5 2 3 15 11 +4 17
9 Norwich 9 4 4 1 25 13 +12 16
10 Oxford 10 4 4 2 13 12 +1 16
11 Plymouth 8 4 3 1 15 11 +4 15
12 Derby 9 4 2 3 13 9 +4 14
13 Luton 9 4 2 3 13 12 +1 14
14 Preston 10 3 5 2 10 9 +1 14
15 Bristol City 9 3 4 2 13 9 +4 13
16 Swansea 9 3 4 2 12 9 +3 13
17 Stoke 10 3 4 3 15 13 +2 13
18 Sheffield Weds 9 3 3 3 13 14 -1 12
19 Cardiff 9 4 0 5 11 12 -1 12
20 Coventry 9 3 2 4 16 15 +1 11
21 West Brom 8 2 5 1 4 3 +1 11
22 Hull 9 1 4 4 8 11 -3 7
23 Portsmouth 7 1 3 3 6 10 -4 6
24 QPR 9 0 5 4 8 16 -8 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 10 5 3 2 11 4 +7 18
2 West Brom 10 4 5 1 15 9 +6 17
3 Sheffield United 9 4 3 2 11 7 +4 15
4 Sunderland 10 4 3 3 12 9 +3 15
5 Middlesbrough 9 4 2 3 18 11 +7 14
6 Leeds 9 3 4 2 11 8 +3 13
7 Sheffield Weds 9 4 1 4 9 13 -4 13
8 Bristol City 9 3 3 3 11 12 -1 12
9 Swansea 9 3 1 5 6 8 -2 10
10 QPR 9 2 4 3 7 10 -3 10
11 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 8 10 -2 9
12 Norwich 9 2 3 4 10 14 -4 9
13 Millwall 8 1 5 2 7 8 -1 8
14 Stoke 8 2 2 4 4 9 -5 8
15 Hull 9 2 2 5 9 15 -6 8
16 Coventry 9 1 4 4 8 12 -4 7
17 Watford 9 2 1 6 13 20 -7 7
18 Portsmouth 9 1 4 4 12 20 -8 7
19 Derby 9 1 3 5 9 15 -6 6
20 Cardiff 9 0 5 4 6 16 -10 5
21 Preston 8 0 4 4 7 16 -9 4
22 Luton 9 1 1 7 7 21 -14 4
23 Oxford 8 0 2 6 7 16 -9 2
24 Plymouth 10 0 2 8 3 27 -24 2

Sunderland   Stoke

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Watford 18 7 11 1.4 1.3 9 3 6 26 24 30
2 16 Coventry 18 7 11 1.3 1.5 4 6 8 24 27 18
3 19 Luton 18 7 11 1.1 1.8 5 3 10 20 33 18
4 9 Norwich 18 8 10 1.9 1.5 6 7 5 35 27 25
5 21 Plymouth 18 8 10 1.0 2.1 4 5 9 18 38 17
6 24 Portsmouth 16 6 10 1.1 1.9 2 7 7 18 30 13
7 12 Sheffield Weds 18 9 9 1.2 1.5 7 4 7 22 27 25
8 5 Middlesbrough 19 11 8 1.7 1.2 9 4 6 33 22 31
9 11 Bristol City 18 10 8 1.3 1.2 6 7 5 24 21 25
10 15 Derby 18 10 8 1.2 1.3 5 5 8 22 24 20
11 17 Oxford 18 10 8 1.1 1.6 4 6 8 20 28 18
12 18 Preston 18 10 8 0.9 1.4 3 9 6 17 25 18
13 3 Leeds 18 11 7 1.7 0.7 10 5 3 31 13 35
14 4 Sunderland 18 11 7 1.4 0.7 9 6 3 26 13 33
15 8 Blackburn 17 10 7 1.2 1.0 8 4 5 21 17 28
16 7 West Brom 18 12 6 1.1 0.7 6 10 2 19 12 28
17 13 Swansea 18 12 6 1.0 0.9 6 5 7 18 17 23
18 14 Stoke 18 12 6 1.1 1.2 5 6 7 19 22 21
19 20 Cardiff 18 12 6 0.9 1.6 4 5 9 17 28 17
20 22 Hull 18 12 6 0.9 1.4 3 6 9 17 26 15
21 23 QPR 18 12 6 0.8 1.4 2 9 7 15 26 15
22 1 Sheffield United 18 14 4 1.4 0.5 12 4 2 25 9 40
23 10 Millwall 17 13 4 1.2 0.9 6 7 4 20 15 25
24 2 Burnley 19 16 3 1.3 0.4 10 7 2 24 7 37
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Coventry 9 1 8 1.8 1.7 3 2 4 16 15 11
2 9 Norwich 9 3 6 2.8 1.4 4 4 1 25 13 16
3 19 Luton 9 3 6 1.4 1.3 4 2 3 13 12 14
4 3 Leeds 9 4 5 2.2 0.6 7 1 1 20 5 22
5 14 Stoke 10 5 5 1.5 1.3 3 4 3 15 13 13
6 21 Plymouth 8 3 5 1.9 1.4 4 3 1 15 11 15
7 5 Middlesbrough 10 6 4 1.5 1.1 5 2 3 15 11 17
8 6 Watford 9 5 4 1.4 0.4 7 2 0 13 4 23
9 11 Bristol City 9 5 4 1.4 1.0 3 4 2 13 9 13
10 15 Derby 9 5 4 1.4 1.0 4 2 3 13 9 14
11 23 QPR 9 5 4 0.9 1.8 0 5 4 8 16 5
12 24 Portsmouth 7 3 4 0.9 1.4 1 3 3 6 10 6
13 4 Sunderland 8 5 3 1.8 0.5 5 3 0 14 4 18
14 8 Blackburn 9 6 3 1.4 0.8 6 1 2 13 7 19
15 10 Millwall 9 6 3 1.4 0.8 5 2 2 13 7 17
16 12 Sheffield Weds 9 6 3 1.4 1.6 3 3 3 13 14 12
17 13 Swansea 9 6 3 1.3 1.0 3 4 2 12 9 13
18 17 Oxford 10 7 3 1.3 1.2 4 4 2 13 12 16
19 18 Preston 10 7 3 1.0 0.9 3 5 2 10 9 14
20 20 Cardiff 9 6 3 1.2 1.3 4 0 5 11 12 12
21 1 Sheffield United 9 7 2 1.6 0.2 8 1 0 14 2 25
22 2 Burnley 9 7 2 1.4 0.3 5 4 0 13 3 19
23 22 Hull 9 7 2 0.9 1.2 1 4 4 8 11 7
24 7 West Brom 8 7 1 0.5 0.4 2 5 1 4 3 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Watford 9 2 7 1.4 2.2 2 1 6 13 20 7
2 12 Sheffield Weds 9 3 6 1.0 1.4 4 1 4 9 13 13
3 24 Portsmouth 9 3 6 1.3 2.2 1 4 4 12 20 7
4 7 West Brom 10 5 5 1.5 0.9 4 5 1 15 9 17
5 17 Oxford 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 0 2 6 7 16 2
6 18 Preston 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 0 4 4 7 16 4
7 19 Luton 9 4 5 0.8 2.3 1 1 7 7 21 4
8 21 Plymouth 10 5 5 0.3 2.7 0 2 8 3 27 2
9 4 Sunderland 10 6 4 1.2 0.9 4 3 3 12 9 15
10 5 Middlesbrough 9 5 4 2.0 1.2 4 2 3 18 11 14
11 8 Blackburn 8 4 4 1.0 1.2 2 3 3 8 10 9
12 9 Norwich 9 5 4 1.1 1.6 2 3 4 10 14 9
13 11 Bristol City 9 5 4 1.2 1.3 3 3 3 11 12 12
14 15 Derby 9 5 4 1.0 1.7 1 3 5 9 15 6
15 22 Hull 9 5 4 1.0 1.7 2 2 5 9 15 8
16 13 Swansea 9 6 3 0.7 0.9 3 1 5 6 8 10
17 16 Coventry 9 6 3 0.9 1.3 1 4 4 8 12 7
18 20 Cardiff 9 6 3 0.7 1.8 0 5 4 6 16 5
19 1 Sheffield United 9 7 2 1.2 0.8 4 3 2 11 7 15
20 3 Leeds 9 7 2 1.2 0.9 3 4 2 11 8 13
21 23 QPR 9 7 2 0.8 1.1 2 4 3 7 10 10
22 2 Burnley 10 9 1 1.1 0.4 5 3 2 11 4 18
23 10 Millwall 8 7 1 0.9 1.0 1 5 2 7 8 8
24 14 Stoke 8 7 1 0.5 1.1 2 2 4 4 9 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51