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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: R Jones

Sunderland 2–2 Watford

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.50 fair 1.74
Draw ✓ 4.33 fair 4.41
Away 5.75 fair 5.07
Under 2.5 2.03 fair 2.14
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.83 fair 1.88

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sunderland Watford
14 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 5
7 Corners 3
12 Fouls 20
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (363 league matches this season so far).
Result Sunderland to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.83 – 0.97
Home / Draw / Away
SunderlandDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 11.1% 1–1 10.8% 2–0 10.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Sunderland before this match, all matches
1.93points / match
1.50scored / match
0.87conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 45:26
Watford before this match, all matches
1.37points / match
1.33scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 40:42
Sunderland all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.33
0.87 Goals conceded 1.40
2.37 Total goals 2.73
13.47 Shots 11.43
4.60 Shots on target 3.80
10.37 Shots faced 13.27
5.40 Corners 5.07
4.73 Corners against 5.13
10.67 Fouls 12.40
2.10 Yellow cards 2.27
0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.37
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

53% Wins 40%
33% Draws 17%
13% Losses 43%
87% Over 0.5 goals 97%
63% Over 1.5 goals 77%
47% Over 2.5 goals 63%
30% Over 3.5 goals 17%
10% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 3%
50% Both teams scored 63%
43% Clean sheets 20%
20% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 17%
43% Draws 40%
13% Losses 43%
67% Over 0.5 goals 70%
23% Over 1.5 goals 27%
10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sunderland all matches
Watford all matches
Sunderland before this match, at home
2.29points / match
1.71scored / match
0.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 24:10
Watford before this match, away
0.80points / match
1.33scored / match
1.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 20:29
Sunderland at home away Watford

Per match

1.71 Goals scored 1.33
0.71 Goals conceded 1.93
2.43 Total goals 3.27
14.57 Shots 10.33
4.93 Shots on target 3.27
8.64 Shots faced 14.60
5.86 Corners 4.73
4.21 Corners against 5.93
9.64 Fouls 13.00
2.00 Yellow cards 2.20
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.87

How often Full Time

64% Wins 20%
36% Draws 20%
0% Losses 60%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 87%
50% Over 2.5 goals 67%
29% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
50% Both teams scored 67%
50% Clean sheets 7%
7% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 20%
36% Draws 27%
7% Losses 53%
79% Over 0.5 goals 80%
36% Over 1.5 goals 33%
14% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sunderland at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sunderland all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.25 Middlesbrough – Sunderland 2–3 (1–1) 2.353.403.00 1.93 1.93
25.01.25 Sunderland – Plymouth 2–2 (0–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.57 2.38
21.01.25 Derby – Sunderland 0–1 (0–1) 3.503.302.10 2.20 1.67
17.01.25 Burnley – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.40 2.63 1.50
05.01.25 Sunderland – Portsmouth 1–0 (1–0) 1.484.506.00 1.80 2.00
01.01.25 Sunderland – Sheffield United 2–1 (2–1) 2.303.403.00 2.20 1.67
29.12.24 Stoke – Sunderland 1–0 (0–0) 3.003.602.20 2.03 1.83
26.12.24 Blackburn – Sunderland 2–2 (1–0) 2.803.252.50 2.20 1.67
21.12.24 Sunderland – Norwich 2–1 (0–1) 1.803.504.33 1.93 1.93
14.12.24 Swansea – Sunderland 2–3 (2–1) 2.633.202.70 2.10 1.73

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25 Watford – Norwich 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 1.88 1.98
25.01.25 Coventry – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 1.733.604.75 1.83 2.03
21.01.25 Watford – Preston 1–2 (0–1) 2.103.403.40 2.20 1.67
18.01.25 Derby – Watford 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.73
14.01.25 Cardiff – Watford 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.303.20 2.10 1.73
04.01.25 Watford – Sheffield United 1–2 (1–1) 2.753.502.40 2.10 1.73
01.01.25 QPR – Watford 3–1 (2–0) 2.553.402.70 2.00 1.80
29.12.24 Watford – Cardiff 1–2 (1–2) 1.953.403.90 1.88 1.98
26.12.24 Watford – Portsmouth 2–1 (0–1) 1.803.604.33 1.85 2.00
21.12.24 Burnley – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 1.703.705.25 2.10 1.73

Sunderland at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.25 Sunderland – Plymouth 2–2 (0–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.57 2.38
05.01.25 Sunderland – Portsmouth 1–0 (1–0) 1.484.506.00 1.80 2.00
01.01.25 Sunderland – Sheffield United 2–1 (2–1) 2.303.403.00 2.20 1.67
21.12.24 Sunderland – Norwich 2–1 (0–1) 1.803.504.33 1.93 1.93
10.12.24 Sunderland – Bristol City 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.404.33 2.10 1.73
07.12.24 Sunderland – Stoke 2–1 (1–1) 1.753.704.75 1.98 1.88
26.11.24 Sunderland – West Brom 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.402.90 2.20 1.67
09.11.24 Sunderland – Coventry 2–2 (2–0) 2.153.203.50 1.98 1.88
26.10.24 Sunderland – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.205.50 1.80 2.00
04.10.24 Sunderland – Leeds 2–2 (1–1) 3.003.202.40 2.10 1.73

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.25 Coventry – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 1.733.604.75 1.83 2.03
18.01.25 Derby – Watford 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.73
14.01.25 Cardiff – Watford 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.303.20 2.10 1.73
01.01.25 QPR – Watford 3–1 (2–0) 2.553.402.70 2.00 1.80
21.12.24 Burnley – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 1.703.705.25 2.10 1.73
11.12.24 Hull – Watford 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.00 1.90 1.95
22.11.24 Plymouth – Watford 2–2 (1–2) 3.103.402.25 1.73 2.10
05.11.24 Swansea – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.403.90 1.83 2.03
02.11.24 Sheffield Weds – Watford 2–6 (1–1) 1.913.503.90 1.95 1.90
22.10.24 Leeds – Watford 2–1 (2–0) 1.335.009.50 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sunderland winsDrawsWatford wins
5matches
2.80goals / match
60%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.24E1 Watford – Sunderland 2–1 (1–0) 2.753.602.35 2.00 1.85
27.04.24E1 Watford – Sunderland 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.203.25 2.10 1.73
04.10.23E1 Sunderland – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 1.80 2.00
29.04.23E1 Sunderland – Watford 2–2 (0–1) 1.803.604.50 1.93 1.93
17.09.22E1 Watford – Sunderland 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.503.75 2.00 1.80

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 31 19 9 3 62 19 +43 66
2 Sheffield United 30 19 6 5 41 21 +20 63
3 Burnley 31 16 13 2 37 9 +28 61
4 Sunderland 30 16 10 4 45 26 +19 58
5 Blackburn 31 13 6 12 35 31 +4 45
6 West Brom 30 10 14 6 39 27 +12 44
7 Middlesbrough 30 12 8 10 49 39 +10 44
8 Norwich 30 11 9 10 49 42 +7 42
9 Bristol City 30 10 12 8 38 35 +3 42
10 Sheffield Weds 30 11 9 10 43 46 -3 42
11 Coventry 31 11 8 12 41 40 +1 41
12 Watford 30 12 5 13 40 42 -2 41
13 QPR 31 10 11 10 35 40 -5 41
14 Millwall 30 10 10 10 30 27 +3 40
15 Preston 30 8 13 9 33 38 -5 37
16 Oxford 31 9 10 12 34 45 -11 37
17 Swansea 30 9 7 14 32 42 -10 34
18 Stoke 30 7 11 12 28 37 -9 32
19 Cardiff 30 7 10 13 33 51 -18 31
20 Portsmouth 30 7 9 14 36 52 -16 30
21 Hull 30 7 8 15 31 40 -9 29
22 Derby 30 7 6 17 32 41 -9 27
23 Luton 30 7 6 17 30 49 -19 27
24 Plymouth 30 5 10 15 29 63 -34 25
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 16 13 2 1 42 7 +35 41
2 Sunderland 14 9 5 0 24 10 +14 32
3 Sheffield United 14 10 2 2 19 8 +11 32
4 Burnley 15 7 8 0 16 4 +12 29
5 Blackburn 16 9 2 5 22 14 +8 29
6 Watford 15 9 2 4 20 13 +7 29
7 Oxford 16 8 5 3 24 20 +4 29
8 Norwich 14 7 5 2 36 19 +17 26
9 Bristol City 14 7 5 2 21 11 +10 26
10 Middlesbrough 16 7 5 4 24 18 +6 26
11 West Brom 14 6 7 1 19 8 +11 25
12 Preston 15 6 7 2 18 13 +5 25
13 Coventry 15 7 3 5 25 19 +6 24
14 Millwall 16 7 3 6 18 14 +4 24
15 Portsmouth 15 6 5 4 22 14 +8 23
16 QPR 16 6 5 5 22 22 0 23
17 Sheffield Weds 16 5 7 4 25 23 +2 22
18 Luton 15 6 4 5 18 17 +1 22
19 Plymouth 15 5 6 4 24 26 -2 21
20 Derby 15 6 2 7 19 15 +4 20
21 Swansea 15 5 5 5 21 18 +3 20
22 Cardiff 15 6 2 7 18 19 -1 20
23 Stoke 15 4 7 4 18 17 +1 19
24 Hull 16 2 6 8 16 22 -6 12
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 16 9 5 2 21 5 +16 32
2 Sheffield United 16 9 4 3 22 13 +9 31
3 Sunderland 16 7 5 4 21 16 +5 26
4 Leeds 15 6 7 2 20 12 +8 25
5 Sheffield Weds 14 6 2 6 18 23 -5 20
6 West Brom 16 4 7 5 20 19 +1 19
7 Middlesbrough 14 5 3 6 25 21 +4 18
8 QPR 15 4 6 5 13 18 -5 18
9 Hull 14 5 2 7 15 18 -3 17
10 Coventry 16 4 5 7 16 21 -5 17
11 Millwall 14 3 7 4 12 13 -1 16
12 Blackburn 15 4 4 7 13 17 -4 16
13 Bristol City 16 3 7 6 17 24 -7 16
14 Norwich 16 4 4 8 13 23 -10 16
15 Swansea 15 4 2 9 11 24 -13 14
16 Stoke 15 3 4 8 10 20 -10 13
17 Watford 15 3 3 9 20 29 -9 12
18 Preston 15 2 6 7 15 25 -10 12
19 Cardiff 15 1 8 6 15 32 -17 11
20 Oxford 15 1 5 9 10 25 -15 8
21 Derby 15 1 4 10 13 26 -13 7
22 Portsmouth 15 1 4 10 14 38 -24 7
23 Luton 15 1 2 12 12 32 -20 5
24 Plymouth 15 0 4 11 5 37 -32 4

Sunderland   Watford

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Portsmouth 30 10 20 1.2 1.7 7 9 14 36 52 30
2 12 Watford 30 11 19 1.3 1.4 12 5 13 40 42 41
3 24 Plymouth 30 13 17 1.0 2.1 5 10 15 29 63 25
4 8 Norwich 30 14 16 1.6 1.4 11 9 10 49 42 42
5 10 Sheffield Weds 30 14 16 1.4 1.5 11 9 10 43 46 42
6 11 Coventry 31 15 16 1.3 1.3 11 8 12 41 40 41
7 23 Luton 30 14 16 1.0 1.6 7 6 17 30 49 27
8 17 Swansea 30 15 15 1.1 1.4 9 7 14 32 42 34
9 4 Sunderland 30 16 14 1.5 0.9 16 10 4 45 26 58
10 7 Middlesbrough 30 16 14 1.6 1.3 12 8 10 49 39 44
11 13 QPR 31 17 14 1.1 1.3 10 11 10 35 40 41
12 15 Preston 30 16 14 1.1 1.3 8 13 9 33 38 37
13 9 Bristol City 30 17 13 1.3 1.2 10 12 8 38 35 42
14 19 Cardiff 30 17 13 1.1 1.7 7 10 13 33 51 31
15 22 Derby 30 17 13 1.1 1.4 7 6 17 32 41 27
16 1 Leeds 31 19 12 2.0 0.6 19 9 3 62 19 66
17 5 Blackburn 31 19 12 1.1 1.0 13 6 12 35 31 45
18 6 West Brom 30 18 12 1.3 0.9 10 14 6 39 27 44
19 16 Oxford 31 19 12 1.1 1.5 9 10 12 34 45 37
20 21 Hull 30 18 12 1.0 1.3 7 8 15 31 40 29
21 18 Stoke 30 19 11 0.9 1.2 7 11 12 28 37 32
22 2 Sheffield United 30 21 9 1.4 0.7 19 6 5 41 21 63
23 14 Millwall 30 22 8 1.0 0.9 10 10 10 30 27 40
24 3 Burnley 31 25 6 1.2 0.3 16 13 2 37 9 61
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Coventry 15 4 11 1.7 1.3 7 3 5 25 19 24
2 8 Norwich 14 4 10 2.6 1.4 7 5 2 36 19 26
3 24 Plymouth 15 5 10 1.6 1.7 5 6 4 24 26 21
4 1 Leeds 16 7 9 2.6 0.4 13 2 1 42 7 41
5 12 Watford 15 6 9 1.3 0.9 9 2 4 20 13 29
6 13 QPR 16 7 9 1.4 1.4 6 5 5 22 22 23
7 20 Portsmouth 15 6 9 1.5 0.9 6 5 4 22 14 23
8 23 Luton 15 7 8 1.2 1.1 6 4 5 18 17 22
9 4 Sunderland 14 7 7 1.7 0.7 9 5 0 24 10 32
10 17 Swansea 15 8 7 1.4 1.2 5 5 5 21 18 20
11 5 Blackburn 16 10 6 1.4 0.9 9 2 5 22 14 29
12 7 Middlesbrough 16 10 6 1.5 1.1 7 5 4 24 18 26
13 9 Bristol City 14 8 6 1.5 0.8 7 5 2 21 11 26
14 10 Sheffield Weds 16 10 6 1.6 1.4 5 7 4 25 23 22
15 16 Oxford 16 10 6 1.5 1.2 8 5 3 24 20 29
16 18 Stoke 15 9 6 1.2 1.1 4 7 4 18 17 19
17 21 Hull 16 10 6 1.0 1.4 2 6 8 16 22 12
18 22 Derby 15 9 6 1.3 1.0 6 2 7 19 15 20
19 14 Millwall 16 11 5 1.1 0.9 7 3 6 18 14 24
20 15 Preston 15 10 5 1.2 0.9 6 7 2 18 13 25
21 19 Cardiff 15 10 5 1.2 1.3 6 2 7 18 19 20
22 6 West Brom 14 10 4 1.4 0.6 6 7 1 19 8 25
23 2 Sheffield United 14 11 3 1.4 0.6 10 2 2 19 8 32
24 3 Burnley 15 12 3 1.1 0.3 7 8 0 16 4 29
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Portsmouth 15 4 11 0.9 2.5 1 4 10 14 38 7
2 10 Sheffield Weds 14 4 10 1.3 1.6 6 2 6 18 23 20
3 12 Watford 15 5 10 1.3 1.9 3 3 9 20 29 12
4 15 Preston 15 6 9 1.0 1.7 2 6 7 15 25 12
5 6 West Brom 16 8 8 1.2 1.2 4 7 5 20 19 19
6 7 Middlesbrough 14 6 8 1.8 1.5 5 3 6 25 21 18
7 17 Swansea 15 7 8 0.7 1.6 4 2 9 11 24 14
8 19 Cardiff 15 7 8 1.0 2.1 1 8 6 15 32 11
9 23 Luton 15 7 8 0.8 2.1 1 2 12 12 32 5
10 4 Sunderland 16 9 7 1.3 1.0 7 5 4 21 16 26
11 9 Bristol City 16 9 7 1.1 1.5 3 7 6 17 24 16
12 22 Derby 15 8 7 0.9 1.7 1 4 10 13 26 7
13 24 Plymouth 15 8 7 0.3 2.5 0 4 11 5 37 4
14 2 Sheffield United 16 10 6 1.4 0.8 9 4 3 22 13 31
15 5 Blackburn 15 9 6 0.9 1.1 4 4 7 13 17 16
16 8 Norwich 16 10 6 0.8 1.4 4 4 8 13 23 16
17 16 Oxford 15 9 6 0.7 1.7 1 5 9 10 25 8
18 21 Hull 14 8 6 1.1 1.3 5 2 7 15 18 17
19 11 Coventry 16 11 5 1.0 1.3 4 5 7 16 21 17
20 13 QPR 15 10 5 0.9 1.2 4 6 5 13 18 18
21 18 Stoke 15 10 5 0.7 1.3 3 4 8 10 20 13
22 1 Leeds 15 12 3 1.3 0.8 6 7 2 20 12 25
23 3 Burnley 16 13 3 1.3 0.3 9 5 2 21 5 32
24 14 Millwall 14 11 3 0.9 0.9 3 7 4 12 13 16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44