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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Whitestone

Sunderland 3–1 Birmingham

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.75 fair 2.06
Draw 3.75 fair 4.04
Away 4.50 fair 3.73
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.07
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.85 fair 1.93

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sunderland Birmingham
22 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 7
10 Corners 5
5 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (181 league matches this season so far).
Result Sunderland to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.61 – 1.13
Home / Draw / Away
SunderlandDrawBirmingham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–0 10.4% 2–1 9.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Sunderland before this match, all matches
1.53points / match
1.60scored / match
1.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 24:16
Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.27points / match
1.20scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 18:19
Sunderland all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 1.20
1.07 Goals conceded 1.27
2.67 Total goals 2.47
15.40 Shots 12.00
5.07 Shots on target 3.67
10.73 Shots faced 13.13
6.13 Corners 4.40
3.93 Corners against 6.40
9.80 Fouls 13.33
2.20 Yellow cards 2.47
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

47% Wins 33%
13% Draws 27%
40% Losses 40%
87% Over 0.5 goals 93%
73% Over 1.5 goals 80%
67% Over 2.5 goals 40%
33% Over 3.5 goals 27%
7% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
47% Both teams scored 53%
33% Clean sheets 20%
33% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 40%
53% Draws 40%
13% Losses 20%
73% Over 0.5 goals 60%
53% Over 1.5 goals 20%
27% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sunderland all matches
Birmingham all matches
Sunderland before this match, at home
1.71points / match
1.86scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 13:9
Birmingham before this match, away
0.57points / match
0.71scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 5:11
Sunderland at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.86 Goals scored 0.71
1.29 Goals conceded 1.57
3.14 Total goals 2.29
14.29 Shots 11.14
5.57 Shots on target 3.57
10.86 Shots faced 13.71
5.86 Corners 2.86
3.86 Corners against 6.57
11.71 Fouls 13.00
2.14 Yellow cards 2.86
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.29

How often Full Time

57% Wins 14%
0% Draws 14%
43% Losses 71%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 86%
71% Over 2.5 goals 29%
43% Over 3.5 goals 14%
14% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 43%
29% Clean sheets 14%
29% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 29%
43% Draws 57%
14% Losses 14%
71% Over 0.5 goals 43%
43% Over 1.5 goals 14%
29% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sunderland at home
Birmingham away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sunderland all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.23 Swansea – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.63 1.75 2.05
28.10.23 Sunderland – Norwich 3–1 (2–1) 2.003.753.50 1.67 2.15
24.10.23 Leicester – Sunderland 1–0 (1–0) 1.504.506.00 1.60 2.30
21.10.23 Stoke – Sunderland 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.302.75 1.75 2.05
07.10.23 Sunderland – Middlesbrough 0–4 (0–0) 2.303.602.88 1.75 2.05
04.10.23 Sunderland – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 1.80 2.00
29.09.23 Sheffield Weds – Sunderland 0–3 (0–3) 3.203.402.25 1.90 1.95
24.09.23 Sunderland – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 1.83 2.03
20.09.23 Blackburn – Sunderland 1–3 (1–2) 2.253.603.00 1.67 2.20
16.09.23 QPR – Sunderland 1–3 (1–1) 3.103.502.25 1.85 2.00

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.23 Birmingham – Ipswich 2–2 (1–0) 3.803.751.91 1.75 2.05
28.10.23 Southampton – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 1.604.005.50 1.80 2.00
25.10.23 Birmingham – Hull 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.253.20 2.05 1.80
21.10.23 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.90 1.95
06.10.23 Birmingham – West Brom 3–1 (2–1) 2.753.202.63 2.25 1.62
03.10.23 Birmingham – Huddersfield 4–1 (2–0) 2.253.303.30 2.08 1.73
30.09.23 Norwich – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 1.93 1.93
22.09.23 Birmingham – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 2.20 1.67
19.09.23 Preston – Birmingham 2–1 (0–0) 2.383.103.30 2.30 1.62
16.09.23 Watford – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.304.00 2.10 1.73

Sunderland at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.23 Sunderland – Norwich 3–1 (2–1) 2.003.753.50 1.67 2.15
07.10.23 Sunderland – Middlesbrough 0–4 (0–0) 2.303.602.88 1.75 2.05
04.10.23 Sunderland – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 1.80 2.00
24.09.23 Sunderland – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 1.83 2.03
02.09.23 Sunderland – Southampton 5–0 (3–0) 2.803.602.40 1.80 2.00
19.08.23 Sunderland – Rotherham 2–1 (1–1) 1.673.755.25 1.80 2.05
06.08.23 Sunderland – Ipswich 1–2 (0–1) 2.383.303.00 1.95 1.90
29.04.23 Sunderland – Watford 2–2 (0–1) 1.803.604.50 1.93 1.93
18.04.23 Sunderland – Huddersfield 1–1 (1–0) 1.673.755.50 2.10 1.73
15.04.23 Sunderland – Birmingham 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.504.33 2.10 1.73

Birmingham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.23 Southampton – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 1.604.005.50 1.80 2.00
21.10.23 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.90 1.95
30.09.23 Norwich – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 1.93 1.93
19.09.23 Preston – Birmingham 2–1 (0–0) 2.383.103.30 2.30 1.62
16.09.23 Watford – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.304.00 2.10 1.73
19.08.23 Bristol City – Birmingham 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.30 1.62
05.08.23 Swansea – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.20 1.93 1.93
29.04.23 Coventry – Birmingham 2–0 (2–0) 1.504.336.50 1.93 1.93
18.04.23 Millwall – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.703.605.25 2.30 1.62
15.04.23 Sunderland – Birmingham 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.504.33 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sunderland winsDrawsBirmingham wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.23E1 Sunderland – Birmingham 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.504.33 2.10 1.73
11.11.22E1 Birmingham – Sunderland 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 15 13 0 2 29 9 +20 39
2 Ipswich 15 11 3 1 33 19 +14 36
3 Leeds 15 8 4 3 25 15 +10 28
4 Preston 16 8 4 4 23 24 -1 28
5 Southampton 15 8 3 4 25 25 0 27
6 West Brom 15 7 5 3 25 15 +10 26
7 Cardiff 15 7 3 5 23 16 +7 24
8 Sunderland 15 7 2 6 24 16 +8 23
9 Hull 15 6 5 4 21 19 +2 23
10 Blackburn 16 7 1 8 24 26 -2 22
11 Bristol City 15 6 3 6 16 16 0 21
12 Middlesbrough 15 6 3 6 22 23 -1 21
13 Stoke 15 6 2 7 16 18 -2 20
14 Swansea 15 5 4 6 20 18 +2 19
15 Birmingham 15 5 4 6 18 19 -1 19
16 Watford 15 4 6 5 18 18 0 18
17 Norwich 15 5 2 8 26 30 -4 17
18 Millwall 15 4 5 6 15 19 -4 17
19 Plymouth 15 4 4 7 26 25 +1 16
20 Coventry 15 3 6 6 19 21 -2 15
21 Huddersfield 15 3 6 6 14 27 -13 15
22 Rotherham 15 2 5 8 15 27 -12 11
23 QPR 15 2 3 10 11 27 -16 9
24 Sheffield Weds 15 1 3 11 7 23 -16 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 7 6 0 1 22 13 +9 18
2 Leicester 8 6 0 2 11 4 +7 18
3 West Brom 8 5 2 1 14 7 +7 17
4 Preston 8 5 2 1 14 13 +1 17
5 Cardiff 7 5 1 1 13 6 +7 16
6 Leeds 7 4 3 0 13 5 +8 15
7 Birmingham 8 4 3 1 13 8 +5 15
8 Plymouth 8 4 1 3 20 13 +7 13
9 Stoke 8 4 1 3 9 8 +1 13
10 Watford 8 3 3 2 13 8 +5 12
11 Sunderland 7 4 0 3 13 9 +4 12
12 Norwich 8 4 0 4 12 12 0 12
13 Southampton 7 3 2 2 14 13 +1 11
14 Bristol City 8 3 2 3 9 8 +1 11
15 Coventry 7 2 4 1 9 7 +2 10
16 Hull 7 2 4 1 9 7 +2 10
17 Rotherham 8 2 4 2 12 11 +1 10
18 Middlesbrough 7 3 1 3 6 7 -1 10
19 Swansea 8 2 3 3 9 9 0 9
20 Blackburn 8 3 0 5 9 14 -5 9
21 Huddersfield 8 2 3 3 7 13 -6 9
22 Millwall 8 2 1 5 7 12 -5 7
23 Sheffield Weds 7 1 2 4 4 8 -4 5
24 QPR 6 0 1 5 4 14 -10 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 7 7 0 0 18 5 +13 21
2 Ipswich 8 5 3 0 11 6 +5 18
3 Southampton 8 5 1 2 11 12 -1 16
4 Blackburn 8 4 1 3 15 12 +3 13
5 Leeds 8 4 1 3 12 10 +2 13
6 Hull 8 4 1 3 12 12 0 13
7 Sunderland 8 3 2 3 11 7 +4 11
8 Middlesbrough 8 3 2 3 16 16 0 11
9 Preston 8 3 2 3 9 11 -2 11
10 Swansea 7 3 1 3 11 9 +2 10
11 Millwall 7 2 4 1 8 7 +1 10
12 Bristol City 7 3 1 3 7 8 -1 10
13 West Brom 7 2 3 2 11 8 +3 9
14 Cardiff 8 2 2 4 10 10 0 8
15 QPR 9 2 2 5 7 13 -6 8
16 Stoke 7 2 1 4 7 10 -3 7
17 Watford 7 1 3 3 5 10 -5 6
18 Huddersfield 7 1 3 3 7 14 -7 6
19 Norwich 7 1 2 4 14 18 -4 5
20 Coventry 8 1 2 5 10 14 -4 5
21 Birmingham 7 1 1 5 5 11 -6 4
22 Plymouth 7 0 3 4 6 12 -6 3
23 Sheffield Weds 8 0 1 7 3 15 -12 1
24 Rotherham 7 0 1 6 3 16 -13 1

Sunderland   Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Blackburn 16 4 12 1.5 1.6 7 1 8 24 26 22
2 5 Southampton 15 4 11 1.7 1.7 8 3 4 25 25 27
3 17 Norwich 15 4 11 1.7 2.0 5 2 8 26 30 17
4 19 Plymouth 15 4 11 1.7 1.7 4 4 7 26 25 16
5 4 Preston 16 6 10 1.4 1.5 8 4 4 23 24 28
6 8 Sunderland 15 5 10 1.6 1.1 7 2 6 24 16 23
7 2 Ipswich 15 6 9 2.2 1.3 11 3 1 33 19 36
8 1 Leicester 15 7 8 1.9 0.6 13 0 2 29 9 39
9 3 Leeds 15 7 8 1.7 1.0 8 4 3 25 15 28
10 6 West Brom 15 7 8 1.7 1.0 7 5 3 25 15 26
11 9 Hull 15 7 8 1.4 1.3 6 5 4 21 19 23
12 12 Middlesbrough 15 7 8 1.5 1.5 6 3 6 22 23 21
13 14 Swansea 15 7 8 1.3 1.2 5 4 6 20 18 19
14 21 Huddersfield 15 7 8 0.9 1.8 3 6 6 14 27 15
15 22 Rotherham 15 7 8 1.0 1.8 2 5 8 15 27 11
16 23 QPR 15 7 8 0.7 1.8 2 3 10 11 27 9
17 7 Cardiff 15 8 7 1.5 1.1 7 3 5 23 16 24
18 18 Millwall 15 8 7 1.0 1.3 4 5 6 15 19 17
19 15 Birmingham 15 9 6 1.2 1.3 5 4 6 18 19 19
20 16 Watford 15 9 6 1.2 1.2 4 6 5 18 18 18
21 20 Coventry 15 9 6 1.3 1.4 3 6 6 19 21 15
22 24 Sheffield Weds 15 9 6 0.5 1.5 1 3 11 7 23 6
23 11 Bristol City 15 10 5 1.1 1.1 6 3 6 16 16 21
24 13 Stoke 15 10 5 1.1 1.2 6 2 7 16 18 20
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Preston 8 1 7 1.8 1.6 5 2 1 14 13 17
2 19 Plymouth 8 1 7 2.5 1.6 4 1 3 20 13 13
3 2 Ipswich 7 1 6 3.1 1.9 6 0 1 22 13 18
4 10 Blackburn 8 2 6 1.1 1.8 3 0 5 9 14 9
5 5 Southampton 7 2 5 2.0 1.9 3 2 2 14 13 11
6 8 Sunderland 7 2 5 1.9 1.3 4 0 3 13 9 12
7 17 Norwich 8 3 5 1.5 1.5 4 0 4 12 12 12
8 18 Millwall 8 3 5 0.9 1.5 2 1 5 7 12 7
9 22 Rotherham 8 3 5 1.5 1.4 2 4 2 12 11 10
10 3 Leeds 7 3 4 1.9 0.7 4 3 0 13 5 15
11 6 West Brom 8 4 4 1.8 0.9 5 2 1 14 7 17
12 14 Swansea 8 4 4 1.1 1.1 2 3 3 9 9 9
13 15 Birmingham 8 4 4 1.6 1.0 4 3 1 13 8 15
14 16 Watford 8 4 4 1.6 1.0 3 3 2 13 8 12
15 21 Huddersfield 8 4 4 0.9 1.6 2 3 3 7 13 9
16 23 QPR 6 2 4 0.7 2.3 0 1 5 4 14 1
17 1 Leicester 8 5 3 1.4 0.5 6 0 2 11 4 18
18 7 Cardiff 7 4 3 1.9 0.9 5 1 1 13 6 16
19 13 Stoke 8 5 3 1.1 1.0 4 1 3 9 8 13
20 9 Hull 7 5 2 1.3 1.0 2 4 1 9 7 10
21 11 Bristol City 8 6 2 1.1 1.0 3 2 3 9 8 11
22 20 Coventry 7 5 2 1.3 1.0 2 4 1 9 7 10
23 24 Sheffield Weds 7 5 2 0.6 1.1 1 2 4 4 8 5
24 12 Middlesbrough 7 6 1 0.9 1.0 3 1 3 6 7 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Middlesbrough 8 1 7 2.0 2.0 3 2 3 16 16 11
2 5 Southampton 8 2 6 1.4 1.5 5 1 2 11 12 16
3 9 Hull 8 2 6 1.5 1.5 4 1 3 12 12 13
4 10 Blackburn 8 2 6 1.9 1.5 4 1 3 15 12 13
5 17 Norwich 7 1 6 2.0 2.6 1 2 4 14 18 5
6 1 Leicester 7 2 5 2.6 0.7 7 0 0 18 5 21
7 8 Sunderland 8 3 5 1.4 0.9 3 2 3 11 7 11
8 3 Leeds 8 4 4 1.5 1.2 4 1 3 12 10 13
9 6 West Brom 7 3 4 1.6 1.1 2 3 2 11 8 9
10 7 Cardiff 8 4 4 1.2 1.2 2 2 4 10 10 8
11 14 Swansea 7 3 4 1.6 1.3 3 1 3 11 9 10
12 19 Plymouth 7 3 4 0.9 1.7 0 3 4 6 12 3
13 20 Coventry 8 4 4 1.2 1.8 1 2 5 10 14 5
14 21 Huddersfield 7 3 4 1.0 2.0 1 3 3 7 14 6
15 23 QPR 9 5 4 0.8 1.4 2 2 5 7 13 8
16 24 Sheffield Weds 8 4 4 0.4 1.9 0 1 7 3 15 1
17 2 Ipswich 8 5 3 1.4 0.8 5 3 0 11 6 18
18 4 Preston 8 5 3 1.1 1.4 3 2 3 9 11 11
19 11 Bristol City 7 4 3 1.0 1.1 3 1 3 7 8 10
20 22 Rotherham 7 4 3 0.4 2.3 0 1 6 3 16 1
21 13 Stoke 7 5 2 1.0 1.4 2 1 4 7 10 7
22 15 Birmingham 7 5 2 0.7 1.6 1 1 5 5 11 4
23 16 Watford 7 5 2 0.7 1.4 1 3 3 5 10 6
24 18 Millwall 7 5 2 1.1 1.0 2 4 1 8 7 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51